Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.

Maritime Future Scapes 2050

337 views

Published on

Finnish Marititime Cluster Futures workshop: summary and insights for Breaking Waves think tank

Published in: Business
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Maritime Future Scapes 2050

  1. 1. Maritime Future Scapes 2050 Finnish Marititime Cluster Futures workshop: summary and insights for Breaking Waves think tank Produced by Futures Research Consulting for Finnish Maritime Cluster and Centrum Balticum 1
  2. 2. Content 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Road to the Finnish Maritime Cluster Futures workshop Objective of the Maritime Cluster Futures workshop Futures thinking? A primer Way of working during the workshop Manifesting the images of future Images of Maritime Futures in 2050 Summary and how to use the Images Futures Reseach Consulting in brief 2
  3. 3. Road to the Finnish Maritime Cluster Futures Workshop 3 Organized by Centrum Balticum and FMC to provide a forum for learning about future possibilities and challenges in the Finnish Maritime Cluster and discussing future scenarios Held 9th of October in Forum Marinum, Turku, Finland Keynote speeches on disruptions and future driving forces and trends of maritime as foundation for futures workshop discussion 30 participants from business, education, public and research organisations
  4. 4. The objective of the Maritime Cluster Futures Workshop We aimed to imagine what the maritime cluster of 2050 might look like – and uncover new insights and perspectives of the future for the Breaking Waves 2018: Reshaping Maritime conference 4
  5. 5. Futures thinking – Why and how Exploring the implications of possible future systems through creativity We aim to imagine what the maritime cluster of 2050 could look like - and uncover new insights and perspectives of the future Different backgrounds & cross-pollination of ideas A network of expertise making the connections between disparate patterns and variables New / radical ramifications for the future? 5
  6. 6. Steps in the process Our way of working in the workshop On top, teams drew the different Living Beings – humans, flora and fauna – that are affected by the vessel, its system and infrastructure Above the system, teams then drew the Infrastructure around their vessel and chosen system Each team chose a System (Value, Waste, Energy, Pollution or Information) of the vessel which they then imagined and mapped. Future vessel as the starting point: Each team was given an image of a futuristic vessel, and the team developed it further by assigning it futuristic features Imagining and exploring the maritime cluster of 2050 - uncovering new insights and perspectives As last step, participants self- reflected their own roles in the developed future & shared their views 1 2 3 4 6
  7. 7. Five teams participated in the workshop Starting point of discussion: futuristic vessels & systems selected by the teams Ship image of team 1 Ship image of team 2 Ship image of team 3 Ship image of team 4 Ship image of team 5 7 Value Value Value Waste Energy
  8. 8. Imagining and exploring the Maritime Cluster of 2050 8
  9. 9. Images of the Future Manifesting the images of Maritime Futures in 2050 Synthesis of ideas and formulation of the Images of Maritime Futures in 2050 Analysis of the discussed systems, infrastructures, living beings and reflections of the future All the inputs from the teams participating in the Maritime Cluster workshop were analyzed. Key ideas were identified and refined. Ideas where synthesized, grouped in themes to become the key elements of the future images. How were the results of the workshop developed further? 9 From social, economic, technological and cultural perspectives.
  10. 10. Five Images of Maritime Futures in 2050 Eternalized Mariner Crafted Sustainability Experiences Bio-Reactor City District Data Trawler Array Flagless Sea Dwellers 10
  11. 11. ETERNALIZED MARINER / In Brief 11 Eternalized Mariner is a future concept driven by AI, digitalization and climate change. It is a global program to immortalize the lost and disappearing past of maritime cultures in ways that future generations can access easily. It engages and teaches us and represents the voice of maritime peoples across the globe, across time.
  12. 12. ETERNALIZED MARINER / Explained 12 Preserving disappearing maritime cultures The Eternalized Mariner provides cultural sustainability in the midst of rapid climate and technological change. Future generations have an access to skills, memories and knowledge of the past. Emissary of lost cultures As seas rise, lost cultures are given a voice, and lost cities representation. Past cultures are immortalized for educational and research purposes, and communities who’ve lost their homes are provided with political and legal representation. Modelled on real persons Real stories of real people have authenticity and impact. Immortalization is based on social media records, interviews, and personal records Different perspectives and unique voices are preserved. Immersive experience driven by AI and virtual reality Voices of lost persons – captains, mariners, fishers, island people, sea nomads and so on - can be interviewed across time. The history of maritime becomes immersive, personal, engaging and ever-present. Multiple interfaces to the database of the past – virtual realities, games, shows, etc. Key aspects Implications
