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Myanma electrical outlook u kyaw swar soe naing

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Myanmar electrical outlook

Myanmar electrical outlook

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Myanma electrical outlook u kyaw swar soe naing Myanma electrical outlook u kyaw swar soe naing Presentation Transcript

  • Myanmar Electricity Outlook with reference to Demand Scenario Kyaw Swar Soe Naing (Executive Engineer, MEPE) U Kyaw Kyaw (Chief Engineer, YESB) Ministry of Electric Power (2) The Republic of the Union of MyanmarYangon, MYANMAR March 29, 2012
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2) Outline of presentation1. Organization of Electric Power2. Policy, Goal and Objectives of Electric Power3. Demand Forecast and Power Supply Position of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030) 3.1 Demand Forecast of 30 years plan 3.2 Power Supply Position of 30 years plan4. Background History of Generation Growth & Power Consumption up to 20115. Assessment on 30 years plan for ten years6. Future work, Plan and Conclusion
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)1. Organization of Electric Power
  • Organization of Electric Power In order to effectively carry out to fulfill the electricity requirement for the economic development, nation-building and multi-sector development tasks, on 15th May 2006 the Ministry of Electric Power has been reorganized as two Ministries;Ministry of Electric Power (1) Ministry of Electric Power (2)- Implementation of Hydropower - Thermal Power Generation from Gas Projects - Operation and Maintenance of Power- Hydropower Generation system- Thermal Power Generation from - Implementation of Transmission Lines Coal and Substations Projects - Distribution of Electricity throughout the Country
  • Ministry of Electric Power (1) Minister Deputy Minister Department of Department of Hydropower Hydropower Generation Hydropower Planning Implementation Enterprise Planning & Policy matters Development of New Operation and maintenance of Acting as a Secretariat to the Hydroelectric Power Projects (14) existing hydroelectric power Ministry Investigation, Design & stations and (1) coal fired thermal Technology, Construction power station. Selling the electricity to the Ministry of Electric Power (2)
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2) Minister Deputy MinisterDepartment of Myanma Electric Electricity Supply Yangon City Electri-Electric Power Power Enterprise Enterprise city Supply Board Planning & Policy Thermal Generation Supply electricity to Supply electricity to matters Control & Operation of the whole country Yangon division only the National Grid except Yangon Acting as a Construct distribution Construction & division. Secretariat to the lines & substation in Maintenance for Construct Ministry Yangon division transmission lines and distribution lines & (Subsists on own substations substations within fund) Purchase the electricity States & Divisions from MOEP 1 and other JV Co. Selling Electricity to ESE & YESB
  • Electricity Supply to Consumer HPGE (MOEP 1) MEPE (MOEP 2) ESE (MOEP 2) MEPE (MOEP 2) YESB (MOEP 2) JV/IPP Generation Transmission Distribution End User Generation Transmission Distribution 7
  • National Grid SystemExisting Facilities of Electric Power Sector in Myanmar, 2011-2012 - In National Grid System of Myanmar, there are 28 Nos. of Power Generating Stations, i.e. (17) Hydropower Stations, (1) Coal Fire Power Plant, (10) Gas Turbine Power Plants (including 4 Combined Cycle in Yangon). - The major electric power generating stations feed electricity into the National Grid System with 230 kV, 132 kV and 66 kV transmission lines and substations. Existing Transmission Lines Existing Substations Voltage Nos. of Length Voltage Nos. of Capacity (kV) Line miles km (kV) Substation (MVA) 230 42 2,020.23 3,250.55 230 25 3,280 132 39 1,480.76 2,382.54 132 25 1,578.5 66 137 2,245.93 3,613.70 66 96 1,983.1 Total 218 5,746.92 9,246.79 Total 146 6,841.6 8
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)2. Policy, Goals and Objectives of Electric Power
