OTN - Private Sector Trade Note - vol 16 2010


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OTN - Private Sector Trade Note - vol 16 2010

  1. 1. A product of the Private Sector Outreach of the Office of Trade Negotiations (OTN) of the CARICOM+ Secretariat Private Sector Trade Note CARICOM’s Export Overview CARICOM TRADE focuses on the region’s performance inPERFORMANCE the area of trade in goods as the Between 2001 and 2008, merchandise information is most readily available. exports have been more dynamic thanThe Caribbean Common Market In 2008, exporters in CARICOM merchandise imports. Between 2001 and(CARICOM) is an almost 40 year old free generated US$34.3bn in both intra- 2008, merchandise export sales havetrade and economic bloc comprised of regional and extra-regional sales. There grown by 19.8% per annum, whilstmost of the English speaking islands of were about 1,260 tariff lines recording merchandise import spending expandedthe Caribbean along with Haiti, Suriname over US$100,000 in 2008 showing the by 16.4% per annum. However, the tradeand Belize. The establishment of breadth of export activity. Simultaneously, deficit still expanded by on average 4.5%CARICOM facilitates various international the region’s importers spent almost per annum between 2001 and 2008 tobusiness possibilities including trade in US$40bn on both intra-regional and extra record US$5.6bn in 2008 (see figure 1).goods and services as well as cross- regional imports (see figure 1).border investment. This trade note International merchandise trade opportunities are not being exploited homogenously across CARICOM. In 2008, the dominant regional exporter and importer was Trinidad & Tobago. Trinidad & Tobago accounted for circa 70% of total export sales and over a quarter of import spending in 2008. Trinidad & Tobago, along with Jamaica, Suriname and Guyana accounted for almost 90% of total merchandise exports in 2008. Similarly, these four member states accounted for almost 60% of total merchandise imports in 2008 (see figure 2). www.crnm.org
  2. 2. This shows that CARICOM trade is Between 2004 and 2008, the most dynamic USA accounted for over one third of theconcentrated in these territories with importing member states were St. Lucia region’s total sales. Other top marketsthe smaller Organisation of Eastern (average import growth rate of 87% per included Nigeria, India, Spain and theCaribbean States (OECS) annum); Antigua & Barbuda (36%); Suriname Netherlands, jointly accounting for almostunderstandably playing a smaller role. (22%); Guyana (21%) and Jamaica (20%). 58% of merchandise export sales (table 1).However, it is interesting to note that The most dynamic exporters between 2004 It will be interesting to see whether thesethe OECS territories play a more and 2008 were Trinidad & Tobago (28% exports are maintained in 2009 when thatsignificant role in merchandise import growth per annum between 2004 and 2008); data becomes available.spending than merchandise export the Bahamas (22%); Barbados (17%) andearning, with smaller member states Jamaica (16%). Interestingly CARICOM’s exporters aresuch as St. Lucia and Antigua and penetrating Nigeria, India and Spain withBarbuda jointly accounting for over 14% some dynamism (see table 1). This signalsof import spending in 2008. This fact CARICOM EXPORT PROFILE a real change in the top five exportcrudely indicates that there are markets when compared to 2001 when theopportunities for import displacement The USA remained the region’s top export USA, UK, Canada, France, and Germanyeven in some of the smaller member market between 2001 and 2008. In 2008, were the dominant export markets forstates which are largely being exploited CARICOM merchandise export sales to the CARICOM firms. Between 2001 and 2008by import activity, and more interesting, the most dynamic export markets formainly extra-regional imports. CARICOM included India (134.2% average annual growth in export sales between 2001 and 2008); Maldives (130.5%); Slovakia (126%); Nigeria (107%); Azerbaijan (90%); Singapore (86%); Chinese Taipei (85%); Albania (84%); Turkey (82%) and Indonesia (71%). CARICOM’s merchandise export sales are spread relatively evenly over the range of products that are exported1. However, between 2005 and 2008, there was some reduction in product diversification1. This essentially means that merchandise export sales were less evenly distributed across all the products that were exported in 