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Proposed Framework for
Presentations
Spain: The role of steering a company back
towards growth
Silverstone, May 2014
2 22
5. Conclusion
3. Automotive strategy is changing
4. Financial approach
2. Spanish crisis: where are we going?
1. Spain: Economic comparisson
Spain: it has a sizable economic dimension, close to 47 Mio
population, 1,1 Trio EUR economy and the 4th largest in Europe
2012 GDP: EUR 1.063 Trio
How much bigger than Spain?
GDP size in PPP terms (2012)
3
Levels of income and wealth are still lower than those
prevailing in central and northen Europe
2012 GDP per capita
(USD 000´s)
2012 GDP per capita
(Spain = 100)
4
Breakdown of economic activities:
Overweight in tourism, construction and autos
5
Foreign trade patterns: at some point, the second largest current account deficit
in the world (above USA). In 2013 there were the first surplus in 15 years.
6
Public debt 2013
7
94% GDP
Public debt 2013
8
Public debt 2013
9
94% Spain
Conservative party got the biggest part of the cake!
National Parliament
10
Financial market: equity market
11
There is a dual economy: landscape is dominated by micro-companies with few
large multinationals
12
Then in 2011: the early 2000´s business model has collapsed…
Construction spending in GDP (%)
Immigrant population (% of total)
Share of construction in creating
employment
Construction played a disproportionate role in the Spanish business model!
13
-
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
1,400,000
1,600,000
1,800,000
…and it brought a collapse in all activity sectors…
Industrial output excluding construction
Retail sales volume index
Car industry
Car sales back to 1986 and down a 58% from its peak !
26 years
14
15
1,5%
1,9%1,8%
2,1%
2,3%2,3%
3,0%
3,3%
3,6%
3,6%
3,8%
3,5%
3,2%
3,1%
3,0%3,1%3,0%
2,9%
2,4%
2,0%
2,0%1,9%
2,1%
1,9%1,9%
2,2%
2,7%
3,4%
3,5%
2,9%2,9%
2,7%2,8%
2,4%
1,4%
2,0%
1,00%
1,50%
2,00%
2,50%
3,00%
3,50%
4,00%
4,50%
Jan
11
Feb
11
Mar
11
Apr
11
May
11
Jun
11
Jul
11
Aug
11
Sep
11
Oct
11
Nov
11
Dec
11
Jan
12
Feb
12
Mar
12
Apr
12
May
12
Jun
12
Jul
12
Aug
12
Sep
12
Oct
12
Nov
12
Dec
12
Jan
13
Feb
13
Mar
13
Apr
13
FC
2013
Consumer Price Index
Source: NationalStatisticsInstitute/ Bank of Spain
…increasing unemployment, reducing GDP and with a high inflation
16
With a significant increase in Risk Premium…
325
352
395
326 319
317
356
411
536
475
546
552
450
415
393395
350
365
377
348
5,18%
5,45%
7,09%
5,56%
5,47%5,40%
5,78%5,78%
6,12%
6,12%
6,51%
6,71%
5,70%
5,47%
5,56%
5,32% 5,40%
5,22%
4,92%
4,73%
3,82% 3,98% 4,04% 4,07% 4,06% 4,04% 4,02% 4,07% 4,07% 4,11% 4,12% 4,13% 4,10% 4,13% 4,12%
3,90% 3,85% 3,83%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
6,0%
7,0%
8,0%
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13
Risk Premium
GovernmentAuctions 10 years
Central Government Debt Average
InterestRate
Source: Risk Premium and Goverment Auctions http://www.datosmacro.com/prima-riesgo/espana
Source : Central GovermentDebt http://www.tesoro.es/doc/SP/home/estadistica/03.pdf 16
…and it brought a collapse in all activity sectors……and a dismal in the job market…
27 % and over 56%
for young people
27.0%
Unemployment rate (%) Happy Spaniards around the world
Massive damage across economic sectors setting Spain back 15 years
17
…and there are still significant inefficiencies in the current model.
18
…that implies significant different in the economy of the different regions.
