Current Challenges for the Future Transformation of the EU

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slides for the talk at the "Getting into the Right Lane for 2050" launch event, Brussels, Nov. 30th, 2009.

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  • Ziga, very interesting analysis. Agree. Global society will look very different. A few remarks:
    (1) debt...interesting to see who owns the debt. Mostly we ourselves, our governments and pensionfunds. Rest held by China, M.E. but this is smaller part.
    (2) energy revolution will sustain industry at least 10 years. Wind and solar plants are upfront investments. We will borrow against the energy use of the future.
    (3) people..mind revolution. Currently writing a book about this subject. Dan Pink´s brain shift is only one part of it. The web age is about autonomy, self-expression. People were 'objects' and are becoming 'subjects'.
    (4) Web literacy is key. We have to transform education. To facility centers for student empowerment.
    Armand Bogaarts
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  • http://www.flickr.com/photos/10509725@N06/2647520133/sizes/l/
  • Jeff Kubina
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  • Current Challenges for the Future Transformation of the EU

    1. 1. Current Challenges for the Future Transformation of the EU<br />dr. Žiga Turkprofessor, University of Ljubljana, SloveniaSecretary General, Reflection Group on the Future of EU, Brussels.<br />
    2. 2. Disclaimer<br />the views expressed are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of the organizations he is affiliated with<br />
    3. 3. Contents<br />we living in the virtual and borrowing from the future<br />there are real and current challenges: A,B,C,D<br />can we go on?<br />we can rely on 3 resources<br />and match them to the challenges<br />
    4. 4. Our civilization is loosing touch with the real and with the present<br />
    5. 5. We increasingly live in the virtual worlds of the Internet …<br />
    6. 6. We live in the media “reality”<br />
    7. 7. We watch spin-umentariesnot doc-umentaries<br />
    8. 8. We are borrowing from the future<br />
    9. 9. … borrowing to live beyond our means.<br />
    10. 10. … borrowing profits.<br />
    11. 11. … borrowing resources.<br />
    12. 12. … borrowing capacity to absorb CO2.<br />
    13. 13. … borrowing from future taxpayers.<br />
    14. 14. While we should try to make go with the real and the present and reward it!<br />
    15. 15. Crisis was a warning that we can not sustain blowing the bubbles<br />some people and states living beyond their means<br />financial markets not investing in new but changing the price of the old<br />detaching itself from the real economy<br />price hikes of oil returned the sense of reality<br />which spread to other sectors<br />
    16. 16. But there are challenges deeper than the crisis<br />A – abundance, conceptual economy<br />B – BRICS, globalization<br />C – climate change<br />D – demography<br />ABCD<br />
    17. 17. (A) We can not sustain our industrial, consumptioneconomy<br />
    18. 18. (B) We can not sustain our dominant role in the world<br />
    19. 19. (C) We can not sustain the climate<br />
    20. 20. (D) We are not sustaining the population<br />
    21. 21. ABCDare historic<br />A – end of industrial, information age, dawn of conceptual economy (19th century)<br />B – end of the dominance of the west (15th century)<br />C – end of below ground energy and fossil fuels<br />D – end of GDP growth pattern linked to population growth<br />
    22. 22. “The trouble with our times is …<br /> … that the future is not what it used to be.” <br />Paul Valery (French Poet, Essayist and Critic, 1871-1945)<br />
    23. 23. So can we go on?<br />
    24. 24. Yes!<br />
    25. 25. Because a key element of our civilization is values, innovation and creativity … of the people<br />
    26. 26. In fact, we have three resources<br />the people<br />the sun<br />the Union<br />
    27. 27. People’s hearts, their values, their care, the right side brain<br />
    28. 28. People’s Minds, the rationality, the left side brain<br />
    29. 29. The sun<br />
    30. 30. The union<br />
    31. 31. people<br />sun<br />To be more specific<br />rely on European values and care for nature and fellow human<br />step up R&D in new renewable energy technology and energy efficiency<br />energy efficiency now and overhaul of EU energy production by 2050<br />use the added value of the union<br />size and power of the common market<br />economy of scale<br />synergies of r&d<br />impact in member states<br />impact in the world <br />union<br />
    32. 32. In conclusion<br />we must get back to reality<br />Abundance,<br />BRICs,<br />Climate Change<br />Demography<br />are the key challenges of the future<br />in Europe we have the<br />peoples hearts and minds<br />the sun<br />and the tools of the European Union<br />to address them<br />we must change lanes now!<br />
    33. 33. “When it comes to your future there is no time like the present!”<br />BNP Paribas ad.<br />
    34. 34. Acknowledgements<br />photos:Google photo search, Flickr<br />charts:Erste Bank, Stanford University, WEO, IMF, NASA <br />more information, author contact at<br />www.zTurk.com<br />

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