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)Policy for Electric Power Sector• To employ gas turbine power generation only for short term and rely on hydroelectric power as a vital source of energy sufficiency• To generate and distribute more electricity for economic development• To reduce losses and conserve electric energy for future energy sufficiency• To promote electricity production from new and renewable sources of energy 10
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2) Goals and Objectives(1) To employ the hydro power generation as a base load and the gas turbine generation as a peak load(2) To perform the combined cycle power generation in the gas turbine power stations in order to conserve the fuel consumption (3) To expand the National Grid System, whereby enlarged and developing industrial zones can be electrified and also the electrification of towns and villages by diesel generating sets will be eliminated(4) To enhance the quality of the power system in the transmission 11 and distribution sectors according to the technical standards
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)Goals and Objectives(5) To reduce the power interruption frequency and duration(6) To improve the reliability and stability of the power system(7) To reduce the loss of electricity incurred in transmission and distribution(8) To provide the policy and technical know how to use alternative energy such as bio-mass in remote area, where electricity through the National Grid is not accessible(9) To promote the development of non-conventional energy resources such as wind, solar, geothermal and tidal energy to meet the future power demand 12
  • 30 years Plan Committee In 2001, Ministry of Electric Power founded a committee as follow to establish the 30 years plan for electricity sector, to adequate supply to the growth electricity demand. Minister Chairman Deputy Minister Deputy Chairman Director General (Department of Electric Power) Member Director General (Department of Hydro Power) Member Managing Director (Myanma Electric Power Enterprise) Member Consultant of Ministry of Electric Power Member Chief Engineer, MEPE Member Deputy Chief Engineer (admin), MEPE Member Deputy Chief Engineer (Gas Turbine PP.), MEPE Member Deputy Chief Engineer (Distribution), MEPE Member Director (Account), MEPE Member Deputy Director General (admin), DEP Member Director (Planning for Distribution), DEP Member
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)3. Demand Forecast and Power Supply Position of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)
  • Hydro Power Resources in Myanmar Future Plan of Myanmar Power Grid 13. 5.2011 N W E S States and MYITKYINANo. Divisions in MW WINEMAW 10 Kachin MOGAUNG 40 Myanmar 140 Kayar NABAR 1 Kachin 2061 90 SHWELI (3) ( 1050 MW ) KUTKHAI 2 Kayar 3909 Kayin THAINGIN 95 55 MANSAN 13 THEINNI 1% 19% 5% FALAM 30 NGAPYAWDAING 75 MOEGOKE TANT YANN 10% 20 UPPER YEYWA 33 Chin HAKA 3 Kayin 17021 60 (280 MW) MINE YAL 90 1% MYITTHA (40 MW) 80 MONG-HSU OHNTAW 38 4 Chin 1312 9% Sagine SINEDIN INGON 11 TAUNGTAWKWIN SHWESARYAN WANSIN MONG-NAUNG 25 (76.5 MW) 5 Sagine 2400 KONHEIN THAPYAYWA 0% 28 HOPONG NAMSAN 6% 43% Tanintharyi KANZAUK NAUNG MONG 11 70 UPPER KENG TAWNG 6 Tanintharyi 692 20 (51 MW) MANN SHWEMYO 1% 146 120 HSI HSAING Pegu 80 NAYPYITAW-1 ANN 7 Pegu 483 2% KYAUK PHYU 35 42 35 MAEI 73 BALUCHAUNG-2 (6x28 MW) 4 Magway SANE BALUCHAUNG-3 8 Magway 122 96 14 SHWEDAUNG (48 MW) 35 OKSHITPIN YENGBYE 100 THAUK-YE-KHAT-2 3% TOUNGUP THAHTAY 76 TAUNGOO 14 (120 MW) 9 Mandalay 3482 Mandalay CHAUNG (111 MW) 130 4 MINHLA 100 117 THARYARGONE 5.3110 mon 292.4 mon MYAUNG TAGAR DAGON(EAST) KAMARNAT SITTAUNG THATON 1011 Rakhine 246 ATHOKE HLAINGTHARYAR THAKETA 30 MAWLAMYINE Rakhine 40 PATHEIN MAUBIN12 shan 7700 82 Total 39720 YE Power Station Hydro-power Station ( Existing ) Hydro-power Station ( Future ) Substation 230 kV ( Existing ) 132 kV ( Existing ) -It can be said that about half (43%) of the hydro power resource of Myanmar 66 kV ( Existing ) 500 kV ( Future ) 230 kV ( Future ) 132 kV ( Future ) 66 kV ( Future ) is in Kayin state, and the second largest resource (19%) is in Shan state. Transmission Line 230 kV ( Existing ) 132 kV ( Existing ) 66 kV ( Existing ) 500 kV ( Future ) 230 kV ( Future ) 132 kV ( Future ) 66 kV ( Future ) Figures in black color near Transmission Lines indicate the line length in miles.NOTE: This figure was shown in 30 years plan. Update data shows 92 promising projects, total installed capacityabout 46000 MW. The difference takes place in Hydro power resources in Kachin State.
