Ansergy provides intraday forecast and analysis of western power markets to help traders and utilities manage risk.

1. Providing forecasts, analysis and market commentary
for western power traders
Mike Griswold
Bill Townsend
Scott Connelly
www.Ansergy.com

2. Ansergy Supports Power Trading
Forecast produced 3x a day
Commentary from Veteran Traders
Trading/Hedging Decision Support
Interactive web portal delivery

3. Fundamentals - Current and Historical
Complete set of current and historical
fundamentals:
Demand
Weather
Generation
Transmission
Context with deep history
Water flows converted to Energy
How is the weather
forecast changing?
Digestible Visuals

4. Intraday Updates
Early Bird
5:00am PT
Mid-Morning
10am PT
Wrap Up
9pm PT
12Z Weather Update
NRC Outages
Pre-market fuel prices
IIR outage updates
Off-peak actuals
18Z Weather Update
NWRFC 10d Forecast
Up to date actuals
Up to date fuel prices
IIR outage updates
0Z Weather Update
BPA TTC Forecasts
CAISO Day Ahead Solution
STP Impacts (Mondays)
IIR outage updates
Post-market power prices
Reflect Fundamentals Through the Day

5. Weekly Impact of STP
Mid-Week Update
Discussion of Water Year
Trade Recommendations
- Reaction to hydro forecasts
- Where is uncertainty in the market
- Which derivatives to look at and why
- Historical context to current
fundamentals
- advice on how to interpret the data
and model outputs
Expert Commentary

6. Market Insights by Veteran Traders
Mike has over 25 years of WECC Term Trading with experience at
Avista, Hafslund and Barclays. In 2002, Mike founded the industry
leading analysis firm Powerlytix forecasting Western power
markets. He has specialized in modeling the impacts of hydro on
Western power markets and created a model-based trading system
which he implemented at Barclays. Mike earned an MBA from
Gonzaga University and BA Business, Eastern Washington
University.
Scott has traded the Western power markets since the onset of
deregulation in 1997. Beginning his power trading career at
Powerex in Vancouver BC, Scott moved to Atlanta, Georgia in
2000 and worked for Mirant, ultimately managing their generation
portfolio in the west. In 2004 Scott moved to Sempra
EnergyTrading as a western proprietary trader then to Barclays
Capital and Goldman Sachs as Managing Director in their
Commodities groups. He returned to Canada in 2010 heading
Trans Alta's trade floor in Calgary, Alberta. Scott has an
undergraduate degree from Carleton University in Ottawa,
Ontario and a MBA from Simon Fraser University in Vancouver,
British Columbia.
Mike Griswold
Scott Connelly

7. Focus on Traded Products and Derivatives
Tools & Commentary on
Outrights
Location Spreads
On-Off Spreads
Period Rolls
Heat Rates

8. Product Access
Web Charts and Tables
Spreadsheets
FTP downloads
SQL with direct database access
Live chat
Phone

9. About Us
Deep in experience in,
Western Power
Markets
Term Trading
Market Simulation &
Analytics
Mike Griswold
Traded at Avista, Hafslund, Barclays
Founded Powerlytix
Bill Townsend
Products development at Platts, Genscape
Founded Friedwire
Scott Connelly
Traded at Powerex, Mirant, Sempra, Barclays,
Goldman, TransAlta

10. www.Ansergy.com
Bill Townsend
wpt@ansergy.com
(206) 877 0991