19
20
48,56
50,33 50,85
52,42
55,91
58,00
58,66
57,19
52,17 52,67
56,08
57,70
60,66
40
42
44
46
48
50
52
54
56
58
60
62
64
66
68
70
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Number of foreign tourists (Mio)
There are already some indicators that are showing first green shoots after the recession
Exports have increased
taking the commercial
balance at positive levels
And tourism is at record
levels.
Exports Evolution (mio EUR)
46.994 48.532
38.460
43.949
54.820
54.445
61.604
0
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
50.000
60.000
70.000
80.000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Exports
21
2,2%
2,7%
3,4%3,5%
2,9% 2,9%
2,7% 2,8%
2,4%
1,4%
1,7%
2,1%
1,8%
1,5%
0,3%
-0,1%
0,2%
0,3%
0,7%
-0,50%
0,00%
0,50%
1,00%
1,50%
2,00%
2,50%
3,00%
3,50%
4,00%
July 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec12 Jan 13 feb-13 mar-13 Apr13 may-13 jun-13 jul-13 ago-13 sep-13 oct-13 nov-13 dic-13 dic-13
Consumer Price Index (%)
GDP Evolution (%over previous period)
Consumer Price Index is
still under control
GDP has grown for six
consecutive months.
But there is still a long way to say that we are completely out of recession
22
Unemployment Evolution
Unemployment is still at the highest levels.
Non performing Loans – Evolution (% total)
Non performing loans are damaging the credit
performance.
And credit is at 25.1% down from its peak.
Credit to individuals and to non financial corporations (Mio EUR)
And all activity sectors are still in recession
23
0
200.000
400.000
600.000
800.000
1.000.000
1.200.000
1.400.000
1.600.000
1.800.000
Car industry (# cars)
1994 2013
Construction is still in lowest levels
Despite the last increase, Car sales back to 1994 and
down a 56% from its peak
Industrial output excluding construction index
Wage reductions are affecting Retail Sales.
Retail sales volume index
19 years
4,68%
2,89%
0,70%
1,01%
1,36%
0,19% 0,29% 0,30% 0,30%
4,75%
3,05%
1,25%
1,51%
1,95%
0,54% 0,56% 0,56% 0,56%
4,54%
3,26%
2,74%
2,48%
1,76%
0,77%
1,30% 1,18%
1,18%
0,0%
1,0%
2,0%
3,0%
4,0%
5,0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Euribor 3 months Euribor 1 Year Swap 5 years
24
Interest Rates Yield Curve – Euribor /Swap
What can we expect for 2014?
• Interest Rates are still under control and refinancing for good rating companies are
reasonable cheap. It is expected that corporate investment will continue the good
trend that has been observed in the last six months.
0,2
-1,1
-2,7
-3,3
-4,6
-2,5
-0,3
1,6
4
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
25
Consumer Index
2011 2012 2013
What can we expect for 2014?
• Confidence of investors index has improved.
CONCLUSION: We are moderately optimistic and expect a slight recovery in 2014 that
will be translated into a higher level of consumption and an improvement
of the financial situation of families and medium and small companies.
26 2626
5. Conclusion
3. Automotive strategy is changing
4. Financial approach
2. Spanish crisis: where are we going?
1. Spain: Economic comparisson
Good products alone are no longer enough!
Sustainable success for OEMs is based on several factors
Strong research &
development /
strong production
Strong presenceStrong products + +
OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturers, i. e.
manufacturers
27
Groups with greater market coverage enjoy advantages
Market
coverage
Geographical
coverage
High
Low
Regional Global
Niche
players
28
The sustainable success of a manufacturer is also
based on a powerful captive
Strong
Automobile Manufacturer
Strong
Financial Services Provider
29
The high volatility in many saturated markets requires a
high degree of flexibility and good portfolio management
0,0
4,0
3,0
3,5
Newregistrationsinmillions
1,8
0,0
2,0
1,9
2,1
2,4
2,2
2,3
2,6
Newregistrationsinmillions
1,6
1,5
1,4
1,3
1,2
1,1
1,0
0,9
0,8
0,0
Newregistrationsinmillions
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
0
Newregistrationsinmillions
30
The importance of the car is continually decreasing for
young and urban people
Source: Next Practice 2010, Volkswagen, Young without Cars, Study 2010
Trend towards commodity with related price and volume risks
Without connectivity, a car is no longer in
the „relevant" set for the young/urban
Ownership of a car is less relevant for
young customers
What is a 30-year old man interested in?
