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Climate Change and Health
Is the climate changing?
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080

     increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080

     increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
     milder wetter winters
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080

     increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
     milder wetter winters
     increased frequency of extreme weather
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080

     increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
     milder wetter winters
     increased frequency of extreme weather
     reduced cloud cover
Is the climate changing?

Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century

1990’s hottest decade in 100 years

Predictions for UK to 2080

     increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
     milder wetter winters
     increased frequency of extreme weather
     reduced cloud cover
     rising sea levels
Weather Disasters and Health
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
  Increased respiratory infection
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
  Increased respiratory infection
  increased intestinal infection
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
  Increased respiratory infection
  increased intestinal infection
  exposure to dangerous chemicals
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
  Increased respiratory infection
  increased intestinal infection
  exposure to dangerous chemicals
  contamination of water supplies
Weather Disasters and Health


  Direct injury and loss of life
  Reduced nutritional status
  Increased respiratory infection
  increased intestinal infection
  exposure to dangerous chemicals
  contamination of water supplies
  Population displacement
Vector Borne Disease and
     Climate Change
      Vector                 Disease
                    Malaria, Filiariasis, Dengue
    Mosquitoes     Fever, Yellow Fever, West Nile
                               Fever
     Sandflies            Leishmaniasis
    Triatomines          Chagas Disease

                    Lyme Disease, Tick- borne
       Ticks
                          encephalitis,

    Tsetse Flies      African Trypanosmiasis

     Blackflies           Onchocerciasis
Infectious Intestinal Disease
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
      Changes in availability of water resources
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
      Changes in availability of water resources
      Water contamination
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
      Changes in availability of water resources
      Water contamination
      Increase in heavy rainfall
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
      Changes in availability of water resources
      Water contamination
      Increase in heavy rainfall
           Salmonella: Europe
Infectious Intestinal Disease


  Changing climate may lead to:
      Changes in availability of water resources
      Water contamination
      Increase in heavy rainfall
           Salmonella: Europe
           Shigella: South Asia
Rainfall and Health
Rainfall and Health
                                                Potential health
     Event                Description
                                                    impact
                                              Increased or decreased
   Heavy Rain            Extreme Event
                                                mosquito population
                                                 Contamination of
                        River or stream
 Localised Flood                                surface water, Rats
                           overflows
                                               move closer to surface
                                               Faecal contamination
                       Property or crops
  Serious Flood                                 and Leptosporiasis
                           damaged
                                                  (Weil’s Disease)
                                                  Increased risk of
                      More than 10 killed          respiratory and
Catastrophic flood
                     People killed or injured   diarrhoeal disease,
                                                      Drowning
Rainfall and Health
                                                Potential health
     Event                Description
                                                    impact
                                              Increased or decreased
   Heavy Rain            Extreme Event
                                                mosquito population
                                                 Contamination of
                        River or stream
 Localised Flood                                surface water, Rats
                           overflows
                                               move closer to surface
                                               Faecal contamination
                       Property or crops
  Serious Flood                                 and Leptosporiasis
                           damaged
                                                  (Weil’s Disease)
                                                  Increased risk of
                      More than 10 killed          respiratory and
Catastrophic flood
                     People killed or injured   diarrhoeal disease,
                                                      Drowning
Rainfall and Health
                                                Potential health
     Event                Description
                                                    impact
                                              Increased or decreased
   Heavy Rain            Extreme Event
                                                mosquito population
                                                 Contamination of
                        River or stream
 Localised Flood                                surface water, Rats
                           overflows
                                               move closer to surface
                                               Faecal contamination
                       Property or crops
  Serious Flood                                 and Leptosporiasis
                           damaged
                                                  (Weil’s Disease)
                                                  Increased risk of
                      More than 10 killed          respiratory and
Catastrophic flood
                     People killed or injured   diarrhoeal disease,
                                                      Drowning
Rainfall and Health
                                                Potential health
     Event                Description
                                                    impact
                                              Increased or decreased
   Heavy Rain            Extreme Event
                                                mosquito population
                                                 Contamination of
                        River or stream
 Localised Flood                                surface water, Rats
                           overflows
                                               move closer to surface
                                               Faecal contamination
                       Property or crops
  Serious Flood                                 and Leptosporiasis
                           damaged
                                                  (Weil’s Disease)
                                                  Increased risk of
                      More than 10 killed          respiratory and
Catastrophic flood
                     People killed or injured   diarrhoeal disease,
                                                      Drowning
Rainfall and Health
                                                Potential health
     Event                Description
                                                    impact
                                              Increased or decreased
   Heavy Rain            Extreme Event
                                                mosquito population
                                                 Contamination of
                        River or stream
 Localised Flood                                surface water, Rats
                           overflows
                                               move closer to surface
                                               Faecal contamination
                       Property or crops
  Serious Flood                                 and Leptosporiasis
                           damaged
                                                  (Weil’s Disease)
                                                  Increased risk of
                      More than 10 killed          respiratory and
Catastrophic flood
                     People killed or injured   diarrhoeal disease,
                                                      Drowning
Europe
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
   Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
   Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
2003 (1-14th August)
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
   Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
2003 (1-14th August)
   Europe 20,000 excess deaths
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
   Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
2003 (1-14th August)
   Europe 20,000 excess deaths
   France - 15,000 excess deaths
Europe
Mortality rises as summer temperatures
increase
Heatwaves
   Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
2003 (1-14th August)
   Europe 20,000 excess deaths
   France - 15,000 excess deaths
238 flood events in Europe with an
increasing annual occurrence (1975-2001)
UK Health Impact Predictions
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
   Fall in annual cold weather deaths by
   20,000
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
   Fall in annual cold weather deaths by
   20,000
   Increased Flooding- mental health problems
   are most important effect in the UK
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
   Fall in annual cold weather deaths by
   20,000
   Increased Flooding- mental health problems
   are most important effect in the UK
   UV exposure
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
   Fall in annual cold weather deaths by
   20,000
   Increased Flooding- mental health problems
   are most important effect in the UK
   UV exposure
      5,000 extra skin cancer cases
UK Health Impact Predictions
   Annual heat related deaths will increase by
   2,800
   Fall in annual cold weather deaths by
   20,000
   Increased Flooding- mental health problems
   are most important effect in the UK
   UV exposure
      5,000 extra skin cancer cases
      2,000 extra cataracts
UK
UK


