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Inclusive Growth: Beyond Poverty and Social Exclusion?,[object Object],Max Spoor,[object Object],International Institute of Social Studies, Erasmus University,[object Object]
The Context,[object Object],Legacy of Soviet, Soviet-type and Yugoslav social systems (command economies, social systems, social distribution, participation),[object Object],Transition Strategies (gradualist, shock, transition indicators on privatization, liberalisation and state/private sector influence),[object Object],Political Transformations (semi- or consolidated democracy, semi- or consolidated authoritarian regimes, role civil society) ,[object Object],Initial Conditions (income levels, existing poverty levels, closeness to western markets, pre-transition integration with non-Comecon markets),[object Object]
       Geographic Position (1),[object Object],[object Object]
CEE (Central and Eastern Europe): The Baltic countries: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and the Central European ones, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania Slovakia, and Slovenia (EU).
CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States):
Russia Federation.
Western CIS: Belarus, Moldova and Ukraine
Caucasus: Azerbaijan, Armenia and Georgia.
Central Asia: Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan.Note: Georgia, Turkmenistan Ukraine are notmember of the CIS organization. However, here we have kept the name CIS as indicating the FSU (minus de Baltic States),[object Object]
Growth Models (2),[object Object],Pre-dominant Growth Models (Cornia 2009):,[object Object],Broad-based, industry and investment (FDI),[object Object],Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, Slovenia,[object Object],Foreign lending (+FDI) and real estate boom,[object Object],Estonia, Bulgaria, Georgia, Latvia, Lithuania and Moldova ,[object Object],Carbonhydrate Sector + Minerals exports,[object Object],Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Russia, Turkmenistan,[object Object],Official Development Aid (ODA) and Migrant Remittances,[object Object],Albania, Armenia, Bosnia & Herzegovina, Moldova, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan,[object Object],Mixed Growth Models:,[object Object],Belarus, Serbia, Slovakia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan,[object Object]
Drivers of Growth (3),[object Object],Extractive industry and mining,[object Object],Manufacturing industry and services,[object Object],Cash-crop agriculture,[object Object],Construction and real estate,[object Object],Migrant remittances,[object Object],Official Development Assistance,[object Object],Illegal Activities and shadow economy,[object Object]
Political Economy (4),[object Object],Political Economy Settings (Cerami and Stubbs 2010):,[object Object]

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Inclusive Growth Beyond Poverty and Social Exclusion