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Real Estate Development Workshops Fundamental Skills for Real Estate Development Professionals I Financial Analysis 9:00-10:15 Mark J. Eppli Marquette University Center for Real Estate Site Selection and Due Diligence 10:45-12:00 Charles A. Long President, Charles A. Long Properties  Fundamental Skills for Real Estate Development Professionals II Structuring the Deal to be Profitable 1:00-2:15 Tennyson Williams Founder/President Tennyson Williams Associates Project Entitlement 2:45-4:00  David Farmer Principal Capital Four Advisors
The Real Estate School Finance Track Curriculum Process ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Development Process Finding the Opportunity Control/ Acquire Land Design & Public Approvals Financing Construction Leasing Payday! 1-5 years ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Concept of Real Estate Valuation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Property Market Attributes ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Mortgage Underwriting and Lender Ratios ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Property Income Proforma ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Cash Flow Adequacy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Collateral Protection ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Value of an Property ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other Lender Ratio???  Equity Ratio??? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A Second Equity Return Ratio ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
An Apartment Income Proforma
Determining the Maximum Loan Amount
Determining the Return to the Equity Investor
Property Cap Rates and Premium over U.S. Treasury Securities Sources: St. Louis Federal Reserve, Mortgage Bankers Association, and Marquette University.
Cap Rate vs. P/E Ratio ,[object Object],Cap rate P/E Ratio 5% 20 6% 16.7 7% 14.3 8% 12.5 10% 10
Limitations of “Single Number” Value Calculations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
So Let’s Look at Total Investment Return Total Investment Return
Let’s Look to Finance Theory for Some Return Insights ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Total Rate of Return on Real Estate ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis ,[object Object],2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Net Present Value (NPV) ,[object Object]
Internal Rate of Return (IRR) ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Lets Look at An Office Property Investment Gateway Business Center -- Unlevered                             Year 0 Year  1 Year  2 Year  3 Year  4 Year  5 Year  6 Year  7 Year  8 Year  9 Year 10 Year 11 POTENTIAL GROSS REVENUE                         Base Rental Revenue   $601,403  $631,674  $637,083  $650,476  $661,633  $661,651  $675,565  $679,004  $673,158  $643,616  $650,797  Absorption & Turnover Vacancy       (12,740) (5,988) (4,998) (10,350) (10,704) (7,207) (70,218) (6,300) (14,609) Base Rent Abatements       (4,459) (2,096) (1,749) (3,623) (3,746)   (25,976) (2,430) (6,128) Scheduled Base Rental Revenue   601,403  631,674  619,884  642,392  654,886  647,678  661,115  671,797  576,964  634,886  630,060  CPI & Other Adjustment Revenue         191  2,580  6,103  11,178  17,917  14,687  19,382  29,091                            Expense Reimbursement Revenue                         CAM & Utilies   32,055  36,719  36,721  39,061  40,770  41,771  43,855  45,572  46,659  62,719  63,602  Insurance   5,193  5,888  5,889  6,237  6,491  6,642  6,952  7,207  7,231  9,347  9,478  Real Estate Taxes   45,712  54,120  54,123  58,345  61,427  63,232  66,990  70,086  76,072  113,092  114,684  Mang. Fee   17,326  18,905  18,102  19,427  20,227  20,062  21,241  21,963  20,855  32,266  32,340  Total Reimbursement Revenue   100,286  115,632  114,835  123,070  128,915  131,707  139,038  144,828  150,817  217,424  220,104                            TOTAL POTENTIAL GROSS REVENUE 701,689  747,306  734,719  765,653  786,381  785,488  811,331  834,542  742,468  871,692  879,255  General Vacancy     (52,311) (39,582) (48,027) (50,399) (45,359) (46,838) (51,715)   (55,159) (47,961) EFFECTIVE GROSS REVENUE   701,689  694,995  695,137  717,626  