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Civil-military interaction and
           the future of humanitarian action

           Antonio Donini Senior Researcher, Feinstein International Centre, Tufts University

     >     Paper 03/2012



     ‘That’s the reason they’re called lessons,’ the Gryphon
     remarked: ‘because they lessen from day to day.’
     —Alice in Wonderland

The following discussion is structured into three parts:
>>    a brief update on the evolution of the
      humanitarian enterprise in the past 10 years
                                                                             network power. The enterprise has also become much more
>>    lessons from civil–military interaction
                                                                             professionalised: for many humanitarian aid workers—and
      in three recent crises
                                                                             there are an estimated 300 000—working in emergencies
>>    what we can expect in the years to 2020.                               has become a career rather than a voluntary mission.
                                                                             ‘Oligopolisation’ has also continued apace. Northern
Evolution of the humanitarian                                                federations of major non-government organisations and UN
                                                                             humanitarian agencies define how the enterprise works,
enterprise, 2000 to 2010                                                     what constitutes a crisis and how it should be tackled.
In the years from 2000 to 2010 there were major                              Barriers to entry for groups from the South have become
quantitative and qualitative changes in the nature of the                    higher; the isomorphism has increased—‘you’ can join ‘us’
humanitarian enterprise.                                                     but only on ‘our’ terms.

Quantitative changes                                                         We are more technically proficient and do more evaluations
                                                                             (and have more conferences) but are we better? Are we
Never has there been so much money, so many aid workers                      more effective at saving lives?
and so much media attention devoted to humanitarian
matters. The humanitarian enterprise now accounts for                        Qualitative changes
more than US$14 billion a year.1                                             Afghanistan, Iraq, Darfur, Somalia, Sri Lanka and Haiti stand
Institutionalisation of the enterprise has exploded, in terms                as setbacks for humanitarianism. The ‘instrumentalisation’
of standards, norms, guidelines, clusters, accountability and                of humanitarian action in support of political and military



1      ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
agendas has resulted in unprecedented levels of co‑option,
blurring of lines, and the subordination of humanitarianism
                                                                           Lessons from civil-military
to politics. The Global War on Terror has accelerated                      interaction: three crises
this process, and in extreme cases the result is the
                                                                           Haiti and Pakistan constitute examples from which much can
criminalisation of humanitarian action (for example, in the
                                                                           be learnt about civil–military responses; Afghanistan teach
cases of Somalia and Palestine). As a consequence, aid
                                                                           us lessons about ‘stabilisation’ and the future of civil–military
agencies are becoming more risk averse.
                                                                           interaction.
Humanitarianism is also being affected by the current
wave of interventionism, which is fuelled in part by the                   Haiti
International Criminal Court and responsibility to protect                 An extremely strong—magnitude 7.0 on the Richter
agendas. Increasingly, the North’s human rights agenda                     Scale—earthquake hit Haiti on 12 January 2010. The
clashes with the humanitarian agenda. And the humanitarian                 resultant devastation triggered a massive humanitarian
enterprise has itself become much more interventionist.                    response, in which the US military, the UN peace mission
We are perhaps witnessing the merger of humanitarianism                    and 27 other military contingents played a crucial role.
and empire: non-government organisations are ‘the                          Civil‑military interaction was widely seen to be helpful in
mendicant orders of empire’, ‘the capillary vessels of                     terms of logistics, but the dominance of the US military
globalization’.2 Even those who do not see themselves as                   presence gave rise to many questions.
‘force multipliers’ of Northern world-ordering agendas or
of stabilisation operations3 are affected by association. In               Important factors
Afghanistan, Iraq and Darfur we have paid a high price for                 This was natural disaster in an unnatural setting. It occurred
being seen to take sides.                                                  in a densely populated urban area in what is a very poor
                                                                           country and a weak state that was mostly sidelined in the
The collapse of the asylum and protection regime is                        aftermath of the quake. A dense population in an urban
another area of concern. From refugees to IDPs (internally                 environment characterised by shanty housing posed new
displaced persons) to ISPs (internally stuck persons),                     challenges for humanitarian organisations. There was poor
dealing with protection has become more difficult. On                      overall interaction with Haitian civil society and groups. The
the plus side, though, those who deliberately cause harm                   long history of US hegemony and economic interests, which
to civilians are increasingly questioned by civil society—                 had resulted in decades of weakening of the state, affected
witness the Arab Spring.                                                   the quality of the response.
Finally, the humanitarian field is more crowded than                       Coordination
ever, with the emergence of new traditions (Islamic non-                   The immediate post-quake period was a time of huge
government organisations and donors), a diversification of                 logistical effort accompanied by a serious coordination
donors (Gulf states, Brazil, Cuba–Venezuela, and private                   deficit. The absence of humanitarian leadership
donors and foundations) and new types of ‘humanitarian’                    compounded by slow needs assessment undermined the
action (for-profit organisations and private security                      humanitarians’ efforts to influence the overall direction
companies), including military–aid hybrids.                                and shape of the operation. The humanitarians’ directing
In summary, the politicisation and manipulation                            of military contingents was poor, so US Central Command
of humanitarian action have reached new heights:                           took the strategic lead in Florida. US control of the airport
humanitarian action is now inseparable from western foreign                in Port‑au-Prince was resented, although the US did do vital
policy.4 At the same time, humanitarian action has itself                  work in rehabilitating the air link and the seaport area.
crossed the threshold of power—from a powerful discourse                   The Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
to a discourse of power. At its heart this is power that moves             and the UN–NGO aid community were unclear about the
unprecedented amounts of funds and influences public                       civil‑military relationship in a non-war setting; and there was
opinion and governance, but it also a biopolitical power that              much uncertainty about how to interact with US and other
expresses itself at its most extreme in triage—who is ‘saved’,             military participants. The Joint Operations Tasking Centre
who is ‘damned’, and who remains in a transient or, more                   functioned well, however, as a single point of tasking and
often than not, permanent state of purgatory. What we have                 communication.
is a kind of primordial form of instrumentalisation that is
consubstantial with the humanitarian relationship.




2    ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
Mobilisation of military logistic assets was vital on occasions,            so the relationship was harmonious and led to the
but there were persistent concerns about the militarisation                 establishment of a new disaster management infrastructure.
of relief. The history of military interventions in Haiti fuelled
                                                                            The role of the military
unease about the military’s motivations, and a widespread
                                                                            International military forces—there were 19 different
perception in Haiti that the US military presence was linked
                                                                            contingents—played an important role in the early
to hegemonic interests and a desire to curb migration to the
                                                                            post‑quake stage, and the contribution of the national
United States.
                                                                            Pakistani military5 was significant from the start. Helicopters
Cuba provided a contrary example to the US behemoth—                        played a central role because of the mountainous terrain and
‘gauze not guns’. A total of 1500 Cuban doctors were                        collapsed roads. The Pakistani military has a larger stock of
deployed (some remain there); they treated 70 000 patients                  helicopters than anyone else.
in contrast to the US medical ship treating only 8600.
                                                                            There are three general lessons to be learnt in relation to the
The lesson here concerns the need for a better appreciation                 military role in 2005:
that disaster relief goes way beyond logistics and that such
                                                                            >>   A strong, well-equipped national military force
vital assets will be of help only when they are part of a
                                                                                 can bring important benefits to the humanitarian
coordinated humanitarian plan that is specific to the crisis
                                                                                 response to a natural disaster, even one with
in question.
                                                                                 peripheral ‘complexity’, as is the case with
Pakistan                                                                         Kashmir and the Northwest Frontier region.