2008. CARICOM firms are also spreading their export sales relatively evenly over geographical markets, and in fact this spread has become more evenly distributed over these markets between 2001 and 20081. It is also interesting to note that CARICOM firms have greater product diversification than market diversification which could signal that firms are focussing more on product development than on spreading export sales over a number of markets. This could imply that the focus on product lines could be complimented by seeking to tap into new markets, as a focus on a few markets, even with a diversified product line, could be short sighted as export sales become vulnerable to the conditions in a few markets. CARICOM’s top 20 exports in 2008 were almost exclusively in the resource based sectors of energy and mining (Gold, iron/steel and aluminium based www.crnm.org products) (table 2). CARICOM’s fastest growing global merchandise
  3. 3. exports between 2005 and 2008 CARICOM’s top 20 exports in 2008 were almost exclusively in theincluded frozen rock lobster resource based sectors of energy and mining (Gold, iron/steel and(2,292% growth per annum); aluminium based products)saturated acyclic monocarboxylicacids (1,849%); bars/rods of alloysteel (1,803%); womens/girls suitsof cotton, not knitted (1,741%);paper, household/sanitary rolls of awidth >36cm (1,741%); unwroughtsilver (1,309%); crude soya bean oil(849%); hulled, pearled, sliced orkibbled maize (783%); soya beanflour and meals (740%); hop extract(709%); hydraulic cements (630%)and cardamoms (619%).CARICOM firms are facingchallenges in penetrating the intra-regional market capturing only 10%of total import spending in 2008(table 3). Intra-regionalmerchandise exports are howeverdynamic, expanding by over 20%annually between 2005 and 2008. Need More Information on Private Sector Trade? |www.crnm.org Readers are invited to suggest topics of interest for future trade www.crnm.org notes.
  4. 4. As was the case for globaltrade, energy products werethe dominant export withinCARICOM in 2008, and thereis no evidence to project anychange in this phenomenon asbetween 2005 and 2008 salesof light petroleum distillates,aviation spirits and liquefiedbutanes grew faster than theaverage growth rate for totalintra-regional exports, whichcould indicate even greaterintra-regional dominance ofthese products.Notwithstanding this dynamic,there were other productswhich exhibited intra-regionaldynamism between 2005 and2008. The most dynamic intra-regional exports includedmaize seed (1104% growthper annum); lubricating oiladditives (1014%); electricconductors for a voltage >1000 volts (253%); tin articles; global economic crises seem to abate.cane molasses (71%); huskedbrown rice (37%); cigarettes At the other extreme, products “retreating” fromcontaining tobacco (30%); intra-regional exports include refined petroleum oilsfowls (gallus domesticus) cuts (-33% growth per annum); refined soya bean oil (-and offal, frozen (28%); 12%); raw sugar cane (-36%); surface active prepsmixtures of juices (49%); for washing and cleaning (-29%); insecticidesanimal feed (28%); sweet (48%); upholstered seats with wooden frames (-biscuits (40%); hydraulic 28%); and frozen fish fillets (-45%). Not all of thesecement; gypsum anhydrite products may qualify for duty free treatment within(92%); shelled cashew nuts CARICOM as duty relief depends on qualifying(364%); aluminium sulphate under the rules of origin. These products require(77%); waffles and wafers some investigation as to the reasons for their(50%) and cement clinkers market regression. The CARICOM Standard(324%). Firms exporting theseproducts may now need toexamine extra-regional *********************markets to compliment theirintra-regional sales as the_____________________1 As measured by the normalised Herfindahl‐H index. The H index measures the spread of the product Produced by the OTN Information Unit, 2009groups and a H Index close to 0 implies that each product group contributes a statistically similar share of thetotal merchandise export sales (and vice versa). Only products with minimum total CARICOM merchandise DIRECT ALL COMMENTS OR QUERIESexport sales of US$100,000 were included in this analysis TO:1 As the H Index increased marginally from 0.078 to 0.09 Mr. Lincoln Price Private Sector Liaison1 In 2001, the H index for export markets was 0.21, and this declined to 0.14 in 2008 (see figure 3). lincoln.price@crnm.org www.crnm.org