May 31, 2011                 Dennis Cushman       Assistant General ManagerSan Diego County Water Authority
Latest Drought Over, But Challenges Remain   San Diego County is semi-arid region   ◦ Dry years more common than wet year...
Average Water Year Statewide Runoff 175%        173% 150%                                               145% 125% 100%    ...
Bay-DeltaSan Francisco Bay                    4
Bay-Delta Issues Need Resolution                    Pumping restrictions to protect                    threatened species...
Colorado River Supplies                       Drought 9 of last 11                       years                       Lak...
Potential Impacts from Climate Change                                  More rain, less                                  s...
Maintaining Water Use Efficiency State mandate for 20 percent reduction in water use by 2020 Maintain recent gains in co...
   The amount of money the Water Authority sent to    the Metropolitan Water District last year:          $241,000,000  ...
   Supply challenges key driver of MWD rates   MWD sales declining while rates are    increasing   MWD‟s flawed rate st...
11            2,500,000                                                                $2,500                             ...
   MWD misallocates supply costs to    transportation rate categories in violation of    state law                     MW...
State Water Project Facilities                     MWD Water Facilities                     Colorado River Aqueduct       ...
   But they are unwilling to do so:    ◦ “…to date, most of our board members have said „we‟re      not so sure about tha...
Undercharge Overcharge             -$0.6       City of Anaheim             -$0.3       City of Beverly Hills             -...
15 member agencies buy less than 2% of MWD‟s water and pay less     than 2% of MWD‟s bills             Average MWD Water P...
20 member agencies buy less than 5% of MWD‟s water and pay less     than 5% of MWD‟s bills             Average MWD Water P...
One member agency buys morethan 25% of MWD‟s water and pays   more than 25% of MWD‟s bills               Average MWD Water...
   Case assigned to San Francisco Superior    Court Judge Kramer   Estimate trial court decision in early 2012   MWD ha...
   Water Authority striving to provide reliable    water supply for region‟s $186 billion    economy, 1.3 million full-ti...
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Water Talks: Challenges to Regional Water Reliability

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Presentation by Dennis Cushman, Asst. General Manager at May 31 Community Forum. This presentation is an overview of challenges to San Diego County's water supply reliability.

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Water Talks: Challenges to Regional Water Reliability