In the case of Pakistan, there are three elements in play:                  >>   The logistical and information role of the military
                                                                                 should ideally not be allowed to bleed over into
>>   ‘exemplary’ civil–military interaction in the                               roles such as assessment and coordination, which
     response to the 2005 earthquake                                             are better lodged within a humanitarian-response
>>   manipulation of aid during the 2008–2009 surge                              capacity that is sympathetic to the norms espoused
     in conflict—known as the ‘displacement crisis’                              by humanitarians and at odds with military culture.
>>   the shadow of the Global War on Terror                                 >>   Importantly, a military deeply embedded in the
     and armed conflict in the response to the                                   political structure, as is the Pakistani military, can
     unprecedented flooding of 2010.                                             be mobilised rapidly but arrives unrestrained by
                                                                                 civilian or humanitarian oversight and is in danger of
The dominance of the military in Pakistan colours all aspects
                                                                                 being dismissive of humanitarian considerations.
of political life and shapes external policy and domestic
politics as well as the economy. There is little space for                  The displacement crisis of 2008–09
elected civil administrations to operate, and in any case                   and the flooding in 2010
such administrations are seen as invariably corrupt and                     If the 2005 earthquake response was an example of
self-interested. Moreover, Pakistan is a nuclear state, with                successful civil–military cooperation, not so the two
the world’s fastest growing nuclear arsenal and a huge                      subsequent crises. The so-called displacement crisis of
army. Other important features are a population of over                     2008–09 and the 2010 floods entailed a completely different
180 million that is growing rapidly, a faltering economy, rapid             relationship between humanitarian agencies and the military.
urbanisation, and ever-reducing prospects of a viable future                The shadow of the Global War on Terror and the military’s
for many. The regional brinkmanship of Pakistan’s politics is a             role in pushing back different sets of Pakistani armed groups
further cause for concern. Additionally, Pakistan is on course              changed the dynamics: militant attacks, counter-insurgency
for many disasters, including water shortages, in the future.               operations and a surge in fighting beginning in 2008 resulted
                                                                            in the displacement—including by force—of hundreds of
The 2005 earthquake
                                                                            thousands of civilians. The result was a complex and deadly
On 8 October 2005 a devastating earthquake to hit Kashmir
                                                                            situation; according to one estimate, 35 000 civilians were
and the Northwest Frontier region: there were 75 000 deaths
                                                                            killed between 2008 and 2010.6
and over 100 000 injured; more than half a million homes
were destroyed over a large area. Winter was approaching.                   Access to vulnerable groups was denied in many locations,
Pakistan had little experience in disaster preparedness                     and there was heavy-handed control and manipulation of
and response, but the military swung into action and are                    humanitarian aid. Disrespect for principles and the blurring
widely considered to have done a good job in difficult                      of lines between military, political and relief objectives
circumstances. Relief and military interests converged,                     became major concerns. Access was constrained both



3     ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
on security grounds and because of the military’s desire                   agencies openly flouted the UN decision not to use military
to keep humanitarian agencies away from certain areas.                     assets because civilian alternatives were available.
Non‑objection certificates were used to curtail access or to
force agencies to do the military’s bidding.                               Afghanistan and the perils of stabilisation
Beneficiary lists became a point of contention: the military               The challenges in the civil–military relationship evident in
wanted to control these so that the ‘bad guys’ would not                   the cases of Haiti and Pakistan pale in comparison with
receive assistance. As a result, many vulnerable groups                    those in Afghanistan. Afghanistan was, and remains, a
received little or no assistance. There were also serious                  totally different ball game, where the tension between the
protection problems: large numbers of people were forcibly                 role of the military and its interaction with non-government
displaced from Swat and other areas and then forced to                     organisations often reached breaking point. The question
return to their area of origin when the military decided they              at hand is a very important one, at the heart of the
should, rather than when it was safe to do so.                             world‑ordering debate: how do we transform dangerous
                                                                           situations that are perceived as threatening to ‘our’ interests
Moreover, the aid community had assumed it could apply                     into more benign environments that fit with ‘our’ ideas of
the ‘quake model’ of cooperation with the Pakistani military               what liberal peace in the borderlands should look like?
and was unprepared for a complex response in a conflict
setting. Most agencies, including the United Nations, were                 The following paragraphs look at the polarising matter of
more anxious to safeguard their historical relationships with              stabilisation from a humanitarian perspective, as a subset
the Government of Pakistan rather than pressing for the                    of the broader ‘coherence’, or ‘joined-up government’,
support of humanitarian principles.                                        agenda in dealing with conflict and crisis. On the face
                                                                           of it, coordination between all involved would seem to
The UN leadership was inexperienced in humanitarian                        make sense. The underlying theme of the proponents of
matters or lacked leadership, or both. It was unable to                    stabilisation is ‘If only we had a clear and effective division
negotiate access to the conflict areas and did not even                    of labour between the civil, military, development and
try to enter into a conversation with the ‘other side’ in                  humanitarian actors, between the outsiders and the local
relation to access to and protection of civilians. The nadir               authorities in “hot” stabilization situations, then our goals
was reached when the UN political representative stated,                   would be within our grasp’.
‘Assistance should follow military gains’. The exceptions were
the International Committee of the Red Cross, Médecins                     But this point of view can be disputed. We are not all in
Sans Frontières and the Office for the Coordination of                     the same boat. Aid agencies that provide humanitarian
Humanitarian Affairs, which strived to work according to                   assistance do not have goals in common with those of the
principle in a very difficult environment.                                 military in places such as Afghanistan and Somalia. From a
                                                                           humanitarian perspective, one can argue that humanitarian
The response to the 2010 floods—a disaster on an                           action needs to be protected and insulated from stabilisation
enormous scale—benefited from the experience of the                        and politically motivated initiatives.
post-quake disaster management institution building of the
Pakistani authorities, but it suffered from the consequences               There are two questions here:
of the instrumentalisation of humanitarian action in the                   >>   Should humanitarian action be linked to,
‘displacement crisis’. Again, access was strictly controlled by                 or included in, comprehensive or coherent
the military. In some areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province,                     approaches to conflict resolution?
only national staff were allowed in; in others not even them.
                                                                           >>   Even if such action is not included, what is the impact of
Humanitarian principles were put under severe stress                            these approaches on principled humanitarian action?
on the ‘last resort’ decision about whether military air
                                                                           The answer to the first question is straightforward:
assets—including NATO assets from the Afghan theatre—
                                                                           humanitarians should not take sides. They should not make
should be used.
                                                                           pronouncements on whether a war is just or unjust because
The lesson learnt there concerns the question of when a                    to do so is to undermine their ability to respond to need.
‘natural disaster’ is not a natural disaster. The Pakistani floods         Obviously, then, they should not engage in controversies
show the importance of narratives, how those narratives                    of a political nature and, even less, engage in action with a
shape the response, and the consequences of labelling. Most                belligerent. Neutrality is not an end in itself: it is a means
of the aid organisations accepted the ‘natural disaster’ label             of fulfilling the humanitarian imperative. Furthermore, the
and saw no problem in cooperating with the military, or even               perception of being associated with a belligerent carries
NATO. The UN country team was split on this, and some                      potentially deadly consequences for humanitarian aid workers.


