1) AEP reported 1Q12 GAAP earnings of $0.80 per share, in line with $0.82 per share in 1Q11.
2) Utility operations earnings were $383 million in 1Q12 compared to $389 million in 1Q11, due to unfavorable weather.
3) Transmission operations earnings increased to $9 million in 1Q12 from $4 million in 1Q11.
2. “Safe Harbor” Statement under the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. Although AEP and each of its Registrant
Subsidiaries believe that their expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such statements may be influenced by factors that could cause actual outcomes
and results to be materially different from those projected. Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking
statements are: the economic climate and growth in, or contraction within, our service territory and changes in market demand and demographic patterns, inflationary or
deflationary interest rate trends, volatility in the financial markets, particularly developments affecting the availability of capital on reasonable terms and developments
impairing our ability to finance new capital projects and refinance existing debt at attractive rates, the availability and cost of funds to finance working capital and capital
needs, particularly during periods when the time lag between incurring costs and recovery is long and the costs are material, electric load, customer growth and the impact
of retail competition, particularly in Ohio due to the February 2012 PUCO rehearing order, weather conditions, including storms, and our ability to recover significant storm
restoration costs through applicable rate mechanisms, available sources and costs of, and transportation for, fuels and the creditworthiness and performance of fuel
suppliers and transporters, availability of necessary generating capacity and the performance of our generating plants, our ability to resolve I&M’s Donald C. Cook Nuclear
Plant Unit 1 restoration and outage-related issues through warranty, insurance and the regulatory process, our ability to recover regulatory assets in connection with
deregulation, our ability to recover increases in fuel and other energy costs through regulated or competitive electric rates, our ability to build or acquire generating
capacity, and transmission line facilities (including our ability to obtain any necessary regulatory approvals and permits) when needed at acceptable prices and terms and
to recover those costs (including the costs of projects that are cancelled) through applicable rate cases or competitive rates, new legislation, litigation and government
regulation including oversight of nuclear generation, energy commodity trading and new or heightened requirements for reduced emissions of sulfur, nitrogen, mercury,
carbon, soot or particulate matter and other substances or additional regulation of fly ash and similar combustion products that could impact the continued operation and
cost recovery of our plants, a reduction in the federal statutory tax rate, timing and resolution of pending and future rate cases, negotiations and other regulatory decisions
including rate or other recovery of new investments in generation, distribution and transmission service and environmental compliance, resolution of litigation, our ability to
constrain operation and maintenance costs, our ability to develop and execute a strategy based on a view regarding prices of electricity, natural gas and other energy-
related commodities, changes in the creditworthiness of the counterparties with whom we have contractual arrangements, including participants in the energy trading
market, actions of rating agencies, including changes in the ratings of debt, volatility and changes in markets for electricity, natural gas, coal, nuclear fuel and other
energy-related commodities, changes in utility regulation, including the implementation of ESPs and the expected legal separation and transition to market for generation
in Ohio and the allocation of costs within regional transmission organizations, including PJM and SPP, accounting pronouncements periodically issued by accounting
standard-setting bodies, the impact of volatility in the capital markets on the value of the investments held by our pension, other postretirement benefit plans, captive
insurance entity and nuclear decommissioning trust and the impact on future funding requirements, prices and demand for power that we generate and sell at wholesale,
changes in technology, particularly with respect to new, developing or alternative sources of generation, our ability to recover through rates or prices any remaining
unrecovered investment in generating units that may be retired before the end of their previously projected useful lives, our ability to successfully manage negotiations with
stakeholders and obtain regulatory approval to terminate or amend the Interconnection Agreement and break up or modify the AEP Power Pool, evolving public perception
of the risks associated with fuels used before, during and after the generation of electricity, including nuclear fuel and other risks and unforeseen events, including wars, the
effects of terrorism (including increased security costs), embargoes, cyber security threats and other catastrophic events.
Investor Relations Contacts
Chuck Zebula Bette Jo Rozsa Julie Sherwood Sara Macioch
Treasurer Managing Director Director Analyst
SVP Investor Relations Investor Relations Investor Relations Investor Relations
614-716-2800 614-716-2840 614-716-2663 614-716-2835
cezebula@aep.com bjrozsa@aep.com jasherwood@aep.com semacioch@aep.com
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3. First Quarter 2012 Highlights
Financial Performance
Delivered GAAP and on-going earnings of $0.80 per share
2012 Earnings guidance not reaffirmed
Remain committed to long-term strategy outlined on February 10th
Progress in the 1st Quarter – Moving forward with Repositioning AEP
FINANCE – Issued $800M TCC Securitization bonds (March 14)
RETAIL – Acquired BlueStar Energy which establishes a platform for retail growth (March 7)
TRANSMISSION – Transco and ETT investments on-track; Transource JV with Great Plains
Energy announced (April 4)
Ohio Regulatory Update
Capacity filing hearing underway
ESP procedural schedule established
Dividend payout and growth rate supported by Regulated Operations
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4. 1Q12 Performance
First Quarter Reconciliation 1Q12 Performance Drivers
Weather was unfavorable by $87M vs.
