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Evaluating the George W Bush Presidency 2009 Conference

Evaluating the George W Bush Presidency 2009 Conference


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  • 1. sahr_politics-media_regime_final.docx Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, with Application to the Clinton, Bush II, and Obama Presidencies Robert Sahr, Oregon State University Introduction My overall argument is that since the 1950s a political-media regime has emerged that works to the advantage of Republicans and Conservatives more generally than it does toward Democrats and liberals. I am not arguing that Republicans and conservatives always win through the media; if that were true, we would not have only one Republican and two Democrats among the last three presidents. Instead I am arguing that the current political- media regime more often helps Republicans and conservatives, whether they are in office or in opposition. I suggest that since the 1950s there have been several stages in the development of what I am labeling, awkwardly but descriptively, as the “conservative-leaning political-media regime.” By regime I simply mean the characteristics of the dominant media system, of the political system, and the patterns of interaction between the two. This presentation attempts four goals concerning presidents and media: • First, to examine the initiation, transition, and maturation of what I call the conservative-leaning political- media regime. I argue that this emerged and developed at least partly because of systematic Republican efforts to influence the media environment. • Second, to characterize features of the contemporary media-politics environment that in recent decades, and, I argue, especially starting in the 1990s, have enabled Republicans more often than Democrats to use media to their advantage. I propose that this occurred The result can be described as a conservative-leaning media-politics regime, despite—and to some degree because of—widespread accusations of “liberal media.” • Third, to suggest some judgments about how the political-media regime has affected media-president interactions and the relative successes and failures during the Clinton, Obama, and particularly George W. Bush presidencies. • And fourth, to consider the possible emergence of countervailing tendencies to the conservative-leaning media regime. I intend the argument that follows to be analytic rather than partisan. Some readers might be persuaded by the analysis and believe it describes developments that are positive. Others might be persuaded but believe what it describes is negative. Partisan Republicans, for example, might strongly challenge the conclusions because they appear to undercut what they seek to use for strategic advantage. Partisan Democrats might argue they have been more effective than described here. Others, of course, might believe that the description and analysis are not accurate, so are irrelevant in making judgments about American politics. The argument here is intended to be persuasive, but evaluation of the whether the developments described here are positive or negative is left to others. The initial part of this analysis argues the following core elements: 1. Republicans generally have been more successful than have Democrats in recent decades using media to their advantage. One important contributor to this success is the constant charge of “liberal bias.” 2. This success is due partly to the fact that the current media-politics regime favors Republicans, and it does so largely because Republican leaders and supporters have implemented a systematic campaign to influence the American political-media context. 3. Republican efforts have been based on recognition and utilization of some core components of journalist methods of operation, among them journalist reliance on sources and the core professional value of objectivity, which increasingly has come to be defined as “fairness” or “balance.” 4. Republican media actions have been part of a larger effort to influence ideas, institutions, and policies rather than an isolated endeavor. The Tipsy Triangle In relation to presidents and media, I suggest what might be called a “tipsy triangle,” which involves the relationship among presidents, their opponents, and the press (defined to include electronic and other news media).
  • 2. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 2 The relationship of presidents and journalists can be visualized as a triangle, which is “tipsy” for two reasons: first, almost always one of the two sides—presidents and journalists or opponents and journalists—“tip” against the other, strengthening either presidents or opponents and hurting the other; second, the triangle at least potentially is unstable and so subject to change. 1 The “tipsy triangle” occurs largely because of journalistic methods, particularly reliance on sources. Journalists very rarely act entirely independently of sources and certainly seldom act in opposition to widely shared views of political reality, the “conventional wisdom” (CW). 2 Even in instances of investigative reporting, widely shared assumptions guide journalistic actions. Journalists are strongly influenced by sources directly and by the “conventional wisdom,” which sources also influence and reflect. That is, sources, rather than journalists independently, largely set the range of debate and so determine journalistic coverage. Central to analyzing journalist presentations of politics is recognition that “news is not reality, but a sampling of sources’ portrayals of reality, mediated by news organizations.” 3 In developing “news,” journalists “seek to appear ‘transparent,’” Bartholomew Sparrow reminds us in his Uncertain Guardians. That is, journalists want us to believe that they are simply the glass that transmits, or the mirror that reflects, reality and that they play no active role in determining what is transmitted. They prefer that we believe that “news making is a frictionless process and avoid acknowledging that political information is actually mediated by organizational employees and intricate bureaucratic practices.” 4 A central part of this process is that journalists do not highlight efforts to influence their coverage by using sources, through “photo-ops,” leaks, and other means. Journalistic practices instead emphasize the autonomy of reporters, and implying that “news” is simply “there” for them to find. Skillful sources can utilize this practice to their own advantage. To understand media treatment of the Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama presidencies, then, we must examine all three elements: the president, the opposition, and the press. However, because the presidential opposition is sometimes Democrats and sometimes Republicans, it is important to examine each of those separately in their opposition roles. My overall approach to the presidency might be called a “solar system model,” in which the presidency is seen as individual, institution, and set of relationships. In studying presidents and changes over time, it is insufficient to focus primarily on the characteristics of individual presidential and even on the institutional changes of the presidency. Instead, it is essential to examine changes in the institutions with which presidents interact. A core institution is the press—a term I use broadly to apply to print, electronic, and possibly other media. A quick illustration of the effect on presidents of changes in how journalists operate in covering presidents and politics, in a shift I describe as from an objective political-media regime to a conservative-leaning political-media regime is a sharply reduced journalistic sense of “reverence” toward the office of president and especially toward its office holders. Almost certainly the different coverage of Presidents Kennedy and Clinton reflects not only different views of the two presidents but also a larger change, one illustrated by Marvin Kalb’s anecdote in his analysis of the Clinton-Lewinsky press actions, One Scandalous Story. As Kalb approached a room in New York City’s Carlyle Hotel in September 1963 to interview President Kennedy, Secret Service agents pushed him toward the floor. As he looked up, he saw and heard a woman enter the elevator. Although it was obvious to Kalb what had happened, he did not act on what he knew. He states: 5 1 This emphasis on the triangular relationship among journalists, presidents, and the opposition is part of a larger framework, which might be labeled a “solar system model” of the presidency. In this model, the presidency is seen as individual, institution, and set of relationships. The relationships include a very large set of participants, from Congress to the judicial system to—the focus here—the media. Just as changes occur in the relationship among the various bodies as the sun moves through space, so the presidency moves through time, with changes in relationships among participants. This perspective draws on but differs in important ways from the role theory framework of Byron Daynes, Raymond Tatalovich, and Dennis Soden, To Govern a Nation (New York: St. Martin’s, 1998). 2 See Robert Parry, Fooling America (New York: William Morrow, 1992), esp. “Introduction.” 3 Leon V. Sigal, “Who: Sources Make the News,” in Robert Karl Manoff and Michael Schudson, eds., Reading the News (New York: Pantheon, 1987), pp. 27-28. 4 Bartholomew Sparrow, Uncertain Guardians: The News Media as a Political Institution (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1999), pp. 126-129 5 Kalb, One Scandalous Story, “Introduction,” esp. pp. 5-6. Concerning John Kennedy’s sexual practices, a detailed careful analysis is James Giglio, The Presidency of John F. Kennedy (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1991), esp. ch. 10, “Image and Reality.”