  13. 13. 13 Crafted sustainability experiences at sea are rethought cruise packages that offer wellbeing-as-luxury. These model communities host networking and sustainable practice events in designer zero-impact onboard environments. CRAFTED SUSTAINABILITY EXPERIENCES AT SEA / In Brief
  14. 14. 14 360˚ crafted ship-board environment Built to be circular or net-positive, extending beyond the ship’s physical subsystems to the human, portside and ocean systems. Hosts’ roles range from horticulturalist to bartender to psychologist, to craft wellbeing environements for guests. Rethought cruise package – experiential luxury This cruise package ”puts your money where your mouth is”; sit back and enjoy a zero-waste lifestyle in perfect comfort and good conscience. Luxury is not needing to worry about the impact of your actions, nor go to any effort to act sustainably; all this is taken care of for you. Boundary breaking in- person networking From makers and thought leaders to streamers and managers, this floating innovation hub hosts cross- platform conferences and entertainment. #BornAtSea becomes the tag associated with the new wave of b-corp social enterprises. Key aspects Implications Model sustainable community Guests gain know-how and good practice from onboard workshops, master-classes and tours of the ships’s circular systems. Open source sustainable practices and technologies are exported from ship to shore. CRAFTED SUSTAINABILITY EXPERIENCES AT SEA / Explained
  15. 15. 15 Floating bio-reactor city districts take advantage of the new wave of advances in bio-technology. These districts act as armatures for bio-processes that utilise waste as a resource to generate value for cities, while retaining the ability to relocate to the urban areas where their services are most in demand. FLOATING BIO-REACTOR CITY DISTRICT / In Brief
  16. 16. 16 FLOATING BIO-REACTOR CITY DISTRICT / Explained Armature for bio- processes Organisms are partners on board these mobile, service providing platforms. Photosynthesizing algae are grown in hydrophonic ’sails’, fed on nutrient rich liquid waste water. Provides services -> Ports -> Cities The onboard bio-reactors require restocking with solid and liquid waste, docking services generate value for ship operators. Mobile dune/wetlands are moved into position to protect vulnerable coastal urban zones, as an additional buffer against storm surges. Modular closed loop processing systems Floating plants reminiscient of the gas refineries of old process plastic waste at river mouths. Ocean/landfill plastic waste is broken down by enzymes to generate energy and a variety of useful biproducts including reclaimed oil. Life-cycle thinking The elimination of toxic and synthetic materials from ship constuction allow many more uses for hulls. The boundary between organism and machine begins to break down, like yeast, samples are taken from old ships to colonise new hulls with tried and tested organisms. Key aspects Implications
  17. 17. DATA TRAWLER ARRAY / In Brief 17 Data Trawler Array represents futures in which ships become platforms for collecting, storing, and transporting a broader array of data about shipping and ocean environments, using networks of sea drones and advanced ship-to-ship communications. AI could transform this data into an “avatar of the seas,” giving a powerful voice to the oceans.
  18. 18. DATA TRAWLER ARRAY / Explained 18 Ships as data centers Ships collect, store, and process maritime ”big data” about their own activities, marine environments, and climate and weather Ships could become fully autonomous and completely uncrewed, sacrificing life-support functions to optimize data handling capabilities Maritime Internet of Things Ships become mobile platforms for coordinating an ecosystem of data collection technologies Networked sea drones extend the “footprint” of each vessel, allowing them to cast a broader data gathering net over their surroundings Fleets as distributed sensors Groups of ships use sophisticated communication systems to quickly and continuously update a real- time map of conditions Collective intelligence increases safety and security of shipping lanes by rapidly disseminating information about potential threats ”Avatar of the Seas” Artificial Intelligence could be used to create an ”avatar of the seas” that uses big data to literally represent and give voice to the oceans The ”avatar of the seas” could become an important tool for education and environmental advocacy Key aspects Implications Ports as data clearinghouses Ports invest in handling data as a form of precious cargo, and become brokers and intermediaries for distributing it onshore Blockchains could play a variety of important roles in standardizing and securing the transfer of maritime data assets
