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Getting Consumers’ Attention
                                                                           Carl D. Howe, Director
                                                                           Anywhere Consumer Research




                                                                                                                       August 25, 2009
   © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
    © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   June 2009
                                                                                                         August 2009                 Page
                                                                                                                                   Page 1
© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.                                                 www.yankeegroup.com
© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   June 2009
                                                                                                      August 2009     Page
                                                                                                                    Page 2
My Main Point Today



                                                         Anywhere Media is
                                                         transforming media
                                                           and advertising




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 3
Agenda



                                                                                              •     The Anywhere revolution

                                                                                              •     Changing consumer behavior
                                                                                                    around media

                                                                                              •     Recommendations

                                                                                              •     Q&A




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention          August 2009        Page 4
Connectivity Sparks

                                                                                                    • A common network

                                                                                                    • Broadband demand

                                                                                                    • Wireless ubiquity




                                                                                               These are forming the
                                                                                                Anywhere Network




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention            August 2009   Page 5
Anywhere Is a Revolution




                                                                                    Battles under way and ahead will
                                                                                    transform the world we live in.

                                                                                    This will bring the largest technology
                                                                                    change in our lifetimes.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009         Page 6
Mobility Is Driving Anywhere




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 7
Wireless Growth Is Driving Italy Past the
Anywhere Tipping Point




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 8
And Japan…




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 9
. . . And Even the U.S.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 10
Poll 1




Have you watched a television
show on your computer in the last
30 days?




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 11
Food for Thought: NBC Universal’s “Heroes”
Watch Episodes Online for Free




  • NBC Universal Total Audience Measurement Index (TAMi)
         •    Second episode of “Heroes”
         •    Note: Log scale
  • Audience size = 17 million people
  • Implications and repercussions
         •    Pay TV, ISP, media


© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 12
But TV Audiences Have Been Shrinking




Source: Yankee Group and TV Bureau of Advertising, 2009

© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 13
Internet Sites Are Growing Dramatically




Source: Yankee Group, Internet Systems Consortium, MediaPost, ClickZ, AllBusiness.com, Media Buyer Planner,
Zooknic.com, 2009

© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 14
Mobile Internet Domains Are Growing More Than
500 Percent a Year




Source: Yankee Group and dotMobi, 2009


© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 15
Internet Ad Prices Are in Free Fall




Source: Yankee Group, Internet Systems Consortium, MediaPost, Clickz, AllBusiness.com, Media Buyer Planner,
Zooknic.com, 2009

© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 16
Agenda



                                                                                              •     The Anywhere revolution

                                                                                              •     Changing consumer behavior
                                                                                                    around media

                                                                                              •     Recommendations

                                                                                              •     Q&A




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention          August 2009        Page 17
Consumers
are drowning
in a surplus of
media choice




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 18
U.S. Consumers Now Spend the Most Time Online
                                   How much time do you spend daily on the following activities?




* Yankee Group estimate; this response was not listed in this survey question
Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey

© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 19
Poll 2




      Which activities do you do
      while watching television?




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 20
Plus They Multitask More
            Which of the following activities do
               you do while watching TV?

                    E-Mail                                                     60%

            Surf the web                                                     56%
                                                                                                   • More than half of respondents
   Talk on the phone                                                        53%
                                                                                                     acknowledge that they are online or
    Read a magazine                                         36%                                      talking on the telephone while
Read the newspaper                                        33%                                        watching television.
      Instant message                                27%
                                                                                                   • Advertisers take note: This shows
  None of the above                         16%
                                                                                                     consumers are saturated with
   Listen to the radio                  11%                                                          media.
                      SMS            8%

                     Other              11%

                             0%      10%     20%    30%     40%       50%    60%     70%

                                            Percent of Respondents

n = 1,503

Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey


 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.          Getting Consumers’ Attention       August 2009         Page 21
Remember This?
Online Ad Revenue Is a Third of TV Revenue




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 22
Is Anywhere Taking the Media Industry Here?