  • 3. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 3 As I write about this incident more than thirty-seven years later, I am amazed not by my decision to do nothing but by the fact, quite undeniable, that never for one moment did I even consider pursuing and reporting what I had seen and experienced that evening. . . . It was my judgment at the time that such an incident was simply not “news.” Can anyone imagine such a scenario in recent years? Changes, then, have fundamentally altered the American political-media context. What are the elements of the previous media-politics context that remain, even if in modified form, by these economic, cultural, and political changes? Core in what remains is the centrality of journalist reliance on sources, and the concept of “indexing.” To begin we examine a core element of journalist methods of operation: reliance on sources and some effects of that reliance. Indexing and the Use of Sources The “indexing” framework proposed by W. Lance Bennett 6 suggests that the range of views reflected in media debate largely mirrors the range of views presented by dominant elites, for example, in Washington. Journalists very seldom act independently of sources, especially those who are authoritative because of holding or running for government office. Even regarding Vietnam, where journalists have been portrayed as playing a critical, independent role, they did not emphasize critical coverage of government policies until important elites in Washington began questioning; that is, the journalists did not act independently of changes among official elites. 7 The indexing perspective emphasizes the centrality of sources, upon which journalists draw as the core element of their standard methods of operation. A question to be addressed is whether the relative centrality of sources that traditionally indexed journalistic choices—at the national level, presidents and leaders of the opposition party—has decreased as the need for more sources to supply more “news” has increased. The perspective here argues that Republicans have been much more effective than Democrats in broadening or narrowing to their own advantage the range of debate reflected in media. Also, despite the increased range of sources journalists use, to a large degree non-traditional sources appear to be “credentialed” by their supporting the position of one of the two sides, the president or leaders of the dominant opposition, and in this also Republicans appear to have been particularly successful. 8 To begin the analysis of the current context requires that we start in the 1950. Analyzing Political-Media Regimes My analysis draws on the work of analysts who have suggested that American media have developed in a number or stages or eras. 9 These eras are characterized both by particular combinations of media characteristics and by particular relationships between news media and political figures. Modifying the terminology of David Swanson in discussing the “political-media complex,” 10 I use the term “political-media regime.” I suggest that two political-media regimes have characterized the period from the 1950s to the present in the United States, with a transitional period. A much more negative and critical interpretation is Seymour Hersh, The Dark Side of Camelot (Boston: Little, Brown, 1997). 6 W. Lance Bennett, “Toward a Theory of Press-State Relations in the United States,” Journal of Communication 40 (Spring 1990), pp. 103-127. See also his News: The Politics of Illusion, 5th edition (New York: Longman, 2003). A detailed elaboration and application of this perspective is Jonathan Mermin, Debating War and Peace: Media Coverage of U.S. Intervention in the Post- Vietnam Era (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1999). 7 In addition to Bennett, “Toward a Theory of Press-State Relations in the United States,” and Mermin, Debating War and Peace, see Daniel Hallin, The “Uncensored War:” The Media and Vietnam (New York: Oxford University Press, 1986), and We Keep America on Top of the World: Television Journalism and the Public Sphere (New York: Routledge, 1993). 8 See Robert Sahr, “U.S. Network News’ Framing of the 1990 Nicaraguan Election,” in David L. Paletz, ed., Political Communication Research: Approaches, Studies, and Assessments, Volume II (Norwood, N.J.: Ablex, 1996). 9 The following have especially influenced this analysis: Jay G. Blumler and Dennis Kavanaugh, “The Third Age of Political Communication: Influences and Features,” Political Communication, 16:209-230, 1999; Darrell M. West, Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment (Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2001); 10 David L. Swanson, “The Political-Media Complex,” Communication Monographs, 59: 397-400 (1992), and “The Political-Media Complex at 50: Putting the 1996 Presidential Campaign in Context,” American Behavioral Scientist 40: 1264-1282 (1007).
  • 4. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 4 In the analysis below I modify the perspective of Darrell West 11 , who suggests that US media developments since 1789 have involved a series of stages, from the partisan media of the early decades, to the commercial media, to the objective media—which emerged in the Twentieth Century and reached its peak in the 1960s and early 1970s, and then what he calls “the interpretive media,” which he suggests emerged during the 1970s and 1980s. I argue that the “objective” media political-media regime of the 1950s gradually has replaced by what I awkwardly but descriptively label the “conservative-leaning political-media regime,” a transition that began in the 1960s, that continued in the 1970s and 1980s, reached its “maturity” in the 1990s, and continues in modified form today. As noted earlier, I use the term “political-media regime” to refer to dominant characteristics of media institutions and to forms and patterns of interaction between journalists and political leaders. This analysis will do the following: briefly characterize the objective media political-media regime of the 1950s, discuss the origin and maturation of changes, characterize the current political-media regime, and then discuss some effects of that regime. Finally I briefly discuss the emergence of some possible countervailing forces. (Appendix B examines some cultural developments that central to the changes discussed here.) The “Objective Media Political-media Regime,” the 1950s and 1960s Several core features characterize this era: • The dominant news sources were newspapers initially and then television, as Figures A and B show. Television expanded rapidly during the late 1950s, so that by 1960s television was the dominant media in the United States. Television news expanded in the early 1960s so that by the mid-1960s was the most often used source, and also the most highly evaluated among the public. Figures A and B show these trends. • Journalists saw themselves as professionals, whose core operating goal was to be “objective” in reporting news, and who generally treated political leaders with respect • Party leaders and members of the public were not sharply divided and those from opposing parties generally treated each other as “opponents” rather than as enemies. Neither leaders nor members of the public were sharply polarized. • Politicians generally a positive and symbiotic relationship with journalists In the words of Jeffrey Cohen: the news media were highly concentrated and produced a comparatively high volume of news about the president. News about the president tended to be favorable during this era, and the relationship between presidents and journalists was generally civil and respectful. The mass public, while not notably interested in politics, tuned in to television news broadcasts in relatively large numbers and held the news media in relatively high regard. . . . All of these changed, in many instances sharply reversed, by the end of the Century. The Initiation and Transition toward a Conservative-Leaning Political-Media Regime The contrast between the political-media regime of the 1960s and that of the early 2000s is stark. The transition from the objective-media regime emerged and developed from both the media side and the political side. From the media side the changes reflected broader shifts in intellectual perspectives, for example, “post-modern” approaches, which challenged the existence of a knowable objective reality. As West points out: 12 Slowly, these intellectual ideas began to have a discernible impact on how journalists practiced their craft. It was not sufficient merely to discover so-called objective facts. Rather, events must be placed in context and understood within the framework of broader structures. News developments needed to be probed and interpreted so that readers and viewers could understand what really was taking place. Superficial observations were no longer sufficient; coverage became more interpretive and more contextually based. . . . As a result, journalists began to see themselves as interpreters rather than simple reporters of political developments. “One way in which journalists became more interpretive was through news analysis pieces placing stories in broader 11 Darrell M. West, Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment (Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2001). 12 West, Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment, p. 71.