  19. 19. FLAGLESS SEA DWELLERS / In Brief 19 Flagless Sea Dwellers portrays futures in which overpopulation, sea-level rise associated with Climate Change, or other forces lead to communities living at sea on a permanent basis. Ships would need to develop new infrastructure and expand the idea of a crew to become more self-sufficient, but might also take on the responsibility of being agents of environmental remediation, working to clean up and restore damaged ocean ecosystems.
  20. 20. FLAGLESS SEA DWELLERS / Explained 20 Mobile populations living permanently at sea Flagless: Independent city-states might operate relatively autonomously, but with complex effects on citizenship, taxation, use of ocean resources, and international legal conventions Laying claim: could be used by nation states to take hold of and secure particular ocean territories and expand their influence over contested sea zones Well-developed circular economy to become autonomous from land Self-contained systems for efficiently processing waste, growing food, and producing energy would be needed to ensure fulfillment of basic needs Such systems could be test-beds allowing maritime and space industries to engage in mutually beneficial research and development and knowledge sharing New concepts of the makeup of a crew New types of crew members would be required to provide essential services for onboard communities, such as doctors, lawyers, educators, administrators, etc. Onboard populations could eventually span the entire range of different age groups, becoming multi-generational Agents of environmental remediation Could potentially be floating platforms for collecting and recycling ocean plastic pollution Vessels could become net contributors to marine ecosystems, e.g onboard fish farming could work to replenish depleted stocks Key aspects Implications
  21. 21. In summary 21 Eternalized Mariner Crafted Sustainability Experiences Bio-Reactor City District Data Trawler Array Flagless Sea Dwellers The Eternalized Mariner is a future concept driven by AI, digitalization and climate change. It is a global program to immortalize the lost and disappearing past of maritime cultures in ways that future generations can access easily. It engages and teaches us and represents the voice of maritime peoples across the globe, across time. Crafted sustainability experiences at sea are rethought cruise packages that offer wellbeing-as-luxury. These model communities host networking and sustainable practice events in designer zero- impact onboard environments. Floating bio-reactor city districts take advantage of the new wave of advances in bio- technology. These districts act as armatures for bio-processes that utilise waste as a resource to generate value for cities, while retaining the ability to relocate to the urban areas where their services are most in demand. Data Trawler Array represents futures in which ships become platforms for collecting, storing, and transporting a broader array of data about shipping and ocean environments, using networks of sea drones and advanced ship-to-ship communications. AI could transform this data into an “avatar of the seas,” giving a powerful voice to the oceans. Flagless Sea Dwellers portrays futures in which overpopulation, sea-level rise associated with Climate Change, or other forces lead to communities living at sea on a permanent basis. Ships would need to develop new infrastructure and expand the idea of a crew to become more self- sufficient, but might also take on the responsibility of being agents of environmental remediation, working to clean up and restore damaged ocean ecosystems.
  22. 22. How to use these Images of the Future Thinking about the future is aided by seeing futures as a multitude of emerging alternatives, not a single predictable reality. The five images of the future developed by analyzing the materials collected through the Maritime Futurescapes 2050 workshop represent diverse maritime futures worthy of further discussion, but cannot offer ultimate or definitive answers to questions about how the maritime sector will continue to develop and be transformed. However, considering futures as a set of alternatives enhances the capacity to effectively understand the various potentials 22 of the present, and to explore what decisions and policies can be enacted today to offer the best opportunities for reaching preferable futures. More categories of stakeholders should now become involved in the process of determining what these desirable futures may be. These future images will ideally be used as a basis for guiding further systemic futures thinking, since foresight should be an ongoing and continuous practice in fast-changing, complex environments such as the maritime sector.
  23. 23. 23 finnishmaritimecluster.fi blackswansfsst.wordpress.com centrumbalticum.org

×