Nielsen Social TV

Gini Dietrich
Gini DietrichChief Executive Officer at Arment Dietrich, Inc.
Social Panel: Focus on Social Television
AEJMC, Chicago, August 9, 2012
  Mike Hess
  EVP, Data Fusion and Social Television Analytics
TV set still dominates for video viewing
        Q4 2011 Video Penetration among
              the Total Population                                                                             Monthly Time Spent
                                                                                                               among Video Users
                                                                                                                    (hh:mm)

   Mobile          12%
                                                                                                                               4:20


   Online                                             51%                                                                      4:34



Television                                                                                     95%                         153:19

                                                                                                                                                           2


             Based on Total US Population, Persons 2+ for TV and Online, (Home and Work) 13+
             for Mobile, 4th Qtr 2011
                                                                                               Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
People still love TV content
                 Season-to-Date through week ending 2/26/2012
                 Live + DVR Playback, Total Day

                 60:00


                 48:00




                                                                                                                                                    47:22
                                                                                                                                       44:52
                 36:00
HH:MM Per Week




                                                                                                                      35:24
                                                                                                         35:01
                                                                                27:40
                 24:00




                                                                                         26:25
                                           25:07
                              24:29




                                                            23:47

                                                                       23:05

                 12:00


                  0:00
                                P2-11                       P12-17              P18-24                   P25-54                          P55+
                                                                                                                                                             3
                                                                    2007/2008           2011/2012

                         Source: Nielsen, Total Day is Mon-Sun 6A-6A

                                                                                                 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
People are device-shifting and place-shifting their
  TV viewing
          Average Unique Visitors (000’s)
160,000

140,000
                                                                                                                                        Gradual year-over-
                                                                                                           147,38                       year increases in
120,000                                                                                                      7                          online and mobile
100,000
                                                                                                                                         video streaming
 80,000

 60,000
                                                                                                                 33,526              Time spent averaging
 40,000                                                                                                                              around four and a half
 20,000                                                                                                                                hours a month for
     0                                                                                                                                  both platforms
           Q1 2009
                      Q2 2009
                                Q3 2009
                                           Q4 2009
                                                     Q1 2010
                                                               Q2 2010
                                                                         Q3 2010
                                                                                   Q4 2010
                                                                                             Q1 2011
                                                                                                       Q2 2011
                                                                                                                 Q3 2011
                                                                                                                           Q4 2011




                     Online video                                        Mobile video

                                                                                                                                                                                                 4


                                          Source: Video Census, Mobile Video Report, Q4 2011

                                                                                                                                     Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Top Destinations for Simultaneous Consumption during the
month of December
    Top Websites Viewed While                                                    Top TV Programs Watched While
          Watching TV                                                                    Surfing Online

  Facebook                                                                                               Hallmark Movie
  YouTube                                                                                                         NCIS
  Yahoo! Mail                                                                                           Judge Judy (AT)
  Zynga                                                                                               Big Bang-Syn (AT)
  Google Search                                                                                       Law & Order: SVU
  eBay                                                                                        NBC Sunday Night Football
  Pogo.com                                                                                      Two-Half Men-SYN (AT)
  Craigslist                                                                                 ESPN NFL Regular Season*
  Windows Live Hotmail                                                                                       Syfy Movie
  Yahoo! Homepage                                                                                Ellen DeGeneres Show


                                                                                             Broadcast            Cable           Syndication


                                               41,353,158,000
                                               Total Simultaneous Weighted Viewing Minutes
                                                                                                                                                     5

       Nielsen Cross Platform Homes Simultaneous Consumption; Rank of Online
       sites and TV Programs by Total Simultaneous Minutes December 2011
       *Syndication and Cable telecasts
                                                                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
88% of tablet and 86% of smartphone owners use their
device while watching TV

Frequency of Simultaneous Usage While                           Frequency of Simultaneous Usage While
        Watching TV: Tablets                                          Watching TV: Smartphones
          Tablet Owners (Q4 2011 n=2,390)                                     Smartphone Owners (Q4 2011 n=3,889)