  • 5. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 5 context or ‘instant analysis’ following major speeches. . . . Rather than reporting the facts of particular events, reporters now explained what lay behind the surface that was relevant to the news story. . . . The justification for this change was that reporters had unique insights into political coverage.” 13 This change fundamentally modified what people expected journalists to do. At the very least the change meant that reporting was less anchored to any objective reality of “who, what, where, and when” and therefore more subjective. The change also meant that journalists were more subject to the charge of “bias” because their reporting involved so much choice. As this point implies, it is important to recognize that this change among journalists provided an opening for conservatives in relation to political-media orientations, which conservatives systematically exploited. Changing intellectual currents also influenced political thinkers. In the words of F.A. Hayek, 14 an important conservative intellectual, “What is relevant in the study of society is not whether these laws of nature are true in any objective sense, but solely whether they are believed and acted upon by the people.” Politically, political-media regime changes were stimulated from within politics as well. The Republican party during the Eisenhower era was relatively “moderate,” but the conservative wing was restive, with many bothered that the President did not seek to overturn the New Deal changes. The divisions emerged especially obviously during the 1960s, most obviously with the moderate-conservative split over the selection of Barry Goldwater as the Republican 1964 candidate and his very large loss. The large loss by Goldwater suggested to conservatives that they needed to develop the ability to counter what they saw as the “liberal establishment” Although such earlier efforts as William Buckley’s formation of National Review in the 1950s and actions by various conservative religious and other groups had helped conservatives, the late 1960s and the early 1970s saw the emergence more concerted efforts, ones which I argue sharply shifted the political-media regime toward one that now is much more favorable to Republicans and conservatives. In pushing these changes, Republicans had some inherent but previously under-developed advantages: • American political culture, especially distrust of government and trust of business • Corporate and other business connections with Republicans and so at least the potential for larger financial and others resources than those available to Democrats • The corporate structure of American media was directed by publishers and others who more likely shared the values and interests of Republicans than Democrats, though the then-current journalistic norms limited • An emerging electronic media that appears especially conducive to simplification either/or thinking Numerous factors explain the increasing advantage to Republicans of the politician-press relationship but a central point is that Republicans recognized the importance of the effort and their weaknesses, and began organized efforts to offset those weaknesses. The efforts emerged during the 1960s and 1970s and, I argue, reached their maturity during the 1990s. Some of the changes emerged in the political arena, but others emerged outside that arena but had very large effects on politics. Early efforts by conservatives began during the 1950s, when William F. Buckley founded the National Review. Richard Scaife after the 1964 Republican losses formed an openly-conservative, though relatively small-scale, media empire, and similar efforts illustrate. And during his one-and-a-half terms in office, President Richard Nixon and Vice-president Spiro Agnew engaged in efforts to offset what they saw as a generally hostile news media. The Nixon administration also began to push the charge of “liberal bias,” publicizing Edith Efron’s The News Twisters, 15 which used “scientific” analyses to argue for liberal bias. The Nixon administration not only emphasized the books but purchased many copies so that it would become a “best seller” and so gain additional sales and larger influence. More fully organized efforts to develop a long-term media and related strategy appear to have emerged somewhat later and to have developed as much outside the formal political arena as in it. A very important stimulus occurred in 1971. Two months before President Nixon selected him to replace Hugo 13 West, Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment, p. 71. 14 F.A. Hayek, The Counter-Revolution of Science: Studies on the Abuse of Reason (Free Press, 1952), p. 30, , quoted in West, Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment, p. 70 15 Nash Publishing, 1971.
