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India Market Trends


           Rajabahadur V Arcot
               b h d
             Vice President & GN
             ARC Advisory Group
              raja@ARCweb.com




                                                     1
                                   © ARC Advisory Group
Agenda


 Overview

 Growth Indicators

 High Growth Industries

 Growth Opportunities

 Recommendations




                                             2
                           © ARC Advisory Group
Overview

India
  •OOne among th few countries which has emerged
                 the f       t i    hi h h         d
    largely unscathed from the economic crisis
  • Expected to achieve a growth rate of 7.4 percent
    during 2009-2010 (India’s fiscal year is from
    April to March)
     • Manufacturing Growth – 10.8 percent
  • Projected growth rate for 2010 – 9.4 percent
    (IMF)

        India Offers Growth Opportunities for
                Automation S
                A t     ti Suppliers
                                li
                                                                   3
                                                 © ARC Advisory Group
Other Growth Indicators

 The Central Bank and the State have already
  initiated actions to withdraw economic stimulus
  packages
 PMI has been above 50 since April 2009
   60.0

   58.0

   56.0

   54.0

   52.0

   50.0

   48.0

   46.0

   44.0
          Aug 09   Sept 09   Oct 09   Nov 09   Dec 09   Jan 10   Feb 10   March 10   April 10   May 10   June 10   July 10



                                                                                                                                               4
                                                                                                                             © ARC Advisory Group
High Growth Industries
 Automotive and Auto component
 Cement and Glass
 Electric Power – Generation and Distribution
 Food and Beverage
                 g
 Metal Industries – Particularly Steel
 Oil and Gas, Chemicals
 Pharmaceuticals and Biotech
 High tech (Consumer Electronics, Medical
  Equipments, and Telecom)
     i          d   l    )




                                                               5
                                             © ARC Advisory Group
Automotive

 Expected to contribute 10 percent of India’s
  GDP in the next 5-6 years
                    5 6
 Emerging as manufacturing and engineering
  hub for compact cars
                p
   • Tata Motor’s Nano
 On the radar screen global players pursuing
  small car strategy
   • Examples: Suzuki, Hyundai, Renault-Nissan, and
     GM
 Emerging as an exporter of automobiles and
            p
  auto components

                                                                   6
                                                 © ARC Advisory Group
Cement
 World's second largest producer of cement
    after China
   Installed production capacity by end
    September 2009– 231 million tons (MT)
   Capacity addition during April-September 2009
                                  April September
    - nearly 11 MT
   Capacity addition next y
        p    y                 year – 25 MT
   Both domestic and global Players are active in
    the market
     • Four of the top five global players are in India
       (Lafarge, Holcim, Italicementi, and Heidelberg)
   Technology adoption and energy management
    gaining importance
                                                                     7
                                                   © ARC Advisory Group
Electric Power
 Demand for electric power outstrips supply
 Manufacturing companies constructing ‘captive’
  power plants to meet in-house demand and sell
  the available excess power
 Present generating capacity – around 150 GW
 According to ARC analysis, India needs to add
  another 450-550 GW in the next ten years
 Some projections for the next decade:
  • Wind power - 20,000 MW
  • Solar power – 20,000 MW
  • Nuclear Power – 20,000 MW


                                                                    8
                                                  © ARC Advisory Group
Food and Beverage
 Indian food and beverage market: Around $200
  billion
 Agricultural product exports: Around $20 billion
 Processed Food industry: Less than $15 billion
  and growing at a CAGR of around 14-15 percent
 Investment in the pipeline:   More than 20
  billion in the next three years



      Changing lifestyles and increasing
           disposable incomes spur
      food processing industry’s g o th
           p ocessing ind st ’s growth
                                                                 9
                                               © ARC Advisory Group
Pharmaceuticals

 $20.0 billion industry
 Ranks 3rd by volume and 14th in terms of value
 Meets 70 percent demand of country’s bulk drug
  requirements and nearly all of formulations
  requirements
 Growth: 13 percent CAGR
 Highest number o the US Food and Drug
    g est u be of t e      ood a d   ug
  Administration (FDA) approved GMP
  manufacturing plants outside the US
 Account for almost one out of four abbreviated
  new drug applications (ANDA) filed in the US
 Files almost half of the DMFs in the US.


                                                                  10
                                                 © ARC Advisory Group
Steel

 Fourth largest producer of steel in the world
 India accounts for 5 percent of global steel
  consumption
 Last year steel consumption grew by 6.8
  percent
 Projected growth of Steel consumption: more
  than 10 percent per annum over the next
  decade




                                                                  11
                                                 © ARC Advisory Group
Growth Opportunities
 New investments in greenfield projects
  • Process, batch, and discrete industries
 Renovation and modernization
 Increasing competitive pressures compel
  companies to seek productivity and efficiency
         i  t     k    d ti it     d ffi i
  improvements
 Increasing a a e ess t at automation is a
    c eas g awareness that auto at o s
  business enabler and a strategic asset
 Automation moving beyond basic level
  • MES, EAM, Safety (process and Machine) Systems,
    Digital Manufacturing
 Energy management imperatives

