Future of Planned Communities - J Heid

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Future of Planned Communities - J Heid

  1. 1. theEVOLUTIONof the Planned Community1010 Slides 7   7 Minutes  DISTILLED626 Questions   2 Futures 27 October 2011 Jim Heid, Founder Urban Green ®
  2. 2. Do we still need#1 planned communities?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  3. 3. Do we still need#1 planned communities? YES. “The U.S. is now on track to reach 400 Million residents by mid century – we actually add more people than China from now to 2050.” Robert E Lang Professor and Director, Brookings Mountain West University of Nevada, Las Vegas, The Lincy Institute
  4. 4. Planned Community as a Better Alternative Planned Ad Hoc Communities Subdivisions Multiple Housing Yes – 5 minimum; price, life One builder, changed Options stage and own/ rent options elevations Integrated hierarchy and Open Space A park lifestyles Third places & daily goods Community Hardware Limited services Stewardship Community Life and None environmental Sustainability Integrated , systems approach Checklist approach
  5. 5. Why does right, feel so ….wrong?#2  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  6. 6. #2 Why does right, feel so … wrong? IT’S NOT JUST A FEELING A Decade of New Home Sales 2001-2010US Total1 8,580,000 %Top Ten Planned Communities2 130,386 1.5%Top Twenty Planned Communities3 187,687 2.2%All Planned Communities (estimated)4 800,636 9.3%1  Source: US Census Bureau2  Souce: RCLCo Top Selling Master Planned Communities Data, 2001-20103  Source: RCLCo Top Selling Master Planned Communities Data, 2001-2007, 2008-2010 extrapolated by UrbanGreen4  Source: UrbanGreen, extrapolated from RCLCo data by 2001-2010
  7. 7. #3 Infill or greenfield?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  8. 8. New housing locationprojection ca 200470-65%Greenfield15-20%Suburbandensification10-15%Urban infill© UrbanGreen 2004
  9. 9. #3 Infill or greenfield? BOTH. Population growth1 by metropolitan location 2000-2010   =1,000,000 Urban Core Inner Ring Mature Emerging Exurb People (-.3 M) Suburb Suburb Suburb (+5.9 M) (+3.5 M) (+5.1 M) (+1.5 M)1 Source: Robert E Lang. Based on 416 counties in the 50 largest metro areas. These contain 53.7% of total U.S. population.
  10. 10. #4 Place or strategy?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  11. 11. #4 Place or strategy? DEPENDS. •  Your context and what you do with it •  How you engage potential partners •  Sustainability gateways •  How you ‘craft’ community
  12. 12. #5 Can community be planned?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  13. 13. #5 Can community be planned? IF WE ADAPT. ….then
  14. 14. #5 Can community be planned? IF WE ADAPT. ….then going forward…..
  15. 15. Riverside,RestonandRincon Hill
  16. 16. Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core
  17. 17. Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000
  18. 18. Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core
  19. 19. Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core STRUCTURE PRIVATE PRIVATE/Public Public/Private
  20. 20. Redefining Planned Community…From Place to Portfolio New Retrofit Communities Communities Infill Communities RIVERSIDE RESTON TOWN CENTER RINCON HILL YEAR 1869 1988 2005+ CONTEXT Greenfield Suburb Urban Core SIZE (ACRES) 1600 460 51 POPULATION 9,000 7,500 10,000 Create Add Leverage CRAFTING COMMUNITY Village Center Urban Center Urban Core STRUCTURE Private Private/Public Public/Private SUSTAINABLE GATEWAY Stormwater Jobs Housing Transportation
  21. 21. #6 What Does it All Mean?Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  22. 22. Because GreenfieldPlanned Communitiesrepresent a superiorsocial & environmentalalternative to sprawl   Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  23. 23. Because GreenfieldPlanned Communitiesrepresent a superiorsocial & environmentalalternative to sprawl they should grow as a percentage of greenfield  development, as total greenfield development diminishes  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  24. 24. Because Retrofit + InfillPlanned Communitiesrepresent the bestmethod to regenerateurban areas quickly,and at scale   Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  25. 25. Because Retrofit + InfillPlanned Communitiesrepresent the bestmethod to regenerateurban areas quickly,and at scale they provide a renewed purpose for our industry to make a  difference.  Urban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
  26. 26. #6 What Does it All Mean? NEW OPPORTUNITY. New communities Outlook - Limited to Good Retrofit communities Outlook - Very Good Infill communities Outlook - GoodUrban Land Institute Fall Meeting | October 2011
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