  • 30 years Plan and Strategy Plan -Electricity productions by employing the gas turbines power generations only for short term -Relying on the hydro electric power generation as one important source of energy sufficiency. -The projects to generate and distribute more electricity for economic development and to reduce the losses of electric energy for future energy sufficiency of Myanmar nation -To promote electricity production from new and renewable energy resource Strategy -To develop all the available energy resources for the electricity productions -To improve electricity production level with the existing energy resources -To study the unsuppressed electricity demands.
  • Methodology on Demand Forecast (2001)Three cases of the growth of Electricity Demand1. Low Growth-In historical trend of generation, electricity consumption is generally increased about2.0 times in 10 years (within decade).-assumed doubling of the demand in every ten year2. Base Case-assumed growth rate of demand taking into account experience in Thailand-Estimated growth of electricity is 1.0 % and 1.5% greater to the demand of LowGrowth3. High Growth-The growth of economy is high and GDP is greater than 7.0% per annum-Estimated growth of electricity is 1.0% and 1.5% greater to the demand of Base Case
  • Methodology on Demand Forecast The trend of the growth of electricity demand in three cases Low Growth Base Case High Growth 14 13 12 11 10 (%) 9 8 7 6 5 The percentage of the growth of electricity demand will relatively increase to 2021, and the percentage of the growth will decline from 2021 to 2031.
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)3.1 Demand Forecast of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)
  • Demand Forecast for 30 years MW Low Growth Base Case High Growth 20000 16000 12000 Provision of power export to India 8000 Provision of power export to Thailand 4000 0 2012-2013 2013-2014 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030 Provision of electricity power export to Thailand and India were sharply increased in demand forecast for all cases at the 30 years plan. About 5000 MW (40 % of demand) was planned to export.
  • Electricity consumption by one person Maximum demand per person (kWh) Population (million) 1000 120 Population (million) 100Kilo watt hour (kWh) 800 80 600 60 400 40 200 20 0 0 (2001-2002) (2005-2006) (2010-2011) (2015-2016) (2020-2021) (2025-2026) (2030-2031) start Finish -Myanmar population is assumed to expand from an estimated 52.18 millions in 2001 to 95.33 million in 2031, an annual average rate of increase of 2.1 %. -Because of growth GDP, the electricity consumption per person is also increased.
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)3.2 Power Supply position of 30 years plan (2001 to 2030)
  • Installed and Firm capacity in 30 years plan Low Growth Base Case High Growth Installed FirmMW25000200001500010000 5000 0 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030 -To ensure adequate power supply sufficiently to the growth electricity demand, installed capacity will reach more 5000 MW than high growth demand. -Firm capacity also required over of the high growth demand Note: Firm power represents amount of energy that can be generated by a power plant with a certain probability.