Interne
t
Aut
o
Telekommunikation
2008
1998
62
Telecommunications Car
31
Declining loyalty
to authorised
workshops
Workshop
steering by
insurers
Decreasing
volume &
profit
Cost pressure in
workshops
New
technologies
(BEV)
The workshop business – vitally important for dealers
– is under massive threat
Ertrag Handel (in %)
Sales After Sales
Better
vehicles
Workshop business: very profitable
Dealer profit (in %)
Dealer turnover (in %)
32
Experts expect customer loyalty to authorised workshops
to fall even further
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Segment Ia Segment Ib Segment II Segment III
Vehicle age
80 %
60 %
40 %
20 %
Customer loyalty to authorised
workshops
Workshop revenue lost due to decreasing customer loyalty
Basis:
Loyalty 2008
Loyalty 2010
Loyalty 2014
33
The classic car dealer format is appealing for proud
owners – but not for flexible users!
Close 1:1 relationship between
vehicle ownership and vehicle use
Pay and use
Mobility yesterday and today
Flexible mobility solutions and services
for individual mobility objectives
Pay per use
Mobility today and tomorrow
New mobility
concepts
34
Volume concentration on demanding commercial
customers is becoming a challenge for dealerships
Source: ADL; VW FS AG
Major complexity to date:
Differing needs of many different
individual customers
Major complexity tomorrow:
Increasing volume concentration on fleet
customers with high demands
Leasing
Courtesy
cars
Radio tax
Road tolls
Car
registration
Fuel cards
Scheduled service
Maintenance
Tyre replacement
Insurance
Wear and tear
Driving licence
checks
Long-term rental
Reporting systems
Fleet management
Fleet advisory
Legal inspection
Tyre change and storage
Claims management
35
Many customers wish to have a dealership in their city centre.
Locations in industrial estates become increasingly unattractive
High structural investments outside cities Audi City (virtual dealer)
A4 A6 A8
Saloon Avant Quattro
A1 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 Q3 Q5 Q7 TT R8
CoupéSportback
S series RS series Roadster
Saloon Avant Quattro
CabrioletCabriolet
36
Captives also have specific challenges!
... for example, the over-50s pay cash!
BUT: Average age of
new car buyers is increasing
AND: The older a customer, the less
affinity to financial services
Decreasing financing volume
Source: VW FS AG, AutoUni
20251995 65-75 yrs. > 75 yrs.55-65 yrs.
(Financing rate in %)
Today, more than every second vehicle in Germany is financed
37
Increasing regulation also affects automotive financial services
providers…
Captives
Stricter
regulation
of
financial
services
§§ §
§
§
§§ §
§
§
§
Universal
banks
Insurance
companies
Trigger Political reaction Target
Collateral
damage
38
… and creates great challenges for them!
End 2014Pre 2010
Number of employees engaged in meeting legal requirements
Increasing regulation
+
140%
39
And where do we go from here?
40
• Long-term
rental
• Short-term
rental
• Micro-rental
(car sharing)
Rentals
1. Extended product range necessary!
Offer solutions with a board range of products
• Accounts
• Instalment
credits
• Investments
• New mobility
offers
Direct bank
• Automotive
• Credit
protection
insurance
• Industry
InsuranceServices
• Inspection
service
• Maintenance
packages
• Maintenance
and repair
Leasing
• Finance
leasing
• Operating
leasing
• Fuel
• Tyres
• Reporting
Fleet mgmt.Bank
• Customer
financing
• Dealer
financing
• Factoring
Risk taking and risk management as core competence
41
2. Role change needed! From pure sale promotion to customer
and car relationship manager
Joe
Bloggs
VSSZZZ
1PZCR
07913
2
CRM² = Customer Relationship
Management
Car Relationship
Management
x
Student 1st job
Young
family
Family
Post-
family
Pension
Company
car
1-year-
old car
3-year-
old UC
5-year-
old UC
8-year-
old UC
…
UC = used car 42
3. Global orientation necessary!
Concentration on home market and "cherry
picking" are not enough
Global orientation
43
And where do we go from here?
Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle management
44
Establish three strategic pillars!
Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle management
45
What we then also have is:
Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle managementWin WinWin
46
To excite the customer: size matters!
… conviently from one single provider!
The right product package… … at any time… … at the desired place…
47
4848
5. Conclusion
3. Automotive strategy is changing
4. Financial approach
2. Spanish crisis: where are we going?
1. Spain: Economic comparisson
% Penetration
20,0
23,9
27,4
29,4
33,9 35,1
44,1
51,8
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1.005,3 951,2
639,8 666,9 494,9
396,1 356,3 379,5
1.634,6 1.614,8
1.161,2
952,8 982,0
810,0
699,6 722,7
0
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Private Market
Total Market Sales (Tsd. Vehicles)
Passengers Cars- 56%
+ 159%
49
In a very complicated environment
215,1 225,0 227,0 231,3
264,5 285,2 306,2 297,2
86,0 69,1
61,7
65,8
65,7 69,5
44,7
80,9
215,1 225,0
313,0 300,4
326,1
351,0
416,6
447,6
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Finance+Leasing Insurance Services
New Contracts (Tsd. Units)
Total Portfolio (Tsd. Units)
73,2 86,3 74,0 67,8
90,7 83,5 89,9 105,3
0,0
0,0
111,3
92,7
165,7
110,0 116,2
127,5
26,7
32,7
37,6
73,2
86,3
185,3
160,5
256,4
220,2
238,9
270,5
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Finance+Leasing Insurance Services
50
VWFS Spain has diversified its products and services growing in
a depressed market with a different business plan
51
0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000
FGA CAPITAL
SPAIN
BANSABADEL
L FINCOM
FINCONSUM
TOYOTA
KREDITBANK
BANCO
CETELEM
BMW BANK
GMBH
BANQUE PSA
FINANCE
RCI Banque
Suc en
España
BBVA
CONSUMER
FINANCE
SANTANDER
CONSUMER
FINANCE
VOLKSWAGE
N FINANCE
Dec 2013 Dec 2012
Source: ASNEF
TOTAL Credit Investment €: Competitors
Volkswagen Finance has
become market leader in
customer credit for
Automotive Industry (New
Cars + Used Cars).
At December 2013
cumulative growth of VW
Finance is 10,1% compared
to 2012.
+10,1%
-2,9%
-1,5%
+20,6%
-14,5%
+14,6%
+30,9%
+4,9%
+6,5%
2,2%
+38,6%
And become market leader above other general
financial institutions
VW FS AG | Investor Update
Thank you very much!52

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Fernando Ortiz-Cañavate, Managing Director at Volkswagen Financial Services - Risk Management Effectiveness: Taking a reactive or proactive approach

  • 1. Proposed Framework for Presentations Spain: The role of steering a company back towards growth Silverstone, May 2014
  • 2. 2 22 5. Conclusion 3. Automotive strategy is changing 4. Financial approach 2. Spanish crisis: where are we going? 1. Spain: Economic comparisson
  • 3. Spain: it has a sizable economic dimension, close to 47 Mio population, 1,1 Trio EUR economy and the 4th largest in Europe 2012 GDP: EUR 1.063 Trio How much bigger than Spain? GDP size in PPP terms (2012) 3
  • 4. Levels of income and wealth are still lower than those prevailing in central and northen Europe 2012 GDP per capita (USD 000´s) 2012 GDP per capita (Spain = 100) 4
  • 5. Breakdown of economic activities: Overweight in tourism, construction and autos 5
  • 6. Foreign trade patterns: at some point, the second largest current account deficit in the world (above USA). In 2013 there were the first surplus in 15 years. 6
  • 10. Conservative party got the biggest part of the cake! National Parliament 10
  • 12. There is a dual economy: landscape is dominated by micro-companies with few large multinationals 12
  • 13. Then in 2011: the early 2000´s business model has collapsed… Construction spending in GDP (%) Immigrant population (% of total) Share of construction in creating employment Construction played a disproportionate role in the Spanish business model! 13