4    ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
The answer to the second question is more complicated, if                        ‘aid’ … ‘During a recent mission, the Afghan National
not murky. And this murkiness spreads across political and                       Army and their coalition mentors provided relief to
the assistance participants alike.                                               the Afghan people. In return for their generosity,
                                                                                 the ANA asked the elders to provide them with
In Afghanistan the United Nations is, and is seen as, aligned
                                                                                 assistance in tracking down anti-government forces’.
with the US-led intervention. The UN’s humanitarian
capacity is weak and further diminished by its association                  >>   Recently there has been a surge in night searches
with an integrated mission that is intimately linked to the                      of NGO compounds—in particular, medical
International Security Assistance Force.                                         clinics. This is not only in violation of international
                                                                                 humanitarian law: it also exposes NGO staff to the
The majority of non-government organisations do not fare
                                                                                 perception that they are associated with coalition
much better since many work as implementing partners
                                                                                 forces or passing intelligence information to them.
for government programs or, even if they do not, are
nonetheless seen as part of the international enterprise that               These examples show that, even if humanitarian agencies
supports the government.7 The defence of humanitarian                       are not involved in stabilisation activities, such activities can
principles is left to the International Committee of the Red                have potentially dangerous consequences for the perceived
Cross, and recently Médecins Sans Frontières, which are the                 neutrality and impartiality of the agencies and their staff.
only international organisations capable of working neutrally,              They are likely to make the negotiation of humanitarian
impartially and independently.                                              access—which requires a minimum degree of acceptance
                                                                            and trust from all belligerents—more difficult. So far, only
To complicate matters, with the exception of Switzerland,
                                                                            the International Committee of the Red Cross and Médecins
all the donors in Afghanistan are also belligerents. They are
                                                                            Sans Frontières have had a steady dialogue on access and
reluctant to admit that there is a humanitarian crisis and
                                                                            acceptance in areas dominated by different elements of the
would rather see ‘their’ non-government organisations as
                                                                            armed opposition.
force multipliers for their political and military objectives.
Indirectly, therefore, stabilisation operations affect                      In summary, there are good practical reasons for
humanitarianism because that is where the money is, and                     separating or insulating principled humanitarian action
NGOs are obliged to balance principle with institutional                    from stabilisation activities. There are also strong ethical
survival. It would appear that until recently they tended                   and policy reasons for doing so. Humanitarian action
to choose the latter over the former. There is a ‘rice bowl’                derives its legitimacy from universal principles enshrined
problem here: if the NGOs are unwilling to do the bidding                   in the United Nations Charter, the Universal Declaration
of the stabilisation donors, the private contractors or the                 of Human Rights, and international humanitarian law.
military itself will do the job.                                            Such principles often do not sit well with the Security
                                                                            Council’s political compromises: politics—the ‘art of
There have been many instances of a flagrant blurring of the
                                                                            the possible’—is not necessarily informed by principle.
lines. The following are examples:
                                                                            Incorporating a function that draws legitimacy from the UN
>>   In 2008–2009 USAID sought applications for a five‑year                 Charter (or the Universal Declaration) in a management
     $150 million project. The request documentation                        structure born of political compromise in the Security
     detailed several alarming objectives. Among                            Council is questionable and possibly self-defeating.
     others, USAID asked organisations to implement
                                                                            The question of better insulation of humanitarian action, if
     ‘post‑battlefield cleanup’ operations, essentially asking
                                                                            not its complete separation from politics and stabilisation
     that they work with communities in the aftermath
                                                                            approaches, is likely to remain an unresolved one on the
     of a battle and operate in or alongside provincial
                                                                            humanitarian agenda for some time. The International
     reconstruction teams, which, as military–assistance
                                                                            Committee of the Red Cross and other Dunantist
     hybrids, were supposed to win hearts and minds and
                                                                            humanitarians remain wary of, if not hostile to, the
     communicate a narrative of successful development.
                                                                            militarisation of aid inherent in stabilisation agendas.
>>   There has been improper use of the term ‘humanitarian’
                                                                            As a humanitarian, I want to keep out of partisan politics
     by the military. A NATO–ISAF press release8 reads,
                                                                            because that is the best guarantee I have of being able to
     ‘Humanitarian assistance operations are helping both
                                                                            assist and protect the most vulnerable, wherever they may
     the people of Afghanistan and coalition forces fight
                                                                            be. As a citizen, I want peace and a more just world. I am
     the global war on terror …’ Under a strategy known
                                                                            therefore interested in actions that address the root causes
     as ‘information operations’, remote villages receive
                                                                            of conflict rather than just binding up the wounds. The