  • MW 10000 15000 20000 25000 0 5000 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 hydro install 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 Thermalinstall 2019-2020 2020-2021 Hydro and Thermal Installed in 30 years Plan 2021-2022 2022-2023 2023-2024 2024-2025-Hydropower will play a major role in future electricity power generation. 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028-Installed capacity of power plants was determined generally above the generation 2028-2029 2029-2030
  • Strategy to improve the installed capacity in 30 years Plan Strategy Strategy considered that Hydro power will be employed in base load and natural gas turbine power plant will be employed in peak load. Hydropower will play a major role in future electricity power generation and the country requires to produce and develop the other energy resources. Short term and Long term projects Short terms projects include build up natural gas used Combine Cycle Power plants and small Hydro Power plants. Long term projects include build up Hydro Power plants to supply the domestic as well as export electricity to neighboring countries considering the economical aspects
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2) 5. Background History ofGeneration Growth &Power Consumption up to 2011
  • Historical Growth of Peak Load 1800 1600 1400 Mega watt (MW) 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -Considering peak load during each year, the trend of growth of electricity demand can be considered. -Peak load has grown from 322 MW in 1989 to 1533 MW in 2011. -Growth was fairly steady up to 2004, almost no growth from 2004 to 2007, and then accelerated to about 8.8 %/year up to 2011. 27
  • Historical Growth of Generation & Consumption Generation Consumption 10000 8000 6000 GWh 4000 losses 2000 0 2010-2011 2004-2005 2005-2006 1988-1989 1989-1990 1990-1991 1991-1992 1992-1993 1993-1994 1994-1995 1995-1996 1996-1997 1997-1998 1998-1999 1999-2000 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 -The growth of annual generation and consumption is gradual increase to 2010 -However, Generation and consumption are accelerated in 2010 and 2011. 28
  • Electricity Consumptions 7000 General Purpose Industrial 6000 5000 4000 (GWh) 3000 2000 1000 0 -General purpose and Industrial used over 85 % of the total consumptions. -General purpose used and Industrial used consumptions are almost same for every year. -The growth of consumptions are almost same for two cases. NOTE: General purpose used based on the used of House Hold
  • Installed Capacity in Year 2011 Grid System Isolated Total (MW) (MW) (MW) (% ) Installed Capacity 3,360.90 100.08 3,460.98 100.00% Hydroelectric 2,526.00 33.34 2,559.34 73.95% Gas 714.90 - 714.90 20.66% Coal 120.00 - 120.00 3.47% Diesel - 63.02 63.02 1.82% Bio Mass - 3.72 3.72 0.10% 3.47% 1.82% 0.10% 20.66% 73.95% Hydroelectric Gas Coal Diesel Bio Mass 30
  • Growth of Installed Capacity up to 2011 Hydro Thermal Coal 4000 3500 Mega watt (MW) 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1981 1982 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 -Although the growth of the installed capacity of thermal power plant is greater between 1985 and 2005, that of Hydel power plant become greater since 2005. -In 2011, the installed capacity of Hydel power plant become much greater than that of thermal power plant
  • Share of Electricity Generation up to 2011 Hydel Thermal 10000 8000 GWh 6000 4000 2000 0 -Same as installed capacity, the generation of hydel power is lower than that of thermal power till 2005-2006. -Since 2006-2007, the generation of hydel power become greater than that of thermal power and much higher in 2010-2011 Note: After 2007, generation of Hydel represents generation of MOEP 1
  • Conclusion on Trend of Generation and Consumption -Although annual generation is around 1100 MW, peak load has reached to 1533 MW in 2011. it shows that the generation was not supply enough to the country consumer level. -At present, any amount supply available would be fully consumed. Demand was suppressed. -Hydro power sources become highly dominated in the demand area as the installed capacity is increased. -The generation from Hydel power play a major role in these years and future electricity power generation. Therefore, the future development relies solely on development of hydro power and is being carried out annually.
