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Comparative Study on Forecasting & Scheduling - Solar & Wind 05.03.19

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Gensol has carried out state-wise comparative analysis for forecasting, scheduling and deviation settlement mechanism (DSM) of Solar & Wind projects. There has been huge requirement to facilitate large-scale RE integration with grid while maintaining grid stability and security as envisaged under the Grid Code.Following points are highlighted in this presentation:
1) Responsibility & Requirements
2) Available Capacity & Tolerance Band
3) Deviation Settlement Mechanism (DSM)
4) Metering, Energy & Deviation Accounting etc (Click here)

Published in: Business
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Comparative Study on Forecasting & Scheduling - Solar & Wind 05.03.19

  1. 1. GENSOL ENGINEERING PVT. LTD Comparative Study of “Forecasting & Scheduling” for Solar & Wind Projects- 2019
  2. 2. Key Highlights of Forecasting & Scheduling 2019 Gensol understands that in current power scenario, the forecasting & scheduling are highly important parameters to manage balance between supply and demand of energy in India. State-wise comparative analysis has been carried out to highlight following points : • Energy Forecasting & Scheduling • Key Amendments in Electricity Act • Key Amendments in National Tariff Policy • Regulation in Draft & Final stages • Responsibility & Requirements • Available Capacity & Tolerance Band • Deviation Settlement Mechanism (DSM) • Metering, Energy & Deviation Accounting Gensol Group
  3. 3. Energy Forecasting & Scheduling (F&S) Gensol Group 1) Energy Forecasting is an estimation of probable generation of energy generating power plants. 2) Energy Forecasting is an essential pre-requisite for scheduling of energy generation. 1) Each day is divided into 96 blocks of 15 minutes each starting from 00:00 hour. 2) Each generating station has to make advance declaration of its capacity for generation in terms of MWh or kWh for each time block of the next day which is termed as scheduling. Forecasting Scheduling
  4. 4. Latest Amendments in Regulations –Forecasting & Scheduling Gensol Group Amendment to Electricity Act,2003 Released on 7th September 2018 • The Central Government shall establish National Load Despatch Centre (NLDC) for optimum scheduling & despatch of electricity among Regional Load Despatch Centres (RLDC) . • The Regional Load Despatch Centre (RLDC) shall comply with principles, guidelines and methodologies in respect of wheeling & optimum scheduling and despatch of electricity within a particular territory/region as specified in the Grid Code. • The State Load Despatch Centre (SLDC) shall be responsible for optimum scheduling and despatch of electricity within a State. Amendment to National Tariff Policy,2016 Released on 30th May 2018 • The scheduling and despatch of conventional and renewable generating plants shall be done separately for the generating plants whose PPAs has been expired/ whose useful life has completed or proposed coal/lignite based thermal plants bundled with renewable power generating plants. • Transmission Losses & Wheeling losses in the distribution system shall be adjusted in scheduling or may be paid as per regulations formed by State Commission. • Distribution Licensee shall mandatory undertake load forecasting every year and publish and submit to CERC/SERC.
  5. 5. Availability Based Tariff (ABT)- Drawbacks Gensol Group Availability Based Tariff (ABT) is a frequency based pricing mechanism to which was used to maintain grid discipline by implementing incentive/disincentive during unscheduled power interchange(UI). Features •Enhanced Grid Discipline •Promote Competition & Efficiency •Encourage Economic Despatch & Address Grid Disturbance Issues •Provide Economic viable power with right pricing Drawbacks •In ABT mechanism, incentives and penalties are charged on average grid frequency in a time block of 15 minutes •No benefit to the applicable UI Tariff/Charges. •The generators & DISCOMs who are not adhering to grid discipline are not penalised. •The incentives and disincentives are prefixed by CERC for variation in grid frequency which may not reflect actual situation on day-to-day basis. •ABT mechanism does not permit the grid participants to decide the optimum frequency within permitted frequency band on day-to-day basis.
