Yemen Aqap Bomb Alliance


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AQAP and Al-Shabaab Alliance; An Emerging Terrorist Threat

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Yemen Aqap Bomb Alliance

  1. 1. AQAP and Al-Shabaab Alliance;An Emerging Terrorist ThreatReport by the Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI)
  2. 2. Preliminary Report; Unofficial Pictures of Alleged Devices and ERRI commentary Saturday, October 30, 2010 Compiled by: Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) EmergencyNet News Chicago, ILOpen Source ReportThis report may contain law enforcement, military, or FOUO sensitive data…
  3. 3. Unofficial Pictures of Device (1)Picture of potential device in the bombplot originating from Yemen. Thispicture is thought originally to comefrom England, though that is notconfirmed by ERRI sources…this imagewas published CBS news.
  4. 4. Unofficial Pictures of Device (2) Picture of another recovered device, believed to have been involved in the plot discovered on 10/29/2010. This photo reportedly came from police evidence in Dubai, UAE
  5. 5. Reported bomb substance - PETNPentaerythritol tetranitrate, or PETN, is a major ingredient of Semtex and belongs tothe same chemical family as nitroglycerin. It is one of the most powerful explosivesmade today and is a favorite among terrorists because its colorless crystals are hard todetect in a sealed container.ERRI analysts said that the exact chemical composition of the type of explosive used inthe recovered devices, in this latest plot, has NOT been officially determined. Forensictests will undoubtedly identify this substance and other facts in the near term.PETN was the explosive of choice in an attempted Christmas bombing, last year (theso-called “underwear bomber.”- 23-year-old Nigerian Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab --see picture, next slide)PETN is relatively stable and can be detonated either by heat or a shockwave. A littlemore than 100 grams of PETN could destroy a car, some experts report.
  6. 6. Alleged Bomber, Maker & MastermindThe alleged bomber of the Christmas-timeattack, Umar Farouk Abdulmutallab, wasarrested and remains in custody at thetime of this report.As the investigation continues, evidenceand determinations would seem to point toconnections between the bomber and AlQaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP).Specifically, EOD experts suggest that thebomb was probably built by IbrahimHassan Al Asiri (Below-right), a knownAQAP bomb-maker.Furthermore, increasing evidence wouldsuggest a link between Umar FaroukAbdulmutallab and radical cleric Anwar al-Awlaki, now a leader/spokesman for AQAP.
  7. 7. Map of Affected Regional By reviewing a map of the region, one can quickly see the potential strategic importance of an alliance between Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and Al-Shahbaab in Somalia. We have already seen some of the effects of “limited” piracy undertaken by Somali pirates in the (chokepoint) Gulf of Aden. Now, imagine additional AQAP piracy… originating in Yemen. Or, probably more importantly, think about raiding and terror attacks…aimed at blocking the Suez canal during some other crisis in the Middle East.
  8. 8. An Emergent Threat to USA? ERRI analysts say that they fear that Al Qaeda in Yemen (Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula - AQAP) may soon be sending American jihadis recruited by Al-Awlaki to attack the U.S.Al-Shahbaab “technicals” with individual weapons Complicating this sort of plot may be the recruitment/involvement of militants associated with Al-Shahbaab in Somalia…who have already infiltrated several parts of the U.S. The potential combination of these two groups provides another fearsome terror threat to the U.S. and her allies, ERRI AQAP fighters in Yemen analysts said.
  9. 9. Questions, comments, suggestions or requests for more information can be directed to: Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) EmergencyNet News 6348 N. Milwaukee Ave. #312 Chicago, IL 60646 (773) 631-3774 – Voice, messages (773) 631-4703 – Facsimile – E-mail - websiteEditor’s note: This report contains open source intelligence information (OSINT) and should beconsidered a preliminary assessment. More confirmed data should be available as forensic tests andother collection efforts proceed. This report may contain law enforcement, military, or FOUO sensitivedata…