735,982  740,129  764,493  782,827  742,468  816,533  831,294  OPERATING EXPENSES                         CAM & Utilies   48,658  50,118  51,621  53,170  54,765  56,408  58,100  59,843  61,638  63,488  65,392  Insurance   7,251  7,469  7,693  7,923  8,161  8,406  8,658  8,918  9,185  9,461  9,745  Real Estate Taxes   87,737  90,369  93,080  95,873  98,749  101,711  104,763  107,905  111,143  114,477  117,911  Mang. Fee   28,068  27,800  27,805  28,705  29,439  29,605  30,580  31,313  29,699  32,661  33,252  TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES   171,714  175,756  180,199  185,671  191,114  196,130  202,101  207,979  211,665  220,087  226,300                            NET OPERATING INCOME   529,975  519,239  514,938  531,955  544,868  543,999  562,392  574,848  530,803  596,446  604,994                            LEASING & CAPITAL COSTS                         Tenant Improvements   95,460    40,942  19,337  16,220  33,753  23,049    178,145  23,089    Leasing Commissions   11,539    10,199  4,794  4,001  8,286  10,316    69,116  5,559    Capital Reserves   7,251  7,469  7,693  7,923  8,161  8,406  8,658  8,918  9,185  9,461    TOTAL LEASING & CAPITAL COSTS   114,250  7,469  58,834  32,054  28,382  50,445  42,023  8,918  256,446  38,109                              CASH FLOW BEFORE DEBT SERVICE $415,725  $511,770  $456,104  $499,901  $516,486  $493,554  $520,369  $565,930  $274,357  $558,337    Return on Equity   6.30% 7.75% 6.91% 7.57% 7.83% 7.48% 7.88% 8.57% 4.16% 8.46%   Equity Investment $6,600,000                       Property Sale                     $7,562,425   Sale Transcation Costs                     $151,249   Net Sale Proceeds                     $7,411,177   Property Cash Flows ($6,600,000) $415,725  $511,770  $456,104  $499,901  $516,486  $493,554  $520,369  $565,930  $274,357  $7,969,514    Internal Rate of Return 8.12%                      
We can Analyze the Property with and without Debt Gateway Business Center Investment Analysis using Different Investment Cash Flow and Sale Return Splits I.  IRR -- Unleveraged Investment                       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Property Purchase 6,600,000                     Cash Flow   415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 558,337 Property Sale                     7,411,177 Property Cash Flows -6,600,000 415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 7,969,514 Return on Equity   6.30% 7.75% 6.91% 7.57% 7.83% 7.48% 7.88% 8.57% 4.16%   Internal Rate of Return 8.12%                     II.  IRR -- Leveraged Investment                     Loan to Value Ratio 75.76%                     Loan Amount (calculated) 5,000,000                     Interest Rate (interest Only) 6.50%                       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Loan Amount 5,000,000                     Property Cash Flows -6,600,000 415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 7,969,514 Debt Service   -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 Mortgage Balance                     -5,000,000 Property Cash Flows -1,600,000 90,725 186,770 131,104 174,901 191,486 168,554 195,369 240,930 -50,643 2,644,514 Return on Equity   5.67% 11.67% 8.19% 10.93% 11.97% 10.53% 12.21% 15.06% -3.17%   Internal Rate of Return 12.45%                    
Sponsors can Provide Investor Preferred Cash Flow Returns III.  IRR -- Leveraged Investment and Equity Investor     Required Investment   -6,600,000     Equity Investor Preferred Return on Cash flow     8.00%   Mortgage Amount   5,000,000     Equity Investor Percent of Cash Flow after Preferred Rtn   60.00%   Equity Investor Amount   1,200,000     Equity Investor Percent of Sale Proceeds     50.00%   Developer     400,000       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Cash Flows   415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 558,337 Debt Service   -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 Cash Flow After Debt Service   90,725 186,770 131,104 174,901 191,486 168,554 195,369 240,930 -50,643 233,337                         Equity Investor Position                       Cash Flow Preferred Return   90,725 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 0 96,000 Arrears Cash Flow Preferred Return     5,275 