  6. 6. Deviation Settlement Mechanism(DSM) Deviation Settlement Mechanism(DSM) is a mechanism controlled by the SLDC/RLDC which takes care of Energy Accounting, Energy Deviation accounting and deviation charges for energy supplied by the generators connected to the State grid within the state or outside the state and Consumers within the State and thus maintain grid stability and grid discipline. DSM helps the state to manage the overall generation-load balance across the state periphery. Objectives of DSM •Secure and Reliable Grid Operations •Encouraging Higher Availability of Generation •Install Forecasting & Load management discipline amongst DISCOMs ,load serving entities & OA consumers •Ensure Dispatch Discipline amongst generators based on economic /merit order principles •Serve as balancing mechanism within the State •Facilitate energy accounting and Deviation Settlement
  7. 7. Gensol Group Deviation Settlement Mechanism (DSM)Framework Absolute Error(%) = (Actual Generation –Scheduled Generation )/Available Capacity(AvC) x 100 • Deviation Settlement with Tolerance Band of +/- 15% • Receipt from/Payment to Pool Account is done at PPA rate • Day is divided into 96 time blocks with each time block of 15 minutes • 16 revisions are allowed, one for every one and half hour, effective from 4th time block • Payment of Deviation charges has to be done within 10 days of issuance of deviation charges by the SLDC
  8. 8. States having forecasting, scheduling & DSM regulations for Solar and Wind Generation Sources Gensol Group State Region Year of Release Draft Final Punjab Northern 2019 √ Haryana 2018 √ Rajasthan 2017 √ Uttar Pradesh 2017 √ Gujarat Western & Central 2017 √ Maharashtra 2018 √ Madhya Pradesh 2018 √ Jharkhand 2016 √ Manipur & Mizoram Eastern 2016 √ Meghalaya 2018 √ Assam 2018 √ Tripura 2016 √ Tamil Nadu Southern 2017 √ Telangana 2018 √ Karnataka 2015 √ Andhra Pradesh 2017 √
  9. 9. A) Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Northern Region Gensol Group S.No. Particulars Punjab (Final) Haryana (Draft) Rajasthan (Final) Uttar Pradesh (Final) 1 Applicability Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 1 MW. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW 2 Forecasting responsibility Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted 3 Scheduling responsibility Wind and solar generator or by Qualified Coordinating Agency Qualified Coordinating Agency (QCA) Wind and solar generator or by QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA 4 Tolerance band for DSM 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 10% for wind and solar generators for sale or self-consumption of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 5 Scheduling requirement Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead Day ahead 6 Reference point for DSM Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid
  10. 10. Gensol Group Comparative Study of F&S Regulations :Northern Region S.No. Particulars Punjab (Final) Haryana (Draft) Rajasthan (Final) Uttar Pradesh (Final) 7 Apportion of energy deviation & DSM charges among RE generators at a Pooling Substation In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity 8 Revisions allowed per day Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and max.9 revisions for solar 9 Telemetry and communication requirement Data relating to power generation parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data 10 Responsibility of providing telemetry and communication Wind/solar generator or QCA Qualified Coordinating Agency (QCA) Wind/solar generator or QCA Wind/solar generator or QCA 11 Time period for payment of deviation charges Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Not Covered Not Covered 12 Interest for late payment of deviation charges 0.04% per day for the period of delay 1.25% per month for the period of delay Not Covered Not Covered 13 BG/LC Required Not Covered Not Covered Not Covered Not Covered
  11. 11. Gensol Group B)Comparative Study of F&S Regulation: Western & Central Region S.No. Particulars Gujarat (Draft) Maharashtra (Draft) Madhya Pradesh (Final) Jharkhand (Final) 1 Applicability Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & selling power within or outside the state. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW Wind Generators having installed capacity of 10 MW and above and Solar Generators having installed capacity of 5 MW and above and supplying power to ESCOMs or to third party or for self-consumption through open access and selling power within or outside the state. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW 2 Forecasting responsibility Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted 3 Scheduling responsibility Wind and solar generator or by QCA QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA 4 Tolerance band for DSM 12% for wind projects commissioned prior to 30.1.2010 and 8% for projects commissioned after 30.1.2010. 7% for existing and new solar project 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 5 Scheduling requirement Day ahead and 03 day ahead Day Ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead 6 Reference point for DSM Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid
  12. 12. Gensol Group Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Western & Central Region S.No. Particulars Gujarat (Draft) Maharashtra (Draft) Madhya Pradesh (Final) Jharkhand (Final) 7 Apportion of energy eeviation & DSM charges among RE generators at a Pooling S/S In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity or absolute error of individual generator In proportion to actual generated units in each time block In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity 8 Revisions allowed per day Max. 16 revisions for wind and max. 8 revisions for solar Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators 9 Telemetry and communication requirement Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related data Data relating to power generation parameters and weather related data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related data 10 Responsibility of providing telemetry and communication Wind/solar generator or QCA QCA Wind/solar generator or QCA Wind/solar generator or QCA 11 Time period for payment of deviation charges Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice 12 Interest for late payment of devation charges 0.04% per day for the period of delay 1.25% per month for the period of delay 0.04% per day for the period of delay Not Covered 13 BG/LC Required BG/Revolving LC covering DSM payment for 6 months Not Covered LC of 110% of average payable weekly liability for deviations in the previous financial year Not Covered