5     ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
questions here are: Does it work? Are my citizen taxpayer                  control to areas hitherto ‘pre-capitalist’ or surviving at the
dollars, euros and pounds being well spent?                                margins of the capitalist system. When the objective of the
                                                                           external intervention is peacebuilding or nation building the
It does not seem so. The Bonn process, which was
                                                                           record so far is dubious. The assumption that it is possible to
supposed to usher in a durable peace in Afghanistan, has
                                                                           engineer rapid and durable change through a combination
badly backfired. In 2002–03, when there were fewer than
                                                                           of military means and humanitarian assistance and to steer
4000 International Security Assistance Force troops in
                                                                           this change from the outside is as yet unproven. It might
Afghanistan, aid agencies had access to all provinces. Now,
                                                                           be possible to smother a crisis for a time (as in Bosnia), but
with more than 30 times as many troops being present,
                                                                           ultimately peacebuilding is about social transformation: like
non-government organisations have access to maybe a
                                                                           democracy, it cannot be imposed from the outside; it has to
fifth of the country. The conflict has intensified, so have
                                                                           be illuminated from within.
civilian casualties, and resentment of ‘foreign occupation’ is
more widespread. Now that foreign troop withdrawals are                    There are three practical, or solution-focused, conclusions
accelerating, there is a risk that the country will slide back             one can draw:
into the kind of civil war that eventuated after the collapse of
                                                                           >>   Debate is good, and it helps to contextualise
the Soviet-backed regime in 1992.
                                                                                complex situations and the variations in ‘stabilisation’
The argument about the effectiveness of stabilisation                           approaches. In places such as Iraq and Afghanistan
operations has so far been mainly ideological. On one                           it should be possible to agree that narrowly defined
side are the proponents of linking assistance and security.                     humanitarian action—saving and protecting the
This can be done brutally in a counter-insurgency                               lives of civilians caught up in crisis and conflict—
context—‘If you tell us where the Taliban are, we will give                     can and should be kept separate from partisan
you assistance’. Or it can be done more subtly, as with the                     or politically motivated stabilisation operations.
‘clear‑shape‑hold‑build’, or so-called integrated, approaches                   A space needs to be reserved for card-carrying
when assistance was provided to win over ‘swing districts’.                     humanitarians working according to time-tested
Brutal or subtle, the ideological contention is that assistance                 principles and engaging with all sets of belligerents.
‘delivers’ security.
                                                                           >>   Situations evolve with time. In Afghanistan, victory,
On the other side of the argument this claim is disputed.                       peace and ‘post-conflictness’ were declared
Development is always a conflict-based process involving                        far too soon—hence the unprecedented levels
winners and losers. It is about politics. Reducing poverty                      of instrumentalisation and blurring of lines, the
in places such as Afghanistan is obviously a worthy and                         consequent attacks against aid workers, and the
necessary goal of itself, but expecting poverty reduction                       difficulties of reaching those in need of life-saving
efforts to bring ‘security’ is a stretch. Arguing about                         help. Other situations show that when a threshold
provincial reconstruction teams and ‘hearts and minds’                          of stability is reached or when there is basic
operations will be productive only if verifiable facts can be                   agreement among all involved on what should
relied on. The evidence now shows convincingly that buying                      be the way forward (in Sierra Leone or Nepal, for
hearts and minds with small-scale projects does not work.9                      example) comprehensive and coherent approaches
One study concludes, ‘There is little evidence this approach                    make more sense, and, if necessary, the military
is generating stability …’10                                                    can have a role in implementing an agreed plan.
There is danger in seeking quick impacts. Remember the                     >>   In relation to the role of the military in crisis response,
Taliban commander telling his captors, ‘You Americans have                      we have doctrine (the Oslo Guidelines, which enshrine
watches; we have time’. There is also danger in throwing                        the principle of ‘last resort’), we have practice, and
money at complex problems. Sloppy aid does not win hearts                       we have extreme variation in contexts. The Pakistan
and minds.                                                                      earthquake shows that in a ‘natural disaster’ setting
                                                                                much can be achieved by civil–military interaction and
                                                                                even cooperation. But when the context changes (the
Humanitarian action to 2020                                                     spread of armed conflict, floods, and huge numbers
Looking ahead, it is useful to consider stabilisation                           of people displaced) the risk of militarisation and
operations as an integral part of global governance and                         manipulation of aid becomes high. Haiti confirms this:
world ordering: they are aimed at making the ‘borderlands’                      many Haitians resented the overbearing militarisation
safe for globalisation; they are part of the process of                         of the response. Afghanistan confirms it, too.
extension of the dominant forms of production and social



6    ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
It might well be that Afghanistan is an aberration: many saw                >>    The settling of tectonic plates leading to a more complex
it as a laboratory of new approaches, but the experiment                          multipolar world is, however, likely to lead to localised,
has largely failed. And it might well be, as some studies are                     and in some cases extremely violent, conflicts. Some
showing, that we are witnessing a global decline in conflict                      will argue that in today’s asymmetrical conflicts there is
as a source of human suffering.11                                                 no space for neutrality, but recent crises such as those
                                                                                  in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and Somalia demonstrate
But then another cause for concern rears its head. If it
                                                                                  the exact opposite: the shrinking of humanitarian space
is true that conflict as a vector of humanitarian need is
                                                                                  and the instrumentalisation of humanitarian action
declining, vulnerability linked to climate change, natural
                                                                                  have had deleterious effects for communities needing
hazards, poor governance, technological, and possibly
                                                                                  assistance, for the security of humanitarian aid workers,
civilisation‑changing, or ‘black swan’, events seem to be
                                                                                  and for the credibility of the aid workers’ organisations.
increasing. If this trend is confirmed in the longer term, it will
probably be the future focus of humanitarian agencies. And                  >>    New players will become much more active in the relief
this is where the military and the civilian agencies are likely                   arena. China, India, Brazil and Indonesia are likely to
to interact.                                                                      bring different perspectives and operational approaches
                                                                                  that will challenge the current Northern or western
In such disaster settings, Northern humanitarian agencies
                                                                                  functioning of the humanitarian enterprise. It is likely
will inevitably clash with the logic of the state. Again, the
                                                                                  that assistance from these countries will compete
comfortable interventionist spirit of Northern humanitarians
                                                                                  with that provided by the established agencies and
will be increasingly challenged by states and civil society
                                                                                  that it will be much more ‘state-centric’ compared
organisations in the South. It will also be necessary to deal
                                                                                  with the current norm. What this means in terms of
with ‘compound catastrophic events’, where disasters,
                                                                                  the protection of at-risk communities and their rights
poor or dysfunctional governance, criminality and service
                                                                                  at times of crisis is as yet unclear. On the positive
breakdown exacerbate the crisis. It is debatable whether
                                                                                  side, one can expect local groups to be much better
traditional humanitarian approaches are adequate to
                                                                                  informed through the internet and social media and in
respond to such rapidly changing forms of vulnerability and
                                                                                  a much better position to demand accountability and
the rising risks they entail in contexts where the state will
                                                                                  transparency in relation to the provision of assistance.
have primary responsibility for responding.
                                                                            >>    At the same time the need for a protected niche
This has implications for the scope and shape of a
                                                                                  for principled humanitarian agencies—such as the
humanitarian enterprise that is still based on Cold War and
                                                                                  International Committee of the Red Cross or Médecins
post–Cold War assumptions of what constitutes a crisis. The
                                                                                  Sans Frontières—will remain. This might result in
enterprise is essentially backward-looking. We are getting
                                                                                  a more modest humanitarian enterprise, closer in
better at dealing with last year’s crisis, and perhaps today’s.
                                                                                  ambition and intent to time-tested humanitarian
But is the enterprise adapted to the challenges that are likely
                                                                                  principles. Such an enterprise would stand a better
to come its way in the coming decades? How is it faring in
                                                                                  chance of saving and protecting lives in conflict
places such as Yemen and Syria? Not very well, it seems.
                                                                                  or complex political emergencies than today’s
Because of strong affirmations of state sovereignty (in Sudan                     increasingly politically driven and militarised forms
and Sri Lanka, for example) and because the nature of a                           of relief, on one hand, and emerging non-western
crisis can implicate the state directly in the response, it is                    ‘sovereignty-based’ discourses on the other.
possible to foresee a number of changes:
>>   There will be more regulation and more pressure to                     Notes
     conform to national state–driven agendas. This is                      1	
                                                                                 Development Initiatives figures for 2010: devint.org.
     not necessarily a bad thing. Gone are the days of free
     and easy humanitarian interventionism on the part
                                                                            2	
                                                                               M Hardt & A Negri, Empire, Harvard University Press, Cambridge
                                                                            MA, 2000.
     of non-government organisations and UN agencies.
                                                                            3	
                                                                                The US Stabilization Manual defines ‘medical stabilisation
>>   Humanitarian agencies will inevitably engage with                      operations’ thus: ‘Stability operations are humanitarian relief missions
     national militaries (and the international contingents                 that the military conducts outside the U.S. in pre-conflict, conflict and
     coming to help them). When the state is legitimate and                 post-conflict countries, disaster areas or underdeveloped nations, and
     the external intervention is agreed to by all involved,                in coordination with other federal agencies, allied governments and
     there is no reason that civilian and military agencies                 international organizations. The new policy elevates the importance
     should not work together with a division of labour that                of such military health support in stability operations, called Medical
     respects their respective ethos and competence.                        Stability Operations (MSOs), to a DoD [Department of Defense] priority
                                                                            that is comparable with combat operations’.