Re-emergence of Malaria
UK


Re-emergence of Malaria
10,000 extra cases of Salmonella
UK


Re-emergence of Malaria
10,000 extra cases of Salmonella
increase in personal injuries from storms
UK


Re-emergence of Malaria
10,000 extra cases of Salmonella
increase in personal injuries from storms
Reduction of up to 50% in winter air
pollution related illness

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Climate and Health

  • 2. Is the climate changing?
  • 3. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century
  • 4. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years
  • 5. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080
  • 6. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080 increase summer average 2-3.5 °C
  • 7. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080 increase summer average 2-3.5 °C milder wetter winters
  • 8. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080 increase summer average 2-3.5 °C milder wetter winters increased frequency of extreme weather
  • 9. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080 increase summer average 2-3.5 °C milder wetter winters increased frequency of extreme weather reduced cloud cover
  • 10. Is the climate changing? Global air temperature up by 0.6 °C in the 20th Century 1990’s hottest decade in 100 years Predictions for UK to 2080 increase summer average 2-3.5 °C milder wetter winters increased frequency of extreme weather reduced cloud cover rising sea levels
  • 12. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life
  • 13. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status
  • 14. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status Increased respiratory infection
  • 15. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status Increased respiratory infection increased intestinal infection
  • 16. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status Increased respiratory infection increased intestinal infection exposure to dangerous chemicals
  • 17. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status Increased respiratory infection increased intestinal infection exposure to dangerous chemicals contamination of water supplies
  • 18. Weather Disasters and Health Direct injury and loss of life Reduced nutritional status Increased respiratory infection increased intestinal infection exposure to dangerous chemicals contamination of water supplies Population displacement
  • 19. Vector Borne Disease and Climate Change Vector Disease Malaria, Filiariasis, Dengue Mosquitoes Fever, Yellow Fever, West Nile Fever Sandflies Leishmaniasis Triatomines Chagas Disease Lyme Disease, Tick- borne Ticks encephalitis, Tsetse Flies African Trypanosmiasis Blackflies Onchocerciasis
  • 21. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to:
  • 22. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to: Changes in availability of water resources
  • 23. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to: Changes in availability of water resources Water contamination
  • 24. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to: Changes in availability of water resources Water contamination Increase in heavy rainfall
  • 25. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to: Changes in availability of water resources Water contamination Increase in heavy rainfall Salmonella: Europe
  • 26. Infectious Intestinal Disease Changing climate may lead to: Changes in availability of water resources Water contamination Increase in heavy rainfall Salmonella: Europe Shigella: South Asia
  • 28. Rainfall and Health Potential health Event Description impact Increased or decreased Heavy Rain Extreme Event mosquito population Contamination of River or stream Localised Flood surface water, Rats overflows move closer to surface Faecal contamination Property or crops Serious Flood and Leptosporiasis damaged (Weil’s Disease) Increased risk of More than 10 killed respiratory and Catastrophic flood People killed or injured diarrhoeal disease, Drowning