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 96,000 Cash Flow Split   0 32,097 1,862 28,141 38,092 24,332 40,421 67,758 0 3,171 Return of Investment                     1,200,000 Reversion Split                     380,267 Equity Investor Proceeds -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,775,438 Return on Equity   7.56% 11.11% 8.16% 10.35% 11.17% 10.03% 11.37% 13.65% 0.00%   IRR for Equity Investor 11.63%                                             Developer Position                       Cash Flow Return   0 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 -50,643 36,051 Cash Flow Split   0 21,398 1,242 18,760 25,394 16,222 26,948 45,172 0 2,114 Return of Investment                     450,643 Reversion Split                     380,267 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 869,076 Return on Equity   0.00% 13.35% 8.31% 12.69% 14.35% 12.06% 14.74% 19.29% -12.66%   IRR 14.55%                    
Sponsors can Also Provide Preferred Total Rates of Return IV.  IRR -- Leveraged Investment and  Equity Investor with an IRR Lookback Rate of:   12.00%       Equity Investor Position 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Cash Flow Preferred Return   90,725 101,275 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 0 192,000 Cash Flow Split   0 32,097 1,862 28,141 38,092 24,332 40,421 67,758 0 3,171 Return of Investment   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,200,000 Reversion Split   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 465,000 Equity Investor Proceeds -- with Lookback -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,860,171 Equity Investor IRR Look back to: 12.00%                     Reversion Split after 12% IRR lookback                   73,767 Equity Investor Proceeds  -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,933,938 Equity Investor IRR  12.30%                                             Developer Position                       Cash Flow Return   0 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 -50,643 36,051 Cash Flow Split   0 21,398 1,242 18,760 25,394 16,222 26,948 45,172 0 2,114 Return of Investment   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 450,643 Reversion Split   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 148,000 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 636,809 Developer IRR 12.00%                     Reversion Split after 12% IRR lookback                   73,767 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 710,576 Developer IRR 12.88%                    
Equity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Equity Property Sale Waterfall ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Investor Target Returns: Each use is different *Unleveraged Internal Rate of Return. Higher leverage increases return on equity.  Anchor Tenant Timing of sale or lease Target IRR* Sector Occasional Lease up after construction 7-12% Industrial Desirable Pre-leasing usually req’d 7-12% Retail Desirable Pre-leasing desirable 7-12% Office None Lease-up after construction 7.5-11% Multi-family None Pre-sales for each phase 8-20% For-sale residential Depends on phase With phasing 20-30% Land Development
So… ,[object Object]
What is Our Incremental Cost of Debt? Incremental Cost of Funds Assumptions Loan Amortization Term 30 30 30 Prepayment Year 10 10 10 Property Value $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 LTVR 70.00% 75.00% 80.00% Loan Fees 0.50% 0.75% 1.25% Incremental Closing Costs 0 100 250 UST 10 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% Spread 1.80% 2.20% 2.60% Mortgage Interest Rate 4.05% 4.45% 4.85% Loan and Borrower Cost Information Loan Amount 21,000 22,500 24,000 Points and Increment Costs 105 269 550 Funds Disbursed 20,895 22,231 23,450 Debt Service 101 113 127 Outstanding Loan Balance 16,573 17,991 19,433 Borrower Cost of Funds 4.12% 4.61% 5.17% Incremental Cost of Funds Incremental New Funds 1,336 1,219 Incremental Debt Service 12 13 Incremental Outstanding Loan Balance 1,419 1,442 Incremental Cost of Funds   11.53% 13.96%
Presentation Take Aways ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Fundamental Skills for Real Estate Development Professionals I – Financial Analysis (Mark Eppli) - ULI Fall Meeting 102611

  • 1.
