Labour Market Trends Cannexus Jan 10

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Here is the Power Point for Val Lougheed's talk on Labour Market Trends at the Cannexus Conference in Ottawa, January 26th, 2010

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Labour Market Trends Cannexus Jan 10

  1. 1. Staying Ahead of Labour Market Trends Northern Lights Canada
  2. 2. Twitter <ul><li>#NLCAN </li></ul>
  3. 3. “ Y” this talk now? <ul><li>The world is flat </li></ul><ul><li>The Economy and the Labour Market </li></ul><ul><li>BRICA </li></ul><ul><li>The Future of Work </li></ul><ul><li>Wherever we go, there we are </li></ul>
  4. 4. Workshop Objectives <ul><li>Inform </li></ul><ul><ul><li>About Labour Market Trends </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Understand </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Why such trends are happening </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Position </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Ourselves and our clients correctly in order to stay ahead of trends </li></ul></ul>
  5. 5. Sources <ul><li>Books </li></ul><ul><li>Newspapers </li></ul><ul><li>Magazines (mostly stolen) </li></ul><ul><li>Colleagues </li></ul><ul><li>My kids </li></ul>
  6. 6. <ul><li>“ You can discover most of what you need to know by simply noticing the nature of the changes taking place. The trick then lies in learning how to take advantage of these changes.” </li></ul><ul><li>Campbell, C., 1998 </li></ul>
  7. 7. Getting the most from this workshop <ul><li>Pick one strategy </li></ul><ul><li>Use it next week at work </li></ul>
  8. 8. Value of Your Honourable Work <ul><li>You witness people facing life- altering challenges </li></ul><ul><li>You participate in their making major changes in their lives </li></ul><ul><li>You help people </li></ul>
  9. 9. Understanding the Labour Market System Perlmutter & Trist, 1986 Senge, 1990
  10. 10. Systems Explained <ul><li>made up of individual, interrelated parts </li></ul><ul><li>causes its own behaviour </li></ul>Senge, 1990
  11. 11. Culture <ul><li>The world is flat. </li></ul><ul><li>Friedman, 2006 </li></ul>
  12. 12. Change is like a bulldozer sweeping the landscape, and those who don’t change are going to be flattened! Dr. Tomorrow (Frank Ogden)
  13. 14. Toronto Star, July 2008
  14. 15. Reuters.com, May 2009
  15. 16. Canadian Business Nov. 9, 2009
  16. 17. April 2008
  17. 18. April 2009
  18. 20. Calgary Sun Dec. 2, 2009
  19. 21. Calgary Sun Nov. 22, 2009
  20. 28. Globe Life Nov. 2009
  21. 29. “ The Global Village” Marshall McLuhan
  22. 30. Culture – The World is Flat <ul><li>Flatteners </li></ul><ul><li>Nov. 9, 1989 (11/9) – The Berlin Wall came down </li></ul><ul><li>1990’s </li></ul><ul><ul><li>The Internet & The World Wide Web </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Work-flow Software </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Uploading – Harnessing the power of communities </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Outsourcing </li></ul></ul><ul><li>2001 – Offshoring </li></ul>
  23. 32. Speed “ I have a microwave fireplace. You can lay down in front of the fire all night in eight minutes.” Steven Wright
  24. 34. Culture – The World is Flat <ul><li>Flatteners </li></ul><ul><li>2000’s </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Supply-Chaining </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Insourcing </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>In-Forming </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>The Steroids </li></ul></ul>
  25. 35. Time June 15, 2009
  26. 36. Vanity Fair Nov. 2009
  27. 37. Managing Me, Inc. I was going to buy a copy of The Power of Positive Thinking, and then I thought: What the hell good would that do ?”
