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Beyond Moore's Law

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One-year report on mFN implementation and broadband network evolution. Presentation on NCTA 2000,

One-year report on mFN implementation and broadband network evolution. Presentation on NCTA 2000,

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    • 1. BEYONDMOORE’S LAWOleh Sniezko and Xiaolin Lu Broadband
    • 2. What is this all about? One-year-later status report on the mini Fiber Node (mFN) development and implementation – presented on NCTA Cable Show 2000 It is all about the Moore’s Law
    • 3. MOORE’S LAW 20# Components/IC (log2) 15 10 5 0 60 65 70 75 Year
    • 4. VALIDATION IA-64 10M (est) 1000 Pentium# Transistors per chip (log) Performance in MIPS (log) II Pentium Pro Pentium 1M 100 80486 100K 80386 10 80286 8086/ 8088 10K 1 8085 8080 Legend 8008 Chip density 1K 4004 MIPS .1 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year
    • 5. NCTA Cable99: “HFC Architecture In The Making” We’ll see
    • 6. BEHIND MOORE’S LAW Positive Feedback: IC Software (Transistors) (Basic) 65K 4K lines 20 Years 7.5M 500K lines (Pentium II) Rule of Unlimited: “People are really limited by their belief, they limited themselves by what they allow themselves to believe is possible” -- Carver Mead
    • 7. PHOTONICMOORE’S LAW
    • 8. Photonic Unlimited: Geek’s Mission 10K TDM Commercial WDM Commercial 1K TDM ResearchCapacity (Gb/s) WDM Research 100 10 1 0.1 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year
    • 9. POSITIVE TREND DWDM Price Performance 1400 $350 1200 $300 1000 $250 $/Gbps/Km 800 $200Gbps 600 $150 400 $100 200 $50 0 $0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Year Capacity Cost
    • 10. DWDM IN CABLE 1.5 Xmod EDFA DWDM HHP 120 100000 100 HHP/Wavelength 10000Cost Decline % 80 1000 60 100 40 10 20 0 1 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 Year
    • 11. HFC IN THE MAKING HE FNPrimary Primary Hub HE Ring HE FN Segmentation 4X capacity
    • 12. HFC IN THE MAKING SH FNPrimary Primary Hub SH Ring SH FN DWDM Transport Segmentation End-to-end Transparency 4X capacity
    • 13. MOVING FORWARD SH FN PH SH CMTS FN SH Simple PH/HE  Flexible and scalable  Reduce actives operation and digital platform  Less maintenance provisioning  Simple fiber handling  Increase capacity Highly reliable and  Easy to grow efficient networking
    • 14. LightWire TM SH mFN MxN PH mFN SH CMTS mFN MxN SH mFN  Passive coax plant with fiber termination/70HHP  Reduced actives (61%), power consumption, & maintenance  Increased capacity and flexibility Salt Lake Trial, other markets, further migration
    • 15. 520 Miles 66K HHP 100% Design Completed, 100% Products Delivered 131+ Miles (15 K HHP) Construction Completed  269 mFNs installed, 196 mFNs in service  28 MuxNodes installed, 21 MuxNodes in service Cost structure verified, operation data analysis in progress
    • 16. OXiom SH mFN mFNPHCMTS SH S mFN mFN SH XTR XTR XTR Spur WDM PON Daisy Chaining mFNs  Distributed optical add/drop  Reduced fiber management & labor  Provisioning for growth
    • 17. Phase 1 mFN Platform Fiber Tray Spur l RCV DFB H Daughter Card L Provision for RF Section digital processing
    • 18. Digital Platform SH mFN mFN PH MuxRouter Demux S mFN mFN SH Packetizing Ethernet Packets Demod 5 45 Digital Processing Digitizing FilteringSimplified PH/HE Digital Platform for Target Services RF (&MAC)operation demarcation
    • 19. Phase 2 mFN Platform Fiber Tray XTR RCV RCV H L  Digitization RF Section  Distributed processing
    • 20. Phase 2 mFN Platform Fiber Tray XTR RCV RCV H l Add/Drop Low-cost ITU L LED Slicing  Digitization RF Section  Distributed FP processing
    • 21. Passive Network SH mFN mFN PH MuxRouter Demux S mFN mFN SH XTR XTR XTR l Add/Drop DWDM and /or TDM PON Passive Coax Digital Platform for TSD
    • 22. VALUES SH mFN mFN PH DWDM Mux 3 fiberRouter Networking Demux S mFN mFN SH Passive DWDM Passive Coax Digital Platform for TSD Simplified PH/HE  Flexible and scalable  Less actives operation and digital platform  Less maintenance provisioning  Simple fiber handling  Increased capacity Highly reliable and  Easy to grow efficient networking
    • 23. MOORE’S LAW? BW HHP 0.6 100000 0.5 HHP/Wavelength 10000MHz/HHP 0.4 1000 0.3 100 0.2 10 0.1 0 1 96 97 98 99 00 Year
    • 24. BEYONDMOORE’S LAW
    • 25. Today’s ArchitecturePSTN 5ESS SONET PH HDT DWDM Networking SH HFC mFN CMTS Local IP NetworkInternet NIU CM  Separatevoice and data platforms sharing the same HFC network
    • 26. Transition: IP Digital TerminalPSTN 5ESS SONET PH IPDT DWDM HFC Router CMTS Networking SH mFN Local IP NetworkInternet BTI  Integrated voice and data over HFC network  Utilize 5ESS platform for voice interconnect & features
    • 27. End-to- End-to-End IP Platform PSTN PSTN Gateway PH IP DWDM HFC Router CMTS Networking SHBackbone mFN Local IP NetworkInternet BTI HPNA  Cost reduction through common IP infrastructure  New revenue with emerging IP-based services  Flexible user interfaces stimulate more creativities
    • 28. BEYOND MOORE’S LAW ServiceGrowth Time Network Platform Time Has Been Moving to Service Delivery Enabling Platform Service specific Open Interface Network One-dimension pipe Multi-dimension infrastructure
    • 29. … The wonderful thing aboutMoore’s Law is that it is not astatic law; it forces everyoneto live in a dynamic, evolvingworld. -- Carver Mead
    • 30. We’ll see