A Brief History Of Cloud (..and a brief future of PaaS) James Watters
• James Watters: @wattersjames• Last 10 years: strategy, business development, technology partnership roles at Sun and VMware• Projects: Cloud Foundry, vCloud, Sun volume systems, Solaris• Today is my personal take only....
• Agenda • What were the ‘Cloud’ marketing claims? • How are we doing against them? • So what’s next?
“Is there a site that offers price history for variousAmazon Web Services such as EC2, Cloudfront,etc?I would like to be able to forecast that if somethinglike a small on demand EC2 instance costs $0.085per hour today that it will likely half in cost to $0.043per hour a year from now. Similarly if I have 10GB offiles in S3 storage how will the cost be affected overa similar span of time? I can only imagine, that likeall technology, the cost will go down.”
“There hasnt really been a need for anyone tomake such a site since prices have only changed acouple times in the many years EC2 has beenaround. Less than once every other year! TheCPU-hour price of a small instance has onlychanged once in the past 5 years -- from itsoriginal $0.10 to $0.085.”
• RDS launch October 2009 • 2009 XL DB Instance: .88/hr • Today: $.88/hr • Aligned to RAM pricing declines = $.49/hr
EC2 does cut prices,strategically...you are at their mercy.
Story of Urban Airship• August 2009: Sent over one million production notiﬁcations• August 2011: Sent over ﬁve billion production notiﬁcations• Tracking over 300 million installations• Started on EC2..
“What is the magicbullet? Real hardware. know, I know...”--Adam Lowry, Urban Airship
Moores Law is for Hardware Only• Does not apply to software• Productivity gains not keeping up with hardware and bandwidth• Writing software is hard, painful, and still very much a craft Credit: @chanezon
Moores Law is for Hardware Only Credit @chanezon