  • 6. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 6 Black on the U.S. Supreme Court, Virginia jurist Lewis Powell on August 23, 1971 wrote a memo to the Chair of the Education Committee on the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. The memo, entitled “Confidential Memorandum: Attack of American Free Enterprise System,” which later became known as the “Powell Manifesto,” 16 was widely circulated among conservatives and business groups but did not become generally known until years after his confirmation hearings for the Supreme Court. Powell’s memorandum emphasized that American business and the free enterprise system were facing fundamental challenges and that business should respond forcefully in four areas: academia, the public (mainly through the media), the political arena, and the courts. Later in the 1970s, former Nixon Secretary of the Treasury William Simon published his book A Time for Truth (McGraw-Hill, 1978). 17 In it he called for significantly enhanced efforts—and large financial resources—on the part of business and conservatives generally to overcome the strengths of the other side. “There is only one way to generate a broad public awareness of the issues I have listed and to launch a broad challenge of the assumptions and goals presently underlying our political life. . . . What we desperately need is America today is a powerful counterintelligensia that will issue such challenges.” Neo-conservatives were a second important group, just then emerging within American conservatism. “And the third broad movement in opposition to prevailing trends is to be found in the world of business itself, where the most intelligent and courageous leaders have faced the fact that they must fight for free enterprise before it is too late.” He called for “nothing less than a massive and unprecedented mobilization of the moral, intellectual and financial resources which reside in those who still have faith in the human individual, who believe in his right to maximum responsible. . . . The mobilization would involve three elements [pp 230-233]: “1. Funds generated by business. . . must rush by multimillions to the aid of liberty, in the many places where it is beleaguered. 2. Businesses must cease the mindless subsidizing of college and universities whose departments of economics, government, politics and history are hostile to capitalism and whose faculties will not hire scholars whose views are otherwise. “3. Finally, business money must flow away from the media which serve as megaphones for anticapitalist opinion and to media which are either pro-freedom or, if not necessarily “pro-business,” at least professionally capable of a fair and accurate treatment of procapitalist ideas, values, and arguments. The judgment of this fairness is to be made by businessmen alone—it is their money that they are investing.” In response to these and other efforts, business and conservatives groups responded by funding a number of institutions that have had, and continue to have, large impact on American politics and policy. Those developments began a systematic conservative effort in the 1960s and 1970s that has continued to the present. Richard Viguerie, an early leader in conservative efforts to use direct mail to raise money for various conservative activities, suggests that the decades from the 1970s to the present involved systematic efforts to achieve conservative power and influence in direct mail (which helped fund all other elements of conservative efforts), in talk radio, in cable news television, and finally in the internet. 18 As these points suggest, media were not the only focus of conservative efforts, but they were central to the overall conservative strategy. Conservatives emphasized several core goals in their long-term strategies to achieve parity, and preference dominance, with what they saw as the liberal establishment. Media changes did not occur in isolation but as part of a larger campaign that worked to influence both ideas and institutions Building intellectual resources to gain credibility among journalists, other elites, and the public and to influence public policy in a more conservative direction. Unlike moderate predecessors such as the Brookings Institution, conservatives established ideologically based “think tanks” which from the beginning were (1) to serve explicitly conservative goals, and (2) disseminate their messages widely among journalists and the public. They operate seeking what Greg Easterbrook has called “directed conclusions.”19 The intent was to provide resources to 16 The “Powell Manifesto” is available online at various locations, for example, http://www.progressiveu.org/powell_memo. 17 A Time for Truth (Reader’s Digest Books/McGraw-Hill, 1978). The quotes are from pages 223, 227, and 230-233. A very useful overview of some of the core changes can be found in John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, The Right Nation: Conservative Power in America (2004), esp. ch 6, “The Rive Droite.” 18 Richard A. Viguerie and Davie Franke, America’s Right Turn: How Conservatives Used New and Alternative Media to Take Power (Chicago: Bonus Books, 2004), “Conclusion,” esp. pp. 329-333. 19 “Ideas Move Nations: How Conservative Think Tanks Have Helped To Transform the Terms of Political Debate,” The Atlantic, January 1986.
  • 7. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 7 further conservative goals rather than simply to add to the store of knowledge. Although this goal is not primarily about media, it closely connects because of the importance of media for transmitting the conservative message. • Challenging the “liberal media” to put pressure on journalists. In addition, establishing the view that journalists are “liberal” provides conservatives and others a tool to reject information with which they disagree. I argue that the charge of liberal media is a central element of the emergence and continuing influence of the current political-media regime. • Establishing a “truly conservative media,” for which the “liberal media” charge provides justification, to provide balance for an otherwise overwhelmingly liberal media. Despite arguing that, for example, Fox News is “fair and balanced,” the argument was that the fact it seemed conservative demonstrates the liberalness of mainstream media. • Using all these to establish among journalists, government officials, other elites, and the public, a “conventional wisdom” (CW), that is, a base of nearly universally-believed information which strengthens conservatives and weakens opponents. They did so in relation both to small and large elements of the CW. The Maturing of a Conservative-Leaning Political-Media Regime David Brock, a participant in the conservative media movement during the 1980s and early 1990s who broke with it in mid-1990s and became a vocal critic, suggests that specifically in relation to media, conservative goals and emphases included the following four main components: 20 • “jawboning,” that is, complaining about “liberal bias” at any and all possible occasions, to put pressure on journalists to treat conservatives “fairly” and also to cover non-conservatives more critically • encouraging news media to seek “balance” rather than their previously-emphasized “objectivity,” with the intent of pushing news organizations to present conservative views to achieve that balance; as part of this effort, they encouraged news organizations to institutionalize the office of “ombudsman,” which would serve as convenient focal points for conservatives to direct charges of lack of balance • external monitoring of the mainstream news organization to provide evidence of liberal media and to place continuing pressure on the “liberal media” • finally, to seek outright takeover, either through placing conservatives in important positions within the mainstream media, or through establishment of “really conservative media,” 21 or both. In seeking all these, the financial support conservative foundation funding has been central, with the direct intent to build a national movement. Although those foundations had much less money than such “liberal” foundations as Ford, the money was directly more narrowly and with explicit intent to build a conservative movement. Part of the effort also involved the explicit development of language and other cultural resources, to affect not only how people—journalists and others—defined public policy and politics but also the language they used about it. 22 In developing the new regime, conservatives not only took advantage of changes within the media universe but helped steer those to their advantage. That is, a conservative-leaning political-media regime did not simply emerge by accident but instead by systematic directed effort. A core element of Republican strategy was using media methods of operation in ways that benefited them. Among the most important were: • Reliance on sources and, as noted, increasing focus on balance instead of objectivity, balance as represented by “both sides,” which conservatives could use to gain hearing for conservative views • The importance of “conventional wisdom” in guiding journalist choices about what to cover, how to present it, 20 David Brock, The Republican Noise Machine: Right-Wing Media and How It Corrupts Democracy (Crown Publishers, 2004), chapter 3, esp. pp. 92ff. Brock was one of the founders of Media Matters for America, an online critic of conservative media [add address]. Earlier he had written Blinded by the Right: The Conscience of an Ex-Conservative (Crown, 2002), which described his activities within the conservative media and the reasons for his break with his former colleagues. 21 This term is the title of chapter 13 in Eric Alterman, What Liberal Media? (Basic Books, 2003), where he puts “really” in parentheses. 22 See, for example, Geoffrey Nunberg, Talking Right (Public Affairs, 2006), and especially Mark A. Smith, The Right Talk: How Conservatives Transformed the Great Society Into the Economic Society (Princeton, 2007). For the focus on language applied to current politics, see Frank Luntz, Words That Work: It's Not What You Say, It's What People Hear (Hyperion, 2007).