  • 14. - 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 1,600,000 1,800,000 …and it brought a collapse in all activity sectors… Industrial output excluding construction Retail sales volume index Car industry Car sales back to 1986 and down a 58% from its peak ! 26 years 14
  • 16. 16 With a significant increase in Risk Premium… 325 352 395 326 319 317 356 411 536 475 546 552 450 415 393395 350 365 377 348 5,18% 5,45% 7,09% 5,56% 5,47%5,40% 5,78%5,78% 6,12% 6,12% 6,51% 6,71% 5,70% 5,47% 5,56% 5,32% 5,40% 5,22% 4,92% 4,73% 3,82% 3,98% 4,04% 4,07% 4,06% 4,04% 4,02% 4,07% 4,07% 4,11% 4,12% 4,13% 4,10% 4,13% 4,12% 3,90% 3,85% 3,83% 3,0% 4,0% 5,0% 6,0% 7,0% 8,0% 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 Risk Premium GovernmentAuctions 10 years Central Government Debt Average InterestRate Source: Risk Premium and Goverment Auctions http://www.datosmacro.com/prima-riesgo/espana Source : Central GovermentDebt http://www.tesoro.es/doc/SP/home/estadistica/03.pdf 16
  • 17. …and it brought a collapse in all activity sectors……and a dismal in the job market… 27 % and over 56% for young people 27.0% Unemployment rate (%) Happy Spaniards around the world Massive damage across economic sectors setting Spain back 15 years 17
  • 18. …and there are still significant inefficiencies in the current model. 18
  • 19. …that implies significant different in the economy of the different regions. 19
  • 20. 20 48,56 50,33 50,85 52,42 55,91 58,00 58,66 57,19 52,17 52,67 56,08 57,70 60,66 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 64 66 68 70 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Number of foreign tourists (Mio) There are already some indicators that are showing first green shoots after the recession Exports have increased taking the commercial balance at positive levels And tourism is at record levels. Exports Evolution (mio EUR) 46.994 48.532 38.460 43.949 54.820 54.445 61.604 0 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 60.000 70.000 80.000 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Exports
  • 21. 21 2,2% 2,7% 3,4%3,5% 2,9% 2,9% 2,7% 2,8% 2,4% 1,4% 1,7% 2,1% 1,8% 1,5% 0,3% -0,1% 0,2% 0,3% 0,7% -0,50% 0,00% 0,50% 1,00% 1,50% 2,00% 2,50% 3,00% 3,50% 4,00% July 12 Aug 12 Sep 12 Oct 12 Nov 12 Dec12 Jan 13 feb-13 mar-13 Apr13 may-13 jun-13 jul-13 ago-13 sep-13 oct-13 nov-13 dic-13 dic-13 Consumer Price Index (%) GDP Evolution (%over previous period) Consumer Price Index is still under control GDP has grown for six consecutive months.
  • 22. But there is still a long way to say that we are completely out of recession 22 Unemployment Evolution Unemployment is still at the highest levels. Non performing Loans – Evolution (% total) Non performing loans are damaging the credit performance. And credit is at 25.1% down from its peak. Credit to individuals and to non financial corporations (Mio EUR)
  • 23. And all activity sectors are still in recession 23 0 200.000 400.000 600.000 800.000 1.000.000 1.200.000 1.400.000 1.600.000 1.800.000 Car industry (# cars) 1994 2013 Construction is still in lowest levels Despite the last increase, Car sales back to 1994 and down a 56% from its peak Industrial output excluding construction index Wage reductions are affecting Retail Sales. Retail sales volume index 19 years
  • 24. 4,68% 2,89% 0,70% 1,01% 1,36% 0,19% 0,29% 0,30% 0,30% 4,75% 3,05% 1,25% 1,51% 1,95% 0,54% 0,56% 0,56% 0,56% 4,54% 3,26% 2,74% 2,48% 1,76% 0,77% 1,30% 1,18% 1,18% 0,0% 1,0% 2,0% 3,0% 4,0% 5,0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Euribor 3 months Euribor 1 Year Swap 5 years 24 Interest Rates Yield Curve – Euribor /Swap What can we expect for 2014? • Interest Rates are still under control and refinancing for good rating companies are reasonable cheap. It is expected that corporate investment will continue the good trend that has been observed in the last six months.
