Pakistan in age of 3 g modified
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  • Connected Community & Connected Devices- More Intelligence to the curb
  • Exisitng- New Players- Collaborative Framework

Transcript

  • 1. | “Where is Pakistan going in the age of 3G” Pakistan Telecom Authority Date: 4th February 2014 Create a fair regulatory regime to promote investment, encourage competition, protect consumer interest and ensure high quality ICT services.
  • 2. | Pakistan : An Overview SOURCE: Team analysis Key Stats Pakistan ▪ Income /Capita US $1300 ▪ Literacy Rate 53% ▪ Media Age 21.2 ▪ Geo-strategic Location ▪ Population and workforce Land Area 796,095 km2 • 36th Largest Area Population, mil 190 (6th Largest Population) • Pakistan has the 6th largest population in the world, making it an attractive market for global investors • The country is expected to have more than 230 mln inhabitants by 2030 with ~2% per anum growth • Its population is young and becoming more educated • Urbanization trend is expected to continue, reaching a level of 43% by 2030 • It is expected that by 2050, Pakistan will be the 31st largest economy in world with nominal GDP of 675 bln USD from its current state of ~240 bln USD (43rd largest economy as of 2013)
  • 3. | Telecom Overview : Evolution of Cellular Industry in PakistanSectorGrowth 1998 1990 2004 2007 2014 • 1st GSM Operator “Mobilink” Launched Services • UFONE Started its Operations as 2nd GSM Operator • 1st Spectrum Auction • Telenor & Warid begin operations in Pakistan • Next Generation Spectrum Auction planned • Auction to offer Technology Neutral next generation services • Value Partner having a Global footprint hired as Auction Consultants • CMPAK “ZONG” Acquire Paktel and start offering Cellular Services • 2 Cellular (AMPS) issued to Paktel & Instaphone 1992 SOURCE: PTA Data
  • 4. | Telecom Overview : Highlights of Telecom Industry in Pakistan Key Telecom Indicators  Cellular Subscribers (as of Nov 2013): 132.3 million (SIM connections based on 90 days active)  Cellular Teledensity (as of Nov 2013): 73.2%  Annual Cellular Revenues (FY2012-13): Rs. 311 billion  Total Male population (15+): 60.8 million  Total Female population (15+): 57.5 million  A subscriber holds 2.6 SIMs on average for family members  Market is mainly prepaid oriented (~98%)  Smartphone penetration is about 15%  Data / VAS potential is almost entirely unexploited with ~10% share in total revenues  Fixed telco market is limited and this represents an important potential for mobile broadband  Today, mobile represents 78% of total Pakistani telco market, and it can be expected to further increase its share in the medium term SOURCE: PTA Data Mobile subscriber base evolution (# of SIMs, mln) 63.2 94.3 108.9 127.7 2006-2007 2008-2009 2010-2011 2012-2013
  • 5. | Broadband Technology Overview: Penetration in Pakistan (A shift towards Mobile Broadband seen since 2012 ) 56.0 44.0 2012 Fixed (DSL, HFC,FTTH) Wireless(WiMAX,EvDO) 41.0 59.0 2013 Fixed (DSL, HFC,FTTH) Wireless(WiMAX,EvDO) 70.9 10.3 6.6 7.3 2.7 2.2 2013 PTCL Wateen WorldCall WiTribe Qubee Others 60.1 14.2 8.6 9.4 3.54.2 2012 PTCL Wateen WorldCall WiTribe Qubee Others Conclusion • A lot of potential remains within the Industry to maximize the revenues • Spectrum Auction and introduction of faster mobile data services will trigger a Technological growth • Companies will be able to capitalize from revenue generation from Data • High un-met demand for faster mobile services Broadband Technology Share Broadband Operators Market Share SOURCE: PTA Data
  • 6. | Potential of Next Generation Services in Pakistan Data Revenues of Telecom Sector: Data revenue share is increasing Local Loop Operators (FLL & WLL) Cellular Operators: Industry yet to capitalize on Data revenue stream due to technology limitations Rapid growth in Mobile broadband & traffic SOURCE: PTA Data
