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2015 Shortage of Agave by Brady Bunte

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Agave shortage projections or 2015

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2015 Shortage of Agave by Brady Bunte

  1. 1. 500 incrgse thgcofif fl>¢1uct~ion of the mfnch belc_>y_ed Mex_§g_a_m Evefie overfle - F" ». 2010 2011 gexti fe yeaash 2016 2017 2018 (Est) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  2. 2. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 20172018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  3. 3. for smaller manufacturers. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  4. 4. "i - I «Kit 1s pr¢{olI11Tf't_ly QECDVJJEB In the alga su-r~rou-nd-i I ~ ‘Te I 03 5:513 2000 1,709. 1,635 l__a! 1500 1,247 10-~<3=83“‘e A I 1 83) b Jdv - el - ofiedfid he ‘and! en - T 500 c)_5’i‘t-raéf win! " at are: T’ f"- I harlffiésts Wet edef’%"i’l‘éd F‘-iod :15 " TU : . 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F) "'*. n . .. . ‘C I I I I Ate - ufcturers
  5. 5. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  6. 6. .9‘ on. vlu, -« . ‘Ho 5. . (‘.1/.1. _« lzr€U“. I7v ‘V4171: . :V-. ‘~4*: ’~‘ 11'. ‘ ". -> '1' 1.4.). .0 E. ~ ". , .. -. yo. v.4 ‘:1 J‘ . . .-:1‘; an: r um ‘GA r-1 u . - .5.)~. ‘.| ’. ‘.4 . '.: '9‘ - 1 . ._: . r-'_a s0 : iw .1) I. ‘ ,1“ ~ In .
  7. 7. lccetding t. o.Brady ifiiméirximisiezrsizaifla 'i'c't'e'd t-l.1’a; tf. tjl'1fi_;3§ice of mm] re wit-hin - 1° ‘and it is this grovfi that lartfir companies invest 500 in having secured about 80% ofiie n #3) , atio ' - ha_11est. I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  8. 8. pfioducticacosts, it can be e%e mama out-foitsfiill need to %r (‘H d T7 - 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  9. 9. 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  10. 10. sizeden ' ' ' }l'lIF confi sotdrifik, Brady Bungforeseesfiaremiyers will opt Ear the m_gs. t w‘e_l_l| * krfivn af-1’ or_¢i_a_l_: le 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  11. 11. 'l‘. he_. shortf; a_l'l_ ml ex pgcted . to Fécclarne $33191’-E c'l'E: al1". r'I-l'? fi!i; §i'lSle in 2015 has 00If@i) inked (E) t-he historical £ 33} 3313326128, uincrease in the demand of the plant from tequila I Efin I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  12. 12. E51511; cl'e: :?? l'? fr.1;§1'Ble in 2015 has 31193} (D t-h'elh1stor-ical foluctuations 33 °° 9513 31:118. overestimated the expected demand and 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F) "At some point in the mid 20005 i i too mEh c_r&p.
  13. 13. a , _. Jififi . §?Q.3 ’corne {E16139 -Ilsy; ,.i's‘_i'lile i-n 206-1-5 has 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  14. 14. : . .. '1 W1 . ' ' ' ‘- , .'. "-'; ""‘; ,. , , l. _ _ , .. p. . l ‘ 1 v ‘ wfh » - ‘ r‘ 2 ‘ ' J. .‘. !.L. ..: Iu - ' 7 . I T. 7 I ‘A r V. ’ . . . - V 7 V, W“-"7 , 7.‘. , F§'; §': ".”"': I , I I I r~ - ' : _. I » I -I n-rv 1 I ' , . 1, L - . - ~'. w — I . . I . 4. ««. ~ 7:. .’w .1 ex ms, e§(-IQ — A I 1 ~ meg peg-. I N‘ . . ' A f‘, p C’ . l . J, “_n‘. ‘ _ , ._l --, ... -j-. .~ . 1,. .,
  15. 15. me Gdfik-ac? 1,705 1,686 — 1 247 1 231 L458 1500 » : 1°09 Lift: co) ulta on ‘F3333 A ex-‘ ‘Aerts~—- so mm = ’ V " su §’ riigh l”§§s WEE o ; _p “Me 3133 2013. [‘ -*5“ —u 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  16. 16. 9-§ f11n 2% Brfiy Bunte expects that larger distilleries ray perations to e - xpand I — S 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F) acquire their 0 ‘$4.! 10 . .With smaller distilleries likely to suffer the 50 E
  17. 17. @3128 ‘eyeing ggjma, @<*7@e:0. 2°°° dist-i)lil1er-i"es may be 2? G3) 15°° 1"i'-nc«rea—se their ret-a‘-i| l prices 896 1°°°ma1§inEl"ly to con! -Ii. -.nue eafni-ng ‘five goofigviflll of supF1)liers, wh'-i"I'e ° I L‘r'e'ga-i-11i~11'g p1’o‘fi-tfi)‘l'e. — 2010 I I V I - ' I '- I - 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  18. 18. - '- uction Trends a - Forcast 1 This tihat 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (55): ) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  19. 19. 25°° / ww. w-. t-ressietes. com/ zooo 1,704 1,686 458 1,247 1' 1,231 1'°°3 896 Csontact: Tires Sietes 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  20. 20. 250° / ww, -. t-ress«iet»es. com/ 2000 1,704 1,686 1,458 1500 1,247 1,231 1v°°3 896 Brady Bu-n~te i I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  21. 21. Presidentl GEO 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  22. 22. 2500 2000 1500 1,247 / 'ww. w-. t-ressietes. com/ 1,704» 1,686- 1,458 1,231 1'°°3 896 °§-fivii-; $-3-.5 352‘: £173 .1. .1.» . .a .1: ~ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  23. 23. 250° / wwfw-. t-ressietes. com/ 2000 1,704 1,686 ‘ L458 1,247 I 1,231 1'°°3 896 BradyG%? ressietes. com 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  24. 24. 25°° / wwtw-. t-re sietes. com/ 2000 1,704 1,686 _ 1,458 1500 1,247 1,231 1'°°3 896 hfit-p: //wvvnvv. tfiss'Ietes“cori/ 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (F592) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  25. 25. . . I I . ‘- ‘ - ,4 . — *7. 7‘ 1’ . _' _-, - ‘.4 f 3 I f , 1 , 1 ‘ . I -. ’ I . I. »—— . _, ‘,1 * ; A~* '10., ” 1 , -: 2 ' —. - » 7 _ . F " .4 , , . .2) _ , [ )3 ‘ — ‘ i I ‘I I I - I 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)
  26. 26. Agave Production Trends and Forecast (1000 MT) 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (Est-) (F) (F) (F) (F) (F)

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