9/8 THUR 10:45 | Statewide Regional Evacuation Study Program 1

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Earl J. Baker

With an updated Evacuation Study for each of the 11 regions, Florida has one of the only statewide evacuation studies in the Nation. This session will educate participants on its fundamentals,
including HOW and WHY it was created and its implementation across a variety of planning disciplines. Explanations of the major components of the Evacuation Study, including its complex
evacuation transportation models, statewide coordination, behavioral surveys, and associated behavioral assumptions and advanced GIS modeling tools. Planners will gain a better understanding of the purpose, data and methodology of the Studies and how to implement its findings in their planning documents.

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9/8 THUR 10:45 | Statewide Regional Evacuation Study Program 1

  1. 1. SRES Behavioral Survey and Analysis Statewide Summary<br />Earl J. Baker<br />Hazards Management Group, Inc.<br />
  2. 2. SRES Behavioral Survey and Analysis<br />Transportation<br />Analysis<br />Shelter<br />Analysis<br />Behavioral<br />Analysis<br />Public <br />Awareness<br />Emergency<br />Management<br />Policy<br />
  3. 3. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />Base questionnaire<br />County questions<br />Region questions<br />Hurricanes<br />Inland flooding<br />Wildfires<br />Hazardous material accidents<br />Nuclear power plant accidents<br />
  4. 4. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />18,800 Telephone interviews<br />400 in each coastal county<br />150 in each non-coastal county<br />Demographics<br />Constraints to evacuating<br />Perceived vulnerability<br />Intended responses<br />Past responses<br />
  5. 5. Survey Data Reports<br />
  6. 6. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />Examples<br />Constraints to evacuating<br />
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  11. 11. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />Examples<br />Perceived vulnerability<br />
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  16. 16. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />Examples<br />Intended responses<br />
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  20. 20. SRES Behavioral Survey<br />Examples<br />Past responses<br />
  21. 21. Actual Response Studies in FloridaPredating the SRES <br />
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  30. 30. Housing<br />
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  32. 32. Behavioral Assumptions for Planning<br />Coastal Counties<br /><ul><li>6 zones
  33. 33. 5 storm categories
  34. 34. 2 house types
  35. 35. 7 behaviors*</li></ul>Evacuation participation rate<br />Type of refuge (4)<br />In vs. out of county destinations<br />Vehicle use<br />
  36. 36. Evacuation rate indicates the percent of residents who will leave their homes to go someplace safer<br /> from each zone in each storm threat scenario. Figures are based on the assumption that officials<br />order evacuation for surge evacuation zones corresponding to storm category, plus all mobile homes<br /> and manufactured homes. Figures also assume that the actual storm track passes very close<br /> to the area being evacuated.<br />
  37. 37. Public shelter use rate indicates the percent of evacuees from each zone who will seek refuge<br /> in public shelters, in each storm threat scenario.<br />
  38. 38. Out-of-county trip rate indicates the percent of evacuees from each zone who will seek refuge<br /> outsidetheir own county of residence.<br />
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  40. 40. Vehicle Use<br />Vehicles Available 1.86<br />Vehicles to be Used 1.34<br />Percent of Available 72%<br />Trailers 11%<br />No Cars Available 3.1%<br />
  41. 41. Hazards other than Hurricanes<br />
  42. 42. SRES Behavioral Survey and Analysis<br />Earl J. Baker<br />Hazards Management Group, Inc.<br />hazgroup@comcast.net<br />850-893-8993<br />

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