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Future of Planned Communities - J Heid
 

Future of Planned Communities - J Heid

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    Future of Planned Communities - J Heid Future of Planned Communities - J Heid Presentation Transcript

    • theEVOLUTIONof the Planned Community1010 Slides 7   7 Minutes  DISTILLED626 Questions   2 Futures 27 October 2011 Jim Heid, Founder Urban Green ®
    • Do we still need#1 planned communities?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • Do we still need#1 planned communities? YES. “The U.S. is now on track to reach 400 Million residents by mid century – we actually add more people than China from now to 2050.” Robert E Lang Professor and Director, Brookings Mountain West University of Nevada, Las Vegas, The Lincy Institute
    • Planned Community as a Better Alternative Planned Ad Hoc Communities Subdivisions Multiple Housing Yes – 5 minimum; price, life One builder, changed Options stage and own/ rent options elevations Integrated hierarchy and Open Space A park lifestyles Third places & daily goods Community Hardware Limited services Stewardship Community Life and None environmental Sustainability Integrated , systems approach Checklist approach
    • Why does right, feel so ….wrong?#2  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • #2 Why does right, feel so … wrong? IT’S NOT JUST A FEELING A Decade of New Home Sales 2001-2010US Total1 8,580,000 %Top Ten Planned Communities2 130,386 1.5%Top Twenty Planned Communities3 187,687 2.2%All Planned Communities (estimated)4 800,636 9.3%1  Source: US Census Bureau2  Souce: RCLCo Top Selling Master Planned Communities Data, 2001-20103  Source: RCLCo Top Selling Master Planned Communities Data, 2001-2007, 2008-2010 extrapolated by UrbanGreen4  Source: UrbanGreen, extrapolated from RCLCo data by 2001-2010
    • #3 Infill or greenfield?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • New housing locationprojection ca 200470-65%Greenfield15-20%Suburbandensification10-15%Urban infill© UrbanGreen 2004
    • #3 Infill or greenfield? BOTH. Population growth1 by metropolitan location 2000-2010   =1,000,000 Urban Core Inner Ring Mature Emerging Exurb People (-.3 M) Suburb Suburb Suburb (+5.9 M) (+3.5 M) (+5.1 M) (+1.5 M)1 Source: Robert E Lang. Based on 416 counties in the 50 largest metro areas. These contain 53.7% of total U.S. population.
    • #4 Place or strategy?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • #4 Place or strategy? DEPENDS. •  Your context and what you do with it •  How you engage potential partners •  Sustainability gateways •  How you ‘craft’ community
    • #5 Can community be planned?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • #5 Can community be planned? IF WE ADAPT. ….then
    • #5 Can community be planned? IF WE ADAPT. ….then going forward…..
    • Riverside,RestonandRincon Hill
    • Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core
    • Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000
    • Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core
    • Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core STRUCTURE PRIVATE PRIVATE/Public Public/Private
    • Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core STRUCTURE Private Private/Public Public/Private SUSTAINABLE GATEWAY Stormwater Jobs Housing Transportation
    • #6 What Does it All Mean?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • Because GreenfieldPlanned Communitiesrepresent a superiorsocial & environmentalalternative to sprawl   Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • Because GreenfieldPlanned Communitiesrepresent a superiorsocial & environmentalalternative to sprawl they should grow as a percentage of greenfield  development, as total greenfield development diminishes  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • Because Retrofit + InfillPlanned Communitiesrepresent the bestmethod to regenerateurban areas quickly,and at scale   Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • Because Retrofit + InfillPlanned Communitiesrepresent the bestmethod to regenerateurban areas quickly,and at scale they provide a renewed purpose for our industry to make a  difference.  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
    • #6 What Does it All Mean? NEW OPPORTUNITY. New communities Outlook - Limited to Good Retrofit communities Outlook - Very Good Infill communities Outlook - GoodUrban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011