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Opportunities for decision support  in the open data era

  1. Opportunities for Decision Support in the Open Data Era
  2. Framing the challenges: when I'm finished…. • The ocean will have risen 165.5 nano meters • 17,126 metric tons of carbon will have been emitted • Slash and burn agriculture will increase by 24,026,484 M2 • 2,843 people will have moved from a rural area to a city • 4,000 new humans will join us • To meet demand to 2030: • Increase 15% yield/year
  3. The Nature of the problems…. "Wicked problem" --- a problem that is difficult or impossible to solve because of incomplete, contradictory, and changing requirements that are often difficult to recognize. Moreover, because of complex interdependencies, the effort to solve one aspect of a wicked problem may reveal or create other problems.
  4. As problems have become more complex so has the science of solutions. Individu als Teams Partners hip Interdisciplin ary Enterpri se
  5. The next evolution is networks of problem solvers • Nimble • Responsive • Integrative • Collaborative • Change Actors • Risk Preferred • Open
  6. NETWORKS OF NETWORKS Strategic Partnerships
  7. GCFSI activities focus on three megatrends (MT) and two cross- cutting themes, build decision support tools and foster student engagement MT1: Population Growth, Climate Change and Pressure on the Land MT2: Rapid Urbanization and Transformation of Food Systems MT3: Evolution in Skills Required by Food Systems Information and Communication Technology for Development Gender Global Center for Food Systems Innovation Core objectives for GCFSI: 1. Improve data quality and access and provide decision support tools to promote evidence-based decision making in food systems. 2. Accelerate the creation, testing and scaling up of transformative innovations in global food systems. 3. Create a multidisciplinary network that shares knowledge, builds mutual capacity for food systems innovation, and engages students to foster a new generation of development practitioners and scholars. Decision Support & Informatics Knowledge Management Student Engagement
  8. On January 5, 2015 GCFSI launched its second RFA for innovation grants, with three levels of funding • The RFA is open to universities, government or private laboratories or research organizations, for-profit and non-profit companies, and even individuals • Grants process managed by CRDF Global (Washington, D.C.) • Opportunity for USAID Mission input during application review process • Three types of grants (total approx. $3.2 million): • Early Stage Innovation Grants (up to $100,000) • Innovation Evaluation Grants (up to $250,000) • Innovation Scalability Grants (up to $500,000 with 1:1 $ match required) • Geographic focus: • FTF Focus Countries: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Malawi, Mozambique, Nepal, Rwanda, Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia • STIP Focus Countries: Bangladesh, India, Indonesia, Kenya, Mozambique, Philippines, Uganda
  9. Decision Support and Informatics Objectives • Leverage data and analytics to promote and support evidence-based food system policy and investments • A systems analysis unit that will conceptualize problems, critically evaluate complex systems and alternative approaches, and analyze data to improve decision making. • It will engage stakeholders and external partners to better define development problems in order to understand the goals, objectives, constraints, inputs, outcomes, and possible impacts. • It will engage in relevant research to develop analysis and decision support systems that will be essential for evaluating the economic, social, and/or environmental dimensions of development problems.
  10. Another core function of the Center is to offer Decision Support and Informatics (DSI) services to USAID and other stakeholders DSI provides three major services: (1) easy one-stop Web access to many large development datasets, (2) tools for Web-based visualization and data analysis, and (3) custom applications requested by users. Hypothesis Verification Map of Ag Storage Opportunities in Malawi Spatial Visualization Aid Density Heat Map, Tanzania Research Urbanization and Diet Transformation 1) Datasets include over 10,000 development and policy indicators, drawn from sources such as World Bank, UN, FAO, university, and USAID (e.g., FTFMS reporting data). 2) Tools for data mapping/visualization (including on USAID program activities and impacts), and for basic statistical and trend analysis. 3) Provision of customized DSI applications, funded through GCFSI core budget or user budget depending on the complexity of the application.
  11. WARNING GEEK CONTENT
  12. The reluctant but fated hero….
  13. The true believer and guru…
  14. The sidekick….
  15. The traitor….
  16. An overpowering enemy…
  17. The lynchpin, however, isn’t any of these folks…
  18. Its this guy!
  19. Data The Decision Pyramid
  20. Data isn’t really that useful… • Collect • Filter • Standardize • Integrate • Democratize Data
  21. Information Data
  22. • Research • Analysis • Articulation • Pattern and process detection • Modeling Information Information IS useful as the basis for: Data
  23. Knowledge
  24. • Translation • Knowledge Flow • Education • Communication • Internalization Knowledge doesn’t help unless… Knowledge
  25. Knowledge Decision Making
  26. Efforts Underway
  27. Issues • Big data and open data cant be ends in themselves, they have to be kinetic • The root of making them kinetic is only partially addressed in open data systems and culture, but to attach the big challenges we need 1,000,000 new users • Strong collaborative networks are needed to speed the adoption of open culture • Open does not equal free, there are embedded costs that have to be addressed
  28. Opportunities • Creating open and problem driven analytical tools to increase data usage • Working within networks to accelerate open and evidence driven solutions • Long term systems level analysis • Three dimensional data analysis • Risk assessment • User centered design will be the next wave of tool development • Networks of institutions that look at problems
  29. Square Brain Round Problem- Open cultures and collaborative problem solving is not for everyone-- yet

