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Map of future forces affecting education 2006 - 2016
Map of future forces affecting education 2006 - 2016
Monica Martinez
http://cell.uindy.edu/docs/Monica_Martinez_Map_of_Future_Forces.pdf
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- Slide 1: KnowledgeWorks Foundation/Institute for the Future
2006-2016 Map of Future Forces Affecting Education
1
- Slide 2: Why a 10-year map?
10-year
• Set the present in context
•To be provocative
•Elevate the education
conversation
2
- Slide 3: How is KnowledgeWorks
Foundation using the map?
• Strategic planning
• Spark catalysts for education
change
• Wide distribution
• Interactive Website
3
- Slide 4: What is the map?
• Forecast, not prediction
• Future is here now, just unevenly
distributed
• Contextual information
• Help to create the future you want
to create
4
- Slide 5: Format of Map
• Grid
• Drivers and Hotspots
• Dilemmas
• Foresight to Insight to Action
• Back of Map
*Text
* Directions of change
5
- Slide 6: Drivers of Change
• Grassroots economic
• Smart networking
• Strong opinions, strongly held
• Sick herd
• Urban wilderness
• The end of cyberspace
6
- Slide 7: Grassroots Economics
7
- Slide 8: Smart Networking
8
- Slide 9: Strong Opinions, Strongly Held
9
- Slide 10: Sick Herd
10
- Slide 11: Urban Wilderness
11
- Slide 12: Urban Wilderness
• Nation’s metro areas are • In 1999, 12 of the nation’s
home to 80% of the US 18 largest consolidate
population metro areas were
responsible for 66% of all
• Majority of economic and
patents and 43% of the jobs
population growth over the
related to technology
past 25 years has occurred
development.
in 30 large metropolitan
regions. • These same communities
are magnets for young
talent.
12
- Slide 13: The End of Cyberspace
The Forerunner 201
13
- Slide 14: Get Out and About
• GPS Systems – by car, phone, PDS
• Hotels now offering guests a device, TAOcity PDA, that has a
detailed touch screen map fitted with a GPS system.
• In Rome, guests receive a personal “city navigator” which is an MP3
player with 2 audio tours and a digital camera
• The user’s interaction with the web (application) happens
asynchronously — independent of communication with the server. So
the user is never staring at a blank browser window and an hourglass
icon, waiting around for the server to do something.
14
- Slide 15: TWO big stories on the map
• VUCA story
• Expanding learning economy
15
- Slide 16: VUCA Indicators
16
- Slide 17: VUCA communities -
Environments experiencing
Volatility
Uncertainty
Complexity
Ambiguity
Provides opportunities for:
• A school to be stabilizing force as a community and that
helps students succeed and cope in such a world.
• To catalyze creativity and innovation. 17
- Slide 18: VUCA = The World is Flat
• Vertically integrated hierarchies are replaced
by flat organizations and external networks
• Innovative capacity increases
• Knowledge becomes obsolete faster than ever
before
• Increasingly polarized society
• Human capital is the competitive advantage 18
- Slide 19: What is required to thrive
in a VUCA World
• High level of preparation in reading, writing,
speaking, mathematics, science, literature, history
and the arts
• Comfort with ideas and abstractions
• Creativity and innovation
• Self-discipline and organization to manage one’s
work through successful conclusion
• Function well as a member of a team
19
- Slide 20: VUCA Skills = 21st Century Skills
Framework
•Leadership
• Ethics
• Accountability
• Adaptability
• Productivity
• Personal Responsibility
• People Skills
• Self Direction
• Social Responsibility
20
- Slide 21: 21st Century Content
Global Awareness
Financial, Economic, Business
and Entrepreneurship Literacy
Civic Literacy
Health & Wellness Awareness
21
- Slide 22: 21st Century Skills
Thinking and Learning Skills
•Critical Thinking & Problem Solving
•Creativity & Innovation Skills
•Communication & Information Skills
•Collaboration Skills
•Contextual Learning
•Information and Media Literacy
22
- Slide 23: An Expanding Learning Economy
23
- Slide 24: An Expanding Learning Economy
• Reflects the increasing consumer and community
value on learning as a benefit and as a currency of
exchange.
• Includes all the formal and informal forms of
creating and exchanging learning benefits. This
includes formal market products and services like
the growing educational services, tutoring, and
instructional toy markets, but also includes new
products and services like food, furniture, travel and
recreation. 24
- Slide 25: An Expanding Learning Economy
e-Learning Design Laboratory
Distance and Electronic
MyLEAPSchool.com
Learning Academy
25
- Slide 26: Students as Drivers
of their own Learning Experiences
• 1st grade, children spend 1 hr a day learning on their own, watched
over but not supervised.
• By 3rd grade, the amount of time students were on own increased to 3
hrs/day.
• By 6th grade and throughout middle school, half of student’s time is in
the classroom.
• By high school, only 1/3 of time spent in classroom
• They will read, on computers writing, researching, exploring the
internet.
• Recommendation: More pay to teachers, fewer classes, use older
students to monitor younger students’ independent time.
26
- Slide 27: • San Francisco-based nonprofit organization
created to resolve challenges posed by
intellectual property and copyrights in an
open-source learning environment
• MIT OpenCourseWare employs Creative
Commons licensing
27
- Slide 28: • A collaboration of more than 100 educational
institutions and associate organizations from
around the world, committed to creating a
broad and <>
deep model of educational content
using a shared model
• OCW’s mission is to advance education and
empower people worldwide through
opencourseware
28
- Slide 29: Virtual Schools on the Rise
• They open access and opportunity for all students
over the internet regardless of location or institution
(hospital) with high quality courses and high quality
teachers
• 38 states feature state-led online learning programs,
policies regulating online education, or both.
• Examples, Florida Virtual School is the first
statewide public online high school, Idaho Digital
Academy, Louise Virtual School, International
Virtual High School (programs in 30 states and 25
countries)
29
- Slide 30: Direct Deliver of Education/Learning to
Students
• Pearson Scott Foresman to offer a course for history
teachers without the use of textbooks but digital
learning materials.
• Educators have access to a complete digital
curriculum with online books, video, assessment and
interactive learning tools. Teachers can build a
lesson, teach a class, tailor activities, etc.
30
- Slide 31: • “Open Sourcing” places key elements of knowledge
in the hands of anyone who wishes to access it, at
any time, anywhere in the world for the purposes of
“use, reuse, modification, or enhancement”
• MIT has pioneered this strategy around the contents
of more than 1,400 undergraduate and graduate
courses
• Major goal is linking learners and supporting
networks with resources
31
- Slide 32: Consider: Urban Commons
• High performance schools and districts everywhere.
• Independent operators/contractors manage schools.
• A school district central office would be to write
performance contracts with the operators of these
schools, monitor their operations, cancel or decide
not to renew the contracts of these providers that did
not perform well, and find others that could do
better.
• The local board would also be responsible for
connecting the schools to a wide range of social
services in the community. 32
- Slide 33: YOUR CHALLENGE TODAY:
We have had national failure of student achievement but also national
failure of imagination when it comes to what schools can and should
be. Our mindset does not embrace the possibility that schools could be
and should be radically different.
Chris Whittle, Edison Schools
WHAT WILL YOUR SCHOOL LOOK LIKE FOR
THE GRADUATES OF 2020 and TODAY?
33
- Slide 34: PLAY WITH THE MAP
WWW. KWFDN.ORG/MAP
• Interactive
• Discussion Groups
• Examples
• Research
34