                                                                 12
                                                © ARC Advisory Group
Recommendations
  • Looking for growth oriented market? India is the
    answer
  • Increase marketing and sales resources – market
    will reward especially in growing segments in
    emerging technologies (solar wind biomass & others)
                          (solar,
  • Invest in concept & value marketing, awareness
    creation, and solution selling
  • Focus on growing industry verticals and develop
    appropriate strategies
      • Examples:
      • Electric Power Industry - conventional and
        renewal generation and distribution,
                  g                        ,
        Pharmaceutical, and others
                                                                        13
                                                       © ARC Advisory Group
Thank You!
For more information, contact
      raja@ARCweb.com
or visit ARC Advisory Group at
        www.arcweb.com
15
© ARC Advisory Group

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India Market Trends

  • 1. India Market Trends Rajabahadur V Arcot b h d Vice President & GN ARC Advisory Group raja@ARCweb.com 1 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 2. Agenda  Overview  Growth Indicators  High Growth Industries  Growth Opportunities  Recommendations 2 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 3. Overview India •OOne among th few countries which has emerged the f t i hi h h d largely unscathed from the economic crisis • Expected to achieve a growth rate of 7.4 percent during 2009-2010 (India’s fiscal year is from April to March) • Manufacturing Growth – 10.8 percent • Projected growth rate for 2010 – 9.4 percent (IMF) India Offers Growth Opportunities for Automation S A t ti Suppliers li 3 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 4. Other Growth Indicators  The Central Bank and the State have already initiated actions to withdraw economic stimulus packages  PMI has been above 50 since April 2009 60.0 58.0 56.0 54.0 52.0 50.0 48.0 46.0 44.0 Aug 09 Sept 09 Oct 09 Nov 09 Dec 09 Jan 10 Feb 10 March 10 April 10 May 10 June 10 July 10 4 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 5. High Growth Industries  Automotive and Auto component  Cement and Glass  Electric Power – Generation and Distribution  Food and Beverage g  Metal Industries – Particularly Steel  Oil and Gas, Chemicals  Pharmaceuticals and Biotech  High tech (Consumer Electronics, Medical Equipments, and Telecom) i d l ) 5 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 6. Automotive  Expected to contribute 10 percent of India’s GDP in the next 5-6 years 5 6  Emerging as manufacturing and engineering hub for compact cars p • Tata Motor’s Nano  On the radar screen global players pursuing small car strategy • Examples: Suzuki, Hyundai, Renault-Nissan, and GM  Emerging as an exporter of automobiles and p auto components 6 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 7. Cement  World's second largest producer of cement after China  Installed production capacity by end September 2009– 231 million tons (MT)  Capacity addition during April-September 2009 April September - nearly 11 MT  Capacity addition next y p y year – 25 MT  Both domestic and global Players are active in the market • Four of the top five global players are in India (Lafarge, Holcim, Italicementi, and Heidelberg)  Technology adoption and energy management gaining importance 7 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 8. Electric Power  Demand for electric power outstrips supply  Manufacturing companies constructing ‘captive’ power plants to meet in-house demand and sell the available excess power  Present generating capacity – around 150 GW  According to ARC analysis, India needs to add another 450-550 GW in the next ten years  Some projections for the next decade: • Wind power - 20,000 MW • Solar power – 20,000 MW • Nuclear Power – 20,000 MW 8 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 9. Food and Beverage  Indian food and beverage market: Around $200 billion  Agricultural product exports: Around $20 billion  Processed Food industry: Less than $15 billion and growing at a CAGR of around 14-15 percent  Investment in the pipeline: More than 20 billion in the next three years Changing lifestyles and increasing disposable incomes spur food processing industry’s g o th p ocessing ind st ’s growth 9 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 10. Pharmaceuticals  $20.0 billion industry  Ranks 3rd by volume and 14th in terms of value  Meets 70 percent demand of country’s bulk drug requirements and nearly all of formulations requirements  Growth: 13 percent CAGR  Highest number o the US Food and Drug g est u be of t e ood a d ug Administration (FDA) approved GMP manufacturing plants outside the US  Account for almost one out of four abbreviated new drug applications (ANDA) filed in the US  Files almost half of the DMFs in the US. 10 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 11. Steel  Fourth largest producer of steel in the world  India accounts for 5 percent of global steel consumption  Last year steel consumption grew by 6.8 percent  Projected growth of Steel consumption: more than 10 percent per annum over the next decade 11 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 12. Growth Opportunities  New investments in greenfield projects • Process, batch, and discrete industries  Renovation and modernization  Increasing competitive pressures compel companies to seek productivity and efficiency i t k d ti it d ffi i improvements  Increasing a a e ess t at automation is a c eas g awareness that auto at o s business enabler and a strategic asset  Automation moving beyond basic level • MES, EAM, Safety (process and Machine) Systems, Digital Manufacturing  Energy management imperatives 12 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 13. Recommendations • Looking for growth oriented market? India is the answer • Increase marketing and sales resources – market will reward especially in growing segments in emerging technologies (solar wind biomass & others) (solar, • Invest in concept & value marketing, awareness creation, and solution selling • Focus on growing industry verticals and develop appropriate strategies • Examples: • Electric Power Industry - conventional and renewal generation and distribution, g , Pharmaceutical, and others 13 © ARC Advisory Group
  • 14. Thank You! For more information, contact raja@ARCweb.com or visit ARC Advisory Group at www.arcweb.com