Ongoing
prior year, unfavorable $68M vs. normal
Earnings Gross Customer Switching up $42M from
EPS ($ in millions) prior year. Total 1Q12 retail generation
1Q11 $ 0.82 $392 margin lost $57M. As of March 2012,
Weather $ (0.12) 28% of total AEP Ohio load lost
Customer Switching $ (0.06)
Ohio POLR $ (0.05) Loss of POLR revenues $39M
Transmission Operations $ 0.01 Transmission Operations up $5M
Other $ 0.01
Rate Changes $ 0.08 Rate Changes net of offsets of $63M from
Operations & Maintenance $ 0.11 multiple operating jurisdictions
1Q12 $ 0.80 $389 O&M expense net of offsets decreased
EPS Based on 484MM shares in 1Q12
$80M primarily due to spending discipline
and reversal of a previously recorded
regulatory obligation
1Q12 earnings in-line with 1Q11 earnings
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6. Industrial Sales Volumes
AEP Industrial GWh by Sector
GWh
2,400
Primary Metal Manuf acturing These 5 sectors account for approximately
Chemical Manuf acturing 60% of AEP's total Industrial Sales.
Petroleum and Coal Products Manuf acturing
Mining (except Oil & Gas)
2,000 Paper Manuf acturing
Industry YTD vs PY
Primary Metals 4.0%
Chemical Mfg -1.7%
Petroleum & Coal Products 6.3%
Mining (except Oil & Gas) -0.7%
Paper Mfg -0.4%
1,600
1,200
800
400
-
Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 Mar-10 Mar-11 Mar-12
Industrial sales continue to improve 6
7. Coal to Gas Switching
Net Capacity Factor Natural gas consumption increased 62%
1Q12 1Q11 1Q12 compared to 1Q11
AEP East
Coal 47.0% 61.2% Excluding Dresden, east combined cycle
Gas 47.3% 21.7% average capacity factor for 1Q12 was
AEP SPP approximately 85%
Coal 75.7% 78.8%
Gas 21.9% 17.2% 45 days system average coal inventory at
March 31, 2012
Net Capacity Factor Coal fully hedged for 2012, approximately
1Q12 1Q11 80% hedged for 2013
AEP East Combined Cycle 77.9% 38.2%
Gas switching in AEP East complete; managing coal inventories
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8. Capitalization & Liquidity
70.0% Total Debt / Total Capitalization Credit Statistics
62.5%
60.0% 57.2% 57.0%
55.3% 55.3%
Actual Target
50.0% FFO Interest Coverage 4.7 >3.6x
FFO To Total Debt 20.0% 15%- 20%
40.0%
30.0% Note: Credit statistics represent the trailing 12 months as of 03/31/2012
20.0%
Liquidity Summary (03/31/2012)
10.0%
Liquidity Summary
0.0%
(unaudited) Actual
2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 1Q2012 ($ in millions) Amount Maturity
Revolving Credit Facility $ 1,750 Jul-16
Short/Long Term Debt Securitization Debt Revolving Credit Facility 1,500 Jun-15
Total Credit Facilities 3,250
Plus
Pension Funding Cash & Cash Equivalents 286
At the end of the first quarter AEP’s Less
Commercial Paper Outstanding (385)
pension funded status was 90% Letters of credit issued (189)
Net available Liquidity $ 2,962
Strong balance sheet, solid credit metrics and adequate liquidity
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12. Retail Rate Performance
Rate Changes, net of
trackers (in millions)
1Q12 vs. 1Q11
East Regulated
$27
Integrated Utilities
Ohio Companies $37
West Regulated
$0
Integrated Utilities
Texas Wires $0
AEP System Total $63
Impact on EPS
$0.08
May not foot due to rounding
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13. 1Q12 Retail Performance
Retail Load* Weather Impact
(weather normalized) (in millions)
1Q12 vs. 1Q11 1Q12 vs. 1Q11
East Regulated East Regulated
(2.0%) ($45)
Integrated Utilities Integrated Utilities
Ohio Companies (0.8%) Ohio Companies ($24)
West Regulated West Regulated
0.3% ($9)
Integrated Utilities Integrated Utilities
Texas Wires 3.6% Texas Wires ($9)
$0.00 $0.12
Impact on EPS Impact on EPS
* Excludes firm wholesale load
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14. Off System Sales Gross Margin Detail
Physical off-system sales margins
1Q11 1Q12 decreased from last year by $12M
($millions) ($millions)
OSS Physical Sales $ 90 $ 78 AEP/Dayton Hub pricing: 22%
Marketing/Trading $ 32 $ 22 decrease in liquidation prices
Pre-Sharing Gross Margin $ 122 $ 100
Margin Shared $ (36) $ (16) Lower Trading & Marketing results by
Net OSS $ 86 $ 84 $10M
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