10. richard macomber
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10. richard macomber Presentation Transcript

  • 1. The View From The Top
    • A shippers perspective of air cargo services available in:
      • Brazil
      • India
      • China
      • Russia
    R.W. Macomber IBM Corp September 14, 2006
  • 2. IBM Is a Large Air Freight User
    • 2005 - INTERCOUNTRY
      • Weight – 91,290,000 Kilos
      • Equivalent = 22 + - 747/400 F (Max Load)
        • Every Day of the Year
    • Does not include Domestic Intracountry Air Freight
  • 3. IBM Is Transforming Into a Globally Integrated Enterprise
    • Entering New Markets
      • China
      • India
      • Russia
      • Brazil
    • Establishing Deep Local Roots
    • Gaining Access to a Wealth of talent and skills
    • Scaling This Wealth Globally
  • 4. BRIC Countries are Important World Players
      • United States – Population approximately 300 Million
      • Brazil - Population – 186 Million
      • Russia - Population – 142.7 Million
      • India - Population – 1.1. Billion
      • China - Population – 1.3 Billion
      • BRIC Country Population = 9 times USA
  • 5. BRIC Countries Command Eight (8) Positions in World’s Top 50 Cargo Airlines
      • Cathay Pacific
      • China Airlines
      • Air China
      • China Eastern Airlines
      • Varig
      • China Cargo Airlines
      • Aero Flot
      • Air India
  • 6. BRIC Countries Command Nine (9) Positions in World’s Top Cargo Airports
    • Hong Kong
    • Shang Hai Pudong
    • Beijing
    • Guangzhou Baiyun
    • Sao Paulo
    • Mumbai
    • New Delhi
    • Shang Hai Hong Qiao
    • Shenzhen
  • 7. Forecasters Predict Growth in World Air Cargo and Freighters
    • CGR In Freight Ton kilometers
      • 2009 - 5.6%
      • 2010 - 6.4%
      • 2015 - 6.8%
      • 2023 - 6.2%
    • Dedicated Air Freighters
      • 2009 = 2,132
      • 2023 = 3,616
      • 2026 = 3,560
      • Sources: Various
  • 8. Brazil
    • FedEx – Services Daily - DC – 10
      • Fridays and Saturday – MD – 11
    • Varig Recently Sold to U.S. Private Firm
    • Very Limited Air Freighter Service
      • Mostly Passenger Belly Cargo
    • No Problems with Air Freight Forwarders
    • Intracountry Distribution Is Limited
      • Terrain And Remote Areas
      • Mostly Truck and Rail
    • Cargo Security Is A Concern
    • Great Potential For Significant Growth
  • 9. Russia
    • Majority of shipments – Import/Export – Via Truck
    • Utilize KLM and Lufthansa for Emergency Shipments
    • Limited Air Freighter Capability
    • Rates are Moderating Due to Increased Trade
    • No Problems With Air Freight Forwarders
    • Intracountry Distribution Is Limited
      • Terrain, Remote Areas, Industrial Center
      • Several Domestic/International Airports under Construction (e.g.Siberian K-Y Airport)
    • Probably Slowest Growth of Bric Countries
    • Traditional Security Problems and a Concern
  • 10. India
    • Many Airlines Servicing Major Cities Including Air Express Companies (Mumbai and Delhi)
    • 48 Hour Access to Europe/Asia/U.S.A.
    • Domestic Flight Capability is Only Adequate
    • FedEx – 16 Weekly Flights Plus Commercial Airlines
    • Several Asian Carriers Provide Service to India
    • Fuel and Maintenance Costs are Relatively low
    • No Problems With Air Freight Forwarders
    • Great Potential For Significant Growth
    • Potential Security Problems For Air Cargo In Some Airports and the Expectation of airport Delays
  • 11. China
    • Open Skies Agreements with U.S.A. In Process
    • Serviced by Air Express/All Freighter and Passenger airlines – Many Nationalities
    • Air Freight Domestic Service to 220 Cities in China
    • Some Prohibited and Dangerous Goods Not Permitted on Air Freight
    • Multiple Joint Ventures/Consolidation In Progress
    • Fuel and Maintenance Costs are Relatively Low
    • Still Maintains “Class A” Forwarder Regulations on air Cargo Operations and Ownership – WTO?
    • China Will Continue To Experience Significant Growth
    • U.S. Regulatory Agencies Still Barred From Air Security Inspection
  • 12. Questions
    • Quarter and Year End Capacity – How Can You Help?
    • How Can We Improve Air Cargo Security Together?
    • What Countries Are The Next Growth Areas?
  • 13.
    • THANK YOU !