7     ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
4	
     Actually, this is not so new. In 1976 Henry Kissinger stated, ‘Disaster
relief is becoming increasingly a major instrument of our foreign policy’.
5	
    In total, the Pakistani military deployed 60 000 troops to assist in
the earthquake response. This is about 10 per cent of its total strength.
6	
      The Costs of War project, Brown University, 2011.
7	
    Most, if not all, NGOs are multi-mandate organisations focused
principally on reconstruction, development, and advocacy or solidarity.
Some engage in humanitarian activities as part of their varied portfolio.
The absence of a critical mass of principled, or Dunantist, humanitarian
players affects the quality of the debate surrounding humanitarian
concerns and the ability to respond to these concerns on the ground.
8	
      23 December 2008.
9	
    The Feinstein International Center at Tufts University is completing
a series of case studies on the effectiveness of ‘hearts and minds’
operations in Afghanistan, with the aim of providing some evidence as
to whether these operations actually promote security. The final report
on this research will be issued in early 2012 (see fic.tufts.edu).
10	
     ‘As political pressures to “show results” in troop contributing
countries intensify, more and more assistance is being channelled
through military actors to “win hearts and minds” while efforts to
address the underlying causes of poverty … are being sidelined.’
‘Development projects implemented with military money or through
military-dominated structures aim to achieve fast results but are often
poorly executed, inappropriate and do not have sufficient community
involvement to make them sustainable’—Actionaid–Oxfam, Quick
Impact, Quick Collapse: the dangers of militarized aid in Afghanistan,
Oxfam America, Washington DC, 2010.
11	
    Human Security Institute, University of British Columbia study,
available online.




8       ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality

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Working Paper 03/2012 Civil-military interaction and the future of humanitarian action