  • 8. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 8 and other core elements • Explaining political actions by focus on individual level explanation, especially in relation to the attribution of motives, which the “interpretive” perspective made more common, thereby reducing elements of context that would deflect attention from individual-level explanations. For example, reporting of scandal allegations about Bill Clinton almost always blamed his actions and ignored the ability of opponents to claim scandal, and essentially manufacture scandal, so that scandal allegations were treated as actual scandals. Harris’s point about a well-organized coterie of opponents emphasizes this point, and Sparrow’s point about media “transparency” emphasizes its importance in affecting journalistic presentation. The changed journalistic norm toward “interpretation” had several very large longer-term effects: • Because media reports became more subjective, it enhanced the ability to charge liberal bias; this continuing goal was institutionalized by the establishment of a number of well-financed conservative “media watchdog” organizations • Republicans reinforced the push to replace “objectivity” with balance or fairness, both of which would lead to the need to use more conservative views, and both words—not coincidentally—appear in the language Fox News uses about itself • Over time the interpretation orientation appears to have reduced the level of public evaluation of journalists, who came to be seen as more subjective and therefore more subject to bias • The increased interpretation itself emphasis opened the way for including more conservative views The emergence of cable television news, which began with CNN in 1980, had very large effects, which reinforced the conservative emphases: • Because cable news had so much airtime to fill, political discussion and similar subjective programming opened very large room for conservatives, who pushed for inclusion on the basic of “fairness.” CNN, which conservatives sometimes labeled the “Clinton news network” to emphasize bias, from the beginning used many on-air conservatives, a practice adopted later by others • The expansion of on-air political discussion programs increased the “need” for conservatives to offset “liberals,” though televised efforts generally pitted strongly conservative spokespeople against moderates or relatively moderate liberals, who represented a truncated other side to the conservative views • Cable news stimulated the rise of a class of “pundits” starting in the 1980s, which not only allowed but encouraged the expansion of a class of conservatives who presented conservative views on air, often against relatively weak—and seldom strongly liberal—opposition. The emergence of cable television and the proliferation of channels, for entertainment as well as news, produced a sharp reduction of the proportion of television viewers, as Figure C shows. Increasing public dissatisfaction with journalism, concern about bias, and other critical judgments probably contributed to this decline. A second major source of conservative strength occurred through the expansion of talk radio in the late 1980s and 1990s. Talk radio can be overwhelmingly conservative because the Fairness Doctrine ended in 1987. During the recent period changes in broadcast regulation also enabled sharply increased concentration by such groups as conservative-leaning Clear Channel, which, because there was no Fairness Doctrine, were able to broadcast essentially wall-to-wall conservative messages. Talk radio serves as a powerful initiator, echo chamber, and enforcer of conservative views. 23 Later changes in the media environment appear less one-sidedly conservative in their effects. For example, although conservatives and libertarians were especially prominent in the early years of the expansion of the World Wide Web, non-conservative presence has increased sharply. A major effect of the expansion of the internet as a source of political news and views is that it enables those seeking political news to locate views that support their own, thereby reinforcing pre-existing views. Conservative emphasis on the bias of the liberal media and the need to “balance” such views probably stimulates this effort somewhat more consistently for conservatives than for others. 23 See Kathleen Hall Jamieson and Joseph N. Cappella, Echo Chamber: Rush Limbaugh and the Conservative Media Establishment (Oxford, 2008), and also David C. Barker, Rushed to Judgment: Talk Radio, Persuasion,” and American Political Behavior (Columbia, 2002).
  • 9. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 9 The main features of what I call the contemporary “Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime” can be characterized by re-wording Cohen’s earlier statement about the 1950s to reflect today’s media system: the news media are highly diverse and generally produce a relatively middle but sharply varying volume of news about the president. News about the president tends to vary rather than be uniformly favorable and journalists can not be assumed to be generally civil and respectful in dealing with the president. The mass public, while still not notably interested in politics, has many more choices among news sources and so can select news that supports its point of view, especially in relation to the “really conservative media.” I conclude this historical narrative by reminding that my argument does not suggest or even imply that conservatives always are able to win by using media to their advantage. Instead, I argue that the existing political-media regime generally benefits conservatives more than it does liberals and that it does so partly because Republicans and other conservatives have worked so assiduously to produce a conservative-leaning regime. A Brief Excursion about Media Bias A core argument of this analysis is that the charge of liberal bias has been tremendously central to the emergence and power of a conservative-leaning political-media regime. Although it is not the intent of this analysis to examine in detail the topic of media bias, some points about that topic are important for understanding the argument about the importance of the “claim” of media bias: • The concept is very difficult even to define precisely because it is not clear what “unbiased” means. For example, if a president’s speech includes points that a journalist knows to be questionable or even false, does unbiased simply mean reporting accurately what they president said or also putting the statement in context, by quoting others or in other ways pointing to the questionable nature of the statement. • Most analysts distinguish two kinds of media bias, those, generally labeled content or political bias, that result from intent to hurt or—as is often overlooked—to help a candidate, party, or other person or group, and structural biases, those that result from media methods of operation (for example, journalists generally provide more positive coverage to candidates who are ahead in the polls, at least to the degree they [add]) and, I would suggest, also from journalist reflection of elements of conventional wisdom/stereotypes in ways that help or hurt • Almost always when people claim “media bias” they are referring to negative bias that involves intent on the part of journalists or others • Almost always conservatives prove “liberal bias” by pointing to data that show more working journalists identify as Democrats than Republicans and as liberal or (more often) moderate than conservative. • Almost never do those who claim liberal bias point to the fact that the publishers and editors who employ those journalists (and who influence not only their reporting but also their advancement within the news organization) are much more likely to be conservative and Republican • The combination of points in the previous item imply that journalists have essentially complete autonomy in their reporting, so that their reports can and do reflect their personal political views, which are not filtered out or affected by organizational routines, input from superiors, and so on. Robert McChesney 24 suggests that the conservative critique of liberal media “is based on four propositions: 1) the decisive power over the news lies with journalists—owners and advertisers are irrelevant or relatively powerless; 2) journalists are political liberals; 3) journalists abuse their power to advance liberal politics—thus breaking the professional code; and 4) objective journalists would almost certainly present the world exactly as seen by contemporary U.S. journalists. He suggests a resulting imbalance. 25 The unwillingness of traditional professional journalists to commit to a partisan ideology has led to a striking bifurcation of stances. Mainstream journalism is cautious and attempts to do nothing that would suggest it favors Democrats over Republicans, and most research indicates that Republicans fare well in this climate. Conservative critics, and the increasing number of explicitly conservative media, argue that the mainstream is blatantly favoring Democrats. They then feel no obligation to be fair to Democrats because they are ‘balancing’ 24 The Problem of the Media: U.S. Communication Policies in the 21st Century (Monthly Reviiew Perss, 2004), pp. 99ff. 25 McChesney, ibid., p. 109.
