Developing in a Decade
A Glance into the Future
How/What will we be developing in
2024?
More
Google Trends
Google Trends
-Johnny Appleseed
The Next Big Thing (TM)
What new language?
What new paradigm?
What new framework?
And Process?
It doesn’t
matter
Don’t restrict
yourself
Constantly be learning
Your cheese
will move
but there’s plenty more around
The means will change
We will adapt
But will our goals
change?
Have our goals
changed?
Why do we do what we
do?
Why?
Technology & Software
is helping people
Automation
Increasing Productivity
Technology
and Jobs
Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT)
and Andrew McAffee
Technology
and Jobs
Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT)
and Andrew McAffee
This is not your
mother’s
Industrial
Revolution
Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT)
and Andrew McAffee
This is not your
mother’s
Industrial
Revolution
Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT)
and Andrew McAffee
Information
The Key to Freedom
There’s a lot of information
Big Data
a.k.a. The Next Big Thinga.k.a. The Next Big Thing (TM)
What can we do with
this Data?
How can we do it?
Why should we do it?
It’s information.
Information is knowledge.
Is too much information a
bad thing?
Orwell’s Society
Big Brother!
Control!
Censorship
Huxley’s Society
Controlled Population!
Amusement!
Artificial Procreation
Amusing
ourselves to
Death
Relevance lost in a sea of
irrelevance
-Neil Postman, Amusing ourselves to death
“What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What
Huxley feared was that ...
We are inundated with
information. Things become
insignificant quickly.
29 Stages of a Twitter (Shit) Storm
http://www.buzzfeed.com/tomphillips/the-29-stages-of-a-twitterstorm
1. Someone does something bad
2. Someone notices it
4. Gradually anger builds
6. …and builds
8. Famous Twitter Account
notices
9. People send angry
messages…to wrong account
10. Someone starts a petition
12. Lots of petitions. No one
knows which one to sign
15. Issue trends
16. Media covers it
18. Politicians get on board
22. Story dominates media
23. Social Media “Experts” have
a field day
24. Someone apologises
25. Most people kind of accept
it. Issue dies down.
27. Someone invents some
hashtag game
29. Next day, something else
happens.
The relevant becomes
irrelevant
What type of society
are we aiming for?
And then there’s us:
Developers
As Developers, we play a
role in changing the world
Start-ups
Changing the World
1.
2.
3.
4.
WHY?
Success!
and if you want to be
successful, you need to be in
the Valley
Silicon Valley
Longer to Raise Money!
Decreases Odds of Being
Bought Out!
Decreases Odds of
Success
Outside the Valley…
What is success?
The Jungle
Homes that cost $3.3
Million !
Homes costing $700K
surrounded by tents of
the Jungle!
Jungle: 175 homeless at
a...
What happened to the whole
“Changing the World”?
40 Million Americans on Food Stamps
Are our goals
changing?
Why?
Innovation, Success, Improving Society for all
!
!
are not incompatible goals
Changing the World !=
Helping it
-Johnny Appleseed
We need to acknowledge there is a problem
-Johnny Appleseed
As Developers, as an Industry, we have the
potential to create a better society
-Johnny Appleseed
We should look to the future and ask Why,
not What, or How
-Johnny Appleseed
Software Development, Technology isn’t the
goal.
pic of drop what you’re
doing.
pic of children learning
Paraphrased conversation between Attenborough and
Goldblum - Jurassic Park
“We were so busy seeing if we could, that we
di...
-Johnny Appleseed
Thank you
Credits
Pictures

Crystal Ball - http://www.flickr.com/photos/yorkjason/612634561/

Textile Machine - http://www.flickr.com/...
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
Developing in a decade - Hariri
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Slides from Hadi Hariri talk @Codemotion Roma 2014

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Developing in a decade - Hariri

