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Weekly Media Update_24_01_2023.pdf

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(This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news
related to GOI and PSEs, ...
and increased scepticism about the benefits of
globalization," the staff report said. It said
deepening trade ties had res...
ground for next general elections and assembly
elections in multiple states, economists said. The
overall tax receipts for...
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  1. 1. (This document comprises news clips from various media in which Balmer Lawrie is mentioned, news related to GOI and PSEs, and news from the verticals that we do business in. This will be uploaded on intranet and website every Monday.) 2023 likely to be a year of India’s arrival on the world stage, says RBI The year 2023 will be a year for the Indian economy to strengthen its position on the global stage while the rest of the world grapples with an impending recession, war and inflation, the Reserve Bank of India said in its state of the economy report. The distinction of being the most populated country — home to a sixth of the world’s working population — could only heighten the prospects of surpassing Germany and Japan by 2027, RBI said, citing a forecast by the International Monetary Fund. “In closing, 2023 may well be the opening ajar of a window in which India’s time on the world stage is arriving,” RBI said in its commentary. In April 2023, India’s population will be the largest in the world, projected at 1.4 billion. “With a median age of 28, this is India’s chance to seize the demographic dividend and herald its emergence as an economic powerhouse of the future,” RBI said. India will be a $3.7 trillion economy in 2023, maintaining its lead over the UK as the fifth largest global economy. The Economic Times - 20.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=20_01_2023_005_007_etkc_ET World economy is headed for a recession in 2023, says researcher The world faces a recession in 2023 higher borrowing costs aimed at tackling inflation cause a number of economies to contract, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research. The global economy surpassed $100 trillion for the first time in 2022 but will stall in 2023 as policy makers continue their fight against soaring prices, the British consultancy said in its annual World Economic League Table. “It’s likely that the world economy will face recession next year as a result of the rises in interest rates in response to higher inflation," said Kay Daniel Neufeld, director and head of Forecasting at CEBR. The report added that, “The battle against inflation is not won yet. We expect central bankers to stick to their guns in 2023 despite the economic costs. The cost of bringing inflation down to more comfortable levels is a poorer growth outlook for a number of years to come." The findings are more pessimistic than the latest forecast from the International Monetary Fund. Mint - 17.01.2023 https://www.livemint.com/economy/world- economy-is-headed-for-a-recession-in-2023- says-researcher-11672020398719.html Fragmentation could cost global economy up to 7% of GDP: IMF report A severe fragmentation of the global economy after decades of increasing economic integration could reduce global economic output by up to 7%, but the losses could reach 8-12% in some countries, if technology is also decoupled, the International Monetary Fund said in a new staff report. The IMF said even limited fragmentation could shave 0.2% off of global GDP, but said more work was needed to assess the estimated costs to the international monetary system and the global financial safety net (GFSN). The note, released late Sunday, noted that the global flows of goods and capital had levelled off after the global financial crisis of 2008-2009, and a surge in trade restrictions seen in subsequent years. "The COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine have further tested international relations India may benefit despite recession likely in 2023: WEF Survey A global recession is likely to occur in 2023, but pressures on food, energy and inflation may be reaching their peak, according to the World Economic Forum (WEF)’s Chief Economists Outlook survey released on Monday. Nevertheless, the report noted that some South Asian economies, including Bangladesh and India, could benefit from global trends like the diversification of manufacturing supply chains away from China. According to the WEF, cost- cutting measures will be taken by businesses around the world in response to economic headwinds, but chief economists are upbeat about inflation and robust balance sheets. The majority of the Community of Chief Economists at the World Economic Forum predict that geopolitical tensions will continue to shape the WEEKLY MEDIA UPDATE Issue 586 24 January 2023 Tuesday