  • 10. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 10 the bias of the mainstream. He quotes a senior writer at the conservative Weekly Standard [p. 108]: “we’ve created this cottage industry in which it pays to be un-objective. It’s a great way to have your cake and eat it too. Criticize the other people for not being as objective. Be as subjective as you want. It’s a great little racket.” 26 The most important particular point of evidence come from an interview by McChesney: 27 “Rick Kaplan, former head of CNN, acknowledged that he instructed his employees to provide the Lewinsky story with massive attention despite his belief that it was overblown; he knew he would face withering criticism from the Right for a liberal bias if he did not pummel it.” There also is a striking difference of tone between the two sides, as Michael Tomasky found in his analysis of editorial pages: 28 • The liberal papers criticized the Clinton administration 30 percent of the time. By contrast, the conservative papers criticized the Bush administration just 7 percent of the time. • The liberal papers praised the Clinton administration only 36 percent of the time (the balance were mixed). The conservative papers, on the other hand, praised the Bush administration 77 percent of the time. • The liberal papers criticized Bush 67 percent of the time. The conservative papers criticized Clinton 89 percent of the time. • The study finds that there was often a striking difference in tone between the two sides as well. • The Clinton adminstration had barely unpacked its bags when The Wall Street Journal referred administration figures as "pod people from a 'Star Trek' episode. . .genetically bred to inhabit the public sector." That sort of language does not appear on the liberal pages. In sum, the two sides define partisanship quite differently and envision the roles they play as political actors very differently as well. Although the intent here is not to exhaustively analyze the meaning of media bias, the analysis does suggest the central importance of the charge of such bias. What About the Democrats? The argument here is that Republicans have influenced media developments and then have been able to use those changes their advantage. What about the Democrats during this period? Until relatively recently, they have been much slower to recognize and act on the insights of political-media trends. Changes among Democrats concerning journalists appear to have been much less systematic, so the argument here is that those efforts have produced both less sustained effort and less success. There appear to be a number of reasons for greater Republican effort and success. A first reason is the greater ideological unity among Republicans, mirrored by a greater ideological dis-unity among Democrats. Theodore Lowi has suggested that Republicans are a political party whereas Democrats are a collection trying to please various interest groups. 29 In addition, whereas after the Goldwater defeat in 1964 the Republican Party has become more unified and more consistently conservative—the term “moderate Republican” now appears to be nearly an oxymoron—the Democratic Party remains divided, especially, but not only, between southern and northern members of the Party. Those divisions compound difficulties Democrats face responding to changes in American journalism. Republicans are effective developing media strategies not only because of resources, commitment, and persistence, but also because they are more united about message. Whatever their other divisions, for nearly all Republicans tax cuts remain a core value and strategic goal. It is difficult to find any unifying ideological and policy focus for 26 McChesney, ibid., p. 108, quoting from . from Richard Blow, “Conservative Journalists’ Dirty Little Secret,” www.tompaine.dom. 27 McChesney, ibid., p. 119. Interview at Urbana, Illinois, March 2002. 28 Whispers and Screams: The Partisan Natures of Editorial Pages (Harvard: Kennedy School, Shorenstein, 2003), p. 2. 29 Theodore Lowi, speaking at the American Political Science Association, Boston, August, 2002, and also in his The End of the Republican Era (Norman: University of Oklahoma Press, 1995).
  • 11. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 11 Democrats. 30 Democratic divisions over taxes illustrate the difficulty. A Democratic Party that was as uniformly liberal as the Republican Party is conservative almost certainly could have united in the 2002 election campaign to fight to protect core elements of national government policy. A core element of a united Democratic effort would have been to modify the tax changes that President Bush pushed in 2001. (And, of course, if Democrats were united, few or no Democrats would have voted in favor of those tax cuts, which might not have passed.) Polls show that majorities among the public favor tax cuts when the only other choice is “government” or “more spending.” However, tax cuts are a distant runner when respondents are offered a choice among tax cuts and more spending for education, paying down the national debt, protecting Social Security and Medicare, and other options. In addition, for more than 90 percent of American families, all the tax cuts from the 2001 tax bill had already occurred by the end of 2002; nearly all the yet-to-be-implemented tax changes affect only those near the top. The combination of these elements suggests that for all the seeming risks involved in challenging tax cuts, a coordinated effort to educate the public, to emphasize the need for shared sacrifice, and similar might have resulted in public support for Democratic efforts to postpone or cancel tax cuts. The word “coordinated” here, though, illustrates the difficulty: Democrats are much too divided and apparently too disorganized for such efforts. This difficulty is magnified by the move of the Democratic Party from its traditional base among the working class, the declining vote turnout among its traditional supporters, and by the effort by the Party to appeal to upper-income individuals for campaign funding. Policies that appeal to its upper-income funding sources seldom match those that appeal to traditional voting supporters. 31 The combination of these elements—southern vs. northern Democrats, emerging sources of funding from non-traditional voting groups, and declining turnout among traditional supporters—lead to sharp divisions among Democrats. That difficulty is magnified when Republicans engage in a systematic effort to increase turnout among their supporters, as occurred with great effect in November 2002. Despite these fund-raising efforts, Democrats almost always lag Republicans in fundraising totals and in support among business and other groups that help fund think tanks and other efforts. Similarly, their allies appear more divided and less likely to form supportive coalitions on a broad range of issues than is true of Republicans. An important illustration of these elements regarding the Democratic and Republican parties is the health care proposals put forward by President Clinton in 1993, probably the most important element of his domestic policies in his first term. It was declared “dead,” without actual congressional votes, in fall 1994. 32 Democrats experienced sharp divisions internally and among supporters and only lukewarm efforts among those who did support the Clinton proposals. Republicans, on the other hand, not only were united in opposition but very effective in developing and using allies in the private sector, who opposed the proposals for both self-interested and ideological reasons. As a result, polls showed that a majority of the public wanted the health care changes that actually were included in the proposals but, because opponents had so successfully and inaccurately defined the Clinton proposals, most of those respondents opposed what they thought to be “the Clinton health care proposals.” 33 A core difficulty of Democrats, then, in developing media strategy and message is an unclear message. That is compounded because party leaders and allies have not given the same level of effort as Republicans to a long-term media strategy. These have been reflected during both the Clinton presidency and the George W. Bush presidency. The following section examines core elements of the current political-media regime. It emphasizes particularly first the effect of the changes on perceptions of the “conventional wisdom”—what “everyone” just accepts as true—and 30 See also the perceptive analysis of Democrats in relation to media strategy and effectiveness in Robert M. Entman, Projections of Power: Framing News, Public Opinion, and U.S. Foreign Policy (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2004). 31 Thomas Ferguson, Golden Rule: The Investment Theory of Party Competition and the Logic of Money-Driven Political Systems (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1995). See also John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira, The Emerging Democratic Majority (New York: Scribner, 2002). The book focuses primarily on newer sources of support for Democrats and gives less emphasis to traditional working-class support for Democrats, which has drawn questions from some reviewers, e.g., Ronald Brownstein, “Books in Review: A Red-Blue Stalemate?,” American Prospect, November 18, 2002. 32 See Theda Skocpol, Boomerang: Health Care Reform and the Turn Against Government (New York: W.W. Norton, 1997). 33 See the very interesting poll reported in Hilary Stout, “Many Don’t Realize It’s Clinton Plan They Like,” Wall Street Journal, March 10, 1994, p. B1. See also Lawrence Jacobs and Robert Shapiro, Politicians Don’t Pander (Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 2000), esp. ch. 5-7.