  • 29. Rainfall and Health Potential health Event Description impact Increased or decreased Heavy Rain Extreme Event mosquito population Contamination of River or stream Localised Flood surface water, Rats overflows move closer to surface Faecal contamination Property or crops Serious Flood and Leptosporiasis damaged (Weil’s Disease) Increased risk of More than 10 killed respiratory and Catastrophic flood People killed or injured diarrhoeal disease, Drowning
  • 30. Rainfall and Health Potential health Event Description impact Increased or decreased Heavy Rain Extreme Event mosquito population Contamination of River or stream Localised Flood surface water, Rats overflows move closer to surface Faecal contamination Property or crops Serious Flood and Leptosporiasis damaged (Weil’s Disease) Increased risk of More than 10 killed respiratory and Catastrophic flood People killed or injured diarrhoeal disease, Drowning
  • 31. Rainfall and Health Potential health Event Description impact Increased or decreased Heavy Rain Extreme Event mosquito population Contamination of River or stream Localised Flood surface water, Rats overflows move closer to surface Faecal contamination Property or crops Serious Flood and Leptosporiasis damaged (Weil’s Disease) Increased risk of More than 10 killed respiratory and Catastrophic flood People killed or injured diarrhoeal disease, Drowning
  • 32. Rainfall and Health Potential health Event Description impact Increased or decreased Heavy Rain Extreme Event mosquito population Contamination of River or stream Localised Flood surface water, Rats overflows move closer to surface Faecal contamination Property or crops Serious Flood and Leptosporiasis damaged (Weil’s Disease) Increased risk of More than 10 killed respiratory and Catastrophic flood People killed or injured diarrhoeal disease, Drowning
  • 33.
  • 35. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase
  • 36. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves
  • 37. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths
  • 38. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths 2003 (1-14th August)
  • 39. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths 2003 (1-14th August) Europe 20,000 excess deaths
  • 40. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths 2003 (1-14th August) Europe 20,000 excess deaths France - 15,000 excess deaths
  • 41. Europe Mortality rises as summer temperatures increase Heatwaves Athens July 1987 2000 excess deaths 2003 (1-14th August) Europe 20,000 excess deaths France - 15,000 excess deaths 238 flood events in Europe with an increasing annual occurrence (1975-2001)
  • 42. UK Health Impact Predictions
  • 43. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800
  • 44. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800 Fall in annual cold weather deaths by 20,000
  • 45. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800 Fall in annual cold weather deaths by 20,000 Increased Flooding- mental health problems are most important effect in the UK
  • 46. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800 Fall in annual cold weather deaths by 20,000 Increased Flooding- mental health problems are most important effect in the UK UV exposure
  • 47. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800 Fall in annual cold weather deaths by 20,000 Increased Flooding- mental health problems are most important effect in the UK UV exposure 5,000 extra skin cancer cases
  • 48. UK Health Impact Predictions Annual heat related deaths will increase by 2,800 Fall in annual cold weather deaths by 20,000 Increased Flooding- mental health problems are most important effect in the UK UV exposure 5,000 extra skin cancer cases 2,000 extra cataracts
  • 49. UK
  • 51. UK Re-emergence of Malaria 10,000 extra cases of Salmonella
  • 52. UK Re-emergence of Malaria 10,000 extra cases of Salmonella increase in personal injuries from storms
  • 53. UK Re-emergence of Malaria 10,000 extra cases of Salmonella increase in personal injuries from storms Reduction of up to 50% in winter air pollution related illness