  2. 2. and increased scepticism about the benefits of globalization," the staff report said. It said deepening trade ties had resulted in a large reduction in global poverty for years, while benefitting low-income consumers in advanced economies through lower prices. Business Standard - 17.01.2023 https://www.business- standard.com/article/international/fragmentation -could-cost-global-economy-up-to-7-of-gdp-imf- report-123011600028_1.html world economy and that there will be more monetary tightening in the United States and Europe. A global recession is expected in 2023, according to nearly two-thirds of chief economists, 18 per cent of whom think it is extremely likely—more than twice as many as in the previous survey, which was conducted in September 2022. Business World - 17.01.2023 https://www.businessworld.in/article/India- May-Benefit-Despite-Recession-Likely-In- 2023-WEF-Survey/16-01-2023-462015/ India Inc Q3 revenue seen rising 14% on volume surge, price hikes India Inc’s revenue is expected to rise around 14% year-on-year for the December quarter to Rs 10.9 trillion, following a steady surge in volumes and price hikes, and driven primarily by the consumer discretionary segments. On a sequential basis, the revenue is seen rising 0.9% and profitability by 140 basis points (bps), according to a Crisil report. “Revenue growth in the third-quarter growth would be driven by consumer discretionary items such as airlines and automobiles, while construction-linked ones such as steel, aluminium and some industrial commodities such as petrochemicals would underperform,” said Hetal Gandhi, director (research), Crisil Market Intelligence and Analytics. India Inc’s operating margins are likely to contract 270 bps y-o-y, though slower than in the past two quarters, as easing commodity prices provided some succour amid moderating revenue growth, the report said. However, this would mark the fifth quarter of a y- o-y contraction. On a sequential basis, operating margins would rise for the first time in six quarters to 18-19% in the third quarter from 17.2% in the quarter ended September. The Financial Express - 18.01.2023 https://www.financialexpress.com/industry/india- inc-q3-revenue-seen-rising-14-on-volume-surge- price-hikes/2951425/ GDP to touch $26 Tr, per capita income seen at $15k by 2047 India’s GDP will reach $26 trillion (in market exchange terms), and its per capita income will touch $15,000 by 2047, firmly establishing India among the ranks of developed economies, said an EY report. The study, titled “India@100: Realizing the Potential of a $26 Trillion Economy,” was launched by Ashwini Vaishnaw, the railway and IT minister, on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. The research recommended a sustained focus on reforms to lessen the impact of existing geopolitical conflicts, inflationary pressures, and a slowing global economy while highlighting key enablers that will drive progress over the next 25 years. “In line with Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s vision, India has commenced its journey into 'Amrit Kaal', a uniquely auspicious period, representing India’s opportunity to herald a new world era. There is an unparalleled impetus on developing world- class infrastructure supported by growth and investment-oriented policies and reforms to establish India as a manufacturing and technology hub,” said Vaishnaw. The Economic Times - 19.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=19_01_2023_012_019_etkc_ET Economists pencil in FY24 fiscal deficit at 5.8% to 6% of GDP The upcoming Union budget is expected to peg the fiscal deficit for 2023-24 at between 5. 8% and 6% of the gross domestic product (GDP) with the government having pressed ahead with fiscal consolidation despite spending pressures, economists have said. The Centre is expected to meet the budgeted fiscal deficit estimate of 6. 4% of GDP for the current fiscal year, they added. Reduction in fiscal deficit in the next financial year would be backed by a reduction in subsidy spending, though capital and welfare expenditures could go up as the government prepares the Indian government to tap brakes on capex growth The Indian government is set to tap the brakes on a torrid pace of capital investment growth in the coming fiscal year as a slowing economy limits spending power by weakening tax revenue, according to a Reuters poll of economists. Food and fertiliser subsidies that help two-thirds of India’s 1.4 billion people will also be scaled back, according to the survey. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has more than doubled capital spending since fiscal 2019-20 in a bid to make India a more attractive destination for global manufacturing.