  28. 38. BenefitsCanada.com Nov. 16, 2009
  29. 39. <ul><li>what we do </li></ul><ul><li>beliefs </li></ul><ul><li>language </li></ul><ul><li>traditions </li></ul>Culture Unspoken but shared assumptions that guide the daily behaviour of people. Clemmens-Rumizen, 2002
  30. 40. Culture – The World is Flat List five words or phrases that define our current culture.
  31. 41. <ul><li>Macro </li></ul><ul><li>Economy & </li></ul><ul><li>Government </li></ul><ul><li>BRICA & NY*LON*KONG </li></ul>
  32. 42. Macro – Evolution of The Economy Beck, 1995; HRDC, 1994; Pritchett, 1996
  33. 43. Macro – Evolution of Work Beck, 1995; HRDC, 1994; Pritchett, 1996
  34. 44. My dog is worried about the economy because Alpo is up to $.99 a can now. That’s about $7 in dog money. Joe Weinstein
  35. 45. Calgary Sun, Oct. 2007
  36. 46. Calgary Sun, Jan. 2008
  37. 47. Nightmare on Wall Street!
  38. 48. Calgary Sun, Jan. 2008
  39. 49. Calgary Sun Mar. 2008
  40. 50. National Post Feb. 2008
  41. 52. Calgary Sun March 2008
  42. 53. Calgary Sun Mar. 2008
  43. 54. Calgary Herald Mar. 2008
  44. 55. Sub-Prime Meltdown <ul><li>NINJA mortgages </li></ul><ul><li>Canada Bank Act </li></ul><ul><li>Sub-prime mortgages – </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Canada – 5% </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>US – 1 out of every 4 or 5 </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Holt, 2007, p. 64 </li></ul>
  45. 57. Toronto Star Jul. 2008
  46. 58. National Post Sep. 2008
  47. 59. Calgary Sun Oct. 2008
  48. 61. Calgary Sun Oct. 2008
  49. 63. Global Economy – (2004 – 2007) <ul><li>+ </li></ul><ul><li>US – 10% of global growth </li></ul><ul><li>BRICA – 50% (Brazil, Russia, India, China plus large Middle East oil producers) </li></ul><ul><li>- </li></ul><ul><li>US purchases 25% of Canada’s gross domestic product </li></ul><ul><li>80%+ of Canada’s exports US </li></ul><ul><li>Hodgson, 2007, p. 66 </li></ul><ul><li>Buchanan, 2007, p. 66 </li></ul>
  50. 64. Calgary Sun Jan. 2008
  51. 65. Jan. 2008
  52. 67. Globe & Mail Nov. 12, 2009
  53. 69. Canadian Economy “Robust” <ul><li>Solid growth in incomes </li></ul><ul><li>Resilience of Central Canada (in light of US sub-prime meltdown) </li></ul><ul><li>Western Canada – AB & BC </li></ul><ul><li>Employment rate – all time high </li></ul><ul><li>Unemployment rate – 33 year low (5.9%) </li></ul><ul><li>Strong consumption growth </li></ul><ul><li>Will be able to withstand US problems. </li></ul><ul><li>Hodgson, 2007, p. 67-68 </li></ul>
  54. 70. <ul><li>“ Absence of evidence is not evidence of absence.” </li></ul><ul><li>Wolf, 2007, p. 62 </li></ul>
  55. 72. Calgary Sun Mar. 2008
  56. 73. Potential Risk <ul><li>Backlash against globalization </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>+ </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Lost manufacturing jobs </li></ul><ul><li>+ </li></ul><ul><li>Homeland security worries </li></ul><ul><li>+ </li></ul><ul><li>Efforts not well-received abroad </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>+ </li></ul></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><li>Illegal immigration </li></ul><ul><li>Could lead to Isolationism & Protectionism </li></ul><ul><li>Bremmer, 2007, p. 68-72 </li></ul>US recession Geopolitical Instability
  57. 74. Calgary Sun, Dec. 5, 2009
  58. 75. Calgary Sun Oct. 3, 2009
  59. 76. Calgary Sun, Dec. 5, 2009
  60. 77. Dec. 1, 2008
  61. 78. BusinessWeek Dec. 1, 2009
  62. 79. “ What goes up” <ul><li>Strong world economic growth </li></ul><ul><li>Recessions usually check growth – but no recession for 16 years </li></ul><ul><li>No supply crunch now to warrant soaring oil prices </li></ul><ul><li>Probably not going to last </li></ul><ul><li>Hall, 2007, pp. 72-74 </li></ul>
  63. 80. Macro Major economic trends? Dominant government responses?
