Lat Am Alternatives 3

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  • 1. Agribusiness MILA: MILA: A New Phase of Integra on in La n America Chile, Colombia and Peru are moving ahead with a project to join a common regional stock exchange (MILA), which they hope can compete with La n America’s biggest capital markets for foreign investors. A New Phase of Integration Strong growth in La n America is catching the eye of many business and investors. But when it comes to decision me, Brazil is o en the only financial market big and sophis cated enough to make a trade worthwhile. in Latin America However, three of La n America’s smaller, but most dynamic economies plan to combine forces to offer a viable alterna ve and open up their markets to local andC interna onal investors. and Peru are moving ahead with a project to join a common regional hile, Colombia stock exchange (MILA), which they hope can compete with Latin America’s biggest Chile, capital markets have foreign investors. Colombia and Peru for already begun the first phase of integra on in a process that will eventually lead to direct trading on a common bourse. The Integrated La n American Market, known under its Spanish acronym MILA, will unite 563 companies, and have a total market capitalisa on of US $647bn, according to Bloomberg data.Strong growth in Latin America second only toeye of many That would make it is catching the Brazil’s Bovespa inChile, Colombia and Peru have already begun the first phase of the region, relega ng Mexico into third place. time, volume isbusiness and investors. But when it comes to decision Trade integration in a process that will eventually lead to direct tradingBrazil is often the onlybe among the highest insophisticatedwith ini al common bourse. The Integrated Latin American Market, also set to financial market big and the region, on aenough to es mates poin ng to a daily sum of US $300mn. make a trade worthwhile. However, three of Latin known under its Spanish acronym MILA, will unite 563 com-America’s smaller, but most dynamic economies plan to panies, and have a total market capitalisation of US $647bn,combine forcesthree Andean states make and open up their The to offer a viable alternative natural companions: they according to Bloomberg data. That would make it second onlymarkets toshare and international investors. local a Pacific coastline, an economic model based on Brazil’s Bovespa in the region, relegating Mexico into third to openness to trade, and democra c values. But individually, each market is too small to a ract large sums of investment compared to the con nent’s economic and financial powerhouses. By pooling liquidity and deepening capital markets, each of the countries should be be er placed to compete for foreign investment with the region’s tradi onal powerhouses, with Mexico the most likely to lose market share, according to Victor Rodriguez. This scale advantage applies especially to the two smaller markets in the MILA group, Peru and Colombia, which hope to gain more weight in regional indices. As well as the obvious benefits of lower transac on costs and improved cross-border trade efficiencies, the combined market will allow investors to diversify their holdings. Where now most investors in Peru are concentrated in the booming mining sector, a por olio in MILA could be expanded to include Chilean retailers and Colombian construc on firms. Each individual market, especially Peru and Colombia, has tradi onally been too small or risky for most investors, par cularly foreign, to look beyond the 15
  • 2. Hedge Fundsplace. Trade volume is also set to be among the highest inthe region, with initial estimates pointing to a daily sum of US$300mn.The three Andean states make natural companions: they sharea Pacific coastline, an economic model based on openness totrade, and democratic values. But individually, each market istoo small to attract large sums of investment compared to thecontinent’s economic and financial powerhouses.By pooling liquidity and deepening capital markets, each of thecountries should be better placed to compete for foreign invest-ment with the region’s traditional powerhouses, with Mexico themost likely to lose market share, according to Victor Rodriguez.This scale advantage applies especially to the two smaller mar-kets in the MILA group, Peru and Colombia, which hope to gainmore weight in regional indices.As well as the obvious benefits of lower transaction costs andimproved cross-border trade efficiencies, the combined marketwill allow investors to diversify their holdings. Where now mostinvestors in Peru are concentrated in the booming mining sec-tor, a portfolio in MILA could be expanded to include Chilean “While there are a lot of opportunities on the long side, they are hedge funds, so they need to hedge the risk. If they don’t have an easy way to short the securities then there is no appetite to retailers and Colombian construction firms. Each individual market, especially Peru and Colombia, has traditionally been even go long.” too small or risky for most investors, particularly foreign, to look beyond the countries’ dominant industries. █ Attracting the Big Players The increased market depth and new trading opportunities should make each of the MILA countries more attractive to institutional investors, such as hedge funds. The injection of liquidity that funds could bring will benefit companies operating in all the nations involved, as they will be more likely to draw on the increased capital and issue shares. There is also hope for a fresh wave of IPO’s, particularly among medium-sized firms that have traditionally struggled to raise equity finance due to the limited number of buyers. However, according to Victor Hugo Rodriguez, CEO LatAm Alternatives, for hedge funds to be drawn to the integrated market, the project needs to be complimented with new regu- lation that makes it easier for investors to trade on the short side.“While there are a lot of opportunities on the long side, they are hedge funds, so they need to hedge the risk. If they don’t have an easy way to short the securities then there is no appetite to even go long.” 16
  • 3. Hedge FundsPrior to the launch of the first phase of integration in November, decision to delay the launch of the new bourse—originally sched-Chile was the only market out of the three that permitted short uled for end-January—until March at the earliest.selling. As liquidity grows, Carlos Rojas, Chief Investment Of-ficer at the These complications aside, the MILA project is part of a concerted effort among certain Latin American countries toCompas Group, expects a new derivatives market to develop consolidate their markets and make them more attractive forrapidly from 2012, with an ‘explosion’ of activity in the short global investors. In a move that is separate, but complementarymarket. Carlos expects the creation of many new hedge funds to MILA, Colombia and Peru have also announced a corporatein the next 12-24 months, drawn in by the region’s growth merger of their respective bourses, the first deal of its kind inpotential as well as the considerable arbitrage opportunities that Latin America. Carlos Rojas believes that by end-2011 thesewill exist, in the short term at least, between the three merged two markets will be fully integrated, and then expects Chile tomarkets. join the process. In addition, Panama’s stock exchange has expressed interest in█ The Practicalities of Integration combining with other bourses in Central America, and does not rule out petitioning to join MILA at some point. Argentina is alsoInternational investors such as hedge funds will also require reportedly considering integration options so as not to be leftevidence of a solid and harmonised market infrastructure. The behind in the region.alignment of tax and legal systems across three countries is acomplex project already underway. Peru’s involvement in the Closer financial ties will also support broader economic integrationregional integration was temporary stalled as legislators resisted in the region: in December, for example, Mexican officials joinedreducing capital gains tax to a flat 5%, so as to align regulation the three countries involved in MILA in talks over a new trade andwith the other two countries. This hold up was largely behind the development deal provisionally named the ‘Pacific Pact’. 17