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.
 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   June 2009
                                                                                                      August 2009      Page
                                                                                                                    Page 23
Remember Today’s Main Point



                                                         Anywhere Media is
                                                         transforming media
                                                           and advertising




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 24
Changing the Channels to Anywhere Media


         TV                     Internet                   Mobile                                                    Anywhere
        media                    media                     media                                                      media
                                                                                                    Screen independent, on demand and easy to consume




                                                                                                                                     Mobile     Other
                                                                                                    TV          Internet
                                                                                                                                    Internet   Devices




         TV                      Internet                  Mobile                                                   Anywhere
      consumers                 consumers                consumers                                                  Consumers



    Anywhere Media is media delivered to consumers when and
            where the consumer will pay attention to it.


© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention                     August 2009                        Page 25
Consumers Use Internet Video as Video on Demand

       Why do you watch full episodes of TV
                 shows online?
                                                                                                    •        82% of Internet video viewers watch
  Missed the episode when it was
                                                                                     82%
                                                                                                             TV shows online because they
              on TV                                                                                          missed the episode on TV.
  Catching up with older episodes                                       55%
                                                                                                    •        VoD numbers pale in comparison.
             Has fewer commercials                               36%


     Wanted to watch the program                                                                    •        DVR is more about ad skipping than
                again
                                                              30%                                            time shifting.
Was interrupted while watching on                                                                             •   79% of DVR owners fast-forward
               TV
                                                              28%                                                 through commercials most or all of the
                                                                                                                  time.
       Like older/classic TV shows                       20%                                                  •   DVR owners are more likely to watch
                                                                                                                  online when they fail to watch or record
   Can watch outside of my home                      10%
                                                                                                                  an episode.

                                     Other         7%                                               •        Internet video is not yet compelling
                                                                                                             enough for viewers to cancel their
                                              0%        20%     40%     60%       80%      100%              pay-TV services.
                                                                                                              .
  n = 294 (watch full episodes of TV shows online)

  Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey


   © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.         Getting Consumers’ Attention                 August 2009                Page 26
AT&T’s Masters Coverage Showed Promise




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009      Page
                                                                                                                  Page 27
Anywhere Media Results in the U.S.


  Advertising revenue for TV won’t pass 2008 levels until 2012.

                                                                                                    $431    $566
       $115                     $184                    $241             $323
                                                                                                                          Mobile Internet
                                                                                               $28,436     $31,127
     $23,204                                                           $25,642                                            Internet
                             $23,632                 $23,289
                                                                                                                          TV


     $52,675                 $50,459                 $50,357           $51,686                 $53,791     $56,177




      2008                     2009                    2010              2011                       2012   2013



© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention           August 2009             Page 28
Agenda



                                                                                              •     The Anywhere revolution

                                                                                              •     Changing consumer behavior
                                                                                                    around media

                                                                                              •     Recommendations

                                                                                              •     Q&A




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention          August 2009        Page 29
Recommendations
  Media companies:
         • Think twice before committing to an ad-only business model.
         • Embrace a flexible content platform.

  Advertisers:
         • Negotiate extra spots in 2009 and 2010 with your media buys.
         • Look for ways to be less obtrusive.
         • Demand measurable results.

  Network operators
         • Recognize that video is the lead property.
         • Don’t overpromise behavioral ad data.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 30
And Recognize That Mobile Isn’t the Last Screen




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 31
And New Kinds of Consumers
                                    Need New Services




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 32
Conclusions
• Consumer attention will limit media and advertising growth.

• Anywhere Media is transforming media and advertising.
     • Consumers are drowning in too much media.
     • Consumers will choose how and where they access media.
     • The media business must adapt to consumer choice.


• TV advertising will get a reality check during the next two years.

• Don’t think mobile is the last screen.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 33
Q&A
Did you know? Teens still discover music through friends and radio.