                                                   Several times a day
                                                                                                           23%
       19%                                         Once a day
                         24%                                                          14%
                                                   Several times a
                                                   week
                                                   Several times a
                                                                                                                           13%
      25%                         13%
                                                   month                      27%
                                                   Once a month or                                                     9%
                             7%                    less
                12%                                Never                                              14%


                                                                                                                                     6



            Source: Q4 2011 Mobile Connected Device Report
                                                                         Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Social networking is driving media consumption in a major way


       Percent of adult internet users who
90%    use social networking sites

80%


70%


60%



50%


40%




                                                                                                         7


               Source: Netview

                                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Analysis of BBG and Program
Ratings

Is there a relationship?
Variables in the Analysis
                                                          Buzz Data Source:
                                                             150 million+
         Buzz Volume                                      social media sites

          Msg/Source                                      N= 250 TV shows


            Authors

           AdSpend

    Prior Episode TV Ratings

    Prior Season TV Ratings

             Genre

        Broadcast/Cable        TV Ratings
           New/Old
                                                                                           9



                               Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
When is buzz aligned with TV ratings?
                        18-34             35-49                              50+
  PREMIERE
   Males
   Females
  MIDSEASON
   Males
   Females
  FINALE
   Males
   Females
                  Buzz is significant at p<=0.05                                                      10



                                            Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Four weeks prior to a show premiere…


                      A   9%
          increase IN BUZZ VOLUME
            CORRESPONDS TO A            1%
            increase IN RATINGS

                                                                                                        11
                Ratings for people 18-34 years old


                                              Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Two weeks prior to a show mid-season episode
or finale…


                   A14%
          increaseIN BUZZ VOLUME
           CORRESPONDS TO A       1%
                increaseIN RATINGS

                                                                                                  12
             Ratings for people 18-34 years old


                                        Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
Key Takeaways

Social media is growing as a source and driver of media
consumption
 • Social Media is pervasive among all age groups
 • Television Viewing is being influenced by Social Media…”Social TV”
 • Recent Evidence that Multi-Taskers Starting to Go to Program Sites
   Rather than Sending E-Mail

 Social Media are correlated with Television Program Ratings
 • Even more aligned with younger demos
 • Alignment increases as show date nears
 • But even 4 weeks before the premiere, there is a significant
   correlation
                                                                                                       13