  • 1. Civil-military interaction and the future of humanitarian action Antonio Donini Senior Researcher, Feinstein International Centre, Tufts University > Paper 03/2012 ‘That’s the reason they’re called lessons,’ the Gryphon remarked: ‘because they lessen from day to day.’ —Alice in Wonderland The following discussion is structured into three parts: >> a brief update on the evolution of the humanitarian enterprise in the past 10 years network power. The enterprise has also become much more >> lessons from civil–military interaction professionalised: for many humanitarian aid workers—and in three recent crises there are an estimated 300 000—working in emergencies >> what we can expect in the years to 2020. has become a career rather than a voluntary mission. ‘Oligopolisation’ has also continued apace. Northern Evolution of the humanitarian federations of major non-government organisations and UN humanitarian agencies define how the enterprise works, enterprise, 2000 to 2010 what constitutes a crisis and how it should be tackled. In the years from 2000 to 2010 there were major Barriers to entry for groups from the South have become quantitative and qualitative changes in the nature of the higher; the isomorphism has increased—‘you’ can join ‘us’ humanitarian enterprise. but only on ‘our’ terms. Quantitative changes We are more technically proficient and do more evaluations (and have more conferences) but are we better? Are we Never has there been so much money, so many aid workers more effective at saving lives? and so much media attention devoted to humanitarian matters. The humanitarian enterprise now accounts for Qualitative changes more than US$14 billion a year.1 Afghanistan, Iraq, Darfur, Somalia, Sri Lanka and Haiti stand Institutionalisation of the enterprise has exploded, in terms as setbacks for humanitarianism. The ‘instrumentalisation’ of standards, norms, guidelines, clusters, accountability and of humanitarian action in support of political and military 1 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 2. agendas has resulted in unprecedented levels of co‑option, blurring of lines, and the subordination of humanitarianism Lessons from civil-military to politics. The Global War on Terror has accelerated interaction: three crises this process, and in extreme cases the result is the Haiti and Pakistan constitute examples from which much can criminalisation of humanitarian action (for example, in the be learnt about civil–military responses; Afghanistan teach cases of Somalia and Palestine). As a consequence, aid us lessons about ‘stabilisation’ and the future of civil–military agencies are becoming more risk averse. interaction. Humanitarianism is also being affected by the current wave of interventionism, which is fuelled in part by the Haiti International Criminal Court and responsibility to protect An extremely strong—magnitude 7.0 on the Richter agendas. Increasingly, the North’s human rights agenda Scale—earthquake hit Haiti on 12 January 2010. The clashes with the humanitarian agenda. And the humanitarian resultant devastation triggered a massive humanitarian enterprise has itself become much more interventionist. response, in which the US military, the UN peace mission We are perhaps witnessing the merger of humanitarianism and 27 other military contingents played a crucial role. and empire: non-government organisations are ‘the Civil‑military interaction was widely seen to be helpful in mendicant orders of empire’, ‘the capillary vessels of terms of logistics, but the dominance of the US military globalization’.2 Even those who do not see themselves as presence gave rise to many questions. ‘force multipliers’ of Northern world-ordering agendas or of stabilisation operations3 are affected by association. In Important factors Afghanistan, Iraq and Darfur we have paid a high price for This was natural disaster in an unnatural setting. It occurred being seen to take sides. in a densely populated urban area in what is a very poor country and a weak state that was mostly sidelined in the The collapse of the asylum and protection regime is aftermath of the quake. A dense population in an urban another area of concern. From refugees to IDPs (internally environment characterised by shanty housing posed new displaced persons) to ISPs (internally stuck persons), challenges for humanitarian organisations. There was poor dealing with protection has become more difficult. On overall interaction with Haitian civil society and groups. The the plus side, though, those who deliberately cause harm long history of US hegemony and economic interests, which to civilians are increasingly questioned by civil society— had resulted in decades of weakening of the state, affected witness the Arab Spring. the quality of the response. Finally, the humanitarian field is more crowded than Coordination ever, with the emergence of new traditions (Islamic non- The immediate post-quake period was a time of huge government organisations and donors), a diversification of logistical effort accompanied by a serious coordination donors (Gulf states, Brazil, Cuba–Venezuela, and private deficit. The absence of humanitarian leadership donors and foundations) and new types of ‘humanitarian’ compounded by slow needs assessment undermined the action (for-profit organisations and private security humanitarians’ efforts to influence the overall direction companies), including military–aid hybrids. and shape of the operation. The humanitarians’ directing In summary, the politicisation and manipulation of military contingents was poor, so US Central Command of humanitarian action have reached new heights: took the strategic lead in Florida. US control of the airport humanitarian action is now inseparable from western foreign in Port‑au-Prince was resented, although the US did do vital policy.4 At the same time, humanitarian action has itself work in rehabilitating the air link and the seaport area. crossed the threshold of power—from a powerful discourse The Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs to a discourse of power. At its heart this is power that moves and the UN–NGO aid community were unclear about the unprecedented amounts of funds and influences public civil‑military relationship in a non-war setting; and there was opinion and governance, but it also a biopolitical power that much uncertainty about how to interact with US and other expresses itself at its most extreme in triage—who is ‘saved’, military participants. The Joint Operations Tasking Centre who is ‘damned’, and who remains in a transient or, more functioned well, however, as a single point of tasking and often than not, permanent state of purgatory. What we have communication. is a kind of primordial form of instrumentalisation that is consubstantial with the humanitarian relationship. 2 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 3. Mobilisation of military logistic assets was vital on occasions, so the relationship was harmonious and led to the but there were persistent concerns about the militarisation establishment of a new disaster management infrastructure. of relief. The history of military interventions in Haiti fuelled The role of the military unease about the military’s motivations, and a widespread International military forces—there were 19 different perception in Haiti that the US military presence was linked contingents—played an important role in the early to hegemonic interests and a desire to curb migration to the post‑quake stage, and the contribution of the national United States. Pakistani military5 was significant from the start. Helicopters Cuba provided a contrary example to the US behemoth— played a central role because of the mountainous terrain and ‘gauze not guns’. A total of 1500 Cuban doctors were collapsed roads. The Pakistani military has a larger stock of deployed (some remain there); they treated 70 000 patients helicopters than anyone else. in contrast to the US medical ship treating only 8600. There are three general lessons to be learnt in relation to the The lesson here concerns the need for a better appreciation military role in 2005: that disaster relief goes way beyond logistics and that such >> A strong, well-equipped national military force vital assets will be of help only when they are part of a can bring important benefits to the humanitarian coordinated humanitarian plan that is specific to the crisis response to a natural disaster, even one with in question. peripheral ‘complexity’, as is the case with Pakistan Kashmir and the Northwest Frontier region. In the case of Pakistan, there are three elements in play: >> The logistical and information role of the military should ideally not be allowed to bleed over into >> ‘exemplary’ civil–military interaction in the roles such as assessment and coordination, which response to the 2005 earthquake are better lodged within a humanitarian-response >> manipulation of aid during the 2008–2009 surge capacity that is sympathetic to the norms espoused in conflict—known as the ‘displacement crisis’ by humanitarians and at odds with military culture. >> the shadow of the Global War on Terror >> Importantly, a military deeply embedded in the and armed conflict in the response to the political structure, as is the Pakistani military, can unprecedented flooding of 2010. be mobilised rapidly but arrives unrestrained by civilian or humanitarian oversight and is in danger of The dominance of the military in Pakistan colours all aspects being dismissive of humanitarian considerations. of political life and shapes external policy and domestic politics as well as the economy. There is little space for The displacement crisis of 2008–09 elected civil administrations to operate, and in any case and the flooding in 2010 such administrations are seen as invariably corrupt and If the 2005 earthquake response was an example of self-interested. Moreover, Pakistan is a nuclear state, with successful civil–military cooperation, not so the two the world’s fastest growing nuclear arsenal and a huge subsequent crises. The so-called displacement crisis of army. Other important features are a population of over 2008–09 and the 2010 floods entailed a completely different 180 million that is growing rapidly, a faltering economy, rapid relationship between humanitarian agencies and the military. urbanisation, and ever-reducing prospects of a viable future The shadow of the Global War on Terror and the military’s for many. The regional brinkmanship of Pakistan’s politics is a role in pushing back different sets of Pakistani armed groups further cause for concern. Additionally, Pakistan is on course changed the dynamics: militant attacks, counter-insurgency for many disasters, including water shortages, in the future. operations and a surge in fighting beginning in 2008 resulted in the displacement—including by force—of hundreds of The 2005 earthquake thousands of civilians. The result was a complex and deadly On 8 October 2005 a devastating earthquake to hit Kashmir situation; according to one estimate, 35 000 civilians were and the Northwest Frontier region: there were 75 000 deaths killed between 2008 and 2010.6 and over 100 000 injured; more than half a million homes were destroyed over a large area. Winter was approaching. Access to vulnerable groups was denied in many locations, Pakistan had little experience in disaster preparedness and there was heavy-handed control and manipulation of and response, but the military swung into action and are humanitarian aid. Disrespect for principles and the blurring widely considered to have done a good job in difficult of lines between military, political and relief objectives circumstances. Relief and military interests converged, became