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Game Theory Responses: Apple, Google and Microsoft
                                                                 Music players
    Company            Internet ads           Package S/W
                                                                 Smart phone




Picture 1

Application of Game Theory in the Technology and Media Space:

      Now having studied the fundamentals of Game Theory, let’s explore how the
book Googled by Ken Auletta looks at the start and evolution of Google, and how Apple,
Google and Microsoft have over the years developed a competitive eco-system using
technology, telephone and traditional media partners such as AOL, AT&T, Comcast, HP,
Time Warner, T-Mobile, Verizon, Yahoo, and others for both defensive and offensive
combat against each other. While Microsoft has been a common enemy for both Apple,
Google, and for most of the Silicon Valley, the relationship between Apple and Google
has worsened only in the past couple of years as they each have gotten deeper into the
smartphones category. Until then, these two companies shared half of the board and
key mentors such as Vice President Al Gore, Coach Bill Campbell and others.




                                          1
A brief historical context for the rivalry between the three companies:

1. Internet Search as well Mobile Advertising Dollars: Microsoft for the
   longest time dismissed the need for search-based ad dollars and just focused
   on selling software and operating systems. Only when Google went public
   and disclosed how much money it was making through search ads, did
   Microsoft start making overtures to Yahoo for a possible collaboration and
   combining its MSN portal with Yahoo’s.

   Apple has historically focused on its hardware and Mac OS, but then as it
   started developing its iTunes, iPhones and other platforms, it realized through
   working with Google that all these media provided Apple with a great
   mechanism to generate ad dollars. So it bought Quattro Wireless in 2009 and
   launched iAd in 2010.

   Google’s business model started with developing search related algorithms
   about 10 years ago, and ever since then, they have sought to combine
   YouTube, DoubleClick, mobile phone products, cloud computing, selling TV,
   radio and newspaper ads- all in an effort to sell targeted advertising more
   effectively through collection of ever increasing, effective amount of data.

2. Packaged Software and Operating Systems: Microsoft and Apple
   originally collaborated on the development of programs such as Chart and File
   written for the Mac in addition to the spreadsheet program Excel, amongst
   other things. However, their relationship worsened when the DOS-based
   Windows operating system when introduced started looking a lot like Mac OS.

   Google and Apple collaborated on the search related technologies and
   distribution through Mac platform, but once Google started developing the
   Android, they started having conflicts with Apple with Eric Schmidt resigning
   from Apple Board. Google was feeling that Mac OS was limiting its choices,
   and that it had to develop its own browser-based operating system (Chrome).

   Google was always suspicious of Microsoft’s dominance, its limiting of choice
   for customers, and its destroying of Netscape browser. So, even as it was
   getting launched at Stanford, Google founders made certain that Microsoft
   didn’t catch a wind of what they were working on.

3. Music Players, Smart Phones and Other Smart Devices: As technology
   has evolved and more sophisticated applications have gotten developed, all
   major players have realized the potential of technological convergence and
   multi-channel distribution of experience, convenience and advertising
   revenue. Microsoft controls the operating system on most of the desktops
   and laptops around the world, so it has tried to use that dominance to try to
   create a dominant mobile browser too (even though not that successfully so
   far) to keep its cash flow machine humming.




                                     2
Ever since Steve Jobs came back after ousting John Sculley, Apple has used
  its robust Mac OS and its cool Macs and other devices to create huge
  following around the world by creating a solid closed system where the
  hardware and software are from the same vendor and talk effectively to each
  other.

  In 2007, Google began to aggressively move into the mobile phone business
  because of the fast growth in users, but it wasn’t until the success of iPhone
  did it realize that the iPhone delivered fifty times more search queries than
  the typical smartphone. But the problem was that its programs functioned
  poorly on mobile phones because of the restrictions that telephone companies
  put on various applications accessible to end-users. To counter these
  limitations, Google decided to develop its own open-source Android operating
  system.




Picture 2




                                   3
Primary moves the three companies have made using Game Theory:

Principle 1: Use Strategic Foresight (backward induction): Apple, Google and
            Microsoft use some form of Game Theory techniques to figure out what
            the other maybe working on in the future, and respond by launching
            appropriate counter-products. As per Pictures 1 and 2, they each have
            products in the appropriate profit-centers of the others, and are unwilling
            to concede any territory as if in a chess match.

Principle 2: Know Yourself as Well as Others: Google knows that its core is search
            and all the acquisitions it has done strengthen this core by adding to its
            data gold mine, Apple’s main business is robust hardware and OS, and
            since its customers are die-hard Apple fans, it doesn’t need to reduce
            prices and compromise on margins. Microsoft’s main focus is its
            ubiquitous operating system and Office software. Everything else it does
            are offensive and defensive strategies to protect its turf.

Principle 3: Differentiate between One-Time and Repeated Interactions: Since
            all of these 3 companies, their partners and vendors know and expect
            what the others are likely to do, according to Game Theory, they should
            be cooperating and focusing on their own core competencies. Instead
            they fight in each product category and attack the other’s profit center.

Principle 4: Unify Minds to Promote Cooperation: Google has used this tool
            effectively to recruit bright engineers with a promise of promoting cloud
            computing and other open-source technologies to break down barriers
            these engineers believe proprietary systems create.

             Old Media companies have tried to collaborate and cooperate even with
             Microsoft to defend their advertising and other distribution models from
             the Google onslaught.

Conclusion: Game Theory is a very robust tool in understanding how a competitive
strategy game is played and different payoffs to be expected by each player. It
however relies on a very important assumption that firms share a common expectation
about rational behavior. In the real world, companies are paranoid and people involved
have behavioral traits that may violate and change the Nash Equilibrium. In the case
of Apple, Google and Microsoft, there’s a long history of mistrust (especially between
Apple and Microsoft), personal interactions (Steve Jobs and Bill Gates), and new
business strategies (Cloud Computing for Google) that force adaptation and revised
equilibrium level than that suggested by Game Theory.




