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Kevin richardson geography level 3 2011


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Kevin richardson geography level 3 2011

  1. 1. Do plans of central government foreconomic growth reflect our spiky economic geography? Kevin Richardson
  2. 2. •Theory and a ‘spiky’ world•Successively changing policies•Current Case Studies •Local Growth White Paper / LEPs •Localism Bill•Ongoing challenges
  3. 3. Some Theory• O’Brien (1992) – the ‘end of geography’• Cairncross (1997) – the ‘death of distance’• Thomas Friedman (2005) – the ‘World is Flat’• Krugman et al – NEG & agglomeration• World Bank Development Report (2009): distance, density and difference• Challenged by the OECD and the European Union
  4. 4. McCann (2010)
  5. 5. Headline GVA NUTS318 00016 00014 00012 000 Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees South Teesside10 000 Darlington Durham CC 8 000 Northumberland Tyneside Sunderland 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 199 5 199 6 199 7 199 8 199 9 200 0 200 1 200 2 200 3 200 4 200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8
  6. 6. GVA per capita index110.0100.0 90.0 Hartlepool and Stockton-on-Tees Durham CC 80.0 Northumberland Tyneside 70.0 60.0 50.0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
  7. 7. Headline GVA NUTS 3200 000180 000160 000140 000120 000 Inner London100 000 Tyneside 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 199 5 199 6 199 7 199 8 199 9 200 0 200 1 200 2 200 3 200 4 200 5 200 6 200 7 200 8
  8. 8. OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East• The reality is that not all communities will benefit equally from the region’s growth… is for example clear that growth is coming form the urban core of the region and this is likely to continue.• The concentration of growth and related resources in the City of Newcastle (and Tyne and Wear County) suggests that in building the critical mass, the city region should strengthen the role of the urban core as the growth centre in building the critical mass.• A focus on high technology sectors suggests a spatial concentration of development in the urban core of the region, with an accompanying transport strategy so as to improve the connectivity in the region and beyond, thereby enhancing the spatial mobility of the population• [However] there is an ambivalence and lack of consensus in the region about the role of Newcastle in the region’s future.• Finally, as the strategy requires choices to be made as to where (and where not) to put resource, a high degree of transparency in decision making, and political support are required
  9. 9. OECD Review of Newcastle in the North East• Central government is the dominant actor in regional economic development• Collective action and identity appears to be as much rooted in localities and different cities within the region than the regional level, with internal and inwards looking divisions and animosities appearing to dominate. The basic conditions for building a mode of governance are therefore not strong• There is, of course, no single best level for government organisation anywhere. Nevertheless, there is evidence from other OECD countries to suggest that governance arrangements at a metropolitan or functional urban level make sense for issues such as housing, transport, economic development, culture, organisation of retail, environment, universities, and land use planning
  10. 10. Localism or Renationalisation?• Abolition of RDAs, Integrated Regional Strategies, Regional Funding Allocations, Business Link, Primary Care Trusts, Audit Commission, Regional Tourism, Government Offices• ‘rebalancing’ of economy (by sector, place, public / private)• New Forms of local finance: New Homes Bonus, Business Rates Bonus, Tax Increment Financing• But effective renationalisation of: Single Programme to (national) Regional Growth Fund, venture capital, (e.g. Jeremie), business support, tourism, inward investment, international trade, sector policy, transport investments, employment programmes, EU funding• Local Enterprise Partnerships & Localism Bill
  11. 11. LEPS: An early critique• Assessed by the centre against which criteria?• ‘Functional economic areas’ or administrative simplicity?• Economic growth or sustainable development?• Doing or thinking? Making difficult strategic choices?• Accountable? To whom?• No money, powers, functions, or hard status
  12. 12. Localism• Directly (imposed) Elected Mayors• Local referendums• Neighbourhood Planning• Devolution and reform of Tax Base to the local level e.g. New Homes Bonus
  13. 13. Ongoing Challenges (National)• Monetary policy: by definition global/ (inter) national; and effectively stalled• Fiscal policy historically severe: no spatial element and/or Keynesian interventionism• Unresolved reconciliation of neo-liberal supply side ‘people’ & firm economics with economic importance and political transparency of ‘place’ economics• Investing in places of growth and opportunity; or in places of need regardless of opportunity; in places where people want growth or where growth is not wanted? Jobs to people? Or people to jobs?• Much local delivery through agents of national government (universities, colleges, highways, Job Centre Plus, Skills Funding Agency etc) all driven by central demands; lacking legitimacy to make difficult spatial decisions• Departmentalism: what real traction from depleted departments of central government; of CLG compared to HM Treasury, Cabinet Office, DWP.• The continuing role of London
  14. 14. Ongoing Challenges (Local / Sub National)• Enabler or direct actor?• Dealing with huge cuts and Big Society / privatisation. Councils set free of red tape? Over 140 proposals for new regulations, order making powers, duties, statutory guidance and requirements on local authorities• Dealing directly with central government – with far fewer intermediaries. As seen from the centre – (variably) risk averse local government; of limited & reduced capacity, leverage, freedoms and leadership(?) From grants to risked based investment finance e.g. Tax Increment Financing?• From fuzzy boundaries of city-regions to confused boundaries; what relationships between Elected Mayors, LEPs, Police Commissioners, Transport Authorities, GP Commissioning Consortia, Work Programme, EU Programmes – each with a different boundary• In absence of sub national spatial strategies, what future for cross boundary working e.g. housing, transport etc• Dealing with the inevitable spatial implications of (national) space neutral sector policies. Will the private sector save us?