  64. 81. <ul><li>Meso </li></ul><ul><li>Labour Market </li></ul><ul><li>Change & the Economic Imperative </li></ul>
  65. 82. MESO <ul><li>Change and the Economic Imperative </li></ul><ul><li>“ The Darwinian struggle to survive.” </li></ul><ul><li>Many businesses have discovered that the attributes that made organizational structures ideal in the Industrial Economy could potentially cripple those organizations in the New Economy. </li></ul><ul><li>Coy, 2000 </li></ul>
  66. 83. MESO <ul><li>Post-Industrial Society </li></ul><ul><li>“ This calls for different organizations, as well as different kinds of workers.” </li></ul><ul><li>Peter Drucker </li></ul>
  67. 84. MESO <ul><li>The Organization of the Future </li></ul><ul><li>Hungry for Change </li></ul><ul><li>Innovative Beyond Customer Imagination </li></ul><ul><li>Globally Integrated </li></ul><ul><li>Disruptive by Nature </li></ul><ul><li>Genuine, not just Generous </li></ul><ul><li>The Enterprise of the Future, IBM Global CEO Study, 2008 </li></ul>
  68. 85. MESO – New Economy Organizational Structure <ul><li>Flat </li></ul><ul><li>Self-regulating </li></ul><ul><li>Collaborative </li></ul><ul><li>Participatory </li></ul><ul><li>Responsive </li></ul><ul><li>Innovative </li></ul><ul><li>More Time-Consuming to Build </li></ul><ul><li>Coy, 2000; Trish from NLC Ottawa </li></ul>
  69. 86. Future Employment Opportunities <ul><li>Small Business </li></ul><ul><li>Self-Employment </li></ul><ul><li>Contract Work </li></ul><ul><li>Part-time Work </li></ul><ul><li>Life-long Learning </li></ul>HRDC
  70. 87. MESO <ul><li>An H.R. Paradox </li></ul><ul><li>Oversupply of low-skill resources generates unemployment. </li></ul><ul><li>Talent shortages threaten economic stability and growth. </li></ul><ul><li>HRSDC, 2008 </li></ul>
  71. 89. Globe and Mail August 2008
  72. 90. 2010 Hot Jobs <ul><li>Property Administrators </li></ul><ul><li>Insurance Adjusters </li></ul><ul><li>Customer Service Clerks </li></ul><ul><li>Architectural Technologists </li></ul><ul><li>User Support Technicians </li></ul><ul><li>Systems Testing Technicians </li></ul><ul><li>Respiratory Therapists </li></ul><ul><li>Medical Radiation Technologists </li></ul><ul><li>Medical Sonographers </li></ul><ul><li>Dental Hygienists (HRSDC 2010) </li></ul><ul><li>And … SASKATCHEWAN </li></ul>
  73. 92. New Job Titles <ul><li>Bioaesthetic Coach </li></ul><ul><li>Experience Designer </li></ul><ul><li>Health-Enhancement Mentor </li></ul><ul><li>Intercommunity farmer </li></ul><ul><li>Personal Genome Optimizer </li></ul><ul><li>Richard A. Samson (“Hyperjobs: The New Higher-Level Work and How to Get Into It,” </li></ul><ul><li>Nov-Dec 2005) </li></ul>
  74. 93. New Job Titles <ul><li>Chief Health Officer </li></ul><ul><li>Coordinator of Workforce Development and Continuing Education </li></ul><ul><li>Corporate Historian </li></ul><ul><li>Manager of Diversity </li></ul><ul><li>Manager of Faith-Based Relations and Initiatives </li></ul><ul><li>Offshore Outsourcing coordinator </li></ul><ul><li>John A. Challenger (“Working in the Future: How Today’s Trends Are Shaping Tomorrow’s Jobs,” Nov-Dec 2005) </li></ul>