  • 25. 0,2 -1,1 -2,7 -3,3 -4,6 -2,5 -0,3 1,6 4 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 25 Consumer Index 2011 2012 2013 What can we expect for 2014? • Confidence of investors index has improved. CONCLUSION: We are moderately optimistic and expect a slight recovery in 2014 that will be translated into a higher level of consumption and an improvement of the financial situation of families and medium and small companies.
  • 26. 26 2626 5. Conclusion 3. Automotive strategy is changing 4. Financial approach 2. Spanish crisis: where are we going? 1. Spain: Economic comparisson
  • 27. Good products alone are no longer enough! Sustainable success for OEMs is based on several factors Strong research & development / strong production Strong presenceStrong products + + OEM = Original Equipment Manufacturers, i. e. manufacturers 27
  • 28. Groups with greater market coverage enjoy advantages Market coverage Geographical coverage High Low Regional Global Niche players 28
  • 29. The sustainable success of a manufacturer is also based on a powerful captive Strong Automobile Manufacturer Strong Financial Services Provider 29
  • 30. The high volatility in many saturated markets requires a high degree of flexibility and good portfolio management 0,0 4,0 3,0 3,5 Newregistrationsinmillions 1,8 0,0 2,0 1,9 2,1 2,4 2,2 2,3 2,6 Newregistrationsinmillions 1,6 1,5 1,4 1,3 1,2 1,1 1,0 0,9 0,8 0,0 Newregistrationsinmillions 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 0 Newregistrationsinmillions 30
  • 31. The importance of the car is continually decreasing for young and urban people Source: Next Practice 2010, Volkswagen, Young without Cars, Study 2010 Trend towards commodity with related price and volume risks Without connectivity, a car is no longer in the „relevant" set for the young/urban Ownership of a car is less relevant for young customers What is a 30-year old man interested in? Interne t Aut o Telekommunikation 2008 1998 62 Telecommunications Car 31
  • 32. Declining loyalty to authorised workshops Workshop steering by insurers Decreasing volume & profit Cost pressure in workshops New technologies (BEV) The workshop business – vitally important for dealers – is under massive threat Ertrag Handel (in %) Sales After Sales Better vehicles Workshop business: very profitable Dealer profit (in %) Dealer turnover (in %) 32
  • 33. Experts expect customer loyalty to authorised workshops to fall even further 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Segment Ia Segment Ib Segment II Segment III Vehicle age 80 % 60 % 40 % 20 % Customer loyalty to authorised workshops Workshop revenue lost due to decreasing customer loyalty Basis: Loyalty 2008 Loyalty 2010 Loyalty 2014 33
  • 34. The classic car dealer format is appealing for proud owners – but not for flexible users! Close 1:1 relationship between vehicle ownership and vehicle use Pay and use Mobility yesterday and today Flexible mobility solutions and services for individual mobility objectives Pay per use Mobility today and tomorrow New mobility concepts 34
  • 35. Volume concentration on demanding commercial customers is becoming a challenge for dealerships Source: ADL; VW FS AG Major complexity to date: Differing needs of many different individual customers Major complexity tomorrow: Increasing volume concentration on fleet customers with high demands Leasing Courtesy cars Radio tax Road tolls Car registration Fuel cards Scheduled service Maintenance Tyre replacement Insurance Wear and tear Driving licence checks Long-term rental Reporting systems Fleet management Fleet advisory Legal inspection Tyre change and storage Claims management 35
  • 36. Many customers wish to have a dealership in their city centre. Locations in industrial estates become increasingly unattractive High structural investments outside cities Audi City (virtual dealer) A4 A6 A8 Saloon Avant Quattro A1 A3 A4 A5 A6 A7 A8 Q3 Q5 Q7 TT R8 CoupéSportback S series RS series Roadster Saloon Avant Quattro CabrioletCabriolet 36