                                                                                                Yankee Group’s Attitude & Behavior
                                                                                                 Surveys track this data and more.
                                                                                           Sign up for a complimentary snapshot of
                                                                                                   our most recent results at
                                                                                           http://www.yankeegroup.com/live/survey_
                                                                                                     data_snapshot.html.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention           August 2009              Page 34
Q&A
Did you know? Of people with a mobile phone, smartphone users spend
significantly more time using the mobile Web.




                                                                                                Yankee Group’s Attitude & Behavior
                                                                                                 Surveys track this data and more.
                                                                                           Sign up for a complimentary snapshot of
                                                                                                   our most recent results at
                                                                                           http://www.yankeegroup.com/live/survey_
                                                                                                     data_snapshot.html.




© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention           August 2009              Page 35
Thank you!
                                               Carl D. Howe, Director, chowe@yankeegroup.com

                                               Next Yankee Group webinar:
                                               Pinning Down Cloud Computing
                                               September 29, 2009
                                               Register at www.yankeegroup.com



© Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved.   Getting Consumers’ Attention   August 2009   Page 36

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Getting Consumers' Attention

  • 1. Getting Consumers’ Attention Carl D. Howe, Director Anywhere Consumer Research August 25, 2009 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention June 2009 August 2009 Page Page 1 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. www.yankeegroup.com
  • 2. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention June 2009 August 2009 Page Page 2
  • 3. My Main Point Today Anywhere Media is transforming media and advertising © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 3
  • 4. Agenda • The Anywhere revolution • Changing consumer behavior around media • Recommendations • Q&A © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 4
  • 5. Connectivity Sparks • A common network • Broadband demand • Wireless ubiquity These are forming the Anywhere Network © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 5
  • 6. Anywhere Is a Revolution Battles under way and ahead will transform the world we live in. This will bring the largest technology change in our lifetimes. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 6
  • 7. Mobility Is Driving Anywhere © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 7
  • 8. Wireless Growth Is Driving Italy Past the Anywhere Tipping Point © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 8
  • 9. And Japan… © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 9
  • 10. . . . And Even the U.S. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 10
  • 11. Poll 1 Have you watched a television show on your computer in the last 30 days? © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 11
  • 12. Food for Thought: NBC Universal’s “Heroes” Watch Episodes Online for Free • NBC Universal Total Audience Measurement Index (TAMi) • Second episode of “Heroes” • Note: Log scale • Audience size = 17 million people • Implications and repercussions • Pay TV, ISP, media © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 12
  • 13. But TV Audiences Have Been Shrinking Source: Yankee Group and TV Bureau of Advertising, 2009 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 13
  • 14. Internet Sites Are Growing Dramatically Source: Yankee Group, Internet Systems Consortium, MediaPost, ClickZ, AllBusiness.com, Media Buyer Planner, Zooknic.com, 2009 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 14
  • 15. Mobile Internet Domains Are Growing More Than 500 Percent a Year Source: Yankee Group and dotMobi, 2009 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 15
  • 16. Internet Ad Prices Are in Free Fall Source: Yankee Group, Internet Systems Consortium, MediaPost, Clickz, AllBusiness.com, Media Buyer Planner, Zooknic.com, 2009 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 16
  • 17. Agenda • The Anywhere revolution • Changing consumer behavior around media • Recommendations • Q&A © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 17
  • 18. Consumers are drowning in a surplus of media choice © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 18