  75. 94. New Job Titles <ul><li>Chief Innovation Officer </li></ul><ul><li>Executive Chef, Space Airline </li></ul><ul><li>Global Work Process Coordinator </li></ul><ul><li>Skycar Mechanic </li></ul><ul><li>Telemedicine Technician </li></ul><ul><li>Transhumanist Designer/Technician </li></ul><ul><li>Underwater hotel manager </li></ul><ul><li>Vice President of Experiences </li></ul><ul><li>Joyce Gioia and Roger Herman (“Career Planning for the 21st Century,” Nov-Dec 2005) </li></ul>
  76. 95. New Job Titles <ul><li>Manager of First Impressions </li></ul>
  77. 96. New Lifetime Work Patterns Human Resources Development Canada Kawartha Lakes Management Area, June 1994
  78. 97. Career Paths Foot (1998), p. 81
  79. 98. Top Transferable Skills for the 21st Century &quot;flexible, ready-trained, on-demand, enterprise-ready” <ul><li>Team Player </li></ul><ul><li>Oral/Written & Electronic Communications </li></ul><ul><li>Computer Skills </li></ul><ul><li>Basic Math Skills </li></ul><ul><li>Analytical – Problem Solving </li></ul>HRDC, Kawartha Lakes, 1994 Nuala Beck, 1995; HRSDC, 2008 <ul><li>Flexibility – Versatility </li></ul><ul><li>Interpersonal </li></ul><ul><li>Organized – Planning </li></ul><ul><li>Time Management </li></ul><ul><li>Leadership </li></ul><ul><li>Self-starter – Takes Initiative </li></ul>
  80. 99. Globe and Mail April 2008
  81. 100. Globe and Mail, April 2008
  82. 101. Globe and Mail, April 2008
  83. 102. Globe & Mail Nov. 12, 2009
  84. 104. Paradigm Shift <ul><li>We have entered the age of the “contingent” worker … one who is resourceful, fluid, and flexible. Employment is now “contingent” on the results that the employer can achieve </li></ul><ul><li>Workers are wise to think that they are in business for themselves, and their tasks are outsourced to them by the employer </li></ul><ul><li>Employability replaces employment security </li></ul>William Bridges, Jobshift, 1994
  85. 105. Demographics Act Your Age!
  86. 106. Demographics <ul><li>2/3 of everything </li></ul><ul><li>+ </li></ul><ul><li>Electoral Politics </li></ul><ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><li>National Values </li></ul>Foot (1998), p. 7 Adams (1997)
  87. 107. Depression & World War II Babies 1930 - 1946 Baby Boomers 1947 – 1966 400,000+ babies every year Generation X 1960’s Baby Bust 1967 - 1979 Generation Y -- Millennials 1980 - 1995 Millennium Bust Generation Z 1996 - 2010 Demographics Foot (1998) pp. 22-31
  88. 111. April 2008
  89. 112. Millennials <ul><li>Not driven by dreams of financial success </li></ul><ul><li>What’s a career? </li></ul><ul><li>Willing to move around (a lot) </li></ul><ul><li>Want feedback daily </li></ul><ul><li>Want input – want to be heard </li></ul><ul><li>Fearless and blunt </li></ul><ul><li>Work-life balance </li></ul><ul><li>Flexible schedules </li></ul><ul><li>Philanthropic work </li></ul><ul><li>BREVITY </li></ul><ul><li>Sacks, 2006, pp 72-75 </li></ul>
  90. 113. CalgaryInc., April 2008
  91. 114. CalgaryInc., April 2008
  92. 115. MESO - Organizations <ul><li>Multi-generation labour force </li></ul><ul><li>A.K.A. </li></ul><ul><li>Scenes from the Culture Clash </li></ul><ul><li>Fast Company, January 2006 </li></ul>
  93. 116. Strategic Organizations <ul><li>Overriding mission and purpose </li></ul><ul><li>Long-term </li></ul><ul><li>The “what” and the “why” </li></ul><ul><li>Able to attract individuals through strong employer brands </li></ul><ul><li>Able to retain individuals through understanding and responding to various motivations to work </li></ul>
  94. 117. New Corporate Vision Statement Wherever we go, there we are.