  • 37. Captives also have specific challenges! ... for example, the over-50s pay cash! BUT: Average age of new car buyers is increasing AND: The older a customer, the less affinity to financial services Decreasing financing volume Source: VW FS AG, AutoUni 20251995 65-75 yrs. > 75 yrs.55-65 yrs. (Financing rate in %) Today, more than every second vehicle in Germany is financed 37
  • 38. Increasing regulation also affects automotive financial services providers… Captives Stricter regulation of financial services §§ § § § §§ § § § § Universal banks Insurance companies Trigger Political reaction Target Collateral damage 38
  • 39. … and creates great challenges for them! End 2014Pre 2010 Number of employees engaged in meeting legal requirements Increasing regulation + 140% 39
  • 40. And where do we go from here? 40
  • 41. • Long-term rental • Short-term rental • Micro-rental (car sharing) Rentals 1. Extended product range necessary! Offer solutions with a board range of products • Accounts • Instalment credits • Investments • New mobility offers Direct bank • Automotive • Credit protection insurance • Industry InsuranceServices • Inspection service • Maintenance packages • Maintenance and repair Leasing • Finance leasing • Operating leasing • Fuel • Tyres • Reporting Fleet mgmt.Bank • Customer financing • Dealer financing • Factoring Risk taking and risk management as core competence 41
  • 42. 2. Role change needed! From pure sale promotion to customer and car relationship manager Joe Bloggs VSSZZZ 1PZCR 07913 2 CRM² = Customer Relationship Management Car Relationship Management x Student 1st job Young family Family Post- family Pension Company car 1-year- old car 3-year- old UC 5-year- old UC 8-year- old UC … UC = used car 42
  • 43. 3. Global orientation necessary! Concentration on home market and "cherry picking" are not enough Global orientation 43
  • 44. And where do we go from here? Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle management 44
  • 45. Establish three strategic pillars! Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle management 45
  • 46. What we then also have is: Broad product range Worldwide deploymentLife cycle managementWin WinWin 46
  • 47. To excite the customer: size matters! … conviently from one single provider! The right product package… … at any time… … at the desired place… 47
  • 48. 4848 5. Conclusion 3. Automotive strategy is changing 4. Financial approach 2. Spanish crisis: where are we going? 1. Spain: Economic comparisson
  • 49. % Penetration 20,0 23,9 27,4 29,4 33,9 35,1 44,1 51,8 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 1.005,3 951,2 639,8 666,9 494,9 396,1 356,3 379,5 1.634,6 1.614,8 1.161,2 952,8 982,0 810,0 699,6 722,7 0 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Private Market Total Market Sales (Tsd. Vehicles) Passengers Cars- 56% + 159% 49 In a very complicated environment
  • 50. 215,1 225,0 227,0 231,3 264,5 285,2 306,2 297,2 86,0 69,1 61,7 65,8 65,7 69,5 44,7 80,9 215,1 225,0 313,0 300,4 326,1 351,0 416,6 447,6 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Finance+Leasing Insurance Services New Contracts (Tsd. Units) Total Portfolio (Tsd. Units) 73,2 86,3 74,0 67,8 90,7 83,5 89,9 105,3 0,0 0,0 111,3 92,7 165,7 110,0 116,2 127,5 26,7 32,7 37,6 73,2 86,3 185,3 160,5 256,4 220,2 238,9 270,5 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Finance+Leasing Insurance Services 50 VWFS Spain has diversified its products and services growing in a depressed market with a different business plan
  • 51. 51 0 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000 1,400,000 FGA CAPITAL SPAIN BANSABADEL L FINCOM FINCONSUM TOYOTA KREDITBANK BANCO CETELEM BMW BANK GMBH BANQUE PSA FINANCE RCI Banque Suc en España BBVA CONSUMER FINANCE SANTANDER CONSUMER FINANCE VOLKSWAGE N FINANCE Dec 2013 Dec 2012 Source: ASNEF TOTAL Credit Investment €: Competitors Volkswagen Finance has become market leader in customer credit for Automotive Industry (New Cars + Used Cars). At December 2013 cumulative growth of VW Finance is 10,1% compared to 2012. +10,1% -2,9% -1,5% +20,6% -14,5% +14,6% +30,9% +4,9% +6,5% 2,2% +38,6% And become market leader above other general financial institutions
  • 52. VW FS AG | Investor Update Thank you very much!52