  13. 13. Gensol Group C) Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Eastern Region S.No. Particulars Manipur & Mizoram (Draft) Meghalaya (Final) Assam (Draft) Tripura (Final) 1 Applicability Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 1 MW Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & selling power within or outside the state Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & selling power within or outside the state 2 Forecasting responsibility Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted 3 Scheduling responsibility Wind and solar generator or by QCA QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA 4 Tolerance band for DSM 15% for wind and solar generators commissioned prior to 18.7.2016 and 10% for commissioned after 18.7.2016 for sale/supply of power within the state. 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 10% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 10% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 5 Scheduling requirement Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead 6 Reference point for DSM Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid
  14. 14. Gensol Group Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Eastern Region S.No. Particulars Manipur & Mizoram (Draft) Meghalaya (Final) Assam (Draft) Tripura (Final) 7 Apportion of energy deviation & DSM charges among RE generators at a Pooling S/S In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity 8 Revisions allowed per day Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and max.9 revisions for solar Max. 16 revisions for wind and max.9 revisions for solar 9 Telemetry and communication requirement Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power generation parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data 10 Responsibility of providing telemetry and communication Wind/solar generator or QCA QCA Wind/solar generator or QCA Wind/solar generator or QCA 11 Time period for payment of deviation charges Not Covered Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Not Covered Not Covered 12 Interest for late payment of deviation charges Not Covered 1.25% per month for the period of delay Not Covered Not Covered 13 BG/LC Required Not Covered LC for an amount equivalent to 1.5 times of average of weekly deviations amount for the past four settlement periods. Not Covered Not Covered
  15. 15. Gensol Group D) Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Southern Region S.No. Particulars Tamil Nadu (Draft) Telangana (Final) Karnataka (Final) Andhra Pradesh (Final) 1 Applicability Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & selling power within or outside the state Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & Selling power within or outside the state provided that the capacity of the generator should be greater than or equal to 5 MW Wind Generators having installed capacity of 10 MW and above and Solar Generators having installed capacity of 5 MW and above and supplying power to ESCOMs or to third party or for self-consumption through open access within or outside the state. Wind and solar generators connected to Intra-state T/D system & selling power within or outside the state 2 Forecasting responsibility QCA forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted Wind and solar generator /QCA/ forecast by SLDC to be accepted 3 Scheduling Responsibility QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA Wind and solar generator or by QCA or through Aggregator Wind and solar generator or by QCA 4 Tolerance Band for DSM 10% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 15% for wind and solar generators for sale/supply of power within the state 5 Scheduling Requirement Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead Day ahead and week ahead 6 Reference Point for DSM Pooling station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid Pooling Station /Interconnection point to State Grid
  16. 16. Gensol Group Comparative Study of F&S Regulations : Southern Region S.No. Particulars Tamil Nadu (Draft) Telangana (Final) Karnataka (Final) Andhra Pradesh (Final) 7 Apportion of energy deviation & DSM charges among RE generators at a Pooling S/S In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to energy injected in each time block In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity In proportion to actual generated units in each time block or available capacity 8 Revisions allowed per day Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and max. 9 revisions for solar Max. 16 revisions for wind and solar generators Max. 16 revisions for wind and max.9 revisions for solar 9 Telemetry and communication requirement Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power system output & parameters and weather related Data Data relating to power output,turbine availability and weather related Data Data relating to power generation parameters and weather related Data 10 Responsibility of providing telemetry and communication QCA Wind/solar generator Wind/solar generator or QCA or Aggregator Wind/solar generator or QCA 11 Time period for payment of deviation charges Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Within 10 days from issuance of invoice Not Covered 12 Interest for late payment of deviations charges 1.25% per month for the period of delay 0.04% per day for the period of delay 0.04% per day for the period of delay Not Covered 13 BG/LC Required Not Covered Bank guarantee or LC covering deviation settlement mechanism payment for 6 months Not Covered Not Covered
  17. 17. Gensol is one of the leading consultants and system integrators for Solar Power Plants. We boast of a portfolio of over 6000 MW of Solar Photovoltaic Plants. Gensol is also a channel partner to Ministry of New & Renewable Energy and installs kW scale Solar Rooftop systems on a turnkey basis with more than 42 MW of cumulative installations across the country. The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation. Email: solar@gensol.in | Web: www.gensol.in | Phone: +91 79 40068235 | Twitter: gensol_tweets Gensol Engineering Pvt Ltd | Gensol Consultants Pvt Ltd | Solarig Gensol Utilities Pvt Ltd Corporate Office A2, 12th Floor Palladium, Opp. to Vodafone House , Corporate Road, Prahladnagar, Ahmedabad, Gujarat. India - 380015

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