Your SlideShare is downloading. ×
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in...5
×

Thanks for flagging this SlideShare!

Oops! An error has occurred.

×
Saving this for later? Get the SlideShare app to save on your phone or tablet. Read anywhere, anytime – even offline.
Text the download link to your phone
Standard text messaging rates apply

Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050

2,132

Published on

Published in: Self Improvement, Technology
0 Comments
1 Like
Statistics
Notes
  • Be the first to comment

No Downloads
Views
Total Views
2,132
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
0
Actions
Shares
0
Downloads
40
Comments
0
Likes
1
Embeds 0
No embeds

Report content
Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. 1
    Roadmap for moving to a low carbon economy in 2050
    JosDelbeke, Director General
    DG Climate Action
    European Commission
  • 2. 2
    Climate change a global long-term challenge
    Cancun achievements:
    Common goal: stay below 2°C
    Emission pledges
    by countries responsible for > 80% of global emissions,
    not sufficient for our 2°C goal!
    Low-carbon development strategies
    expected from developed countries,
    encouraged for developing countries
    European Council calls for a forward-looking vision:
    Science: cut global emissions by at least -50% by 2050 wrt to 1990
    EU objective:
    • reduce emissions by 80-95% by 2050 compared to 1990,
    • 3. in the context of necessary reductions by developed countries, appropriate action by developing countries
     Map the road from now to 2050!
  • 4. 3
    Building on EU Climate Action until 2020…
    3
  • 5. 4
    EU implements its 2020 pledge
    Cut GHG emissions by 20% wrt. 1990
    EU Emissions Trading System cuts emissions from industrial installations, aviation from 2012
    National emission targets cover buildings, services, agriculture, transport…
    Increase share of renewables in EU’s energy mix to 20%
    Improve energy efficiency by 20% (compared to business as usual projections)
     EU has taken significant steps towards -20% emissions by 2020 but still challenging
  • 6. 5
    Decoupling EU emissions from growth
    EU emissions -16.3% and EU GDP + 40% in 1990-2009
    • National targets increase renewable energy use (wind/solar + biomass heating)
    • 7. EU ETS: fosters clean energy production (100 Mt CO2 cut in 2009 from less coal)
    • 8. Policies for buildings, energy-using products: EU emissions down since 2004
    5
  • 9. 6
    Climate change at heart of Europe 2020 strategy
    EU economic strategy integrates 2020 climate goals, at highest level
    EU to improve its resource efficiency for “Smart, sustainable and inclusive growth”
    EU increasingly depends on imported fossil fuels in tensed global markets
    EU strong in manufacturing industries, other regions invest in green growth
    More frequent and severe floods, storms, heat waves, droughts would impact our agriculture, tourism, transport, health
    2005 : US$ 228 billion
  • 10. 7
    …looking into 2050 horizon
    7
  • 11. 8
    Long-term climate action: to avoid dangerous temperature increase
    Global emissions pathways in the next 40 years will determine likely warming by end of century
    Meeting the Cancun « below 2°C » objective requires cooperation
    • Global “2°C pathway”: peak by 2020 at the latest, at least -50% below 1990 by 2050
    • 12. Leadership by developed countries: -25-40% below 1990 by 2020, -80-95% by 2050
    • 13. Deviation from BAU for developing countries~ -15-30% from BAU by 2020
    8
  • 14. 9
    Long-term scenarios about global emissions
    Current trends and policies lead to only c. -40%GHG by 2050, not 2°C!
    One working scenario for global action consistent wih our common 2°C goal
    EU: -80 to 95% in 2050 wrt. 1990, at least 80% domestic
    • In the context of Leadership by Developed Countries -80% in 2050 wrt. to 1990
    • 15. And deviation from BAU by Developing Countries in 2050 eq. -5% wrt. to 1990 or - 80% wrt. to BAU
  • 10
    Pathways securing 2°C goals: Gradual, cost-effective emission reductions!
    Not about targets, but identifying cost-effective trajectory
    Gradual emission reductions
    -1.0% per year 2010-2020 vs 1990
    -1.5% per year 2020-2030 vs 1990
    -2.0% per year 2030-2050 vs 1990
    Eq. reduced per capita emissions
    Meeting 2°C: by improving GHG intensity/GDP in all regions!
    10
  • 16. 11
    How to reduce EU emissions in the context of long-term global action
    11
