Avion Gold Corporate Presentation


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Avion Corporate Presentation as at Nov 15, 2011

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Avion Gold Corporate Presentation

  1. 1. A Growing Gold Producer in West AfricaTSX: AVR November 2011 1 A Member of the Forbes & Manhattan Group of Companies
  2. 2. Forward Looking StatementThis company presentation contains forward-looking statements under Canadian securities legislation. Forward-looking statements include, but are not limitedto, statements with respect to the development potential and timetable of the projects; the Company’s ability to raise additional funds as necessary; the futureprice of gold; the estimation of mineral resources; conclusions of economic evaluation (including scoping studies); the realization of mineral resource estimates;the timing and amount of estimated future production, development and exploration; costs of future activities; capital and operating expenditures; success ofexploration activities; mining or processing issues; currency exchange rates; government regulation of mining operations; and environmental risks. Generally,forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “plans”, “expects” or “does not expect”, “is expected”,“budget”, “scheduled”, “estimates”, “forecasts”, “intends”, “anticipates” or “does not anticipate”, or “believes”, or variations of such words and phrases orstatements that certain actions, events or results “may”, “could”, “would”, “might” or “will be taken”, “occur” or “be achieved”. Forward-looking statements arebased on the opinions and estimates of management as of the date such statements are made. Estimates regarding the anticipated timing, amount and cost ofmining at the Mali projects are based on assumptions underlying mineral resource estimates and the realization of such estimates; results of previous miningactivities at the projects, and detailed research and analysis completed by independent consultants and management of the Company; research and estimatesregarding the timing of delivery for long-lead items; knowledge regarding the factors involved in building a mine and other factors described in the annualinformation form of the company. Capital and operating cost estimates are based on results of previous mining activities, research of the Company andindependent consultants, recent estimates of construction and mining costs and other factors that are set out in the scoping study. Production estimates arebased on mine plans and production schedules, which have been developed by the Company’s personnel and independent consultants. Forward-lookingstatements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance orachievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements, including but not limited to risksrelated to: timing and availability of external financing on acceptable terms; unexpected events and delays during construction, expansion and start-up;variations in ore grade and recovery rates; receipt and revocation of government approvals; actual results of exploration and mining activities; changes inproject parameters as plans continue to be refined; future prices of gold; failure of plant, equipment or processes to operate as anticipated; accidents, labourdisputes and other risks of the mining industry. Although management of the Company has attempted to identify important factors that could cause actualresults to differ materially from those contained in forward-looking statements, there may be other factors that cause results not to be as anticipated, estimatedor intended. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from thoseanticipated in such statements. