What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools

Blue BRIDGE
Blue BRIDGEInnovative data services for Blue Growth & beyond
BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680 www.bluebridge-vres.eu
What can «blue» do for you:
overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools
Scott Large, International Council
for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES)
scott.large@ices.dk
@nucellagrande
“BlueBRIDGE Workshop
21 September 2016, Riga, Latvia
ICES ASC 2016
#ICESASC16
Overview of workshop goals
• Brainstorm on how to better implement VREs into ICES
processes
• How can VREs be set up to solve specific problems
• What are new collaborative opportunities that VREs can
facilitate?
• What tools does BlueBRIDGE need to implement to
support ICES activities
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
2
The International Council for
the Exploration of the Sea
• Role in BlueBRIDGE –
develop VREs under
BlueASSESSMENT Pillar
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
3
Background
• ICES provides advice on the
sustainable use of living marine
resources and protection of the
marine environment.
• Fishing opportunities – for >225 fish
stocks across the northeast Atlantic
• Ecosystem Overviews
• Fishery Overviews
• Technical Services
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
4
Scientific and Technical
Challenges
• Ecosystem approach to
management
• Increasing need for high
powered computing:
• Ecosystem models
• Mixed-fisheries models
• Single-stock forecasts
• Management strategy
evaluations
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
5
Scientific and Technical
Challenges
• Ecosystem understanding required for marine
management
• Universal tools to support management action
are being developed, but broad
implementation is challenging
• Within the EU
• FAO, ICCAT, National Governments, and etc.
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
6
Use cases
• Horse makerel (Trachurus
trachurus) Management
Strategy Evaluation
(MSE)
• José de Oliviera - CEFAS
• North Sea Multi-fleet,
mixed-fishery model
(MS-model)
• Robert Thorpe - CEFAS
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
7
FAO
Thorpe et al 2015
MSE
• Identify robust harvest control rules
• Maximize economic and sustainable yield
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
8
FAO
MS-model
• Identify trade-offs
among fished species
and between yield and
ecosystem
characteristics
• Ensemble approach
provides uncertainty
intervals for
management
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
9
Thorpe et al 2015
Thorpe et al 2016
Outcomes
• Facilitate ICES advisory process
• Improve the tools managers use to make
decisions
• «Sand box» for model development and
exploration of parameter settings
• State of the art models for training, education,
and dissemination to other interested users
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
10
Future Steps
• VRE production began in June 2016 and first
version will be available by autumn
• Expand MSE and MS-model for additional
stocks and regions
• Additonal VREs for mixed-fisherys, data
limited stock assessment, single-species
forecasting are also in development.
9/21/2016
"What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with
BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia
11
Thank you
BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020
research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680
www.bluebridge-vres.eu
@BlueBridgeVREs
info@bluebridge-vres.eu
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What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools

  • 1. BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680 www.bluebridge-vres.eu What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools Scott Large, International Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES) scott.large@ices.dk @nucellagrande “BlueBRIDGE Workshop 21 September 2016, Riga, Latvia ICES ASC 2016 #ICESASC16
  • 2. Overview of workshop goals • Brainstorm on how to better implement VREs into ICES processes • How can VREs be set up to solve specific problems • What are new collaborative opportunities that VREs can facilitate? • What tools does BlueBRIDGE need to implement to support ICES activities 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 2
  • 3. The International Council for the Exploration of the Sea • Role in BlueBRIDGE – develop VREs under BlueASSESSMENT Pillar 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 3
  • 4. Background • ICES provides advice on the sustainable use of living marine resources and protection of the marine environment. • Fishing opportunities – for >225 fish stocks across the northeast Atlantic • Ecosystem Overviews • Fishery Overviews • Technical Services 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 4
  • 5. Scientific and Technical Challenges • Ecosystem approach to management • Increasing need for high powered computing: • Ecosystem models • Mixed-fisheries models • Single-stock forecasts • Management strategy evaluations 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 5
  • 6. Scientific and Technical Challenges • Ecosystem understanding required for marine management • Universal tools to support management action are being developed, but broad implementation is challenging • Within the EU • FAO, ICCAT, National Governments, and etc. 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 6
  • 7. Use cases • Horse makerel (Trachurus trachurus) Management Strategy Evaluation (MSE) • José de Oliviera - CEFAS • North Sea Multi-fleet, mixed-fishery model (MS-model) • Robert Thorpe - CEFAS 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 7 FAO Thorpe et al 2015
  • 8. MSE • Identify robust harvest control rules • Maximize economic and sustainable yield 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 8 FAO
  • 9. MS-model • Identify trade-offs among fished species and between yield and ecosystem characteristics • Ensemble approach provides uncertainty intervals for management 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 9 Thorpe et al 2015 Thorpe et al 2016
  • 10. Outcomes • Facilitate ICES advisory process • Improve the tools managers use to make decisions • «Sand box» for model development and exploration of parameter settings • State of the art models for training, education, and dissemination to other interested users 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 10
  • 11. Future Steps • VRE production began in June 2016 and first version will be available by autumn • Expand MSE and MS-model for additional stocks and regions • Additonal VREs for mixed-fisherys, data limited stock assessment, single-species forecasting are also in development. 9/21/2016 "What can «blue» do for you: overcoming ICES challenges with BlueBRIDGE tools” Riga, Latvia 11
  • 12. Thank you BlueBRIDGE receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 675680 www.bluebridge-vres.eu @BlueBridgeVREs info@bluebridge-vres.eu