1.
BP Energy Outlook 2035
Our 2014 look-ahead to
the future of energy
1
In 2035 how much energy will the world need?
95%
By 2035 world
energy demand
will grow by
b
41%
LIIL
OO
but growth
will slow and...
will come almost entirely from
emerging economies.
oil
Co
al
non
fossil
sumption s
n
lo
co
non
fossil
27%
gas
oil
ing
w
t grow
ing
wes
lo
s
el
fu
Oi
l-
2 What is the outlook for individual fuels?
27%
gas
coal
coal
3
How will energy be used?
26%
gas
Ren
ew
oil
non
fossil
oil
ow
gr
non
fossil
s - continue
ble
t
a
o
s
stest growin
- fa
g
l fuel
ssi
fo
Natura
lg
a
GAS
7%
gas
coal
Transport will be
the slowest
growing sector and
use more natural
gas, biofuels and
electricity,
50
40
coal
60
70
30
80
20
90
10
100
Power generation will account
for more than half of growth.
but will still be
dominated by oil.
4
What are the wider implications?
Overall, China will still import and consume the
most energy using more per head than the EU,
supply
demand
but growth will slow and later be fastest in India.
per capita
per capita
Rising shale gas and tight oil
output help the US achieve energy
self-sufficiency.
China
5
EU
What will this mean for the environment?
Global CO2 emissions will
rise but more slowly
owing to increasing shares
of gas and renewables
and energy intensity
reducing worldwide,
as rising economic growth
is now accompanied by
BP Energy Outlook 2035
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flattening energy demand.