major concerns. Access was constrained both 3 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 4. on security grounds and because of the military’s desire agencies openly flouted the UN decision not to use military to keep humanitarian agencies away from certain areas. assets because civilian alternatives were available. Non‑objection certificates were used to curtail access or to force agencies to do the military’s bidding. Afghanistan and the perils of stabilisation Beneficiary lists became a point of contention: the military The challenges in the civil–military relationship evident in wanted to control these so that the ‘bad guys’ would not the cases of Haiti and Pakistan pale in comparison with receive assistance. As a result, many vulnerable groups those in Afghanistan. Afghanistan was, and remains, a received little or no assistance. There were also serious totally different ball game, where the tension between the protection problems: large numbers of people were forcibly role of the military and its interaction with non-government displaced from Swat and other areas and then forced to organisations often reached breaking point. The question return to their area of origin when the military decided they at hand is a very important one, at the heart of the should, rather than when it was safe to do so. world‑ordering debate: how do we transform dangerous situations that are perceived as threatening to ‘our’ interests Moreover, the aid community had assumed it could apply into more benign environments that fit with ‘our’ ideas of the ‘quake model’ of cooperation with the Pakistani military what liberal peace in the borderlands should look like? and was unprepared for a complex response in a conflict setting. Most agencies, including the United Nations, were The following paragraphs look at the polarising matter of more anxious to safeguard their historical relationships with stabilisation from a humanitarian perspective, as a subset the Government of Pakistan rather than pressing for the of the broader ‘coherence’, or ‘joined-up government’, support of humanitarian principles. agenda in dealing with conflict and crisis. On the face of it, coordination between all involved would seem to The UN leadership was inexperienced in humanitarian make sense. The underlying theme of the proponents of matters or lacked leadership, or both. It was unable to stabilisation is ‘If only we had a clear and effective division negotiate access to the conflict areas and did not even of labour between the civil, military, development and try to enter into a conversation with the ‘other side’ in humanitarian actors, between the outsiders and the local relation to access to and protection of civilians. The nadir authorities in “hot” stabilization situations, then our goals was reached when the UN political representative stated, would be within our grasp’. ‘Assistance should follow military gains’. The exceptions were the International Committee of the Red Cross, Médecins But this point of view can be disputed. We are not all in Sans Frontières and the Office for the Coordination of the same boat. Aid agencies that provide humanitarian Humanitarian Affairs, which strived to work according to assistance do not have goals in common with those of the principle in a very difficult environment. military in places such as Afghanistan and Somalia. From a humanitarian perspective, one can argue that humanitarian The response to the 2010 floods—a disaster on an action needs to be protected and insulated from stabilisation enormous scale—benefited from the experience of the and politically motivated initiatives. post-quake disaster management institution building of the Pakistani authorities, but it suffered from the consequences There are two questions here: of the instrumentalisation of humanitarian action in the >> Should humanitarian action be linked to, ‘displacement crisis’. Again, access was strictly controlled by or included in, comprehensive or coherent the military. In some areas of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, approaches to conflict resolution? only national staff were allowed in; in others not even them. >> Even if such action is not included, what is the impact of Humanitarian principles were put under severe stress these approaches on principled humanitarian action? on the ‘last resort’ decision about whether military air The answer to the first question is straightforward: assets—including NATO assets from the Afghan theatre— humanitarians should not take sides. They should not make should be used. pronouncements on whether a war is just or unjust because The lesson learnt there concerns the question of when a to do so is to undermine their ability to respond to need. ‘natural disaster’ is not a natural disaster. The Pakistani floods Obviously, then, they should not engage in controversies show the importance of narratives, how those narratives of a political nature and, even less, engage in action with a shape the response, and the consequences of labelling. Most belligerent. Neutrality is not an end in itself: it is a means of the aid organisations accepted the ‘natural disaster’ label of fulfilling the humanitarian imperative. Furthermore, the and saw no problem in cooperating with the military, or even perception of being associated with a belligerent carries NATO. The UN country team was split on this, and some potentially deadly consequences for humanitarian aid workers. 4 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 5. The answer to the second question is more complicated, if ‘aid’ … ‘During a recent mission, the Afghan National not murky. And this murkiness spreads across political and Army and their coalition mentors provided relief to the assistance participants alike. the Afghan people. In return for their generosity, the ANA asked the elders to provide them with In Afghanistan the United Nations is, and is seen as, aligned assistance in tracking down anti-government forces’. with the US-led intervention. The UN’s humanitarian capacity is weak and further diminished by its association >> Recently there has been a surge in night searches with an integrated mission that is intimately linked to the of NGO compounds—in particular, medical International Security Assistance Force. clinics. This is not only in violation of international humanitarian law: it also exposes NGO staff to the The majority of non-government organisations do not fare perception that they are associated with coalition much better since many work as implementing partners forces or passing intelligence information to them. for government programs or, even if they do not, are nonetheless seen as part of the international enterprise that These examples show that, even if humanitarian agencies supports the government.7 The defence of humanitarian are not involved in stabilisation activities, such activities can principles is left to the International Committee of the Red have potentially dangerous consequences for the perceived Cross, and recently Médecins Sans Frontières, which are the neutrality and impartiality of the agencies and their staff. only international organisations capable of working neutrally, They are likely to make the negotiation of humanitarian impartially and independently. access—which requires a minimum degree of acceptance and trust from all belligerents—more difficult. So far, only To complicate matters, with the exception of Switzerland, the International Committee of the Red Cross and Médecins all the donors in Afghanistan are also belligerents. They are Sans Frontières have had a steady dialogue on access and reluctant to admit that there is a humanitarian crisis and acceptance in areas dominated by different elements of the would rather see ‘their’ non-government organisations as armed opposition. force multipliers for their political and military objectives. Indirectly, therefore, stabilisation operations affect In summary, there are good practical reasons for humanitarianism because that is where the money is, and separating or insulating principled humanitarian action NGOs are obliged to balance principle with institutional from stabilisation activities. There are also strong ethical survival. It would appear that until recently they tended and policy reasons for doing so. Humanitarian action to choose the latter over the former. There is a ‘rice bowl’ derives its legitimacy from universal principles enshrined problem here: if the NGOs are unwilling to do the bidding in the United Nations Charter, the Universal Declaration of the stabilisation donors, the private contractors or the of Human Rights, and international humanitarian law. military itself will do the job. Such principles often do not sit well with the Security Council’s political compromises: politics—the ‘art of There have been many instances of a flagrant blurring of the the possible’—is not necessarily informed by principle. lines. The following are examples: Incorporating a function that draws legitimacy from the UN >> In 2008–2009 USAID sought applications for a five‑year Charter (or the Universal Declaration) in a management $150 million project. The request documentation structure born of political compromise in the Security detailed several alarming objectives. Among Council is questionable and possibly self-defeating. others, USAID asked organisations to implement The question of better insulation of humanitarian action, if ‘post‑battlefield cleanup’ operations, essentially asking not its complete separation from politics and stabilisation that they work with communities in the aftermath approaches, is likely to remain an unresolved one on the of a battle and operate in or alongside provincial humanitarian agenda for some time. The International reconstruction teams, which, as military–assistance Committee of the Red Cross and other Dunantist hybrids, were supposed to win hearts and minds and humanitarians remain wary of, if not hostile to, the communicate a narrative of successful development. militarisation of aid inherent in stabilisation agendas. >> There has been improper use of the term ‘humanitarian’ As a humanitarian, I want to keep out of partisan politics by the military. A NATO–ISAF press release8 reads, because that is the best guarantee I have of being able to ‘Humanitarian assistance operations are helping both assist and protect the most vulnerable, wherever they may the people of Afghanistan and coalition forces fight be. As a citizen, I want peace and a more just world. I am the global war on terror …’ Under a strategy known therefore interested in actions that address the root causes as ‘information operations’, remote villages receive of conflict rather than just binding up the wounds. The 5 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 6. questions here are: Does it work? Are my citizen taxpayer control to areas hitherto ‘pre-capitalist’ or surviving at the dollars, euros and pounds being well spent? margins of the capitalist system. When the objective of the external intervention is peacebuilding or nation building the It does not seem so. The Bonn process, which was record so far is dubious. The assumption that it is possible to supposed to usher in a durable peace in Afghanistan, has engineer rapid and durable change through a combination badly backfired. In 2002–03, when there were fewer than of military means and humanitarian assistance and to steer 4000 International Security Assistance Force troops in this change from the outside is as yet unproven. It might Afghanistan, aid agencies had access to all provinces. Now, be possible to smother a crisis for a time (as in Bosnia), but with more than 30 times as many troops being present, ultimately peacebuilding is about