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)4. Assessment on 30 years plan for ten years
  • Assessments on forecast with generation and consumption Low Growth Base Case High Growth Generation Consumption Peak load 2000 1800 1600 Mega watt (MW) 1400 1200 1000 800 600 losses 400 200 0 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011-Till now, the generation has not reach to the demand forecast.-Considering peak load as the demand, demand forecast is not much differed from the demandforecast.-However, annual generation and consumption reached only about 50% of the demand forecast.
  • Comparison of installed capacities Installed (2010) Installed (Forecast) 4000 3500 3000 Mega watt (MW) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 -The difference between the installed capacities in 2010 and forecast is about 1000 MW in 2011. Lack of the installations of the power plants in both hydro power and thermal power. -Forecast is much differed from actual in 2006 to 2009. -However, installed capacities become closer to forecast since 2009.
  • Assessments on 30 years plan -Ten years has passed for 30 years plan and the 2001 projection was different from the actual situation. -Till now, the generation has not reach to the demand. -The difference between the installed capacities in 2010 and forecast is about 1000 MW because the lack of power plants installations in both hydro power and thermal power. -Installed capacities become closer to forecast since 2009. -The installations of new power plant are required to meet the rapid growth of the electricity demand and to maintain the electricity supply at a satisfactory level.
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)5. Future Works, Plan and Conclusion
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)Future Works and Plan-2001 demand projection did not consider the project demand based on consumercategories and divers of energy. Therefore, MOEP2 have to revise the demandforecast.Currently, MOEP 2 receives a consulting services (Conlenco, Switzerland) toprepare for a system planning study including demand projection.-Planning for future development relies on Hydro power, MOEP1 develops a listof potential power projects and it seeks potential developers.-Based on hydro power plant, connections between generation sources to loadcenters then is being carried out.-Mostly, thermal power plant are using the fuel as natural gas to generate power inpeak load and have been used to reduce the low voltage.Myanmar oil and gas enterprise (MOGE) prepare its production plan and allocategas for power generation.
  • Ministry of Electric Power (2)Future Works and Plan-Another way to meet the increasing demand is to accelerate thedevelopment of the electricity productions with the clean energy. 30 yearsplan considered 100 MW wind turbine power plant in third year termproject.At present, Engineers from Ministry of Electric Power No.2 and Gunkul Co.Ltd are working feasibility studies to investigate the possibilities to installWind Turbine Power plants totally 1000 MW.Furthermore, the possibility of the installations of power plant using withSolar Power for the central of Myanmar are being investigated.
  • Conclusion -To meet this substantial electricity demands, a high senior official group established by MEP prepared 2001 demand projection. Although the 2001 demand projection (30 years plan) was simplistic and having requirements, the actual demands seem closer to the forecast in 2011. However, consideration made since the country consumption level was very low, the demand will become much higher than the forecast. -The demand forecast require to revise including the linkage between the project demand, resources availability (fuel mix outlook), technical specifications and cost parameters. -Although Hydro power is conducted for base load, gas turbine CCPP technology are also expected to follow in the electricity generation for the generation in summer, peak load and to reduce the voltage drop. -The sustainable and renewable energy such as solar energy, wind energy and geothermal energy will be necessary to use to provide the electricity widely.
