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The foresight framework: Structuring a Foresight Project

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Highlights the basic six activities of a foresight project, based on the book Thinking about the Future

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The foresight framework: Structuring a Foresight Project

  1. 1. 1 Andy Hines Houston Foresight Program August 2014
  2. 2. Framing 2 Help the Organization Identify and Solve the Right Problems 1.1 Adjust attitudes 1.2 Know the audience 1.3 Understand the rationale and purpose 1.4 Set objectives 1.5 Select the team 1.6 Create a strategic work environment
  3. 3. Scanning 3 Help Organizations Understanding What’s Going On Out There 2.1 Map the system 2.2 Study history 2.3 Scan the environment 2.4 Involve colleagues and outsiders
  4. 4. Forecasting 4 Help Organization Consider a Range of Future Possibilities 3.1 Identify drivers and uncertainties 3.2 Choose forecasting technique(s) 3.3 Diverge--generate ideas 3.4 Converge--prioritize ideas 3.5 Form alternative futures
  5. 5. Visioning 5 Help Organizations Decide What They Want to Be in the Future 4.1 Identify implications 4.2 Challenge assumptions 4.3 Think visionary
  6. 6. Planning 6 Help Organizations Create a Pathway to the Future 5.1 Think strategically 5.2 Develop strategic options
  7. 7. Acting 7 Help Organizations Translate Foresight into Action…on an Ongoing Basis 6.1 Communicate results 6.2 Create an action agenda 6.3 Create an intelligence system 6.4 Institutionalize strategic thinking
  8. 8. Benefits of Foresight 8 Activity Benefits FRAMING (22%) 1. Thinking more diverse open, balanced and non-biased (9%) 2. Focusing on the right questions and problems more clearly (7%) 3. Being aware of, and influencing, assumptions and mental models (6%) SCANNING (16%) 4. Understanding the context, in all its complexity, through establishing frameworks (5%) 5. Anticipating change and avoiding surprise (10%) FORECASTING (22%) 6. Producing more creative, broader, and deeper insights (16%) 7. Identifying a wider range of opportunities and options (5%) VISIONING (10%) 8. Prioritizing and making better and more robust decisions (10%) PLANNING (7%) 10. Constructing pathways from the present to the future that enable rehearsing for the future (7%) ACTING (23%) 10. Catalyzing action and change (7%) 11. Building alignment, commitment and confidence (14%) 12. Building a learning organization (2%)
  9. 9. Contact Info 9 Andy Hines U of Houston FORESIGHT Asst. Professor & Program Coordinator ahines@uh.edu 832 367 5575 Principal, Hinesight www.andyhinesight.com

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