  1. 1. May 31, 2011 Dennis Cushman Assistant General ManagerSan Diego County Water Authority
  2. 2. Latest Drought Over, But Challenges Remain  San Diego County is semi-arid region ◦ Dry years more common than wet years  Supply reliability ◦ Bay-Delta ◦ Colorado River ◦ Climate change ◦ Maintaining water use efficiency  Protecting ratepayers ◦ MWD rate challenge 2
  3. 3. Average Water Year Statewide Runoff 175% 173% 150% 145% 125% 100% 91% 75% 60% 65% 50% 53% 25% 0% 2006 2008 2010 *Forecast as of May 1, 2011 3
  4. 4. Bay-DeltaSan Francisco Bay 4
  5. 5. Bay-Delta Issues Need Resolution  Pumping restrictions to protect threatened species have cut deliveries  Restrictions mitigated this year ◦ Extremely high river flows Delta smelt ◦ Temporary judicial actions  No long-term plan in place for water reliability, ecosystem recovery Central Valley steelhead Green sturgeon Chinook salmon Longfin smelt 5
  6. 6. Colorado River Supplies  Drought 9 of last 11 years  Lake Mead elevation earlier this year: 1,082‟ ◦ Lowest level since 1930s  Storage levels now rising Lake Mead – 2010  Several more wet years needed for recovery  Growing demand in Southwest on river‟s limited supply 6
  7. 7. Potential Impacts from Climate Change  More rain, less snow ◦ Decreases storage held as snowpack  Earlier snowmelt ◦ Runoff comes earlier than needed  Less weather Lake Oroville – April 2010 predictability  Water Authority working with other utilities to study effects and impacts 7
  8. 8. Maintaining Water Use Efficiency State mandate for 20 percent reduction in water use by 2020 Maintain recent gains in conservation ◦ Regional water use down about 20% since 2007 Efficiency needs to be social norm Water efficient planting and rotating nozzle Emphasis on outdoor efficiency ◦ Market transformation 8
  9. 9.  The amount of money the Water Authority sent to the Metropolitan Water District last year: $241,000,000 The amount of money at dispute in the Water Authority‟s rate lawsuit vs. MWD (over 45 years): $1,300,000,000 - $2,100,000,000 9
  10. 10.  Supply challenges key driver of MWD rates MWD sales declining while rates are increasing MWD‟s flawed rate structure overcharges the Water Authority for wheeling transfer supplies 10
  11. 11. 11 2,500,000 $2,500 -32% 2,000,000 $2,000 1,500,000 $1,500 $/AFAcre-feet 1,000,000 +55% MWD‟s Projected Sales in $1,000 2020 are 24% Lower than 2000-2009 Average Actual Sales Projected - Expected 500,000 $500 MWD rates (actual/projected) FS Tier 1-LRFP Forecast 2010-2020 LRFP Forecast with annual 6% rate increases - $0 11
  12. 12.  MWD misallocates supply costs to transportation rate categories in violation of state law MWD Overcharge Forecast (in millions) $2,105 $1,637 $1,311 $1,033 $330 $330 Low High Next 10 Years 35 Year Term 45 Year Term 12
  13. 13. State Water Project Facilities MWD Water Facilities Colorado River Aqueduct Water Authority Facilities 13
  14. 14.  But they are unwilling to do so: ◦ “…to date, most of our board members have said „we‟re not so sure about that.‟ And, most of our member agencies have said „No. Thanks, but no thanks, because we prefer this the way it is.‟” ◦ “Should people make those firm commitments going into the future? So far, the member agencies have opted not to. They prefer it the way it is.” -- Excerpts of remarks by MWD General Manager Jeffrey Kightlinger, speaking at an August 10, 2010 public meeting in San Diego on MWD‟s draft 2010 Integrated Resources Plan (IRP). 14
  15. 15. Undercharge Overcharge -$0.6 City of Anaheim -$0.3 City of Beverly Hills -$0.2 City of Burbank -$2.5 Calleguas MWD -$1.5 Central Basin MWD -$0.1 City of Compton -$2.1 Eastern MWD -$0.2 Foothill MWD -$0.3 City of Fullerton -$0.4 City of Glendale -$1.6 Inland Empire Utilities Agency -$0.5 Las Virgenes MWD -$0.8 City of Long Beach -$6.3 City of Los Angeles -$5.3 MWD of Orange County -$0.5 City of Pasadena San Diego County Water Authority $31.0 $0.0 City of San Fernando $0.0 City of San Marino -$0.4 City of Santa Ana -$0.3 City of Santa Monica -$1.4 Three Valleys MWD -$0.4 City of Torrance -$0.5 Upper San Gabriel MWD -$2.9 West Basin MWD -$2.0 Western MWD 15
  16. 16. 15 member agencies buy less than 2% of MWD‟s water and pay less than 2% of MWD‟s bills Average MWD Water Purchases by Member Agency (2000-09) 16
  17. 17. 20 member agencies buy less than 5% of MWD‟s water and pay less than 5% of MWD‟s bills Average MWD Water Purchases by Member Agency (2000-09) 17
  18. 18. One member agency buys morethan 25% of MWD‟s water and pays more than 25% of MWD‟s bills Average MWD Water Purchases by Member Agency (2000-09) 18
  19. 19.  Case assigned to San Francisco Superior Court Judge Kramer Estimate trial court decision in early 2012 MWD has proposed terminating funding agreements with Water Authority in response to lawsuit ◦ Local supply agreements ◦ Local access to MWD conservation incentives ◦ Water Authority ratepayers contribute $22 million annually; MWD would return $0 to county 19
  20. 20.  Water Authority striving to provide reliable water supply for region‟s $186 billion economy, 1.3 million full-time jobs, and the quality of life for 3.1 million people Water Authority needs a reliable supply from MWD, at an affordable and equitable cost Water Authority needs a fiscally sustainable MWD ◦ With sound fiscal policies, stable revenues and that respects ratepayers 20
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