  • Thank You forYour Kind Attention!! 42
  • Export and No Export Program MW Low Growth (No Export Program) Low Growth (with Export Program) 14000 12000 10000 Provision of power 8000 export to India Provision of power 6000 export to Thailand 4000 2000 0 2004-2005 2021-2022 2022-2023 2000-2001 2001-2002 2002-2003 2003-2004 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008 2008-2009 2009-2010 2010-2011 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 2014-2015 2015-2016 2016-2017 2017-2018 2018-2019 2019-2020 2020-2021 2023-2024 2024-2025 2025-2026 2026-2027 2027-2028 2028-2029 2029-2030 -Considering Export program, the demand will reach to 12000 MW -Without Export program, the demand will reach to 7000 MW -The demand forecast estimated about 40 % of demand to export. NOTE: No export program = No Provision of Power to Thailand at 2010 and India at 2015. (estimated data based on estimated demand in 2011, 1533 MW)
  • Investment Opportunities in Power SectorGeneration For the Generation Sub Sector, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) can be done by the permission from Foreign Investment Commission under the Law and Procedure of Foreign Investment (1988), in the form of Joint Venture and Build-Operate-Transfer (BOT) system for suitable power generation projects. Local investors are also allowed to participate in the scheme of Independent Power Producer (IPP) for hydropower projects. 44
  • Investment Opportunities in Power SectorTransmission and Distribution For the Transmission and Distribution Subsectors under Ministry of Electric Power No. (2), there have been no projects to be implemented by Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) permitted so far. The procurement of required Transmission Line Materials and Substation Equipment from foreign countries are funded either by Government Budget or Foreign Loan. Civil Works and Electrical Installation Works are undertaken by Local Construction Companies under the supervision of MOEP2. 45
  • Investment Opportunities in Power SectorTransmission and Distribution As in the other countries, EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) Contract and Turnkey Projects are not yet practiced. In order to submit the tender for supply materials, Local and Foreign Companies need to request the registration in Mailing List of MOEP (2). Registered companies are invited tender and MOEP (2) evaluate by opened tender system. 46
  • Tax Obligations The JV Company shall be levied on the following taxation: - 5% commercial tax - 2% income tax - 2% withholding tax Exemptions and Reliefs from taxes can be submitted to Myanmar Foreign Investment Commission: - exemption from income-tax for a period extending to 3 consecutive years, inclusive of the year of commencement - relief from income-tax on profits if reinvested therein within 1 year after the reserve is made 47
  • Generation Type Nos. of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Hydropower 45 35,578.5 Coal 2 606.0 Gas 1 450.0 Total 48 36,634.5 Future Plan of Generation Power Stations (48 projects) Installed Capacity ImplementingSr. Name of Project (MW) Agency1 Upper Baluchaung 29 NEO Co.2 Anya Phya 9 Delco Co.3 Upper Sedawgyi 64 Htoo Co.4 Thakyak 20 Yuzana Co.5 Belin 280 Asia World Co.6 Kawthaung (Coal) 6 Thanphyothu Co.7 Yenam 1,200 CPI (China) 48
  • Future Plan of Power Generating Stations (48 project)Sr. Name of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Implementing Agency8 Kawanglangphu 2,700 CPI (China)9 Pisa 2,000 CPI (China)10 Laza 1,900 CPI (China)11 Wutsok 1,800 CPI (China)12 Chibwe 3,400 CPI (China)13 Gawlan (Nawchankha) 100 YPIC (China)14 Lawndin (Nawchankha) 435 YPIC (China)15 Wuxhongze (Nawchankha) 60 YPIC (China)16 Hkankan (Nawchankha) 140 YPIC (China)17 Tongxinqiao (Nawchankha) 320 YPIC (China)18 Nantabat (Kachin) 200 Guodian(China)19 Tapain (2) 168 DUHD (China)20 Konlon (Upper Thanlwin) 1,400 Hanergy(China)21 Naungpha 1,000 Hydro China22 Mangtaung 200 Hydro China 49