  • 2. Real Estate Development Workshops Fundamental Skills for Real Estate Development Professionals I Financial Analysis 9:00-10:15 Mark J. Eppli Marquette University Center for Real Estate Site Selection and Due Diligence 10:45-12:00 Charles A. Long President, Charles A. Long Properties Fundamental Skills for Real Estate Development Professionals II Structuring the Deal to be Profitable 1:00-2:15 Tennyson Williams Founder/President Tennyson Williams Associates Project Entitlement 2:45-4:00 David Farmer Principal Capital Four Advisors
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 16. Determining the Maximum Loan Amount
  • 17. Determining the Return to the Equity Investor
  • 18. Property Cap Rates and Premium over U.S. Treasury Securities Sources: St. Louis Federal Reserve, Mortgage Bankers Association, and Marquette University.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. So Let’s Look at Total Investment Return Total Investment Return
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Lets Look at An Office Property Investment Gateway Business Center -- Unlevered                             Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10 Year 11 POTENTIAL GROSS REVENUE                         Base Rental Revenue   $601,403 $631,674 $637,083 $650,476 $661,633 $661,651 $675,565 $679,004 $673,158 $643,616 $650,797 Absorption & Turnover Vacancy       (12,740) (5,988) (4,998) (10,350) (10,704) (7,207) (70,218) (6,300) (14,609) Base Rent Abatements       (4,459) (2,096) (1,749) (3,623) (3,746)   (25,976) (2,430) (6,128) Scheduled Base Rental Revenue   601,403 631,674 619,884 642,392 654,886 647,678 661,115 671,797 576,964 634,886 630,060 CPI & Other Adjustment Revenue         191 2,580 6,103 11,178 17,917 14,687 19,382 29,091                           Expense Reimbursement Revenue                         CAM & Utilies   32,055 36,719 36,721 39,061 40,770 41,771 43,855 45,572 46,659 62,719 63,602 Insurance   5,193 5,888 5,889 6,237 6,491 6,642 6,952 7,207 7,231 9,347 9,478 Real Estate Taxes   45,712 54,120 54,123 58,345 61,427 63,232 66,990 70,086 76,072 113,092 114,684 Mang. Fee   17,326 18,905 18,102 19,427 20,227 20,062 21,241 21,963 20,855 32,266 32,340 Total Reimbursement Revenue   100,286 115,632 114,835 123,070 128,915 131,707 139,038 144,828 150,817 217,424 220,104                           TOTAL POTENTIAL GROSS REVENUE 701,689 747,306 734,719 765,653 786,381 785,488 811,331 834,542 742,468 871,692 879,255 General Vacancy     (52,311) (39,582) (48,027) (50,399) (45,359) (46,838) (51,715)   (55,159) (47,961) EFFECTIVE GROSS REVENUE   701,689 694,995 695,137 717,626 735,982 740,129 764,493 782,827 742,468 816,533 831,294 OPERATING EXPENSES                         CAM & Utilies   48,658 50,118 51,621 53,170 54,765 56,408 58,100 59,843 61,638 63,488 65,392 Insurance   7,251 7,469 7,693 7,923 8,161 8,406 8,658 8,918 9,185 9,461 9,745 Real Estate Taxes   87,737 90,369 93,080 95,873 98,749 101,711 104,763 107,905 111,143 114,477 117,911 Mang. Fee   28,068 27,800 27,805 28,705 29,439 29,605 30,580 31,313 29,699 32,661 33,252 TOTAL OPERATING EXPENSES   171,714 175,756 180,199 185,671 191,114 196,130 202,101 207,979 211,665 220,087 226,300                           NET OPERATING INCOME   529,975 519,239 514,938 531,955 544,868 543,999 562,392 574,848 530,803 596,446 604,994                           LEASING & CAPITAL COSTS                         Tenant Improvements   95,460   40,942 19,337 16,220 33,753 23,049   178,145 23,089   Leasing Commissions   11,539   10,199 4,794 4,001 8,286 10,316   69,116 5,559   Capital Reserves   7,251 7,469 7,693 7,923 8,161 8,406 8,658 8,918 9,185 9,461   TOTAL LEASING & CAPITAL COSTS   114,250 7,469 58,834 32,054 28,382 50,445 42,023 8,918 256,446 38,109                             CASH FLOW BEFORE DEBT SERVICE $415,725 $511,770 $456,104 $499,901 $516,486 $493,554 $520,369 $565,930 $274,357 $558,337   Return on Equity   6.30% 7.75% 6.91% 7.57% 7.83% 7.48% 7.88% 8.57% 4.16% 8.46%   Equity Investment $6,600,000                       Property Sale                     $7,562,425   Sale Transcation Costs                     $151,249   Net Sale Proceeds                     $7,411,177   Property Cash Flows ($6,600,000) $415,725 $511,770 $456,104 $499,901 $516,486 $493,554 $520,369 $565,930 $274,357 $7,969,514   Internal Rate of Return 8.12%                      