  3. 3. ground for next general elections and assembly elections in multiple states, economists said. The overall tax receipts for FY24 are seen lower than 2022-23 and market borrowings are likely to stay high, they said. State Bank of India and rating agency Crisil see slightly lower fiscal consolidation in FY24 and have pegged the estimate at 6% of GDP. Most others see FY24 fiscal deficit at 5.75- 5.9% of GDP. The Economic Times - 19.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=19_01_2023_007_008_etkc_ET But private investment has lagged New Delhi’s lead for about a decade. Now, that the robust pace of government investment is set to slow to barely half its previous rate in the fiscal year to March 2024, according to the January 13-20 poll of 39 economists. Capex is set to increase in fiscal 2023-24 by about 17 per cent to Rs 8.85 lakh crore, from an estimated Rs 7.50 lakh crore in the current fiscal year, itself up roughly 35 per cent on a year before. The Telegraph - 24.01.2023 https://www.telegraphindia.com/business/indi an-government-to-tap-brakes-on-capex- growth-key-subsidies/cid/1911696 Exports decline 12.2% in Dec as global slowdown hits demand India’s goods exports dropped 12.2% in December from a year earlier to $34.5 billion as the deepening global slowdown dented consumer demand across most of the developed world and many emerging economies. The drop in imports was less as the growing Indian economy continued to ship in inputs and goods. Imports declined to $58.2 billion in December against $60.3 billion in the same month last year. India's merchandise trade deficit in December widened to $23.9 billion against $21.1 billion a year ago. “US and Europe are facing recessionary trends. In China, there is huge demand reduction. So, we are facing a lot of headwinds,” commerce secretary Sunil Barthwal said. “Our export competitiveness has held its head high despite the strong headwinds we’re facing." During April-December this fiscal, the country’s overall exports rose 9% to $332.8 billion while imports were up a quarter to $551.7 billion. “Encouragingly, non-oil, nongold exports rose, albeit only slightly, despite global growth headwinds and the decline in exports across Asia,” Rahul Bajoria of Barclays said in a note. The Economic Times - 17.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=17_01_2023_009_003_etkc_ET Inflation Dips to 22-month low in Dec as food prices cool down India’s wholesale inflation eased almost a percentage point to a 22-month low of 4. 95% in December, helped by a sharp drop in food prices from a year earlier, official data released on Monday showed. This should help further drive down consumer inflation, which eased to a 12-month low of 5.72% in December. Inflation based on the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) has slipped below 5% for the first time since Feb 2021. It was 5. 85% in November. “Similar to CPI, WPI is also losing momentum, driven by both base effects and falling food prices,” said Rahul Bajoria, MD and head of emerging markets Asia (excluding China) economics, Barclays. The declining inflation should allow the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to soften its rate increase in the monetary policy review next month or even pause tightening to support growth. The RBI raised its policy rates by 35 basis points (bps) to 6.25% on December 7 following three successive 50 bps increases earlier. A basis point is 0.01 percentage point. The Economic Times - 17.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=17_01_2023_009_013_etkc_ET Gross borrowing likely to hit Rs 16 trillion next fiscal The Indian government will borrow a record Rs 16 lakh crore (trillion) in the fiscal year to March 2024, according to a Reuters poll of economists, who said infrastructure spending and fiscal discipline ought to be its highest budget priorities. The federal government’s gross indebtedness has more than doubled in the past four years as Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government has spent heavily to cushion the economy from the effects of the Covid-19 pandemic and to provide relief to the poor. The February 1 budget will be the last full- fledged one before national elections in 2024 and EPFO may fix threshold for ETF returns The Employees’ Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) will consider mandating a 10% return threshold for booking profit in its equity investments via exchange-traded funds (ETFs). It will also redeem ETFs frequently based on this threshold instead of at one-go sale to avoid market fluctuations. The retirement fund body, which has been investing up to 15% of its corpus in ETFs since 2015-16, will also try to lengthen the investment tenure to five years instead of the current four years to ensure better returns. The Finance Investment and Audit Committee of the EPFO has proposed the
