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Prototyping Images of the Future _ Austin Design Week '18

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This is the presentation deck used during Prototyping Images of the Future, an introduction to the nascent discipline of Speculative Design, explored in the context of an informal, participatory workshop employing the Ethnographic Experiential Futures approach to Foresight.

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Prototyping Images of the Future _ Austin Design Week '18

  1. 1. Prototyping Images of the Future
  2. 2. Prototyping Images of the Future 8:30 - 8:40 Arrive & Settle In 8:40 - 8:50 Introductions & Overview 8:50 - 9:45 Guided EXF Field Guide Activities 9:45 - 10:00 Group Debrief
  3. 3. Introductio ns
  4. 4. Workshop Design & Facilitation Adam Zeiner @_dezein With assistance from Tyler McCoy @tyleryoga Special thanks for initial feedback to Jake Dunagan @dunagan23
  5. 5. Avenues to get involved www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin www.futures.design Design Futures Initiative www.primerconference.com PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
  6. 6. Overview
  7. 7. "Optimism is a strategy for making a better future. Because unless you believe that the future can be better, you are unlikely to step up and take responsibility for making it so." - Noam Chomsky
  8. 8. Why Images of the Future? This is meant to serve as a tangible means of thinking critically about the future, both in terms of what it could be and what we want it to be.
  9. 9. Why Images of the Future? The intersection of Design and Futures produces artifacts, applications and interactions intended to provoke dialog in an accessible manner. Ref: Aisling Kelliher, Daragh Byrne; https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714001980#!
  10. 10. Why Images of the Future? Images of the Future, whether they are vision statements or scenario forecasts, inspiring or terrifying, can have profound impacts on the goals we envision and on the strategies we adopt. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
  11. 11. Preferred Futures Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen).
  12. 12. Preferred Futures Moving from Foresight (a means of understanding and anticipating change in society) towards Aspiration (moving beyond exploring what could happen to reconsidering what you want to see happen). Aspiration is the realm of what we call “preferred futures” Preferred Futures involves rethinking what we want as a “vision” based in part on new insights and inspiration we’re generating. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; www.visionforesightstrategy.com
  13. 13. Terms_&_Con cepts
  14. 14. Foresight Foresight is best understood as insight into how and why the future might be different from today. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
  15. 15. Speculative Design (⅓) Speculative Design is a discursive practice, based on critical thinking and dialogue, which questions the practice of design. Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
  16. 16. Speculative Design (⅔) We use Speculative Design to describe work that uses design (products, services, scenarios) to address challenges and opportunities of the future. We tend to look 5-10+ years forward and speculate on how things could be and what future we want or don’t want based on these scenarios. Ref: Phil Balagtas; https://blog.optimalworkshop.com/what-is-speculative-design
  17. 17. Speculative Design (3/3) However, Speculative Design as an approach can take this critical practice one step further, towards imagination and visions of possible scenarios. Speculative design is also one of the most representative examples of the new interaction between various disciplines. Ref: Ivica Mitrović; http://speculative.hr/en/introduction-to-speculative-design-practice/
  18. 18. Ref: Elliott P. Montgomery; https://twitter.com/EPMID/status/962039029997817858
  19. 19. Futures Studies Futures studies is an academic field that is concerned with understanding and anticipating change in society… in order to help others conceive and pursue more desirable futures. Ref: Vision Foresight Strategy LLC; https://www.visionforesightstrategy.com/foresight