  • 29. We can Analyze the Property with and without Debt Gateway Business Center Investment Analysis using Different Investment Cash Flow and Sale Return Splits I. IRR -- Unleveraged Investment                       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Property Purchase 6,600,000                     Cash Flow   415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 558,337 Property Sale                     7,411,177 Property Cash Flows -6,600,000 415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 7,969,514 Return on Equity   6.30% 7.75% 6.91% 7.57% 7.83% 7.48% 7.88% 8.57% 4.16%   Internal Rate of Return 8.12%                     II. IRR -- Leveraged Investment                     Loan to Value Ratio 75.76%                     Loan Amount (calculated) 5,000,000                     Interest Rate (interest Only) 6.50%                       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Loan Amount 5,000,000                     Property Cash Flows -6,600,000 415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 7,969,514 Debt Service   -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 Mortgage Balance                     -5,000,000 Property Cash Flows -1,600,000 90,725 186,770 131,104 174,901 191,486 168,554 195,369 240,930 -50,643 2,644,514 Return on Equity   5.67% 11.67% 8.19% 10.93% 11.97% 10.53% 12.21% 15.06% -3.17%   Internal Rate of Return 12.45%                    
  • 30. Sponsors can Provide Investor Preferred Cash Flow Returns III. IRR -- Leveraged Investment and Equity Investor     Required Investment   -6,600,000     Equity Investor Preferred Return on Cash flow     8.00%   Mortgage Amount   5,000,000     Equity Investor Percent of Cash Flow after Preferred Rtn   60.00%   Equity Investor Amount   1,200,000     Equity Investor Percent of Sale Proceeds     50.00%   Developer     400,000       0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Cash Flows   415,725 511,770 456,104 499,901 516,486 493,554 520,369 565,930 274,357 558,337 Debt Service   -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 -325,000 Cash Flow After Debt Service   90,725 186,770 131,104 174,901 191,486 168,554 195,369 240,930 -50,643 233,337                         Equity Investor Position                       Cash Flow Preferred Return   90,725 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 0 96,000 Arrears Cash Flow Preferred Return     5,275 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 96,000 Cash Flow Split   0 32,097 1,862 28,141 38,092 24,332 40,421 67,758 0 3,171 Return of Investment                     1,200,000 Reversion Split                     380,267 Equity Investor Proceeds -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,775,438 Return on Equity   7.56% 11.11% 8.16% 10.35% 11.17% 10.03% 11.37% 13.65% 0.00%   IRR for Equity Investor 11.63%                                             Developer Position                       Cash Flow Return   0 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 -50,643 36,051 Cash Flow Split   0 21,398 1,242 18,760 25,394 16,222 26,948 45,172 0 2,114 Return of Investment                     450,643 Reversion Split                     380,267 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 869,076 Return on Equity   0.00% 13.35% 8.31% 12.69% 14.35% 12.06% 14.74% 19.29% -12.66%   IRR 14.55%                    
  • 31. Sponsors can Also Provide Preferred Total Rates of Return IV. IRR -- Leveraged Investment and Equity Investor with an IRR Lookback Rate of:   12.00%       Equity Investor Position 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Cash Flow Preferred Return   90,725 101,275 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 96,000 0 192,000 Cash Flow Split   0 32,097 1,862 28,141 38,092 24,332 40,421 67,758 0 3,171 Return of Investment   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1,200,000 Reversion Split   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 465,000 Equity Investor Proceeds -- with Lookback -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,860,171 