  • 7. | Where is Pakistan going in the age of 3G • Wide range of social benefits e.g. in education, healthcare etc • • Distant Learning for children’s education in Remote areas • Improved emergency responses • Enhancement in socio-economic development which results in increased employment opportunities· • Improved Mobile Financial Services • Connected Society Conclusion: Benefits of Next Generation Services •Index of telecommunication development has moved from fixed line & mobile voice penetration to broadband and connected Data •Broadband adoption in Pakistan is low due to Limited availability of Broad band services •Mobile penetration of approximately 78% depicting the need for user applications . •Huge Market potential for provision of BB services for Social networking, business productivity , Education, Security sector Context: Strong Business case for Next Generation Mobile Services SOURCE: PTA Data
  • 8. | Telecom Overview: Well defined Policy , Regulatory and Industry Structure Min of IT & Telecom Pakistan Telecom Authority PTCL, NTC, SCO Frequency Allocation Board PRIVATE OPERATORS FREQUENCYASSIGNMENT POLICY DECISIONS CELLULAR, WLL, DATA & LDI BASIC VOICE & VAS REGULATORY FUNCTIONS PSEB IT & SOFTWARE PROMOTION USF/R&D Fund TELECOM DEVELOPMENT & R&D SOURCE: PTA Data
  • 9. | Connected Society Connected Devices Connected Community Where is Pakistan going in the age of 3G
  • 10. | Market (Socio-Economic Development)
  • 11. | Service Providers
  • 12. | Market (Growth) 2013 2020 2025 Populationtotal/Median age Mobile Voice/MBB MBBData UsageTotal& /User 226 Mn207 Mn186 Mn 22.4 Yr 24.7 Yr 26.4 Yr 125 Mn 1.5 Mn 169 Mn 47Mn 79 Mn194 Mn 2,609 1,824 TB/Mon MB/Mon Connected Devices Total/PerPerson 327, 430 7,305 TB/Month MB/Mon 845,315 11,220 TB/Mon MB/Mon 3.47/Person 1,362 Mn 6.58/Person 2,146 Mn 9.5/Person Source- Population: UN Population Census. Mobile Estimate: Plum Consulting & PTA, MBB Data Usage: Portio Research - Values Interpolated for 2025 from historical growth values , Connected Devices: Futurist Speaker - Values Interpolated for 2025 from world average values
  • 13. | Enabling Technologies (Wireless)
  • 14. | Enabling Technologies (OFC)
  • 15. | Supportive Regulations "Develop a smarter society by encouraging growth in broadband infrastructure deployment, provision of affordable access and quality of broadband services to across Pakistan on the basis of equitable opportunities and promotion of competition in the sector through fair regulatory regime" Governments to facilitate the normal functioning of competition in the mobile sector rather than over- regulating it Governments will not discriminate in favour of, or against, new market entrants, but establish a level playing field so that fairness and transparency is ensured in licensing and competition Governments will promote market consolidation and allow sustainable market structures to evolve naturally Additional 100 to 200 MHz of spectrumby by 2025 in harmonised bands to be made available for meeting industry demands to deliver the full benefit of mobile broadband service to consumers
  • 16. | PTA to ensure spectrum availability in harmonised bands of 700/800 Mhz, 850 Mhz, 900 Mhz, 1800 Mhz and 2100 Mhz which are appropriate for next generation mobile services PTA to encourage mobile infrastructure sharing through voluntary cooperation between licensed operators and also fecilitating third party business PTA to supports mobile operators transition to LTE & Advance LTE service using either TDD or FDD implementations. Respond proactively against cyber theft & crimes to build consumer trust in online services that shall also effect uptake in the long run Government to lay out policy guidelines to administer a 'co-regulatory' scheme to address community concerns about offensive and illegal material online Content licensing & Monitoring reform will be introduced to enable new business models for rights holders and commercial users to provide attractive content offers for consumers Unequivocal attention will be directed to extend broadband coverage across Pakistani remote areas Regular in-house as well as third party QoS audits to ensure consumer interest are protected Supportive Regulations
  • 17. | Questions ????? Create a fair regulatory regime to promote investment, encourage competition, protect consumer interest and ensure high quality ICT services.