  4. 4. before elections in several large populous states that will be key tests for the ruling BJP. But a fall in tax revenue and expected slowing economic growth next fiscal year will limit the government’s ability to cut borrowing in the near term. Gross borrowing next fiscal year is expected to hit Rs 16 lakh crore, up from an estimated Rs 14.2 lakh crore in 2022-23, according to the median forecast of 43 economists. The Telegraph - 24.01.2023 https://www.telegraphindia.com/business/gross- borrowing-likely-to-hit-rs-16-trillion-next- fiscal/cid/1911698 10% threshold, which means the retirement fund body will only redeem ETFs if the annualised returns are 10% or higher. Once approved by the central board of trustees (CBT) of the retirement body, the threshold would be finalised, a member of the EPFO board told ET. According to a senior government official, the redemption policy will bring in transparency to the system as well as redemptions. The Economic Times - 18.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=18_01_2023_009_015_etkc_ET Russia 4th largest source of imports; $50bn seen in FY23 Imports from Russia have jumped five times to $32. 9 billion during April-December, making it the fourth largest trading partner. If current pace of increase persists, Russia’s imports could hit $50 billion, just shy of the value of goods shipped from the US, which is the third largest source of imports for India. At the same time, if the US and the UAE maintain their pace of growth during the last quarter of the current financial year, they could end the year with exports to India adding up to $56 billion and $54 billion, respectively. During April-December 2022, the two countries saw exports to India rise by around 25% each. Russia has moved up from being India’s 20thlargest source of imports last financial year due to the massive surge in crude petroleum flows as the government went bargain hunting to contain the cost of fuel, while also seeing this as an opportunity to push export of petrol and diesel to countries such as the Netherlands and Brazil. Fertilisers are the major contributor to higher imports from Russia. The Times of India - 17.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=17_01_2023_013_011_toikc_TOI Oil Minister Puri Requests fuel retailers to reduce prices if int’l crude rate stabilises Oil minister Hardeep Singh Puri on Sunday “requested” state-run oil companies to consider reducing fuel prices if international crude prices stabilise in the coming days and their losses were gone. “I would request the oil companies (state-run fuel retailers) that in the coming days, if international oil prices remain under control and their under-recoveries were gone, they could look at some (fuel) price reduction,” Puri told reporters on Sunday. But it may be too soon to expect a cut as trade data indicates companies are making a profit of Rs 5 on a litre of petrol but still losing about Rs 13 on diesel. This is a marked improvement from the time when the losses had risen to Rs 17. 4 on a litre of petrol and Rs 27. 7 on diesel in June last year as oil and product prices spiked above $100 per barrel after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine but pump prices remained unchanged. Puri said fuel prices have remained stable as the public sector retailers, as “good corporate citizens” decided against burdening consumers by raising pump rates. The Times of India - 23.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=23_01_2023_015_011_toikc_TO I Oil market faces bigger surplus even as China economy reopens Global oil markets face a bigger surplus this quarter than previously expected, with demand still constrained despite China's bid to reopen its economy from Covid lockdowns. World supplies will exceed consumption by roughly 1 million barrels a day in the first three months of the year, the International Energy Agency said in a monthly report. While the organization made a modest upgrade to its outlook for China after the easing of restrictions, it doesn't expect to see annual demand growth there until the second quarter. “As China faces a challenging winter, its exit path will Marketing losses of India’s oil PSUs to ease: Moody’s With the international prices of petrol and diesel cooling due to economic slowdown concerns, marketing losses for the three Indian oil companies will ease, said Moody’s Investors Service. In a report, Moody’s said the marketing losses for Indian Oil Corporation Ltd (IOCL), Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL) and Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) will go down. “Still, overall earnings for fiscal 2023 ending on 31 March 2023 will be weak because of marketing losses in the first half, when net realised prices did not increase as
