Barometer of the electricity market 2007

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Barometer of the electricity market 2007

  1. 1. Asociatia Furnizorilor de Energie Electrica din Romania BAROMETER OF THE ELECTRICITY MARKET – SUPPLIERS OPINION 19 March 2008 09/05/10 1
  2. 2. LIST OF QUESTIONS  WHAT IS “EMCI” ?  WHY DO WE NEED “EMCI” ?  WHO IS MONITORING CONFIDENCE INDICATORS ?  HOW “EMCI” IS DESIGN?  WHAT ARE THE RESULTS OF “EMCI” ?  HOW “EMCI” MAY HELP US ? 3/19/2008 09/05/10 2
  3. 3. WHAT IS “EMCI”? EMCI = = ENERGY MARKET CONFIDENCE INDEX = INDICE DE INCREDERE IN PIATA DE ENERGIE ELECTRICA 3/19/2008 09/05/10 3
  4. 4. HOW DO WE PERCEIVE THE ELECTRICITY MARKET? Foreign Regulator player Monitoring Access Transmission, system services, balancing Electricity market Dispatching NPS Player 1 T.S.O. Competition O.P.E.E. Producers Other Player n factors Consumer 3/19/2008 09/05/10 4
  5. 5. WHAT IS“EMCI” ? WHY DO WE NEED “EMCI” ? SUPPLIER NEW INVESTOR ELECTRICITY MARKET 3/19/2008 09/05/10 5
  6. 6. WHO IS MONITORING THE BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDICATORS ? 3/19/2008 09/05/10 6
  7. 7. WHO IS MONITORING THE BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDICATORS ? NOTES: 1. Index of 50 is critical (> 50 shows favorable conditions to progress) 2. One question for 2 time horizons. 3. 25 answers 3/19/2008 09/05/10 7
  8. 8. HOW “EMCI” IS DESIGN?  19 QUESTIONS: 11 QUESTIONS HAVE MAXIM IMPORTANCE (1) AND SI 8 QUESTIONS HAVE BEEN LOWERED (0,2 – 0,5)  5 LEVELS OF EVALUATION (0 / 25 / 50 / 75 / 100)  104 SUPPLIERS RECEIVED THE QUESTIONNAIRE (ONLY 80 WERE ACTIVE)  39 ANSWERS TO QUESTIONS (37,5 %) 3/19/2008 09/05/10 8
  9. 9. 1. How do you appreciate the regulations concerning the access of suppliers to the Romanian electricity market? EMCI (1) = 51 25 23 20 15 10 7 5 5 2 2 0 R es trictive Not s o Acceptable E as y Very eas y res trictive 3/19/2008 09/05/10 9
  10. 10. 2. How do you appreciate the competition on the electricity market among the Romanian producers? EMCI (2) = 28 20 19 18 16 14 12 11 10 8 8 6 4 2 1 0 0 Very weak Weak Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 10
  11. 11. 3. How do you appreciate the competition on the electricity market among the Romanian producers and the importers? EMCI (3) = 32 18 16 16 15 14 12 10 8 7 6 4 2 1 0 0 Very weak Weak Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 11
  12. 12. 4. How do you appreciate opportunities of electricity export from Romania in comparison to internal customers supplying? EMCI (4) = 40 20 18 18 16 15 14 12 10 8 6 4 4 2 2 0 0 Very weak Weak Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 12
  13. 13. 5. How do you appreciate your company’s position when you buy on the electricity market ? 30 25 25 20 15 14 10 5 0 S trong Weak 3/19/2008 09/05/10 13
  14. 14. 6. How do you appreciate your company’s position when you sell on the electricity market ? 21,5 21 21 20,5 20 19,5 19 18,5 18 18 17,5 17 16,5 S trong Weak 3/19/2008 09/05/10 14
  15. 15. 7. How do you appreciate the monitoring process of power suppliers activity? EMCI (7) = 45 25 23 20 15 10 9 5 5 2 0 0 E xces s ive A little Average Low Very low exces s ive 3/19/2008 09/05/10 15
  16. 16. 8i. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, Transmission service EMCI (8i) = 72 30 26 25 20 15 10 9 5 4 0 0 0 Very poor P oor Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 16
  17. 17. 8ii. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, System Services EMCI (8ii) = 72 30 25 25 20 15 10 9 5 5 0 0 0 Very poor P oor Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 17
  18. 18. 8iii. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, Balancing Market EMCI (8iii) = 64 25 21 20 15 10 10 5 4 3 1 0 Very poor P oor Average G ood Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 18
  19. 19. 8iv. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, Cross Border Transfer Capacities Market EMCI (8iv) = 55 25 20 20 15 12 10 6 5 1 0 0 Very poor P oor Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 19