  • 12. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 12 then in relation to effect on Democrats and especially Republicans both in power and in opposition. Interaction of Changes with Traditional Journalism and the Resulting Contemporary Media- Politics Culture What has the intersection of these changes with the earlier media-politics culture produced? Kovach and Rosenstiel argue there are five core characteristics of what they call “the new Mixed Media Culture:” 34 • A never-ending news cycle makes journalism less complete • Sources are gaining power over journalists • There are no more gatekeepers • Argument is overwhelming reporting • A “blockbuster mentality” means that news organizations are constantly seeking “big stories” that “temporarily reassemble the news audience” These changes reflect that the economic, cultural, and political changes interact with traditional journalistic practices and change but do not necessarily replace them. Two of those practices appear particularly important not only for their historical centrality to US journalistic practices but also because, in interaction with the above-mentioned changes, they persist and so have effects, though in sharply divergent ways. The first traditional practice persists, journalistic reliance on sources. This emphasis on sources persists partly because it fits with journalist training and experience and partly because it helps fill the news hole in a timely and economical way without requiring journalistic substantive competence. However, the need for sources has hugely expanded because of the changes. Traditional sources—particularly government officials and others in official political positions—remain important but they must be supplemented. A result is the emergence of “loosely credentialed personalities who often thrive on being provocateurs.” 35 A result of this demand is that a second traditional journalistic practice appears to have been much attenuated, the influence of “gatekeepers,” primarily editors and similar news personnel, who traditionally served as important clearance points and quality control monitors, to maintain certain relatively-agreed upon standards for “news.” The acceleration of the demand for “news” results in less time for such gate-keeping functions. Coupled with these changes is a reduction in standards of journalistic reporting. Time pressures and other factors have reduced the ability of journalists to check as thoroughly as in the past. Under these pressures, standards of reporting have declined. During the Lewinsky developments, some journalists allowed sources—particularly Clinton opponents—to set conditions for the use of their information and many journalists began to accept one source as sufficient, a sharp departure from the previous two-independent-source rule. 36 All these changes mean that content expectations have been altered. Straight news reporting largely has been replaced by increased subjectivity in reporting, identified most prominently with Maureen Dowd of the New York Times, to produce “soufflé journalism:” “one part information mixed with two parts attitude and two parts of conjecture.” 37 Such efforts are easier in that they require less actual reporting. They also fit the emphasis on conflict, strongly stated positions, and in many instances fewer factual requirements. A continued effect of these changes is increasing focus by journalists on the style of candidates and officials—which most journalists feel competent to judge—and away from the content of their messages. To examine content requires expertise that most journalists do not have, so increases their dependence on experts and other sources, and reduces journalist control. In addition, focus on candidate content does not fit usual journalist assumptions that candidates use substantive policy promises as parts of the strategic game, not as proposals they take seriously. 38 34 Kovach and Rosenstiel, Warp Speed, from the list on pp. 6-8. 35 Kovach and Rosenstiel, Warp Speed, p. 21. 36 See Marvin Kalb, One Scandalous Story (New York: Free Press, 2001), various chapters, esp. ch. 14. See also Kovach and Rosenstiel, Warp Speed, ch. 4-5, about the strengthened role of sources relative to journalists. Kalb and also Kovach and Rosenstiel strongly criticize this lowering of standards and the reduction in the quality control of traditional journalistic gate keeping. 37 Rosenstiel, The Beat Goes On, pp. 31 and 33. The term “soufflé journalism” is from John Broder of the Los Angeles Times. 38 See Patterson, Out of Order, esp. “Prologue.”
  • 13. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 13 Journalistic Orientations toward Presidents These changes have been reflected specifically in journalistic coverage of presidents. A comparison of journalistic orientations toward presidents during the presidencies of John Kennedy and Bill Clinton shows very large changes in assumptions and practices. A fundamental change in coverage of presidents is a sharply reduced journalistic sense of “reverence” toward the office of president and especially toward its office holders, as illustrated by the point cited earlier about Marvin Kalb’s anecdote about his observations that he did not even think about reporting what he had seen about John Kennedy in the Carlyle Hotel in New York. Along with this reduced reverence has been reduced credibility by journalists toward presidents and presidential spokespeople, a trend sometimes referred to as “gotcha journalism.” Beginning particularly with the presidency of Lyndon Johnson and then expanded during the Nixon presidency and Watergate, journalists became increasingly less trustful of presidents and their spokespeople. However, this analysis argues, not all presidents suffer the same degree of challenge to credibility. Other changes in journalistic coverage of politics are illustrated especially by coverage of elections. In the period from the late 1960s to the present, the average candidate sound bite shown on network television news has decreased from more than 40 seconds to fewer than 10 seconds. 39 Not surprisingly, during this period the proportion of news coverage of candidates presented in the candidates’ own words has shrunk, with a sharp expansion in proportion of news time devoted to commentary and analysis by network correspondents. And increasingly the focus of these analyses has been the strategies of politicians rather than the content of their messages, and an increasingly negative tone in coverage of politics, reinforcing the general cynicism and negativity of the cultural changes. 40 These economic, political, cultural, and resulting media-politics culture elements set the context for examination of the media coverage of Presidents Clinton and George W. Bush. But first it is important to examine the effects of the these changes on what “everyone knows to be true,” the conventional wisdom. Influencing Content: The Centrality of Conventional Wisdom for Guiding Journalist and Public Choices Jamieson and Waldman suggest, “Each day’s news is a product of choices made by reporters in which certain pieces of information are deemed important and relevant and others ignored.” 41 A central element guiding those choices is what has been called the “conventional wisdom” (CW, for short). 42 Conventional wisdom exists on various levels: concerning such particular individuals as Bill Clinton or George W. Bush, in relation to such policy topics as welfare and Social Security, and regarding such foreign policy issues as the appropriate standing in the world of such nations as Cuba. Conventional wisdom that is even more widely shared among American journalists and public includes core assumptions of political culture, such as the centrality of individualism, the moral standing of the United States as a “city on a hill” as a model for other nations, and the natural superiority of checks and balances as a form of government. Although the extent of acceptance of particular elements of CW varies, the core point is that they are accepted as given, without the need to check or justify or provide evidence of their truthfulness. Elements of conventional wisdom stimulate the emergence of certain specific “compelling narratives” in the press’s role as “storyteller,” and discourage the emergence of other potentially equally plausible narratives. Narratives that are dramatic, compelling, and persuasive quickly can overwhelm any factual counter-evidence. That is, “When an assumption is widely shared within the press, an allegation inconsistent with the assumption is more likely that it 39 See Daniel Hallin, “Sound Bite News: Television Coverage of Elections, 1968-1988” (Woodrow Wilson Center Paper, 1991), and Mitchell Stephens, “On Shrinking Soundbites,” Columbia Journalism Review, September/October 1996). 40 See Patterson, Out of Order, and The Vanishing Voter, esp. ch. 3. 41 Kathleen Hall Jamieson and Paul Waldman, The Press Effect: Politicians, Journalists, and the Stories That Shape the Political World (New York: Oxford University Press, 2003), p. 35. 42 See Parry, Fooling America, “Introduction.” The popular use of the term evidently originated with early writings of John Kenneth Galbraith (Max Skidmore, personal communication).
