Jon Richter's Keynote ELD11Presentation Transcript
Emerging Strategic Innovations in Educational Leadership Emerging Learning Design Conference June 3rd, 2011 Jonathon Richter, Ed.D. University of Oregon
"It is possible to believe that all the past is but the beginning of a beginning, and that all that is and has been is but the twilight of the dawn. It is possible to believe that all that the human mind has ever accomplished is but the dream before the awakening.” ~ H.G. Wells
Just as all education springs from some vision of the future… all education produces some image of the future~ Alvin Toffler
Increasingly fast-paced world http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity
Future Time Perspective (Seijts, 1998) Extension: how far into the future does your active work extend? Coherence: how organized is your future-focused thinking? Density: how many thoughts about the future are active? Directionality: how well are you moving along from present to future? Affectivity: are you gratified about your progress toward the future?
Time to adoption: One Year or Less Electronic Books Mobiles Time to adoption: Two to Three Years Augmented Reality Game-based Learning Time to adoption: Four to Five Years Gesture-based Computing Learning Analytics www.educause.edu/Resources/2011HorizonReport/223122
Gartner Report on Emerging Technologies, September 2010
Science Potential Learning Sciences
Fast formative feedback
Learning about learning
Expert personal help
“on becoming” a course
Learning as play
“The Scholar’s Journey”
The future is already here, it's just not very evenly distributed. ~ William Gibson
Culture adoption lags behind technological innovation Ogburn’s Theory of Cultural Lag
Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies National Research Council 2009
Futures Studies is Dead. Long Live Futures Studies.
virtual worlds Working up the Slope of Enlightenment Collaborative work routines Discovering and exploiting sweet spots between design tensions
Using virtualworlds to illustrateimagesof the future:a continuum of infinitepossibilities wild cards! scenarios: upside utopias visions scenarios: dystopias nightmares scenarios: downside wild cards! all possible images of the future Image courtesy of Wendy L. Schultz: http://www.infinitefutures.com
Which shall we drive through – the grass or the trees?
Learning Technologies Ecosystem mobile social networks learner analytics video games virtual worlds new learning management systems cloud-based services
Future-focused learning Extend students time horizons (length) Develop cohesive goals, anchored to action (cohesiveness) Populate individual goal horizons (density) Give students agency (directionality) Give them real reasons to feel good about their own futures (affective) = “high achievement orientation” (Seijts)
The future belongs to those who give the next generation reason to hope ~ Pierre Teilhard de Chardin
Credits not appearing inline Global Internet Map: http://www.telegeography.com/telecom-resources/map-gallery/global-internet-map-2011/ “Facebook: You’re Doing It Wrong”: http://www.worldcupblog.org Gerard Seijts, “The importance of Future Time Perspective in theories of work motivation”; Journal of Psychology: Interdisciplinary and Applied 132(2), pp. 154-168.