  20. 20. 8v. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, Metering Service EMCI (8v) = 58 25 21 20 15 13 10 5 2 2 1 0 Very poor P oor Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 20
  21. 21. 8vi. How do you appreciate the overall quality of the supporting services provided to the suppliers, Distribution Service EMCI (8vi) = 56 25 21 20 15 11 10 5 4 2 1 0 Very poor P oor Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 21
  22. 22. 9. Public information on NPS operation that is offered to you by the transmission/system operator is enough for you EMCI (9) = 47 18 16 16 14 12 12 10 8 6 5 4 3 3 2 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 22
  23. 23. 10. Public market information that is offered to you is enough for you EMCI (10) = 50 18 17 16 15 14 12 10 8 6 4 4 2 2 1 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 23
  24. 24. 11. Are there any other factors that may affect the competition on the electricity market? If YES, how strong do you think their influence is? EMCI (11) = 29 25 22 20 15 10 9 6 5 2 0 0 Very s trong S trong Average Low Very low 3/19/2008 09/05/10 24
  25. 25. 12. The Romanian electricity market is progressing in a satisfactory rhythm EMCI (12) = 52 18 17 16 14 12 12 10 8 6 5 4 3 2 2 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 25
  26. 26. 13. You have a satisfactory position when you compete with other suppliers EMCI (13) = 35 16 15 14 13 12 10 8 7 6 4 4 2 0 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 26
  27. 27. 14. Unbundling of power activities led to an increasing competition on the electricity market EMCI (14) = 53 16 14 14 13 12 10 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 27
  28. 28. 15. Suppliers proposals are received by electricity market institutions in a satisfactory way EMCI (15) = 39 20 18 18 16 14 12 11 10 8 7 6 4 3 2 0 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 28
  29. 29. 16. You are sufficiently involved in the electricity market improvement process EMCI (16) = 54 20 18 18 16 14 12 12 10 8 7 6 4 2 1 1 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 29
  30. 30. 17. AFEER activity in fulfilling its mission is satisfactory EMCI (17) = 66 18 16 16 14 14 12 10 8 6 6 4 3 2 0 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 30
  31. 31. 18. Suppliers image is objectively shown in mass-media EMCI (18) = 28 30 25 24 20 15 10 8 6 5 1 0 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 31
  32. 32. 19. Electricity market image is objectively shown in mass-media EMCI (19) = 31 30 25 24 20 15 10 6 5 5 4 0 0 Total P artial Do not know P artial Total dis agreement dis agreement agreement agreement 3/19/2008 09/05/10 32
  33. 33. 20. How do you appreciate development opportunities for your business on the electricity market in 2008? EMCI (20) = 53 25 21 20 15 10 10 7 5 1 0 0 Very weak Weak Average Good Very good 3/19/2008 09/05/10 33
  34. 34. 21. What is the real liberalization degree on the electricity market that you may foresee at December 31st, 2008? 20 19 18 16 15 14 12 10 8 6 4 4 2 1 0 0 50-60% 60-70% 70-80% 80-90% 90-100% 3/19/2008 09/05/10 34
  35. 35. 22. In your opinion, which type of consumers will get the biggest increase of the liberalization degree in 2008? 40 35 35 30 25 20 15 10 4 5 0 0 Large indus trial S mall indus trial Hous ehold cons umers cons umers cons umers 3/19/2008 09/05/10 35
  36. 36. THE BAROMETER FOR 2007 0 ………… 49,4 ……………100 PROGRESS 3/19/2008 09/05/10 36
  37. 37. HOW THE BAROMETER MAY HELP US ?  WE ARE ON THE MATURE MARKET  INVOLVMENT OF PARTICIPANTS  ATRACTING INVESTORS  INCREASE OF COMPETITION  INCREASE OF TRANSPARENCY  COMPETITIVE PRICES FOR CONSUMERS 3/19/2008 09/05/10 37
  38. 38. WHAT DO WE NEED FOR THE NEXT BAROMETER ? EACH SUPPLIER BAROMETER 2008 – SEMESTER I 3/19/2008 09/05/10 38
  39. 39. THANK YOU! Your questions may be addressed to: Alexandru Ionescu, independent consultant, owner & administrator SC Power Advisors SRL, www.poweradvisors.ro, office@poweradvisors.ro The Association of Electricity Suppliers in Romania (AFEER) – www.afeer.ro, office@afeer.ro 3/19/2008 09/05/10 39

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