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company does not undertake toupdate any forward-looking statements except in accordance with applicable securities laws.The ability of Avion to increase production to 200,000 ounces of gold per year has not been the subject of a feasibility study and there is no certainty that theproposed expansion will be economically viable.Investors are advised that National Instrument NI 43-101 of the Canadian Securities Administrators requires that each category of mineral reserves and mineralresources be reported separately. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have demonstrated economic viability.The company uses the term “cash costs” in this presentation. Cash costs is a non-GAAP figure. Please see the Company’s Management Discussion & Analysisfor an explanation of this figure and the associated uncertainty.Cautionary Note to U.S. Investors Concerning Estimates of Measured, Indicated or Inferred ResourcesThe information presented uses the terms “measured”, “indicated” and “inferred” mineral resources. United States investors are advised that while such termsare recognized and required by Canadian regulations, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission does not recognize these terms. “Inferred mineralresources” have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all or any part ofan inferred mineral resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category. Under Canadian rules, estimates of inferred mineral resources may not form the basis offeasibility or other economic studies. United States investors are cautioned not to assume that all or any part of measured or indicated mineral resources willever be converted into mineral reserves. United States investors are also cautioned not to assume that all or any part of an inferred mineral resource exists, or iseconomically or legally mineable. TSX: AVR 2
  3. 3. Investment Highlights Increasing production profile from 87,630 ounces in 2010 to run rate of 200,000 ounces after Q1, 2012 Expect a significant valuation change in 6 months Increasing resource base through exploration Long term cost base of ~$560/oz in 10 year plan Cash flow positive and well financed TSX: AVR 3
  4. 4. 6 Month Valuation Bump-up from aProduction Increase to 200,000 oz rate 6,000 5,500 NGDMarket Capitalization (US$mm) 5,000 4,500 AVERAGE 4,000 3,500 ANV 3,000 2,500 AGI SMF EGU 2,000 AUQ Avion Gold 200,000 oz P roduction) 1,500 KGI MFL BTO NXG 1,000 Avion Gold ARZ SGR AVM GSC 500 TGZ EDV 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 2011E Production (000s oz Au) TSX: AVR 4
  5. 5. Valuation Increase Factors Organic Growth of Increasing Annual Resource Base from Production rate to Exploration 200,000 oz in 2012 TSX: AVR 5
  6. 6. Avion Properties –West African Focus TSX: AVR 6
  7. 7. In a good NeighborhoodMali: Africa’s Third Largest Gold Producer Western Mali Gold Belt >38 million ounces of Resources TSX: AVR 7
  8. 8. Bringing Value Sooner Delivering Production Expansion into Gold’s Bull Market 51,000 ounces produced in 2009 Avion’s 1st Reserve 87,630 ounces produced in 2010 July 2011 Ramping up to a 200,000 ounce run-rate in 2012* Three major exploration packages December 2010 -Avion closes acquisition of Axmin’s October 2010 interest in Kofi Concession -Avion closes acquisition of Hounde Group Concession from Avocet -Vindaloo Resource Announced January 2010 Avion completes acquisition of Great Quest interest in Kenieba Concession May 2009 -Commercial Production Declared -Avion acquires Dynamite Resources -Avion Produces Second Technical Report February 2009 Avion restarts Mill at Tabakoto December 2008 -Tabakoto Property purchased from Nevsun * The ability of Avion to increase production to 200,000 ounces of gold per year has not been the subject of a feasibility study and there is no certainty -Avion produces First Technical Report that the proposed expansion will be economically viable. TSX: AVR 8