                                           4

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Application Of Game Theory

  • 1. Game Theory Responses: Apple, Google and Microsoft Music players Company Internet ads Package S/W Smart phone Picture 1 Application of Game Theory in the Technology and Media Space: Now having studied the fundamentals of Game Theory, let’s explore how the book Googled by Ken Auletta looks at the start and evolution of Google, and how Apple, Google and Microsoft have over the years developed a competitive eco-system using technology, telephone and traditional media partners such as AOL, AT&T, Comcast, HP, Time Warner, T-Mobile, Verizon, Yahoo, and others for both defensive and offensive combat against each other. While Microsoft has been a common enemy for both Apple, Google, and for most of the Silicon Valley, the relationship between Apple and Google has worsened only in the past couple of years as they each have gotten deeper into the smartphones category. Until then, these two companies shared half of the board and key mentors such as Vice President Al Gore, Coach Bill Campbell and others. 1
  • 2. A brief historical context for the rivalry between the three companies: 1. Internet Search as well Mobile Advertising Dollars: Microsoft for the longest time dismissed the need for search-based ad dollars and just focused on selling software and operating systems. Only when Google went public and disclosed how much money it was making through search ads, did Microsoft start making overtures to Yahoo for a possible collaboration and combining its MSN portal with Yahoo’s. Apple has historically focused on its hardware and Mac OS, but then as it started developing its iTunes, iPhones and other platforms, it realized through working with Google that all these media provided Apple with a great mechanism to generate ad dollars. So it bought Quattro Wireless in 2009 and launched iAd in 2010. Google’s business model started with developing search related algorithms about 10 years ago, and ever since then, they have sought to combine YouTube, DoubleClick, mobile phone products, cloud computing, selling TV, radio and newspaper ads- all in an effort to sell targeted advertising more effectively through collection of ever increasing, effective amount of data. 2. Packaged Software and Operating Systems: Microsoft and Apple originally collaborated on the development of programs such as Chart and File written for the Mac in addition to the spreadsheet program Excel, amongst other things. However, their relationship worsened when the DOS-based Windows operating system when introduced started looking a lot like Mac OS. Google and Apple collaborated on the search related technologies and distribution through Mac platform, but once Google started developing the Android, they started having conflicts with Apple with Eric Schmidt resigning from Apple Board. Google was feeling that Mac OS was limiting its choices, and that it had to develop its own browser-based operating system (Chrome). Google was always suspicious of Microsoft’s dominance, its limiting of choice for customers, and its destroying of Netscape browser. So, even as it was getting launched at Stanford, Google founders made certain that Microsoft didn’t catch a wind of what they were working on. 3. Music Players, Smart Phones and Other Smart Devices: As technology has evolved and more sophisticated applications have gotten developed, all major players have realized the potential of technological convergence and multi-channel distribution of experience, convenience and advertising revenue. Microsoft controls the operating system on most of the desktops and laptops around the world, so it has tried to use that dominance to try to create a dominant mobile browser too (even though not that successfully so far) to keep its cash flow machine humming. 2
  • 3. Ever since Steve Jobs came back after ousting John Sculley, Apple has used its robust Mac OS and its cool Macs and other devices to create huge following around the world by creating a solid closed system where the hardware and software are from the same vendor and talk effectively to each other. In 2007, Google began to aggressively move into the mobile phone business because of the fast growth in users, but it wasn’t until the success of iPhone did it realize that the iPhone delivered fifty times more search queries than the typical smartphone. But the problem was that its programs functioned poorly on mobile phones because of the restrictions that telephone companies put on various applications accessible to end-users. To counter these limitations, Google decided to develop its own open-source Android operating system. Picture 2 3
  • 4. Primary moves the three companies have made using Game Theory: Principle 1: Use Strategic Foresight (backward induction): Apple, Google and Microsoft use some form of Game Theory techniques to figure out what the other maybe working on in the future, and respond by launching appropriate counter-products. As per Pictures 1 and 2, they each have products in the appropriate profit-centers of the others, and are unwilling to concede any territory as if in a chess match. Principle 2: Know Yourself as Well as Others: Google knows that its core is search and all the acquisitions it has done strengthen this core by adding to its data gold mine, Apple’s main business is robust hardware and OS, and since its customers are die-hard Apple fans, it doesn’t need to reduce prices and compromise on margins. Microsoft’s main focus is its ubiquitous operating system and Office software. Everything else it does are offensive and defensive strategies to protect its turf. Principle 3: Differentiate between One-Time and Repeated Interactions: Since all of these 3 companies, their partners and vendors know and expect what the others are likely to do, according to Game Theory, they should be cooperating and focusing on their own core competencies. Instead they fight in each product category and attack the other’s profit center. Principle 4: Unify Minds to Promote Cooperation: Google has used this tool effectively to recruit bright engineers with a promise of promoting cloud computing and other open-source technologies to break down barriers these engineers believe proprietary systems create. Old Media companies have tried to collaborate and cooperate even with Microsoft to defend their advertising and other distribution models from the Google onslaught. Conclusion: Game Theory is a very robust tool in understanding how a competitive strategy game is played and different payoffs to be expected by each player. It however relies on a very important assumption that firms share a common expectation about rational behavior. In the real world, companies are paranoid and people involved have behavioral traits that may violate and change the Nash Equilibrium. In the case of Apple, Google and Microsoft, there’s a long history of mistrust (especially between Apple and Microsoft), personal interactions (Steve Jobs and Bill Gates), and new business strategies (Cloud Computing for Google) that force adaptation and revised equilibrium level than that suggested by Game Theory. 4