  • 17. 12
    A cost-effective pathway towards 2050
    Analysis at EU level reveals
    80% domestic reduction in 2050:
    • Is feasible with available
    technologies, do not depend on specific techno
    • Requires all sectors contribute, to
    a varying degree & pace
    Cost-effective pathway:
    • -25% in 2020, - 40% in 2030, -60% in 2040
  • 13
    400
    350
    21%
    13%
    300
    24%
    250
    Savings potential 2020
    200
    17%
    150
    Energy consumption 2020
    100
    50
    0
    Industry
    Transport
    Households
    Tertiary
    Energy efficiency - single most important contribution by 2050
    Current policies only result in 10% energy efficiency improvement
    Roadmap confirms key role of efficiency up to 2020 and beyond
    Extra measures in Energy efficiency plan.
    EU Emission Trading Scheme key instrument.
    13
  • 18. 14
    All sectors, sources to contribute consistently
    Across sectors:
    R&D and Deployment, e.g. Implement Strategic Energy Technology Plan
    Leverage private sector investments; provide clarity for long term investments
    Lift remaining barriers to energy efficiency
    Leave no sector aside, e.g. reap cost-effective potential for emission reduction in agriculture from now to 2030
  • 19. 15
    Investing in our low-carbon future, reaping opportunities
    15
  • 20. 16
    Investing in a low carbon future
    Moving along cost-effective pathway to 2050: significant increase in domestic investments
    EU additional investment: € 270 bn/yr 2010-2050, 1.5% GDP
    built environment (buildings and appliances): € 75 bn.
    transport (vehicles and infrastructure): € 150 bn.
    power (electricity generation, grid): € 30 bn.
    Note:
    Not an extra cost, but an investment in the EU economy
    Delaying action increases overall costs
    R&D and early demonstration/deployment essential
    Resulting fuel cost savings: € 175 to 320 bn./yr. (average on 2010-2050)
  • 21. 17
    Global climate action – energy security benefits at global level
    Benefits highest with global action, that results in overall lower fuel costs, across regions
    EU long-term action in the context of global action would make Europe’s economy more energy secure:
    Halves imports of oil and gas compared to today
    Saving 400 billion € of the oil and gas import bill by 2050, equivalent of >3% of today’s GDP
    Safeguards against macro-economic impacts of future energy price hikes
    17
  • 22. 18
    Coping with scarcer oil resources at global level
    EU analysis join WEO 2010 analysis about average annual OPEC oil export revenues until 2030 and beyond, and opportunities for investing in future sustainable growth
    In all regions: shift from fuel costs to investment expenditure
    • GDP more secure from energy shocks
  • 19
    EU action as part of Global action – largest benefits for households
    Air quality and health benefits: € 27 billion in 2030 and € 88 billion in 2050
    Reduced Transport costs per household
    Ensure no increase in average end-user electricity prices over time
    19
  • 23. 20
    Moving to a low-carbon economy -Benefits for growth and jobs
    Significant increase in domestic investments
    • Innovation in key growth sectors crucial for future competitiveness
    • 24. Sustain dynamic growth with GDP decoupled from emissions after 2020
    Source of new growth and jobs
    • More demand for jobs now (renovation of buildings)
    • 25. Potential net job creation up to 1.5 million by 2020
    • 26. Use auctioning and tax revenues for reduction of labour costs, spur investments and R&D, future jobs
    • 27. Long term job prospects depend on favourable economic framework conditions: R&D, entrepreneurship, investments
  • 21
    Next Steps
    To be followed by:
    Council Conclusions in June, discussions in European Parliament
    Sectoral policy developments (2050 energy roadmap, White Paper on transport…)
    National and regional low carbon strategies
    • to promote international cooperation, mutual learning on LEDS and integrated LEDS/MRV/mitigation actions
    A roadmap to a competitive low-carbon economy, identifying:
    cost-effective pathways, with milestones
    key technologies
    investments needs and benefits
    opportunities and trade-offs
    • To guide EU, national and regional policies
    • 28. To give direction to private sector and private households for long term investments
  • 22
    For further information:http://ec.europa.eu/clima/policies/brief/eu/index_en.htm
    22

×