  9. 9. Strong AssetsResource Base Updated – Corporate Mineral Resources* Tonnes Grade Gold Ounces (g/t Au) Proven & Probable (SP/OP)(1) (1 to 2 g/t Au Cut-off) 2,611,000 2.90 243,600 Proven & Probable (UG) (2 g/t Au Cut-off) 4,630,000 4.50 669,500 Measured & Indicated 5,282,300 2.72 486,800 (1 to 2 g/t Au Cut-off) Inferred (1 to 2 g/t Au Cut-off) 18,547,793 3.24 1,932,633 (1) Includes stockpile of 1,207,300 tonnes grading 1.53 g/t Au containing 59,600 ozs • The resource study was prepared by Eugene Puritch, P.Eng. And and Antoine Yassa, P. Geo of P&E Mining Consultants Inc. Note that open pit mineral resources were calculated at a cut-off of 1.0 g/t Au and underground mineral resources were calculated using a 2.0 g/t cut-off. • Estimates include 81.25% of Kofi Project resources - Dec. 11, 2007 AXMIN news release, Roberts, 2008 43-101 compliant report. • Resource updated to include estimated mining drawdown, Great Quest Acquisition, recent Kofi Acquisition and Hounde’s Vindaloo zone. TSX: AVR 9
  10. 10. Increasing Resource Base Production Start +Vindaloo 2.5 2 +Kofi +GQ Million ounces 1.5 +Tabakoto +Dioulafoundou M&I 1 Inferred 0.5 Segala 0 1-Apr 1-Apr 1-Dec 1-Dec 1-Jun 1-Jun 1-Feb 1-Oct 1-Feb 1-Oct 1-Aug 1-Aug 2008 2009 2010 * Tabakoto, GQ & Dioulafoundou are updated to Dec. 30, 2010 TSX: AVR 10
  11. 11. 2010 – Steady Growth 87,630 oz. Produced 2011 – Range of 92,000 - 95,000 oz. Forecasted30,000 $1,000 $90025,000 $800 $70020,000 $60015,000 $500 Oz. Produced $40010,000 Cost/Oz. $300 $200 5,000 $100 - $- Q1-10 Q2-10 Q3-10 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 TSX: AVR 11
  12. 12. Avion Production To Date 2009 Total (1)(2)(3)(4) 2010 Ore Milled (000 t) 562.8 705.9 Head Grade (g/t Au) 2.95 4.02 Recovery (%) 95.4 96.5 Gold Production (oz) 51,291 87,631 (1) Mill was restarted on February 17, 2009. Gold production includes 747 oz recovered from plant clean-up work in 2009 prior to the mill restart. (2) Commercial production was declared May 1, 2009. (3) Includes 2 weeks downtime due to heavy rainfall and road transportation issues. (4) 2009 Total adjusted by -483 oz to reconcile to refined ounces. 2011 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total YTD Ore Milled (000 t) 180.8 197.1 227.9 605.7 Head Grade (g/t Au) 3.64 4.21 3.12 3.63 Recovery (%) 96.2 96.8 95.4 96.2 Gold Production (oz) 20,272 25,823 21,687 67,782 TSX: AVR 12
  13. 13. Production Growth vs. Costs Au Production and Cash Costs Production (000 Au oz) Cash Cost (US$) 250000 600 580 200000 Cash Costs 560 150000 540 100000 520 500 Au Production 50000 480 0 460 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-22 Open Pit Segala UG Tabakoto UG Initial mine plan presented in the Segala scoping study prepared by M. Rivera, P. Eng, (independent) with the support of T, Mann, P.Eng. (independent) and Andrew Bradfield, P.Eng. (Not Independent Chief Operation Officer of Avion). Resource estimate prepared by Eugene Puritch and Antoine Yassa of P&E Mining Consultants. Using CanaccordGenuity Research’s gold price forecast of US$900/oz in 2009, US$850/oz in 2010, US$800/oz in 2011 and US$750/oz in 2012, open pit and underground recoveries of 90% and 85%, respectively, UG equipment will be leased, UG mining by mechanized long hole retreat TSX: AVR 13
  14. 14. 200,000 oz/year Run-Rate in 2012 2011 2012Anticipated project milestones Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q175,000 metre exploration program • • • •Future exploration programs •Tabakoto underground development • • • •Issue updated NI43-101 resource report •Initial Reserve statement for Tabakoto •Mine other open pits • • • • •Segala underground development • • •Plant expansion construction • • • • •1 million ounce Resource on Houndé Property • • • •Updated Resource Statement (Houndé & Kofi) •Updated Resource Statement (Tabakoto) •200,000 oz/year gold production run rate* ◊ * The ability of Avion to increase production to 200,000 ounces of gold per year has not been the subject of a feasibility study and there TSX: AVR is no certainty that the proposed expansion will be economically viable. 14
