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Xiaoli Lu Iscram Summer School

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  • 1. Presentation in ISCRAM Summer School @ Tilburg University, NL on Aug. 20, 2009 Managing Uncertainty in Crisis Decision Making g XiaoLi Lu Ph.D. Researcher @ Leiden University’s Crisis Research Centre, The Netherlands Founding Coordinator @ China Crisis Management Website 1
  • 2. Outline Dissertation topic New media in crisis Our China Crisis Management Website g Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 2 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 3. Dissertation • Uncertainty in crisis • Different ways of coping with uncertainty – Simplify; analogy; expertise dependence; delegation; wait and see; denial and downplay; normalization. • Research Q Question – “why do decision makers adopt different y p mode(s) when facing uncertainty in crisis decision making?” g Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 3 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 4. Dissertation (2) • Psychology literature • An institutional perspective – Institutionalized or not: •H i Hurricane response b t between Chi and US China d • Wildfire response between US and Australia – Evacuation VS leave early or stay and defense – strategy selection influenced by other institutions, such as accountability system i tit ti h t bilit t • Blame gaming and accountability system => various strategy selection Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 4 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 5. New media in 2008 Sichuan Earthquake • 5.12 questionnaire design • Finish data collection at the end of May • Snow-ball emails: 456 samples • Internet based information communication be a o behavior in t es of catast op e times o catastrophe Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 5 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 6. China Crisis Management Website • http://www.crisis119.org • Team member • Bridges – [1] researchers across different disciplines, – [2] researchers and practitioners in China, [ ] p , – [3] domestic and abroad professionals, – [4] junior and senior researchers Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 6 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 7. What we do • a resource center and information clearinghouse about crisis and disaster management. • d t b databases • Regular newsletter • R i f d t support young researchers i di Raise funds to t h in disaster t and crisis related areas. • Searching friendly crisis and disaster encyclopedia based on Dr. B. Wayne Blanchard’s collection. Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 7 lxlhit@gmail.com
  • 8. • Thank you for your time! • If you are interested in these please these, discuss with me in the following days or email me via • LXLHIT@GMAIL.COM Xiao-Li LU: Managing uncertainty in crisis 8 lxlhit@gmail.com