  5. 5. unquestionably be bumpy and drawn-out,” the Paris-based adviser said. “Hardship and disruptions therefore look set to prevail in the near-term” in the country. Oil prices have had a rocky start to the year as Beijing's lifting of restrictions triggered a new surge of virus infections that threatens to derail efforts to restart the economy. Brent futures traded near $87 a barrel on Wednesday. The Economic Times - 19.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=19_01_2023_005_007_etkc_ET much as international prices because of fuel price caps,” it said. The rupee’s depreciation against the US dollar further hit profits as oil prices and a large portion of refiners’ borrowings are in dollars, Moody’s said. A decline in crude oil prices from levels earlier in the current fiscal year will lower feedstock costs and improve profitability in the next few months. The three companies also benefit from the continued use of Russian crude oil, which is trading at a discount to Brent crude. Nonetheless, oil prices are likely to remain volatile over the next 12 months, Moody’s said. Sarkaritel.com - 19.01.2023 https://www.sarkaritel.com/marketing-losses- of-indias-oil-psus-to-ease-moodys/ Increased E&P, import diversity, biofuels part of plan, says Puri India, the world’s third largest energy consumer, is increasing domestic oil and gas exploration, diversifying import basket, switching to alternate sources and using gas and green hydrogen as a pathway to energy transition and security, Oil Minister Hardeep Singh Puri said Sunday. Puri, who was here for an event showcasing age-old boats on the ‘ghats’ of the holy city switching to CNG instead of polluting diesel, said India is projected to contribute fourth of the world’s energy demand growth in next couple of decades. While the nation is dependent on imports to meet 85 per cent of its oil needs and 50 per cent of its natural gas requirements, India is mixing ethanol extracted from sugarcane and other agri produce in petrol to cut overseas reliance. It will achieve 20 per cent ethanol blending in petrol by 2025, Puri said. “Our energy security strategy is based on four pillars of diversification of energy supplies, increasing exploration and production footprint, using alternate energy sources, and meeting energy transition through the gas-based economy, green hydrogen and EVs,” he said. Millennium Post - 23.01.2023 https://www.millenniumpost.in/business/increase d-ep-import-diversity-biofuels-part-of-plan-says- puri-506217 China's COVID-19 reopening set to push 2023 oil demand to new high: IEA The lifting of COVID-19 restrictions in China is set to boost global oil demand this year to a new record high, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Wednesday, while price cap sanctions on Russia could dent supply. "Two wild cards dominate the 2023 oil market outlook: Russia and China," the Paris-based energy watchdog said in its monthly oil report. "Russian supply slows under the full impact of sanctions (while) China will drive nearly half this global demand growth even as the shape and speed of its reopening remains uncertain." Weak industrial activity and mild weather helped cut oil demand by nearly a million barrels per day in the OECD developed countries in the last quarter of 2022. But despite possible but likely mild recessions in Europe and the United States, China's expected reopening is set to fuel rebounds in nearby Asian economies and see it take the lead from India as the world's leader in oil demand growth. "The preeminent driver of 2023 GDP and oil demand growth will be the timing and pace of China's post-lockdown recovery," the IEA said. The Economic Times - 19.01.2023 https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ news/oil-and-gas/chinas-covid-19-reopening- set-to-push-2023-oil-demand-to-new-high- iea/97089657 India's Russian oil binge drags down OPEC's share to lowest in 2022 Russia became the third-largest oil supplier to India in 2022, making up about 15 per cent of total purchases, dragging down OPEC's share to the lowest in more than a decade, data obtained from industry sources show. Refiners in India, the world's third-biggest oil consumer and importer, Huge sanctions are looming for the fuel that powers the world An unprecedented chunk of the global diesel market, the workhorse fuel of the global economy, is just weeks away from being subject to aggressive sanctions. From Feb 5, the European Union, the G-7 and its allies will attempt to impose a cap on the price of Russia’s