  15. 15. Strong AssetsLarge, Target-Rich Property with Central Milling Complex 8.51 g/t Au/10.5m Segala Mine Mill – 2100 tpd Dar Salam 15.27 g/t Au/3.7m 13.56 g/t Au/22.5m Roads Tabakoto Mine 7.41 g/t Au/11.5m Tailings pond 11.6 g/t Au/13.8m Dioulafoundou Power 21.77 g/t Au/21.0m Water Fougala 1 8.02 g/t Au/22.3 m Djambaye II 7.53 g/t Au/20.0 m 4 km Approx. 132 km2 TSX: AVR 15
  16. 16. Strong Assets$US100M Assets Acquired for <$0.20 on the Dollar (2008) Camp – now houses 150 staff Milling Facility – 2,100 tpd Power Supply Fuel Supply – Contracted Current Tabakoto Pit TSX: AVR 16
  17. 17. Recent Tabakoto Underground DevelopmentAvion is Mali’s 3rd Largest Gold Company Tabakoto Pit Tabakoto Underground Development Tabakoto Underground TSX: AVR 17
  18. 18. Resources Expansion PotentialFour Target Concepts 1 1 Segala open to depth – underground potential 4 2 Tabakoto open to depth, and around pit 3 Djambaye II along strike and to depth 2 4 Remainder of property 4 3 Approx. 132 km2 TSX: AVR 18
  19. 19. Target-Rich Exploration Package (~600 km2)  75% of drill holes have intersected gold!  Recently Increased Exploration Budget, now $16 Million for 2011 (all properties)  Total Project (Avion + Great Quest+Kofi + Hounde) Resource of:  M&I: 1.3 M ozs*  Inf: 2.1 M ozs* * At 1.0 and 2.0 g/t cut-offs TSX: AVR 19
  20. 20. Houndé – Burkina Faso Excellent Resource Expansion Potential $6 Million Exploration Budget for 2011, recently doubled Current Resource of:  Ind: 63,000 ozs  Inf: 547,000 ozs Recent New Discovery Targeting Initiation of Preliminary Economic Assessment in Q4-2011 TSX: AVR 20
  21. 21. Capital Structure Exchange TSX Ticker AVR Hedging Shares Outstanding – basic 438.9 million Fully diluted 464.6 million 52-Week High/Low $2.57 - $0.94 Recent Price (Nov 15, 2011) $1.90 • Well financed/Cash flow positive • Strong Balance Sheet Market Capitalization ~$834million TSX: AVR 21
  22. 22. Undervalued Compared to Peers Avion is undervalued relative to it’s producing peer group based on a price to earnings and cash flow multiples P/E (2011E) P/CFPS (2011E)90 x 60 x80 x 50 x70 x60 x 40 x50 x 30 x40 x30 x 20 x20 x 10 x10 x 0x 0x Source: Canaccord Genuity Research (updated October 11, 2011) TSX: AVR 22
  23. 23. Avion Gold Corporation MAJOR SHAREHOLDERS Sprott Asset Management ~15% Regent Pacific ~3% Sentry Investments ~14% RBC Asset Management ~1% Fidelity Asset Management ~12% AGF Asset Management ~1% Maple Leaf Partners ~8% BlackRock Asset Management ~1% Van Eck Jr Gold ETF ~5% IA Clarington Investments ~1% Craton Capital ~3% OppenheimerFunds Inc. ~1% Carmignac Gestion ~3% PI Financial Corp ~1% Natcan Investment Mgmt ~2% US Global Asset Management ~1% Total other positions of 1% or less is ~5% Management Directors ~2% TSX: AVR 23
  24. 24. Independent Research and Media CoverageIndependent Research – Full Coverage Firm Analyst BMO Capital Markets Andrew Breichmanas Canaccord Genuity Steven Butler Cormark Securities Mike Kozak Mackie Research Capital John McClintock NB Financial Tara Hassan NCP Northland TBAIndependent Research – Research Notes Firm Analyst Desjardins Securities Brian Christie PI Financial Eric ZaunscherbMedia Coverage Firm Casey Research OB Research TSX: AVR 24
  25. 25. Experienced Management Team & BoardMANAGEMENTJohn Begeman, President, Chief Executive Officer and DirectorDon Dudek, Senior Vice President ExplorationGreg Duras, Chief Financial OfficerAndrew Bradfield, Chief Operating OfficerBrianna Davies, Corporate SecretaryBOARD OF DIRECTORSJames Coleman–Independent ChairmanJohn BegemanStan BhartiGeorge FaughtBruce HumphreyLewis Mackenzie, Major General (Ret.)Honorable Pierre Pettigrew, P.C. TSX: AVR 25
  26. 26. Avion Gold Corporation Segala Pit Contacts: Address: John Begeman 65 Queen Street West, Suite 800 President & CEO PO Box 67 Tel: (416) 861-5884 Toronto, ON M5H 2M5 jbegeman@aviongoldcorp.com Website: www.aviongoldcorp.com Michael McAllister Manager, Investor Relations Follow us: Tel: (416) 309-2134 info@aviongoldcorp.com TSX: AVR 26