social transformation: like non-government organisations have access to maybe a democracy, it cannot be imposed from the outside; it has to fifth of the country. The conflict has intensified, so have be illuminated from within. civilian casualties, and resentment of ‘foreign occupation’ is more widespread. Now that foreign troop withdrawals are There are three practical, or solution-focused, conclusions accelerating, there is a risk that the country will slide back one can draw: into the kind of civil war that eventuated after the collapse of >> Debate is good, and it helps to contextualise the Soviet-backed regime in 1992. complex situations and the variations in ‘stabilisation’ The argument about the effectiveness of stabilisation approaches. In places such as Iraq and Afghanistan operations has so far been mainly ideological. On one it should be possible to agree that narrowly defined side are the proponents of linking assistance and security. humanitarian action—saving and protecting the This can be done brutally in a counter-insurgency lives of civilians caught up in crisis and conflict— context—‘If you tell us where the Taliban are, we will give can and should be kept separate from partisan you assistance’. Or it can be done more subtly, as with the or politically motivated stabilisation operations. ‘clear‑shape‑hold‑build’, or so-called integrated, approaches A space needs to be reserved for card-carrying when assistance was provided to win over ‘swing districts’. humanitarians working according to time-tested Brutal or subtle, the ideological contention is that assistance principles and engaging with all sets of belligerents. ‘delivers’ security. >> Situations evolve with time. In Afghanistan, victory, On the other side of the argument this claim is disputed. peace and ‘post-conflictness’ were declared Development is always a conflict-based process involving far too soon—hence the unprecedented levels winners and losers. It is about politics. Reducing poverty of instrumentalisation and blurring of lines, the in places such as Afghanistan is obviously a worthy and consequent attacks against aid workers, and the necessary goal of itself, but expecting poverty reduction difficulties of reaching those in need of life-saving efforts to bring ‘security’ is a stretch. Arguing about help. Other situations show that when a threshold provincial reconstruction teams and ‘hearts and minds’ of stability is reached or when there is basic operations will be productive only if verifiable facts can be agreement among all involved on what should relied on. The evidence now shows convincingly that buying be the way forward (in Sierra Leone or Nepal, for hearts and minds with small-scale projects does not work.9 example) comprehensive and coherent approaches One study concludes, ‘There is little evidence this approach make more sense, and, if necessary, the military is generating stability …’10 can have a role in implementing an agreed plan. There is danger in seeking quick impacts. Remember the >> In relation to the role of the military in crisis response, Taliban commander telling his captors, ‘You Americans have we have doctrine (the Oslo Guidelines, which enshrine watches; we have time’. There is also danger in throwing the principle of ‘last resort’), we have practice, and money at complex problems. Sloppy aid does not win hearts we have extreme variation in contexts. The Pakistan and minds. earthquake shows that in a ‘natural disaster’ setting much can be achieved by civil–military interaction and even cooperation. But when the context changes (the Humanitarian action to 2020 spread of armed conflict, floods, and huge numbers Looking ahead, it is useful to consider stabilisation of people displaced) the risk of militarisation and operations as an integral part of global governance and manipulation of aid becomes high. Haiti confirms this: world ordering: they are aimed at making the ‘borderlands’ many Haitians resented the overbearing militarisation safe for globalisation; they are part of the process of of the response. Afghanistan confirms it, too. extension of the dominant forms of production and social 6 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 7. It might well be that Afghanistan is an aberration: many saw >> The settling of tectonic plates leading to a more complex it as a laboratory of new approaches, but the experiment multipolar world is, however, likely to lead to localised, has largely failed. And it might well be, as some studies are and in some cases extremely violent, conflicts. Some showing, that we are witnessing a global decline in conflict will argue that in today’s asymmetrical conflicts there is as a source of human suffering.11 no space for neutrality, but recent crises such as those in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq and Somalia demonstrate But then another cause for concern rears its head. If it the exact opposite: the shrinking of humanitarian space is true that conflict as a vector of humanitarian need is and the instrumentalisation of humanitarian action declining, vulnerability linked to climate change, natural have had deleterious effects for communities needing hazards, poor governance, technological, and possibly assistance, for the security of humanitarian aid workers, civilisation‑changing, or ‘black swan’, events seem to be and for the credibility of the aid workers’ organisations. increasing. If this trend is confirmed in the longer term, it will probably be the future focus of humanitarian agencies. And >> New players will become much more active in the relief this is where the military and the civilian agencies are likely arena. China, India, Brazil and Indonesia are likely to to interact. bring different perspectives and operational approaches that will challenge the current Northern or western In such disaster settings, Northern humanitarian agencies functioning of the humanitarian enterprise. It is likely will inevitably clash with the logic of the state. Again, the that assistance from these countries will compete comfortable interventionist spirit of Northern humanitarians with that provided by the established agencies and will be increasingly challenged by states and civil society that it will be much more ‘state-centric’ compared organisations in the South. It will also be necessary to deal with the current norm. What this means in terms of with ‘compound catastrophic events’, where disasters, the protection of at-risk communities and their rights poor or dysfunctional governance, criminality and service at times of crisis is as yet unclear. On the positive breakdown exacerbate the crisis. It is debatable whether side, one can expect local groups to be much better traditional humanitarian approaches are adequate to informed through the internet and social media and in respond to such rapidly changing forms of vulnerability and a much better position to demand accountability and the rising risks they entail in contexts where the state will transparency in relation to the provision of assistance. have primary responsibility for responding. >> At the same time the need for a protected niche This has implications for the scope and shape of a for principled humanitarian agencies—such as the humanitarian enterprise that is still based on Cold War and International Committee of the Red Cross or Médecins post–Cold War assumptions of what constitutes a crisis. The Sans Frontières—will remain. This might result in enterprise is essentially backward-looking. We are getting a more modest humanitarian enterprise, closer in better at dealing with last year’s crisis, and perhaps today’s. ambition and intent to time-tested humanitarian But is the enterprise adapted to the challenges that are likely principles. Such an enterprise would stand a better to come its way in the coming decades? How is it faring in chance of saving and protecting lives in conflict places such as Yemen and Syria? Not very well, it seems. or complex political emergencies than today’s Because of strong affirmations of state sovereignty (in Sudan increasingly politically driven and militarised forms and Sri Lanka, for example) and because the nature of a of relief, on one hand, and emerging non-western crisis can implicate the state directly in the response, it is ‘sovereignty-based’ discourses on the other. possible to foresee a number of changes: >> There will be more regulation and more pressure to Notes conform to national state–driven agendas. This is 1 Development Initiatives figures for 2010: devint.org. not necessarily a bad thing. Gone are the days of free and easy humanitarian interventionism on the part 2 M Hardt & A Negri, Empire, Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA, 2000. of non-government organisations and UN agencies. 3 The US Stabilization Manual defines ‘medical stabilisation >> Humanitarian agencies will inevitably engage with operations’ thus: ‘Stability operations are humanitarian relief missions national militaries (and the international contingents that the military conducts outside the U.S. in pre-conflict, conflict and coming to help them). When the state is legitimate and post-conflict countries, disaster areas or underdeveloped nations, and the external intervention is agreed to by all involved, in coordination with other federal agencies, allied governments and there is no reason that civilian and military agencies international organizations. The new policy elevates the importance should not work together with a division of labour that of such military health support in stability operations, called Medical respects their respective ethos and competence. Stability Operations (MSOs), to a DoD [Department of Defense] priority that is comparable with combat operations’. 7 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality
  • 8. 4 Actually, this is not so new. In 1976 Henry Kissinger stated, ‘Disaster relief is becoming increasingly a major instrument of our foreign policy’. 5 In total, the Pakistani military deployed 60 000 troops to assist in the earthquake response. This is about 10 per cent of its total strength. 6 The Costs of War project, Brown University, 2011. 7 Most, if not all, NGOs are multi-mandate organisations focused principally on reconstruction, development, and advocacy or solidarity. Some engage in humanitarian activities as part of their varied portfolio. The absence of a critical mass of principled, or Dunantist, humanitarian players affects the quality of the debate surrounding humanitarian concerns and the ability to respond to these concerns on the ground. 8 23 December 2008. 9 The Feinstein International Center at Tufts University is completing a series of case studies on the effectiveness of ‘hearts and minds’ operations in Afghanistan, with the aim of providing some evidence as to whether these operations actually promote security. The final report on this research will be issued in early 2012 (see fic.tufts.edu). 10 ‘As political pressures to “show results” in troop contributing countries intensify, more and more assistance is being channelled through military actors to “win hearts and minds” while efforts to address the underlying causes of poverty … are being sidelined.’ ‘Development projects implemented with military money or through military-dominated structures aim to achieve fast results but are often poorly executed, inappropriate and do not have sufficient community involvement to make them sustainable’—Actionaid–Oxfam, Quick Impact, Quick Collapse: the dangers of militarized aid in Afghanistan, Oxfam America, Washington DC, 2010. 11 Human Security Institute, University of British Columbia study, available online. 8 ACMC Paper 3/2012 > Conflict prevention in practice: from rhetoric to reality