                                             Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
1 of 13

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Nielsen Social TV

  • 1. Social Panel: Focus on Social Television AEJMC, Chicago, August 9, 2012 Mike Hess EVP, Data Fusion and Social Television Analytics
  • 2. TV set still dominates for video viewing Q4 2011 Video Penetration among the Total Population Monthly Time Spent among Video Users (hh:mm) Mobile 12% 4:20 Online 51% 4:34 Television 95% 153:19 2 Based on Total US Population, Persons 2+ for TV and Online, (Home and Work) 13+ for Mobile, 4th Qtr 2011 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 3. People still love TV content Season-to-Date through week ending 2/26/2012 Live + DVR Playback, Total Day 60:00 48:00 47:22 44:52 36:00 HH:MM Per Week 35:24 35:01 27:40 24:00 26:25 25:07 24:29 23:47 23:05 12:00 0:00 P2-11 P12-17 P18-24 P25-54 P55+ 3 2007/2008 2011/2012 Source: Nielsen, Total Day is Mon-Sun 6A-6A Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 4. People are device-shifting and place-shifting their TV viewing Average Unique Visitors (000’s) 160,000 140,000 Gradual year-over- 147,38 year increases in 120,000 7 online and mobile 100,000 video streaming 80,000 60,000 33,526 Time spent averaging 40,000 around four and a half 20,000 hours a month for 0 both platforms Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Online video Mobile video 4 Source: Video Census, Mobile Video Report, Q4 2011 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 5. Top Destinations for Simultaneous Consumption during the month of December Top Websites Viewed While Top TV Programs Watched While Watching TV Surfing Online Facebook Hallmark Movie YouTube NCIS Yahoo! Mail Judge Judy (AT) Zynga Big Bang-Syn (AT) Google Search Law & Order: SVU eBay NBC Sunday Night Football Pogo.com Two-Half Men-SYN (AT) Craigslist ESPN NFL Regular Season* Windows Live Hotmail Syfy Movie Yahoo! Homepage Ellen DeGeneres Show Broadcast Cable Syndication 41,353,158,000 Total Simultaneous Weighted Viewing Minutes 5 Nielsen Cross Platform Homes Simultaneous Consumption; Rank of Online sites and TV Programs by Total Simultaneous Minutes December 2011 *Syndication and Cable telecasts Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 6. 88% of tablet and 86% of smartphone owners use their device while watching TV Frequency of Simultaneous Usage While Frequency of Simultaneous Usage While Watching TV: Tablets Watching TV: Smartphones Tablet Owners (Q4 2011 n=2,390) Smartphone Owners (Q4 2011 n=3,889) Several times a day 23% 19% Once a day 24% 14% Several times a week Several times a 13% 25% 13% month 27% Once a month or 9% 7% less 12% Never 14% 6 Source: Q4 2011 Mobile Connected Device Report Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 7. Social networking is driving media consumption in a major way Percent of adult internet users who 90% use social networking sites 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 7 Source: Netview Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 8. Analysis of BBG and Program Ratings Is there a relationship?
  • 9. Variables in the Analysis Buzz Data Source: 150 million+ Buzz Volume social media sites Msg/Source N= 250 TV shows Authors AdSpend Prior Episode TV Ratings Prior Season TV Ratings Genre Broadcast/Cable TV Ratings New/Old 9 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 10. When is buzz aligned with TV ratings? 18-34 35-49 50+ PREMIERE Males Females MIDSEASON Males Females FINALE Males Females Buzz is significant at p<=0.05 10 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 11. Four weeks prior to a show premiere… A 9% increase IN BUZZ VOLUME CORRESPONDS TO A 1% increase IN RATINGS 11 Ratings for people 18-34 years old Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 12. Two weeks prior to a show mid-season episode or finale… A14% increaseIN BUZZ VOLUME CORRESPONDS TO A 1% increaseIN RATINGS 12 Ratings for people 18-34 years old Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.
  • 13. Key Takeaways Social media is growing as a source and driver of media consumption • Social Media is pervasive among all age groups • Television Viewing is being influenced by Social Media…”Social TV” • Recent Evidence that Multi-Taskers Starting to Go to Program Sites Rather than Sending E-Mail Social Media are correlated with Television Program Ratings • Even more aligned with younger demos • Alignment increases as show date nears • But even 4 weeks before the premiere, there is a significant correlation 13 Copyright © 2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

Editor's Notes

  1. JOThe TV set is still the dominant way people consume professional video content. The numbers on the left probably aren’t that striking, given how new some of the digital technologies are.However, the numbers on the right are often pretty surprising for folks. Despite all of the options for consuming video Online and on Mobile, time spent still pales in comparison to consumption on the big TV screen, by about 30X
  2. JOPeople are also device-shifting and place-shifting their TV viewing at a fast pace.The growth in Online and Mobile video users and consumption is pretty striking. Over the past two years, the number of Online users has grown by X%, and the time they spend viewing video has grown by Y%The mobile growth rates are even higher: A% in terms of users, and B% in time spent viewing video
  3. Less than 2% of all minutes that contribute to Persons 2+ usage2,401,897,356,968 Total TV mins (Weighted Tuning Minutes column) 41,353,158,000 Simultaneous usage for Dec &apos;11 from your file on the TV data1.7% of all mins are simultaneous usage
  4. JOSocial networking has also reached the mainstream. The vast majority of people 18+ visit social networking sites in a given month. In the US, more than half the population, or 160 million people, actively use FacebookAnd Facebook itself is now making a big push to be the primary platform on which entertainment is found and consumedAt its F8 conference in September, it announced its Open Graph, in which developers and media companies can share and stream music, video, and personal media consumption on the site. Your newsfeed now shows what you’re watching on Hulu and Netflix, what you’re listening to on Spotify, and what you’re reading on Yahoo and the Washington Post. More than 30% of all posts and tweets contain a link to professional content- a published article, a Hulu stream, a NYTimes article. And this is growing rapidly