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Analytical Tools To Assist Climate-Smart Agriculture Policy Making
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Presented by Mark W. Rosegrant at GFIA 2015, Abu Dhabi, UAE. Environment and Production Technology Division, IFPRI Mark highlighted that CSA forces us to shifts the emphasis from policies that aim at a single targets to policies that have multiple objectives. He went on to underline that CSA changes the planning time horizon - policies and analyses necessarily span long time periods of 20-30 years. And that therefore CSA requires the use of integrated modeling frameworks that work at multiple geographical scales. And that given its complexity, importantly, CSA requires an even closer collaboration between policy makers and research community.
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Analytical Tools To Assist Climate-Smart Agriculture Policy Making
- Analytical Tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING M A R K W . R O S E G R A N T ENVIRONMENT AND PRODUCTION TECHNOLOGY DIVISION INTERNATIONAL FOOD POLICY RESEARCH INSTITUTE, WASHINGTON, DC
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 productivity resilience /adaptation low GHG emission CLIMATE-SMART AGRICULTURE COMPONENTS
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 TECHNOLOGYASSESSMENT climate smart? Yield risk under CC Yield bounce after shock GHG emission against baseline Technology characterization CLIMATE- SMARTNESS Productivity Resilience GHG Emission
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 CLIMATE- SMARTNESS Productivity Resilience GHG Emission Overall Decision-makers will need to choose technologies or investments accounting for tradeoffs. TECHNOLOGYASSESSMENT Need for multi-objective decision-making tools that rationalize the evaluation of choices.
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 WHATDOESCSA MEANFOR… the country as a whole? other non-ag land-uses? the global economy? ECONOMICFEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 Economically viable? Large-scale effects + other land-uses Wide uptake of CSA options Policy scenario analysis CLIMATE- SMARTNESS Productivity Resilience GHG Emission Overall Global economic forces ECONOMICFEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 WHERE Geospatial Baseline & Targeting WHICH Commodity Priority Setting WHAT Technology Characterization & Inventory + Integrated Impact Assessments SUPPORTINGTOOLS HOW Policy Simulation & Scenario- Making Tools
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 POLICY SIMULATION EXAMPLE Simulating the aggregate effects of crop choices by individual risk- averse farmers due to climate change.
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 AdoptionForum SustainabilityPrioritization 1 2 3 Prioritizing agricultural commodities according to CSA criteria Stakeholder engagement and scenario exploration Economic effects of wide-scale adoption of CSA Evaluation of long-term economic & financial sustainability POLICY-MAKINGENABLINGENVIRONMENT
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 Rainfall and Drought History Commodity Priority Setting Tool Agritech Toolbox SUPPORTINGTOOLS EXAMPLES
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 CSAINDICATORSFORCOUNTRYLEVEL EXAMPLES Water efficient management Soil fertility management TECHNOLOGY Road quality and density Accuracy of weather and climate forecasts INFRA- STRUCTURE Social safety nets Planning with CC risk assessment POLICY
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 CONCLUDING REMARKS CSA forces us to shifts the emphasis from policies that aim at a single targets to policies that have multiple objectives. CSA changes the planning time horizon: policies and analyses necessarily span long time periods of 20-30 years.
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 CONCLUDING REMARKS Therefore, CSA requires the use of integrated modeling frameworks that work at multiple geographical scales to: 1) Prioritize investments and provide an accurate understanding of tradeoffs 2) Design long-term economically and politically sustainable policies
- analytical tools TO ASSIST CSA POLICY MAKING | GFIA 2015 CONCLUDING REMARKS More importantly, given its complexity, CSA requires an even closer collaboration between policy makers and research community.
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