  1. 1. Developing in a Decade A Glance into the Future
  2. 2. How/What will we be developing in 2024?
  3. 3. More
  4. 4. Google Trends
  5. 5. Google Trends
  6. 6. -Johnny Appleseed The Next Big Thing (TM)
  7. 7. What new language?
  8. 8. What new paradigm?
  9. 9. What new framework?
  10. 10. And Process?
  11. 11. It doesn’t matter
  12. 12. Don’t restrict yourself
  13. 13. Constantly be learning
  14. 14. Your cheese will move but there’s plenty more around
  15. 15. The means will change
  16. 16. We will adapt
  17. 17. But will our goals change?
  18. 18. Have our goals changed?
  19. 19. Why do we do what we do?
  20. 20. Why?
  21. 21. Technology & Software is helping people
  22. 22. Automation Increasing Productivity
  23. 23. Technology and Jobs Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee
  24. 24. Technology and Jobs Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee
  25. 25. This is not your mother’s Industrial Revolution Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee
  26. 26. This is not your mother’s Industrial Revolution Erik Brynjolfsson (MIT) and Andrew McAffee
  27. 27. Information The Key to Freedom
  28. 28. There’s a lot of information
  29. 29. Big Data a.k.a. The Next Big Thinga.k.a. The Next Big Thing (TM)
  30. 30. What can we do with this Data?
  31. 31. How can we do it?
  32. 32. Why should we do it?
  33. 33. It’s information. Information is knowledge.
  34. 34. Is too much information a bad thing?
  35. 35. Orwell’s Society Big Brother! Control! Censorship
  36. 36. Huxley’s Society Controlled Population! Amusement! Artificial Procreation
  37. 37. Amusing ourselves to Death Relevance lost in a sea of irrelevance
  38. 38. -Neil Postman, Amusing ourselves to death “What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture, preoccupied with some equivalent of the feelies, the orgy porgy, and the centrifugal bumblepuppy. …..! In short, Orwell feared that what we hate will ruin us. Huxley feared that what we love will ruin us.! ! This book is about the possibility that Huxley, not Orwell, was right.”
  39. 39. We are inundated with information. Things become insignificant quickly.
  40. 40. 29 Stages of a Twitter (Shit) Storm http://www.buzzfeed.com/tomphillips/the-29-stages-of-a-twitterstorm
  41. 41. 1. Someone does something bad
  42. 42. 2. Someone notices it
  43. 43. 4. Gradually anger builds
  44. 44. 6. …and builds
  45. 45. 8. Famous Twitter Account notices
  46. 46. 9. People send angry messages…to wrong account
  47. 47. 10. Someone starts a petition
  48. 48. 12. Lots of petitions. No one knows which one to sign
  49. 49. 15. Issue trends
  50. 50. 16. Media covers it
  51. 51. 18. Politicians get on board
  52. 52. 22. Story dominates media
  53. 53. 23. Social Media “Experts” have a field day
  54. 54. 24. Someone apologises
  55. 55. 25. Most people kind of accept it. Issue dies down.
  56. 56. 27. Someone invents some hashtag game
  57. 57. 29. Next day, something else happens.
  58. 58. The relevant becomes irrelevant
  59. 59. What type of society are we aiming for?
  60. 60. And then there’s us: Developers
  61. 61. As Developers, we play a role in changing the world
  62. 62. Start-ups Changing the World
  63. 63. 1. 2. 3. 4.
  64. 64. WHY? Success!
  65. 65. and if you want to be successful, you need to be in the Valley
  66. 66. Silicon Valley Longer to Raise Money! Decreases Odds of Being Bought Out! Decreases Odds of Success Outside the Valley…
  67. 67. What is success?
  68. 68. The Jungle Homes that cost $3.3 Million ! Homes costing $700K surrounded by tents of the Jungle! Jungle: 175 homeless at any time
  69. 69. What happened to the whole “Changing the World”?
  70. 70. 40 Million Americans on Food Stamps
  71. 71. Are our goals changing?
  72. 72. Why?
  73. 73. Innovation, Success, Improving Society for all ! ! are not incompatible goals
  74. 74. Changing the World != Helping it
  75. 75. -Johnny Appleseed We need to acknowledge there is a problem
  76. 76. -Johnny Appleseed As Developers, as an Industry, we have the potential to create a better society
  77. 77. -Johnny Appleseed We should look to the future and ask Why, not What, or How
  78. 78. -Johnny Appleseed Software Development, Technology isn’t the goal.
  79. 79. pic of drop what you’re doing. pic of children learning
  80. 80. Paraphrased conversation between Attenborough and Goldblum - Jurassic Park “We were so busy seeing if we could, that we didn’t stop to think if we should”
  81. 81. -Johnny Appleseed Thank you
  82. 82. Credits Pictures
 Crystal Ball - http://www.flickr.com/photos/yorkjason/612634561/
 Textile Machine - http://www.flickr.com/photos/muriel_vd/984795979
 Brain - http://pixabay.com/en/brain-human-brain-science-biology-43490/
 Baby Crying - http://www.flickr.com/photos/44124370018
 Pigeon Hole - http://www.flickr.com/photos/irisheyes/103405687/
 Cheese - http://www.flickr.com/photos/ladymissmarquise/5383384526 
 Puzzle - http://www.flickr.com/photos/intvgene/370973576
 Helping Cart - http://www.flickr.com/photos/reddy-aprianto/8360515062/
 Automation - http://www.flickr.com/photos/xmacex/3019001226/
 Library - http://www.flickr.com/photos/ell-r-brown/9883645136/
 Barista - http://qz.com/134661/briggo-coffee-army-of-robot-baristas-could-mean-the-end-of-starbucks-as-we-know-it/
 TV - http://www.flickr.com/photos/33718942@N07/5188238584
 Huxley - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Huxley
 Orwell - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Orwell
 Kids - http://www.flickr.com/photos/73645804@N00/4006194802
 Stop - http://www.flickr.com/photos/misteraitch/2971658475
 Google Car - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Google%27s_Lexus_RX_450h_Self-Driving_Car.jpg
 Computers - http://www.flickr.com/photos/quinnanya/4152110208
 Windows 8.1 - http://www.flickr.com/photos/nabor_garrido/9519905048/
 Food - Glenn’s Breakfast
 
 
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