  • 19. U.S. Consumers Now Spend the Most Time Online How much time do you spend daily on the following activities? * Yankee Group estimate; this response was not listed in this survey question Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 19
  • 20. Poll 2 Which activities do you do while watching television? © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 20
  • 21. Plus They Multitask More Which of the following activities do you do while watching TV? E-Mail 60% Surf the web 56% • More than half of respondents Talk on the phone 53% acknowledge that they are online or Read a magazine 36% talking on the telephone while Read the newspaper 33% watching television. Instant message 27% • Advertisers take note: This shows None of the above 16% consumers are saturated with Listen to the radio 11% media. SMS 8% Other 11% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% Percent of Respondents n = 1,503 Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 21
  • 22. Remember This? Online Ad Revenue Is a Third of TV Revenue © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 22
  • 23. Is Anywhere Taking the Media Industry Here? © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention June 2009 August 2009 Page Page 23
  • 24. Remember Today’s Main Point Anywhere Media is transforming media and advertising © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 24
  • 25. Changing the Channels to Anywhere Media TV Internet Mobile Anywhere media media media media Screen independent, on demand and easy to consume Mobile Other TV Internet Internet Devices TV Internet Mobile Anywhere consumers consumers consumers Consumers Anywhere Media is media delivered to consumers when and where the consumer will pay attention to it. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 25
  • 26. Consumers Use Internet Video as Video on Demand Why do you watch full episodes of TV shows online? • 82% of Internet video viewers watch Missed the episode when it was 82% TV shows online because they on TV missed the episode on TV. Catching up with older episodes 55% • VoD numbers pale in comparison. Has fewer commercials 36% Wanted to watch the program • DVR is more about ad skipping than again 30% time shifting. Was interrupted while watching on • 79% of DVR owners fast-forward TV 28% through commercials most or all of the time. Like older/classic TV shows 20% • DVR owners are more likely to watch online when they fail to watch or record Can watch outside of my home 10% an episode. Other 7% • Internet video is not yet compelling enough for viewers to cancel their 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% pay-TV services. . n = 294 (watch full episodes of TV shows online) Source: Yankee Group Anywhere Consumer: 2008 U.S. Entertainment Survey © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 26
  • 27. AT&T’s Masters Coverage Showed Promise © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page Page 27
  • 28. Anywhere Media Results in the U.S. Advertising revenue for TV won’t pass 2008 levels until 2012. $431 $566 $115 $184 $241 $323 Mobile Internet $28,436 $31,127 $23,204 $25,642 Internet $23,632 $23,289 TV $52,675 $50,459 $50,357 $51,686 $53,791 $56,177 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 28
  • 29. Agenda • The Anywhere revolution • Changing consumer behavior around media • Recommendations • Q&A © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 29
  • 30. Recommendations Media companies: • Think twice before committing to an ad-only business model. • Embrace a flexible content platform. Advertisers: • Negotiate extra spots in 2009 and 2010 with your media buys. • Look for ways to be less obtrusive. • Demand measurable results. Network operators • Recognize that video is the lead property. • Don’t overpromise behavioral ad data. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 30
  • 31. And Recognize That Mobile Isn’t the Last Screen © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 31
  • 32. And New Kinds of Consumers Need New Services © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 32
  • 33. Conclusions • Consumer attention will limit media and advertising growth. • Anywhere Media is transforming media and advertising. • Consumers are drowning in too much media. • Consumers will choose how and where they access media. • The media business must adapt to consumer choice. • TV advertising will get a reality check during the next two years. • Don’t think mobile is the last screen. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 33
  • 34. Q&A Did you know? Teens still discover music through friends and radio. Yankee Group’s Attitude & Behavior Surveys track this data and more. Sign up for a complimentary snapshot of our most recent results at http://www.yankeegroup.com/live/survey_ data_snapshot.html. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 34
  • 35. Q&A Did you know? Of people with a mobile phone, smartphone users spend significantly more time using the mobile Web. Yankee Group’s Attitude & Behavior Surveys track this data and more. Sign up for a complimentary snapshot of our most recent results at http://www.yankeegroup.com/live/survey_ data_snapshot.html. © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 35
  • 36. Thank you! Carl D. Howe, Director, chowe@yankeegroup.com Next Yankee Group webinar: Pinning Down Cloud Computing September 29, 2009 Register at www.yankeegroup.com © Copyright 2009. Yankee Group Research, Inc. All rights reserved. Getting Consumers’ Attention August 2009 Page 36