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Understanding what works in forest-based
climate change mitigation
Amy Duchelle
UNFCCC COP24 Official Side Event – Katowic...
FORESTS AS KEY TO CLIMATE SOLUTION
• Staying below 1.5oC
depends on forest
protection, sustainable
forest management, and
...
Börner et al. 2016. PLOS ONE
FOREST CONSERVATION IMPACT OF POLICIES & PROGRAMS
REVIEW OF REDD+ LITERATURE: MANY CASE STUDIES; LITTLE
FOCUS ON FOREST OUTCOMES
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
case report
case-c...
IMPACT EVALUATION OF LOCAL REDD+ INITIATIVES
Comparison
(Control)
REDD+ site
(Intervention)
Before After
IMPACT
Interventi...
FOREST & LAND USE OUTCOMES
The few evaluations of local REDD+ initiatives on forest/land use
outcomes show moderately enco...
SOCIAL & OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL OUTCOMES
• Well-being effects small,
with mixed sign, but more
likely to be positive when
inc...
Stickler, C.M., A.E. Duchelle, J.P. Ardila, D.C. Nepstad, et al. 2018. The State of
Jurisdictional Sustainability. Earth I...
TAKE-AWAY MESSAGES
• Need for more reliable evidence on
impacts of forest-based mitigation
• Challenges in evaluating impa...
cifor.org
blog.cifor.org
ForestsTreesAgroforestry.org
THANK YOU
www.cifor.org/gcs
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Understanding what works in forest-based climate change mitigation

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Presented by Amy Duchelle of the Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) at the COP24, Katowice, Poland (6 Dec 2018)

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Understanding what works in forest-based climate change mitigation

  1. 1. Understanding what works in forest-based climate change mitigation Amy Duchelle UNFCCC COP24 Official Side Event – Katowice, Poland 06 December 2018
  2. 2. FORESTS AS KEY TO CLIMATE SOLUTION • Staying below 1.5oC depends on forest protection, sustainable forest management, and restoration • What have different forest- based mitigation actions achieved so far? • Rigorous impact evaluation needed to promote learning and inform future efforts
  3. 3. Börner et al. 2016. PLOS ONE FOREST CONSERVATION IMPACT OF POLICIES & PROGRAMS
  4. 4. REVIEW OF REDD+ LITERATURE: MANY CASE STUDIES; LITTLE FOCUS ON FOREST OUTCOMES 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 case report case-control study: no confounders considered case-control study: some confounders considered case-control study: pre-matched controls randomized control trial systematic review # studies carbon non-carbon participation Duchelle et al. 2018. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability
  5. 5. IMPACT EVALUATION OF LOCAL REDD+ INITIATIVES Comparison (Control) REDD+ site (Intervention) Before After IMPACT Intervention After Control After Intervention Before Control Before • 6 countries • 22 initiatives • 150 villages • 4,000 households CIFOR’s Global Comparative Study on REDD+: www.cifor.org/gcs
  6. 6. FOREST & LAND USE OUTCOMES The few evaluations of local REDD+ initiatives on forest/land use outcomes show moderately encouraging results Simonet et al. 2018. Transforming REDD+ Book.
  7. 7. SOCIAL & OTHER ENVIRONMENTAL OUTCOMES • Well-being effects small, with mixed sign, but more likely to be positive when incentive components included • Land tenure highlighted as persistent challenge • Studies on biodiversity and adaptation outcomes scarce Duchelle et al. 2018, Sunderlin et al. 2018. Transforming REDD+ Book
  8. 8. Stickler, C.M., A.E. Duchelle, J.P. Ardila, D.C. Nepstad, et al. 2018. The State of Jurisdictional Sustainability. Earth Innovation Institute, San Francisco, USA; CIFOR, Bogor, Indonesia; Governors’ Climate and Forests Task Force Secretariat, Boulder, USA. NEW RESEARCH ON SUBNATIONAL JURISDICTIONAL APPROACHES Side Event: 10th Dec. 16:45-18:15, Narew
  9. 9. TAKE-AWAY MESSAGES • Need for more reliable evidence on impacts of forest-based mitigation • Challenges in evaluating impacts of real-world policies and programs (controls, diversity of interventions, real effects vs. general noise of data, etc.) • Call for scientific upgrade in impact evaluations (“Conservation Impact Evaluation 2.0”)
  10. 10. cifor.org blog.cifor.org ForestsTreesAgroforestry.org THANK YOU www.cifor.org/gcs
  • HelenRoeth

    Jul. 26, 2019
  • paulinapawa

    Dec. 13, 2018

Presented by Amy Duchelle of the Center for International Forestry Research (CIFOR) at the COP24, Katowice, Poland (6 Dec 2018)

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