Editor's Notes

  1. Remarks This how Michigan State University is approaching to complex problems and resilient communities. MSU is building a global network of partners (universities, government agencies, corporations, small & medium enterprises, foundations, non-governmental organizations) & we are connecting with our partners’ networks. We are building a network of networks. Across programs, across campuses and across communities Background Cross college, cross institutional, cross continental research & development work to bend the trends
  2. Before we get to the real content I feel I need to warn everyone. I Live with an English major so I am usually pretty good an translating geek to MFA but it may be a good time to find a nearby geek for translation
  3. Kudos to Keenau Reeves for his uncanny acting skill, I could have sworn he really was confused the whole time
  4. The one who serves as a mentor and trainer
  5. And eventual engenue
  6. He just couldn’t hack reality so a substitute was needed
  7. A world filled with sentient machines intent on dominating the planet… It creates the ultimate underdog story
  8. And yes he does seem a bit puzzled most of the time What elevates him to this stature?
  9. Cause he could sit here and simultaneously digest multiple information streams and
  10. He could interpret this stream of gibberish (I mean data) and provide the “heroes” with: Deep background and contextual information Resource allocation Training Real time intelligence Quick vetting of solutions Nearly instant information based strategy Near real time decision support That’s the hope in the big open data era!!!
  11. All these functions are built on data and data access systems, so in our realm when we need information we can consult.. The UN Food and Agriculture Data Warehouse COMSTAT for trade The UN Environment program The world Bank on Financials The IMF for more financials Data.gov for nearly everything the US government tracks in the public realm Google helps get us filter but you better have advanced GOOGLE-FU Even the NY phonebook has useful information And we haven't even gotten to data gathered in space by the various satellite platforms All this leads us to the understanding that if you know what you are looking for you can eventually find it, but it’s a long process and if you don’t know what your looking for data is largely useless.
  12. To make use of data we need to Collect Filter Standardize Integrate Democratize This brings us past the data realm and into the realm of actual information
  13. and information is the basis of: Research Analysis Articulation Pattern and process detection Modeling
  14. and information is the basis of: Research Analysis Articulation Pattern and process detection Modeling
  15. Of course knowledge for the sake of knowledge has value but its power to reshape peoples lives through innovation is only unlocked through: Translation- Making sure its available to the necessary audiences, when I was working a lot with our legislature that used to mean “get it to the 9th grade level” Creating knowledge flow-Making it broadly available with low transaction costs Education-bringing people up to speed Communication-Archimedes communicated his discovery of displacement by leaping out of the bathtub and running down the street to the palace shouting eureka! Not sure id try it today but it does get the point across Internalization-you can lead a horse to water but you cant make it drink- to really have effect knowledge must be internalized in a way that compels action All this sets the stage for..
  16. Of course knowledge for the sake of knowledge has value but its power to reshape peoples lives through innovation is only unlocked through: Translation- Making sure its available to the necessary audiences, when I was working a lot with our legislature that used to mean “get it to the 9th grade level” Creating knowledge flow-Making it broadly available with low transaction costs Education-bringing people up to speed Communication-Archimedes communicated his discovery of displacement by leaping out of the bathtub and running down the street to the palace shouting eureka! Not sure id try it today but it does get the point across Internalization-you can lead a horse to water but you cant make it drink- to really have effect knowledge must be internalized in a way that compels action All this sets the stage for..
  17. Decision making, and the kind of decision making that can transcend prejudice, that can be more than anecdotal, the kind that doesn’t rely on luck or on multiple failures to produce innovation.
  18. As we think about our little blue ball, our impacts are supposedly only limited by our knowledge, and we are on the Verge of a new understanding. I had a mentor who was a big data guy “If 20 years ago I had told him that nearly all the accumulated knowledge throughout history could be made accessible to everyone cheaply, even he would be skeptical Furthermore, if I told him the most people would use this to watch video clips of cats playing piano he would have fired me.” Now all the infrastructure he built back then is completely surpassed by this laptop, but our thinking has perhaps lagged behind the engineers. So rethinking our tools and creating ways where they ignite innovation through networking and sharing provides a path to solving the grand challenges in development
  19. If you will forgive another water metaphor---This is as traditional data and knowledge model. Information is impounded behind barriers and allowed to trickle out through channels creating power for the holder of the black box
  20. This is the data model that we need to pursue. The Nile delta has thousands of connections and channels and the outcome was the cradle of civilization
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