Foresight in Public Agencies : Three Case Studies

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Presentation made by Jake Dunagan (@dunagan23) at #UNDP4Future foresight methodology in development event in Istanbul on 16 June, 2014.

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  • Context
    Client (UAE- PMO’s Office) looking for a platform for a wide public discussion around citizen engagement and civic technologies (learn/research as well)
    Following Arab Spring: not fearing upheaval, but rather apathy and complacency
    Increased attention on new technologies for delivering innovative government services
    UAE/Dubai sought a leadership position in this space
  • Background research: trends, disruptions, wild cards
    Wrote and Created a video scenario
    Engaged our networks, UAE networks, and others to generate buzz


  • Foresight in Public Agencies : Three Case Studies

    1. 1. Foresight in Public Agencies Three Case Studies Jake Dunagan (@dunagan23) Director, Governance Futures Lab, IFTF Managing Director, verynice futures
    2. 2. SOCIETY IS A SOCIAL INVENTION, AND YOU ARE SOCIAL INVENTORS. — JIM DATOR
    3. 3. Trends Wild Cards Disruptions/ Emerging Issues Three Lenses on the Future
    4. 4. Connected Citizens Case 1
    5. 5. ContextContext • Technology (ICT) changing governmen • Public engagement platform • Arab Spring? • Leadership role for UAE
    6. 6. Process
    7. 7. CA Administrative Office of the Courts: Building a Judicial Network Case 2
    8. 8. Context • Technological disruption to court business • Failed Implementation of Case Management System • Massive budget cuts • Shrinking public trust and confidence in the courts
    9. 9. THE FUTURE DOESN’T COUNT, BECAUSE THE FUTURE DOESN’T VOTE Jim Dator:
    10. 10. Process • Environmental scanning/trends research • Workshops with experts • Interviews with major stakeholders
    11. 11. Outcomes • Report: Building a Judicial Network • Videos: Seven vignettes • Presentation to Court Technology Committee • NO REAL CHANGE
    12. 12. UCSF 2.0 Case 3
    13. 13. Context • Campus-wide and extended community discussion • Generating new ideas through an inclusive process • Setting a new vision for the university
    14. 14. Process: Foresight Engine
    15. 15. Questions?

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