  95. 118. Meso <ul><li>What will work look like in the future? </li></ul><ul><li>Jobs </li></ul><ul><li>Work Environment </li></ul><ul><li>Work-Life Balance </li></ul>
  96. 119. <ul><li>Micro </li></ul><ul><li>Individuals </li></ul><ul><li>Up the Creek with a Paddle </li></ul>
  97. 120. Employable You are employable if someone will hire you.
  98. 122. Time May 25, 2009
  99. 124. BusinessWeek Oct .19, 2009
  100. 125. Benefits Canada, Peace of Mind Guidebook, www.benefitscanada.com/microsites/peaceofmind
  101. 126. Employed Training/reskilling = job protection. HRSDC, 2008
  102. 127. Micro – Teams & Individuals <ul><li>Tactical </li></ul><ul><li>Calculated, small, hands-on actions serving a larger strategic purpose </li></ul><ul><li>Short-term </li></ul><ul><li>The “how” </li></ul>
  103. 128. <ul><li>“ You can discover most of what you need to know by simply noticing the nature of the changes taking place. The trick then lies in learning how to take advantage of these changes.” </li></ul><ul><li>Campbell, C., 1998 </li></ul>
  104. 129. Perlmutter & Trist, 1986 Senge, 1990
  105. 130. Micro - Getting the most from this workshop Strategies to Work and Prosper What I need to know/do.
  106. 132. NORTHERN LIGHTS CANADA SHOWCASE SESSIONS TUESDAY, JANUARY 25 5:00 TO 5:30 P.M. 5:30 TO 6:00 P.M. 6:00 TO 6:30 P.M. PROVINCES 1 ROOM Come and connect with us at Cannexus! Want to become a fan of Northern Lights? www.facebook.com/pages/Northern-Lights-Canada/ www.linkedin.com/groups?about=&gid=74831&trk=anet_ug_grppro Twitter: #NLCAN
  107. 133. <ul><li>Northern Lights Canada is a person-centred organization committed to providing innovative, responsive links to real work. </li></ul><ul><li>We offer 4 major divisions of service: </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Vocational Rehabilitation Services </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Employment Services </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Employer Services </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Corporate Training. </li></ul></ul><ul><li>For more information, please feel free to contact us: </li></ul><ul><li>1-800-361-4642 </li></ul><ul><li>www.northernlightscanada.ca </li></ul>
  108. 134. Voc Rehab Canada (VRCAN) is a national consortium of experienced regional vocational rehabilitation companies. VRCAN provides customers with single-point access to VR services anywhere they are needed in Canada, whether on an individual service or contract basis. Member companies include: For more information, please feel free to contact us at 1-866-97VRCAN Genesis Rehabilitation Ltd. Diversified Rehabilitation Group Western Rehabilitation Specialists Inc. Occupational Rehabilitation Group of Canada (ORGOC) Northern Lights Canada CVE Inc. OPTIMA Rehabilitation Rehabilitation Alternatives Limited / Vocational Alternatives Software Advantage Rehabilitation Consultants Ltd. Sandra Preeper & Associates Argus Management Consultants, Inc.

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