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Scaling up: Money... that's what (we) want...

  1. INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE IFPRI Scaling up: Money… that’s what (we) want…. Eugenio Díaz-Bonilla Head, Programa de ALC, IFPRI CIAT 50th Anniversary November 8-9, 2017, Cali, Colombia
  2. IFPRI Where the money may come from?  Seven options… • a) development aid • b) multilateral lending (non-concessional) • c) public budgets in developing countries • d) banking system and credit markets • e) unconventional monetary policies • f) financial markets and private wealth, • g) controls on corruption, illegal financial flows, and tax evasion. Page 2
  3. IFPRI Public budgets in developing countries  Government expenditures in emerging and developing countries (2010s): about 8.5 trillion USD (developed countries about 18.5 trillion USD). Share to agriculture in developing regions:1.7-5.5% of total budget Page 3 0.40 0.24 1.12 0.74 0.45 0.32 1.26 0.82 0.38 0.27 1.25 0.55 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 Developing average Developing median Developed average Developed median Agricultural Orientation Index 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2015
  4. IFPRI Public expenditures reviews  With an expanded SDG2 focus (example IFPRI work on Honduras): levels, components, efficiency, equity Page 4 0.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.3 2.9 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 2.7 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 Agricultural Development and Value Chains Rural and Regional Development Safety Nets Health and Nutrition Climate Change and Natural Resources Total FNS Honduras: Public Expenditure Review for Food and Nutrition Security 2015 2016
  5. IFPRI Credit Markets  Credit to private sector from financial intermediaries in developing countries, about 20.3 trillion USD (2010s) (about 70.1 trillion USD in developed countries).  Ag credit 4.1% of total credit (average), 2.6 (median) in developing countries Page 5 0.40 0.26 1.95 1.47 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 Developing average Developing median Developed average Developed median Agriculture orientation index
  6. IFPRI Rural Financial Markets  Studies. 1980s, Adams, Graham, and von Pischke (1984) and World Bank 1986. Late 1990s, FAO and GTZ: initiative “Agricultural Finance Revisited” and IFPRI’s multi-country study on microfinance, poverty alleviation and food security (Zeller and Meyer, eds 2002).  More recently, G20 and working group on Global Partnership for Financial Inclusion (GPFI).  Need to expand the work looking at experiences in developing countries and covering: 1) Macroeconomic conditions and flow of funds, 2) Regulatory aspects; 3) Institutions; 4) Instruments; 5) Delivery modes; and 6) Farmers (constraints and behavior) Page 6
  7. IFPRI Financial markets and private wealth Page 7 Total Household Wealth (2015) 250 trillions ESG investing (2015) 12.9 trillions Impact Investors Under Management (2016) 114 billions Flow deal (2016) 22 billions Green bonds (issuance 2016) 81 billions
  8. IFPRI Missing Link Page 8 PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIES POTENTIAL FINANCING ?????
  9. IFPRI Pre-Investment Facility Page 9 PARTNERSHIP OPPORTUNITIES PROJECT PREPARATION POTENTIAL FINANCING
  10. IFPRI Project Preparation and Support Facility  To develop a pipeline of projects  …to help design structures and financial vehicles through which that liquidity can be invested…  …to measure impacts…  …to provide technical assistance…  The CGIAR system, with 8000 scientists working in more than 70 countries, is in a unique position to help bridge that gap…  IFPRI, CIAT working together to get funding for the facility… Page 10
  11. IFPRI Final comments on what to do…  What needs to happen to construct food systems that deliver inclusive, climate resilient, environmentally sustainable and healthy diets for all?  1. Further work on public expenditure reviews with focus on expanded FNS (or SDGs), to realign priorities and expenditures…  2. Review of rural financial markets and financing of value chains to lift obstacles that impede financing the needed changes in food systems…  3. Creation of a facility to use CGIAR knowledge to help prepare investment projects and alternatives for partnerships with private investors… Page 11
  12. IFPRI Thank you….. Page 12

Editor's Notes

  1. (with due recognition to Berry Gordy and Janie Bradford, …and perhaps Barrett Strong)
  2. Total 3% of 8.5+18.5 = 810 billion
  3. FAO credito total 5716.4; billion agropecuario 227.5 billion
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