  • Future Plan of Generation Power Stations (48 projects)Sr. Name of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Implementing Agency23 Htamanthi 1,200 NHPC (India)24 Shwesaye 660 NHPC (India)25 Laymyo 600 CDOI (China)26 Laymyo (2) 90 CDOI (China)27 Tuzxing (Nampon) 105 CDOI (China)28 Hanna(Nampon) 45 CDOI (China)29 Thakhwa(Nampon) 150 CDOI (China)30 Palaung(Nampon) 105 CDOI (China)31 Bawlakhe(Nampon) 180 CDOI (China)32 Nantabat (Kayah) 180 Guodian(China)33 Heku (Namlwai) 88 YNPG (China)34 Kengyan (Namlwai) 28 YNPG (China)35 Mongwa (Namlwai) 50 YNPG (China)36 Wantapeng (Namlwai) 25 YNPG (China) 50
  • Future Plan of Power Generation Stations (48 projects)Sr. Name of Project Installed Capacity (MW) Implementing Agency37 Keng Tong (Namlwai) 96 YNPG (China)38 Solu (Namlwai) 165 YNPG (China)39 Mongtong (Upper 7,110 Three Gorges + EGAT Thanlwin)40 Ywathit 4,000 CDOI (China)41 Hutgyi 1,360 Sinohydro + EGAT42 Taninthayi 600 Italia-Thai43 Shweli (2) 520 Huaneng Lancang44 Mawleik 520 Guodian(China)45 Kalewa(Coal) 600 Guodian(China)46 Saingdin 76.5 CDOI47 Nankha 200 YNPG (China)48 Yangon Thilawa (Gas) 450 BKB (Korea) Total (48) Nos 36,634.5 MW 51
  • Transmission Lines and Substations (Future Plan) In order to reinforce the present National Grid System and to facilitate power transmission from new generating stations to National Grid System, Ministry of Electric Power No.(2) has a long term plan of 131 Transmission Lines and 76 Substations in future. Future Plan of Transmission Lines Future Plan of Substations Voltage Nos. of Length Voltage Nos. of Capacity (kV) Line miles km (kV) Substation (MVA) 500 6 1,693.0 2724.04 500 10 5,000 230 80 5,894.0 9483.45 230 25 2,360 132 12 410.5 660.49 132 10 675 66 33 1,222.1 1966.36 66 31 340 Total 131 9,219.6 14834.34 Total 76 8,375 52
  • Transmission Lines and Substations (Future Plan) MYITKYINA WINEMAW 10 40 For the short term plan, 35 MOGAUNG 140 projects of transmission NABAR SHWELI (3) 90 ( 1050 MW ) KUTKHAI line and substations within THAINGIN 30 NGAPYAWDAING 95 55 MANSAN 13 THEINNI 75 MOEGOKE FALAM TANT YANN 20 UPPER 33 YEYWA year 2011-12 to 2015-16 HAKA MYITTHA 60 90 (280 MW) MINE YAL 80 MONG-HSU (40 MW) OHNTAW 38 have to be implemented. INGON 11 SHWESARYAN WANSIN MONG-NAUNG 25 SINEDIN TAUNGTAWKWIN (76.5 MW) KONHEIN THAPYAYWA Sr. Voltage Line Substation 28 KANZAUK NAUNG HOPONG NAMSAN 11 70 UPPER KENG TAWNG No. Level (mile) (MVA) MANN SHWEMYO MONG 20 (51 MW) HSI 146 120 HSAING 80 NAYPYITAW-1 1. 500kV 263 1500 ANN 35 BALUCHAUNG-2 73 (6x28 MW) KYAUK PHYU 42 4 2. 230kV 1697.31 1400 35 14 SANE MAEI SHWEDAUNG 96 BALUCHAUNG-3 (48 MW) 35 OKSHITPIN YENGBYE 100 THAUK-YE-KHAT-2 3. 132kV 85 100 TOUNGUP THAHTAY CHAUNG 76 130 TAUNGOO 14 (120 MW) (111 MW) 117 THARYARGONE 4. 66kV 342 130 4 MINHLA 100 5.31 SITTAUNG KAMARNAT Total 2,387.31 3,130 MYAUNG TAGAR DAGON(EAST) 10 THATON HLAINGTHARYAR THAKETA ATHOKE 30 MAWLAMYINE 40 PATHEIN MAUBIN 82 YE Power Station
  • Conclusion on Demand Forecast of 30 years plan -Three scenarios were prepared based only on historical consumption and assumed the growth of demand. -Project demand based on consumer categories, divers of energy etc., were not considered in demand forecast. -There was neither separation of the domestic demand and demand for export. Export demand forecast is about 40 % of the annual demand forecast. -Since 2001, it has not been revised in a systematic manner though some update has been carried out.