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Week Thirteen - What\'s Next
 

Week Thirteen - What\'s Next

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    Week Thirteen - What\'s Next Week Thirteen - What\'s Next Presentation Transcript

    • Week Thirteen What’s Next? Wayne MacPhail
    • The future is here. It’s just unevenly distributed. -William Gibson
    • We drive into the future using only our rearview mirror. - Marshall McLuhan
    • The best way to predict the future, is to invent it. - Alan Kay
    • 1955 This ball is really important!
    • 1955 It says, be sure to plug in the keyboard and monitor! WTF? Oh, nice use of an anacronistic acronym for a cheap laugh Gladys, you skank.
    • 1969 34,000 bytes of memory 4,000,000,000 G of memory 43,000 Hz 2.600,000,000 GHz $46 million <$1000
    • 1970 Flammable Pants
    • 1977
    • 1980 Not a hairpiece
    • 2008 2010 = 2006 2004 2002 2000 1998 1996 1992 1994
    • 2012 Four Years From Now
    • 1980-2008 4 million times more memory
    • Cost per megabyte of storage by year 50.0 1986 48 1990 13.6 37.5 1994 1.3 25.0 1998 0.066 2002 0.039 12.5 2006 0.0064 0 2008 0.0034 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2008
    • Watch the trends Expect disruptive innovation Imagine zero
    • Disruptive Innovation
    • Disruptive Innovations Digital vs Film Photography Desktop vs. Press Publishing LEDs vs. Light Bulbs Twitter vs Newsrooms
    • Batteries Due
    • Analytical Engine 1837 Charles Babbage
    • Memex, 1945 Vannevar Bush
    • Home Computer, 1954 Rand Corporation
    • Knowledge Navigator, 1987 Apple Computer
    • Apple Lisa, 1984 Apple Computer
    • Macintosh 1984
    • The Trend to Zero Cost Time Storage Bandwidth Monitors Memory Processors Newspaper Readership
    • How to Think About the Future
    • Past Present Future Always concurrent
    • What’s next? First, what used to be next.
    • We’ve passed that now.
    • Multi-modal input with context awareness
    • Geo-location Geo-location Geo-location
    • OLED 100,000:1 ratio .002 inches thick Flaps in the breeze Will show up in photo IDs and cellphones
    • Wireless, location-aware silicon is the new wood pulp.
    • And the news? Granularity melts. Newsrooms unify. Curation rules. Newspaper thinking dies.
    • Online Journalism Blog
    • And the you? You get to make this all true.
    • Thanks for your kind attention.