Equity Investor IRR Look back to: 12.00%                     Reversion Split after 12% IRR lookback                   73,767 Equity Investor Proceeds -1,200,000 90,725 133,372 97,862 124,141 134,092 120,332 136,421 163,758 0 1,933,938 Equity Investor IRR 12.30%                                             Developer Position                       Cash Flow Return   0 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 32,000 -50,643 36,051 Cash Flow Split   0 21,398 1,242 18,760 25,394 16,222 26,948 45,172 0 2,114 Return of Investment   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 450,643 Reversion Split   0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 148,000 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 636,809 Developer IRR 12.00%                     Reversion Split after 12% IRR lookback                   73,767 Developer Proceeds -400,000 0 53,398 33,242 50,760 57,394 48,222 58,948 77,172 -50,643 710,576 Developer IRR 12.88%                    
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34. Investor Target Returns: Each use is different *Unleveraged Internal Rate of Return. Higher leverage increases return on equity. Anchor Tenant Timing of sale or lease Target IRR* Sector Occasional Lease up after construction 7-12% Industrial Desirable Pre-leasing usually req’d 7-12% Retail Desirable Pre-leasing desirable 7-12% Office None Lease-up after construction 7.5-11% Multi-family None Pre-sales for each phase 8-20% For-sale residential Depends on phase With phasing 20-30% Land Development
  • 35.
  • 36. What is Our Incremental Cost of Debt? Incremental Cost of Funds Assumptions Loan Amortization Term 30 30 30 Prepayment Year 10 10 10 Property Value $30,000 $30,000 $30,000 LTVR 70.00% 75.00% 80.00% Loan Fees 0.50% 0.75% 1.25% Incremental Closing Costs 0 100 250 UST 10 2.25% 2.25% 2.25% Spread 1.80% 2.20% 2.60% Mortgage Interest Rate 4.05% 4.45% 4.85% Loan and Borrower Cost Information Loan Amount 21,000 22,500 24,000 Points and Increment Costs 105 269 550 Funds Disbursed 20,895 22,231 23,450 Debt Service 101 113 127 Outstanding Loan Balance 16,573 17,991 19,433 Borrower Cost of Funds 4.12% 4.61% 5.17% Incremental Cost of Funds Incremental New Funds 1,336 1,219 Incremental Debt Service 12 13 Incremental Outstanding Loan Balance 1,419 1,442 Incremental Cost of Funds   11.53% 13.96%
  • 37.
  • 38.

Editor's Notes

  1. Financial Analysis 9:45 – 11:00 a.m. Learn step-by-step the process for developing the skills necessary to critically analyze a development project. The session will cover projecting and analyzing return on investment, the use of leverage, mortgage types and uses, and pro forma building and analysis. Site Selection and Due Diligence – 11:30-12:45 The importance of insuring a sufficient due diligence period, securing the appropriate team members, and performing a thorough effort cannot be overstated. These steps provide the developer with the final opportunity to rescind the transaction before closing on the purchase. Learn how to avoid post-closing conditions that could destroy the viability and profitability of a project. Structuring the Deal to be Profitable 1:30 – 2:45 The way a transaction is structured at the outset has a direct impact on the profitability of a project. The probability of achieving the project's financial goals can be enhanced by the way in which the deal is structured. This session will teach you the key elements involved in structuring the successful development project. Project Entitlement 3:00 – 4:15 Entitlement includes project permitting, growth management and land use regulations, as well as such concepts as sustainable development, smart growth, green development, and compact urban mixed-use development. The entitlements process may be the most rapidly changing part of the real estate development process today. Everyone in the development field, regardless of their experience, needs updating on a regular basis.
  2. December 1&2, 2008 San Francisco Crafting Successful Public Private Parnerships
  3. December 1&2, 2008 San Francisco Crafting Successful Public Private Parnerships
  4. December 1&2, 2008 San Francisco Crafting Successful Public Private Parnerships