Emerging Strategic Innovations in Educational Leadership<br />Emerging Learning Design Conference<br />June 3rd, 2011<br /...
"It is possible to believe that all the past is but the beginning of a beginning, and that all that is and has been is but...
Just as all education springs from some vision of 															the future… <br />all education produces some image of th...
Increasingly fast-paced world<br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity<br />
Increasingly interconnected times<br />
Increasingly complex issues<br />http://www.fredcavazza.net/2010/12/14/social-media-landscape-2011/<br />
Future Time Perspective<br />																																				(Seijts, 1998)<br />Extension: 		<br />how far into the f...
From http://www.flickr.com/photos/9797495@N04/2230841530/<br />
Time to adoption: One Year or Less<br />    Electronic Books<br />    Mobiles<br />Time to adoption: Two to Three Years<br...
Gartner Report on Emerging Technologies, September 2010<br />
http://digitalgames.playthinklearn.net/<br />
Science<br />Potential<br />Learning Sciences<br /><ul><li>Outcome-based courses
Deep learning
Fast formative feedback
Learning about learning
Expert personal help</li></ul>Creative Possibilities<br /><ul><li>“on becoming” a course
Far learning
Active Participation
Learning as play
“The Scholar’s Journey”</li></li></ul><li>The future is already here, <br />it's just not very evenly distributed.<br />~ ...
Culture adoption lags behind technological innovation<br />Ogburn’s Theory of Cultural Lag<br />
Persistent Forecasting <br />of <br />Disruptive Technologies<br />National Research Council <br />2009 <br />
Futures Studies is Dead.<br />Long Live Futures Studies.<br />
learner analytics<br />
virtual worlds<br />Working up the Slope of Enlightenment<br />Collaborative work routines<br />Discovering and exploiting...
Using virtualworlds to illustrateimagesof the future:a continuum of infinitepossibilities<br />wild cards!<br />scenarios:...
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Jon Richter's Keynote ELD11

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Jon Richter's Keynote ELD11

  1. 1. Emerging Strategic Innovations in Educational Leadership<br />Emerging Learning Design Conference<br />June 3rd, 2011<br />Jonathon Richter, Ed.D. <br />University of Oregon<br />
  2. 2. "It is possible to believe that all the past is but the beginning of a beginning, and that all that is and has been is but the twilight of the dawn.<br />It is possible to believe that all that the human mind has ever accomplished is but the dream before the awakening.” <br /> ~ H.G. Wells<br />
  3. 3. Just as all education springs from some vision of the future… <br />all education produces some image of the future~ Alvin Toffler<br />
  4. 4. Increasingly fast-paced world<br />http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity<br />
  5. 5. Increasingly interconnected times<br />
  6. 6. Increasingly complex issues<br />http://www.fredcavazza.net/2010/12/14/social-media-landscape-2011/<br />
  7. 7.
  8. 8. Future Time Perspective<br /> (Seijts, 1998)<br />Extension: <br />how far into the future does your active work extend?<br />Coherence: <br />how organized is your future-focused thinking?<br />Density: <br />how many thoughts about the future are active?<br />Directionality: <br />how well are you moving along from present to future?<br />Affectivity: <br />are you gratified about your progress toward the future?<br />
  9. 9. From http://www.flickr.com/photos/9797495@N04/2230841530/<br />
  10. 10. Time to adoption: One Year or Less<br /> Electronic Books<br /> Mobiles<br />Time to adoption: Two to Three Years<br /> Augmented Reality<br /> Game-based Learning<br />Time to adoption: Four to Five Years<br /> Gesture-based Computing<br /> Learning Analytics<br />www.educause.edu/Resources/2011HorizonReport/223122<br />
  11. 11. Gartner Report on Emerging Technologies, September 2010<br />
  12. 12. http://digitalgames.playthinklearn.net/<br />
  13. 13. Science<br />Potential<br />Learning Sciences<br /><ul><li>Outcome-based courses
  14. 14. Deep learning
  15. 15. Fast formative feedback
  16. 16. Learning about learning
  17. 17. Expert personal help</li></ul>Creative Possibilities<br /><ul><li>“on becoming” a course
  18. 18. Far learning
  19. 19. Active Participation
  20. 20. Learning as play
  21. 21. “The Scholar’s Journey”</li></li></ul><li>The future is already here, <br />it's just not very evenly distributed.<br />~ William Gibson<br />
  22. 22. Culture adoption lags behind technological innovation<br />Ogburn’s Theory of Cultural Lag<br />
  23. 23. Persistent Forecasting <br />of <br />Disruptive Technologies<br />National Research Council <br />2009 <br />
  24. 24. Futures Studies is Dead.<br />Long Live Futures Studies.<br />
  25. 25. learner analytics<br />
  26. 26. virtual worlds<br />Working up the Slope of Enlightenment<br />Collaborative work routines<br />Discovering and exploiting sweet spots between design tensions<br />
  27. 27. Using virtualworlds to illustrateimagesof the future:a continuum of infinitepossibilities<br />wild cards!<br />scenarios:<br /> upside<br />utopias<br />visions<br />scenarios:<br />dystopias<br />nightmares<br />scenarios:<br />downside<br />wild cards!<br />all possible images of the future<br />Image courtesy of Wendy L. Schultz: http://www.infinitefutures.com<br />
  28. 28. Goodbye “Mediocristan”<br />Hello, Extremistan!<br />http://www.amazon.com/Black-Swan-Impact-Highly-Improbable/dp/1400063515<br />
  29. 29. Which shall we drive through – <br />the grass or the trees?<br />
  30. 30. Learning Technologies Ecosystem<br />mobile<br />social networks<br />learner analytics<br />video games<br />virtual worlds<br />new learning management systems<br />cloud-based services <br />
  31. 31. Future-focused learning<br />Extend students time horizons (length)<br />Develop cohesive goals, anchored to action (cohesiveness)<br />Populate individual goal horizons (density)<br />Give students agency (directionality)<br />Give them real reasons to feel good about their own futures (affective)<br /> = “high achievement orientation” (Seijts)<br />
  32. 32. The future belongs to those who give<br />the next generation reason to hope<br /> ~ Pierre Teilhard de Chardin<br />
  33. 33. http://www.educause.edu/EDUCAUSE+Review/EDUCAUSEReviewMagazineVolume46/InSearchofFutureFocusedLearnin/228663<br />
  34. 34. Credits not appearing inline<br />Global Internet Map: http://www.telegeography.com/telecom-resources/map-gallery/global-internet-map-2011/<br />“Facebook: You’re Doing It Wrong”: http://www.worldcupblog.org<br />Gerard Seijts, “The importance of Future Time Perspective in theories of work motivation”; Journal of Psychology: Interdisciplinary and Applied 132(2), pp. 154-168.<br />

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