2013_Aviation_Seminar_LUIS_FERNANDO_LOPES - EMBRAER

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2013_Aviation_Seminar_LUIS_FERNANDO_LOPES - EMBRAER

  1. 1. Commercial Aviation – Latin America and CaribbeanLuís Fernando Vicente LopesMay, 2013Evaluating the GeographicScope of Services
  2. 2. THE CONTENTSAir Transport Phase 02 – Growth UpAir Transport Phase 03 – Challenges AheadOpportunities, opportunities, opportunitiesMarket ForecastAir Transport Phase 01 - AdjustmentThis information is property of Embraer and cannot be used or reproduced without written permission.
  3. 3. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentPassangers Transported (Millions)Fonte: ANAC, EMBRAER (2013)Domestic Air Transportation Evolution32 29 323943 465057728187922002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e1Adjustment
  4. 4. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentScenario in Numbers Concentrated Model: Aeroports, Markets and Airlines Low Quality Service (Low Frequencies ) Air Travel Demand Repressed, high tickets Low Loads, low profitsAverage Aicraft SizeDomestic Daily Flights Destinations+47%-20-13%Inadequação da Frota1
  5. 5. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentEIS AzulPassangers Transported (Millions)Fonte: ANAC, EMBRAER (2013)Domestic Air Transportation Evolution32 29 323943 465057728187922002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e1Adjustment 2Growth
  6. 6. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentPax per Departure – 2008 Domestic Flights (%)(over 120 seats aircraft)Source: SABRE, ANAC, EMBRAERScenario 2
  7. 7. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentThe Azul’s Debut in December 2008...
  8. 8. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consent...and Trip Ejet’s was launched inFebruary 2009They Changed themarket for ever .
  9. 9. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentScenario in Numbers Social and Economic Development in Mid and Small Cities Reduction of Market Concentration and Increase Capillarity Reduction of Ticket price and increase Passengers Increased System Efficiency and QualityAverage Aicraft SizeDomestic Daily FlightsInadequação da Frota2101118136144 148142 1401001101201301401500.000.100.200.300.400.500.600.700.802008 2009 2010 2011 2012Yield Decreasing
  10. 10. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentEJets in Service Evolution - BrazilRegular Airline CompaniesEJets FleetParticipation 5% 9% 13% 15% 16%Source: OAG, EMBRAER (2013)18345767 722009 2010 2011 2012 2013e
  11. 11. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentMid-Density Fleet ExpantionThe operation with a fleet of 60-120 seats jets is more suitable tonew direct flights in a profitable and efficient way.Source: ANAC (2012)AirlineASK growth2012 vs. 2011-3%+32%4251100TAM GOL Azul TRIPDestinationsCapacity Expantion (ASK)
  12. 12. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentMid-Size Companies are GrowingDomestic Market Share (RPK)Source: ANAC (2012)Mid-size companies are gainig more participation with mid-densitymarkets, already representing 22% of total RPKTAM49%GOL46%Others5%TAM44%GOL34%Others22%RPK Share (2H2008) RPK Share (2H2012)
  13. 13. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentMid-Airports Lead ExpantionPassangers growth (Dom and Int)In recent years, mid-density airports have grown 15% while largeairports have grown 11%Source: INFRAERO (2012)16.3%15.0%5.5%6.4%2.5%13.5%19.1%14.9%6.1%15.4%21.5%9.9%15.5%2.1%11.9%25.3%21.4%8.9%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012(*) Guarulhos, Congonhas, Galeão, Santos-Dumont, Brasília, Salvador, Confins, Viracopos, Porto Alegre, Curitiba, Recife e FortalezaMid-Density AirportsCAGR: 15%Largest Airports *CAGR: 11%Large-sizeAirportsMid-sizeAirports
  14. 14. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentPassangers Transported (Millions)Fonte: ANAC, EMBRAER (2013)Domestic Air Transportation Evolution32 29 323943 465057728187922002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013eEIS Azul123
  15. 15. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentFleetRacionalization(TAM e GOL)Passangers Transported (Millions)Fonte: ANAC, EMBRAER (2013)Domestic Air Transportation Evolution32 29 323943 465057728187922002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013e1Adjustment 2Growth3Challenges
  16. 16. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentTurboprops (41-70 seats)Low Demand MarketsShort Distance StageLarge Jets (121-180 seats)High Demand MarketsMedium Jets (61-120 seats)Medium Demand MarketsMedium/ Large Distance StageUp to 120pax/dayMediumDensityHighDensityDue to the large amount of jets over 120 seats, many marketsoperated by Narrow bodies needs connections to be profitableDemand(Pax/day)The Right Aircraft for the Right MarketDirect Flights Connections OnlySource: SABRE, ANAC, EMBRAER (2012)Distance (km)
  17. 17. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentAir Transportation DecentralizationThe government will invest in 270 brazilian airports.In its majority, those airports have potential to receive or improveits operations with up to 120 seats jetsSource: SAC, EMBRAER (2012)Main Goals- Improve services and infrastructure ofairports for users.- Enlarge air transportation offer tobrazilian population- Develop regional aviation network
  18. 18. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consent2.320.420,000,501,001,502,002,503,00United States BrazilAir Transportation Potential DemandEven with the recent market expantionin Brazil, there is still an enormouspotential demand to be fulfilledSource: FAA, ANAC, Global Insight (2012)Air Travel per Capita
  19. 19. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consentMarket Forecast: Brazil in 2014
  20. 20. 5th World Population(196 million)7th World Economy(U$ 2,2 trillion)4th Air TransportationDomestic Market(87 million passangers)Brazil Today
  21. 21. 5th World Population(196 million)7th World Economy(U$ 2,2 trillion)4th Air TransportationDomestic Market(87 million passangers)Brazil in 2014200 millionU$ 2.6 trillion5th103 million passangers3rd
  22. 22. 5th World Population(200 million)6th World Economy(U$ 2.6 trillion)3rd Air TransportationDomestic MarketBrazil in 2014EUA: 671 millionChina: 379 millionBrazil: 103 million
  23. 23. The information contained herein is property of Embraer and shall not be copied or used without Embraer´s written consent64 Airlines in 24 CountriesE-Jets Global PresenceObrigado.

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