  20. 20. Futures Research (⅓) Futures researchers track technical innovations, value shifts, geopolitical tides, environmental perturbations, economic developments, demographic patterns, and other trends of change. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  21. 21. Futures Research (⅔) From data generated they create scenarios of possible alternative futures, which are then used as contingencies within strategic planning. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  22. 22. Futures Research (3/3) Working as facilitators, futures researchers can help communities and organizations envision their preferred futures and compare those visions with current trends & scenarios of possible futures. The process leads to practical planning and often policy-making. Ref: Dr. Wendy L. Schultz, Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/aboutif.shtml
  23. 23. Experiential Futures The design of an experiential scenario, intended to provide a tangible means of interacting with a possible future scenario. Ref: Stuart Candy, Jake Dunagan; https://www.researchgate.net/publication/303815839_Designing_an_Experiential_Scenario_The_People_Who_Vanish ed
  24. 24. Ethnographi c_Experient ial_Futures
  25. 25. Visioning via Incasting Incasting refers to projections or creations built within an existing frame of reference, thinking up the specific details of a possible future based on a more general scenario description. Artifacts like Images of the Future are one of many possible outcomes of this process. Ref: Infinite Futures; http://www.infinitefutures.com/tools/inclassic.shtml
  26. 26. Ethnographic Experiential Futures Ethnographic Experiential Futures, or EXF, is a design-driven, hybrid approach to Foresight aimed at increasing the accessibility, variety and depth of available images of the future.* https://futuryst.blogspot.com/2017/06/ethnographic-experiential-futures.html
  27. 27. EXF Field Guides Developed by Stuart Candy and Kelly Kornet. Stuart Candy is an Experiential Futurist, Director of the CMU SitLab, and Associate Professor at the CMU School of Design Stuart Candy - Speculative Design and Experiential Futures: https://www.slideshare.net/futuryst/speculative-design-and-experiential-futures Kelly Kornet is a Design Researcher & Futurist Kelly Kornet - Reconstructing Resilience: http://www.reconstructingresilience.ca/?page_id=54
  28. 28. General Scenario Description In the way of prototyping images of the future, a narrowed focus on a particular future(s) should be identified: Transportation Infrastructure in Austin; Near-term future, 10-15 years; 2028 - 2033
  29. 29. 1 _ Map 2 x 5 min. partner interview sessions
  30. 30. Greyson, Making the Futures Present “Making the Futures Present” is the prototype of a proposed personal futures technique that begins by exploring ‘the world out there’ before ‘the inner world’. By the end of a three-phase interview cycle each participant receives a personalized high-fidelity prototype. That artifact or experience intentionally provokes the participant’s perception of the expected future. Ref: Greyson, Amy Helen Margaret (2017) Making the Futures Present. [MRP]: http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/
  31. 31. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown A futures-oriented community dialogue initiative created by Jake Dunagan and Stuart Candy which took place in Honolulu. The centerpiece and culminating event of the project was a community workshop exploring Chinatown’s past, present, and futures. To set the stage for this workshop within the community,FoundFutures worked with multiple teams of designers and artists to create and execute several distributed installations throughout Chinatown Ref: Jake Dunagan & Stuart Candy: https://www.scribd.com/doc/298048071/Dunagan-and-Candy-2007-FoundFutures- Chinatown
  32. 32. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  33. 33. Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  34. 34. Textor’s Ethnographic Futures Research A method invented in 1976 which futures researchers employing a sociocultural approach can use with a sample of interviewees to elicit their perceptions and preferences among possible and probable alternative futures for their society and culture. EFR is an adaptation of the spirit and method of cultural anthropology and ethnography to the needs and constraints of futures research. Ref: Robert Textor: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222843387_The_ethnographic_futures_research_method_An_application_ to_Thailand
  35. 35. Kornet, Causing an Effect A futures exhibition and research project that draws from individual foresight, design research, and design fiction to build understanding for activists working in future-minded ways. The research aims to generate images of the future, give voice and build empathy for activists, and create a space for strategic conversation around the future of North American industrial communities. Ref: Kelly Kornet: https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap
  36. 36. Kornet, Causing an Effect
  37. 37. 2 _ Multiply 2 x 3 min. partner interview sessions
  38. 38. Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES 1-888-FUTURES is a service that takes a future dream, vision or problem, renders it tangible as a “future present”, and delivers it to a specific individual. Ref: Extrapolation Factory & Situation Lab: http://1888futures.com/
  39. 39. Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES
  40. 40. Greyson, Making the Futures Present Kornet, Causing an Effect
  41. 41. 3 _ Mediate 20 min. to prototype
  42. 42. move from Setting (scenario concept) → Scenario (particular hypothetical) → ideas for 1:1 scale Situations or Artifacts
  43. 43. Think about prototyping something experiential
  44. 44. Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES Kornet, Causing an Effect Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown Greyson, Making the Futures Present
  45. 45. 4 _ Mount 10 min. to discuss approaches
  46. 46. Kornet, Causing an Effect Greyson, Making the Futures Present Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown Situation Lab/Extrapolation Factory, 1-888- FUTURES
  47. 47. 5 _ Map 5 min. to discuss
  48. 48. Kornet, Causing an Effect Greyson, Making the Futures Present Candy & Dunagan, Foundfutures Chinatown
  49. 49. Group_Debri ef
  50. 50. Discuss (⅓) This (as with other forms of Design praxis) is a methodology that can be applied to an identified problem utilizing a set nuanced of tools and techniques. Share what you created. Let’s relate this to Design and Design Research.
  51. 51. Discuss (⅔) May seem fantastical; but is based in logic and people and their mental models This fringe area is based in logic and everyday life/reality
  52. 52. Discuss (3/3) Would you disseminate these artifacts into the world? If so - How? If you put it out - you’d observe people’s reactions - what kind of reactions would you want to get?
  53. 53. Adam Zeiner @_dezein itsdezein@gmail.com Tyler McCoy @tyleryoga
  54. 54. Avenues to get involved www.meetup.com/ATX-Speculative-Futures Speculative Futures Meetup - Austin www.futures.design Design Futures Initiative www.primerconference.com PRIMER Speculative Design & Foresight Conference
  55. 55. possibly of interest http://superflux.in/index.php/cartographies-of-imagination/# Superflux - MAPLAB: Cartographies of Imagination https://www.media.mit.edu/projects/mod/overview/ MIT Media Lab - City Science: Mobility On-Demand https://civicsmart.city/ Emerson College - Engagement Lab: Making a Civic Smart City https://engineering.nyu.edu/research-innovation/centers-and-institutes/connected-cities-smart- mobility-towards-accessible-and NYU - C2SMART: Connected Cities for Smart Mobility http://www.slate.com/articles/podcasts/secret_history_of_the_future/2018/09/from_horseless_carria ges_to_autonomous_cars.html Secret History of the Future: The Fault in Our Cars https://www.wired.com/story/scooters-cities-fees-mobility/?mc_cid=3be8a5cb46&mc_eid=58be77e1c7 MILKING SCOOTERS FOR CASH HELPS CITIES BUILD FOR THE FUTURE
  56. 56. into_the_fu ture

Editor's Notes

  • Bake the Learning Objectives into the Agenda
  • Bake the Learning Objectives into the Agenda
  • https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328714001980
  • We will provide the existing frame of reference and the general scenario description
  • This is meant to focus on an individual, group, community, or culture whose images of the future you’re interested in understanding, surfacing, or deepening.
  • http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/1441/7/Greyson_Amy_2016_MDes_SFI_MRP.pdf
  • https://www.researchgate.net/publication/222843387_The_ethnographic_futures_research_method_An_application_to_Thailand, https://books.google.com/books/about/A_Handbook_on_Ethnographic_Futures_Resea.html?id=eehtAAAAMAAJ, https://oac.cdlib.org/findaid/ark:/13030/kt3b69r9d5/entire_text/, https://anthrosource.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/an.1989.30.8.1.1
  • https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/257/, https://www.researchgate.net/publication/305816905_Causing_an_Effect_Activists_Uncertainty_and_Images_of_the_Future
  • https://issuu.com/kellykornet7/docs/kelly_kornet_causinganeffect_mrp_ap, http://openresearch.ocadu.ca/id/eprint/257/
  • http://1888futures.com/
  • http://1888futures.com/
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