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Risk Informed Decision Making in fire risk management
 

Risk Informed Decision Making in fire risk management

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Presentation given at FPC Seminar on Crisis & Emergency management for large industrial sites at NTU@One, Singapore on 23 oct 2013

Presentation given at FPC Seminar on Crisis & Emergency management for large industrial sites at NTU@One, Singapore on 23 oct 2013

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  • An approach to regulatory decisionmaking, in which insights from probabilistic risk assessment are considered with other engineering insights. Purpose is to give you all an appetite for risk informed dm
  • Present a method & rationale to support costeffectivedecesion-making based on unique risk factors of a facility.The gods are stillsounkind as todenyusknowledge of what the futureholds but we have made twogiant steps :BetterunderstandlikelihoodLearning howto manage consequences
  • Depending on the companysactivitiesWhentalkingcompany’s have to deal with different kinds of risks. We focus
  • We have tobecause we have to. Compliance driven : completelyguidedby . Don’t have a safety culture embedded… Loss of life potententialWhy do we as a society and company invest in risk protection : tosafeguardloss of life, to picture risk : toprevent, reputation
  • Different element definecompanyies risk profile.Every companyand facility has unique risk factors based. Neardefine the risk unique : duetolocation , culture , etc… Every company, communty. Deal withanotherfire brigade. A large corperationwith multiple or even identical sites distributes
  • Today we will focus on mitigatie … but integrated approach Where do we invest /andhowmuch. Balancedexcersie..Prevention, security gates etc…Logisticfullyautomated
  • Youalways have to accept a certain risk – in otherwordsyoucannot design for zero risk. Ifnot we wouldall live in bunkers, wichwouldnotbemuch
  • Mc kinney. A cost benefit analysis. Probability of event occurence is set out Giveslimited Riks Up to C5 with off site concequences. It does notgiveusany information on the layers of protectionrequired .
  • Do we needtoconsider a security risk,what is tolerable ??? Risk identification, loss scenario event tree analysis. Allowstoprovide information, notonlyabout the potential risk exposure but alsoabout the layers of your . Whatif, hozop
  • Scientiifcformula . When is theimplementation of a safetymeasurecosteffective? What information
  • Risk identification, hazop or whatif analysis : loss scenario event tree analysis. Allowstoprovide information, notonlyabout the potential risk exposure but alsoabout the layers of your
  • Layer of protectionsOnly way to do cost benefit We look at scenario’s andcost, layers . The green path is a probabiliy of sc
  • Cases todemonstrate the use of the method
  • Notlooking at life safety.
  • Onceevery 15 years. Soporbabblytwice over the lifetime of the asset. No risk to life safety but property & bus con Half open struture, potetntial . Serious risk potenti
  • Score card FRT. We improve on training & resource
  • Canaloswork onreducingfrequency of fireoccurence
  • No organisation
  • Method answers the key questions about the number and strength of protectionlayersbyproviding rational, semiquantitative, risk-based answers,reducingemotionalism,providingclarityandconsistency,documenting the basis of the decision,facilitating understanding among plant personnel.

Risk Informed Decision Making in fire risk management Risk Informed Decision Making in fire risk management Presentation Transcript