  6. 6. have been gorging on Russian oil sold at a discount after some Western companies shunned buying from Moscow following its invasion of Ukraine last February. In 2021, Russia was at the 17th spot, supplying about 1 per cent of India's overall imports. Last month India's oil imports from Russia surged to an all-time high of 1.25 million barrels per day (bpd), about a quarter of overall 4.9 million bpd purchase, the data showed. India's December oil imports were the highest in seven months as refiners were drawn to Russian oil due to the deeper discounts offered ahead of a Dec. 5 embargo by Europe and a price cap by the European Union and G7 nations to cut Moscow's oil revenue. The Economic Times - 19.01.2023 https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ne ws/oil-and-gas/indias-russian-oil-binge-drags- down-opecs-share-to-lowest-in-2022/97076189 fuel exports — the latest punishment for its invasion of Ukraine. That will coincide with an EU prohibition on almost all imports of Russian oil products. Similar measures are already in place on the country’s crude shipments, but it is the cap and ban on refined fuels — and in particular diesel — that has some oil-market watchers concerned about the potential for price spikes. Prior to its invasion of Ukraine, Russia was Europe’s largest external supplier of the fuel, and the continent has continued to buy in big volumes right up to the cut-off. As a result, the sanctions are likely to see a great rerouting of global diesel flows — aided by Russia’s new crude buyers sending fuel back to Europe. The Economic Times - 17.01.2023 https://energy.economictimes.indiatimes.com/ news/oil-and-gas/huge-sanctions-are-looming- for-the-fuel-that-powers-the-world/97016820 India's gas imports to rise on easing global prices: Petronet LNG India's liquefied natural gas (LNG) imports are set to recover as global prices ease, the chief executive of the country's top gas importer Petronet LNG Ltd said. Asian spot LNG prices have fallen due to mild weather in Europe and ample inventories, from an average of $30-$35 per million British thermal units (mmBtu) in the December quarter to around $17/mmBtus, A.K. Singh said. India wants to raise the share of gas in its energy mix to 15% by 2030 from 6.2% at present. However, a spike in global gas prices last year, triggered by the Russia-Ukraine conflict, cut demand for cleaner fuel from price-sensitive Indian customers. "Now the export cargoes are hovering at $17 (million British thermal units). We definitely expect that we will get the movement of more cargoes coming to our country." Singh said at the company's earnings press conference. "In previous months it was a lot of volatility," he added. India's gas imports in October and November declined by about a fifth to about 1.8 million tonnes from this fiscal year's peak of 2.2 million tonnes in May, according to government data. Data for December has not yet been released. Business Standard - 21.01.2023 https://www.business- standard.com/article/economy-policy/india-s- gas-imports-to-rise-on-easing-global-prices-says- petronet-lng-123012001353_1.html Domestic air passenger traffic up 13.7% in Dec India's domestic passenger traffic grew 13. 69 per cent year-on-year to 127. 35 lakhs in December, according to DGCA monthly traffic data released on Thursday. The number of passengers flown by the Indian airlines in December 2021 was recorded at 112. 02 lakh, as per data. IndiGo, which carried 69. 97 lakh passengers during the month, lost the market share further at 55. 7 per cent, while Air India and Vistara carried 11.71 lakh and 11.70 lakh passengers, with a market share of 9.1 per cent and 9.2 per cent, respectively. AirAsia flew 9. 71 lakh passengers with a market share of 7. 6 per cent during the month, the DGCA data show. The two other budget carriers – SpiceJet and Go First carried 9. 64 lakh and 9.51 lakh passengers in December 2022. Also, SpiceJet saw the highest load factor on its flights among all domestic airlines, with 92. 7 per cent of the seats on its aircraft fil-led during the month under review. New entrant Akasa Air also carried 2.92 lakh passengers with a 2.3 per cent market share. The Economic Times - 20.01.2023 https://epaper.timesgroup.com/article- share?article=20_01_2023_004_003_etkc_ET Dr G Jawahar joins BEML Limited as Director (HR) Dr G Jawahar has assumed charge of Director (HR) and member of the Board of BEML Limited, a Defence Public Sector Undertaking under the Ministry of Defence. Prior to joining BEML, he was Executive Director at Power Finance Corporation (PFC) Limited. According to an earlier order from
  7. 7. DoPT, he has been appointed to the post for a period with effect from the date of his assumption of charge of the post till the date of his superannuation i.e. May 31, 2026, or until further orders, whichever is earlier. A veteran HR professional with over 33 years of experience in various facets of HR from three major Power PSUs like NHPC Limited, Power Grid Limited and PFC Limited he made a significant impact on the long-term functioning of HR. He has a rich understanding in bringing new policies, strategies & practices, evolving career growth initiatives and training requirements. PSU Watch - 18.01.2023 https://psuwatch.com/dr-g-jawahar-joins-beml-limited-its-as-director-hr/

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