  • 14. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 14 otherwise would be to travel uncorrected into news.” 43 Conventional wisdom, what “everyone” knows to be true, guides not only public perceptions but also journalist choices. Because “everyone” knows that Gerald Ford is a klutz, journalists “see” examples of his klutziness much more easily than of his gracefulness. And because “everyone” knows he is a klutz, it is much more economical for journalists to portray this, since it builds on shared “knowledge” upon which readers and viewers can draw. Conventional wisdom is largely self-reinforcing, because journalists see what they expect to see and report based on that perception. As Thomas Patterson points out, “believing is seeing.” 44 And because conventional wisdom is self- reinforcing, once established it is very difficult to change. In the words of fictional presidential speechwriter Sam Seaborn, the Rob Lowe character in The West Wing: “Conventional wisdom in Washington is like concrete: it hardens. There’s nothing you can do about it.” 45 An important example of widely shared conventional wisdom that helped Republicans was the view that the Clinton presidency was the most scandalous in history, a view that conservatives worked to spread. The Doonesbury examples shown later illustrate how widespread was that view, in counter-distinction to the very different view of Republican “hero” Ronald Reagan. Conventional wisdom often, of course, is factually correct, but factual correctness is not a necessary condition for widespread acceptance. Consider some examples of conventional wisdom: About President Reagan and Other Presidents Ronald Reagan was exceptionally popular, despite public opinion data showing he was not; he was a “legislative magician,” always winning with Congress, despite the fact that his success rates with Congress declined sharply after his first year and by the end of his term were the lowest to that point since Congressional Quarterly had begun collecting those data during the Eisenhower presidency Ronald Reagan was a skilled athlete, despite playing minor role in Eureka College, hardly a football-powerhouse; Gerald Ford, on the other hand was a klutz, despite having been a talented football player at the University of Michigan and being offered professional football contracts Reagan was macho and tough, despite having spent World War II making films in Hollywood; on the other hand, George H. W. Bush had to fight the image of “wimp,” despite his having served in World War II and putting his life at risk as a Navy pilot. About Parties and Their Policies Republicans are strong on defense, Democrats weaken it, despite the fact that prior to George W. Bush only under Ronald Reagan among recent Republican presidents did inflation-adjusted defense spending increase: it fell under Republican presidents Nixon, Ford, and G.H.W. Bush and rose under Democrats Kennedy, Johnson, Carter, and even second-term Clinton Democrats are the party of “big government,” while Republicans cut government, despite the fact that inflation-adjusted spending grew only 1 percent and 4 percent in Clinton’s terms and 14, 10, and 9 percent during the Reagan and G.H.W. Bush terms, respectively, and increased significantly more than 10 percent during each of the George W. Bush terms. 46 Examples of policy-relevant conventional wisdom are nearly endless, for example that welfare families involve large numbers of children by teen-age women who never marry. Although that is true for some, the average number of welfare family children has fallen from three children in 1970 to fewer than two in the late 1990s, according to statistics about welfare families. Similarly, estimates of foreign aid spending by the United States always vastly exaggerate the approximately one percent of the budget actually spent. 47 Journalists who challenge established conventional wisdom must have not only courage but also the willingness to invest time and effort to present “news” that diverges from what “everyone knows.” Imagine the reporter who 43 Jamieson and Waldman, The Press Effect, p. 7. As an example, they use the claim that Enron’s Kenneth Lay had stayed in the White House while Bill Clinton was president, a partisan charge that fit with journalist views of Clinton so went essentially unchallenged, despite its being factually not correct. 44 Thomas Patterson, Out of Order, p. 115. 45 Sam Seaborn, presidential speechwriter played by Rob Lowe on The West Wing, January 9, 2002 episode. 46 See data available at http://oregonstate.edu/cla/polisci/faculty-research/sahr/sahr.htm. 47 See for example, the 2008 Green Book (Washington: US House of Representatives Ways and Means Committee Print, 2000).
  • 15. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 15 wanted to write how graceful and athletic Gerald Ford was; doing so would require both getting past editors who “know” that Ford is a “klutz” and presenting much evidence to challenge what “everyone” knows. Or imagine the journalist who wants to suggest that Ronald Reagan was not an exceptionally popular president. Elliot King and Michael Schudson examine why the CW emerged that Reagan was unusually popular, despite the overwhelming evidence the perception was untrue. 48 Nevertheless, once the CW—whether or not factually correct—is established, it is almost impossible to reverse. It guides not only public views but also journalistic choices, which, in turn, reinforce the CW. The more sensitive and potentially risky the topic, the more journalists are protected by the conventional wisdom. CW determines what is accepted as true, for which there is no need to check evidence or re-consider conclusions. It appears, for example, that “everyone” knows Democrats cut defense spending and Republicans increase it. When vice-presidential candidate and former Defense Secretary Cheney in the 2000 campaign attacked the Clinton military policies, those attacks occurred in a context where “everyone knew” that former President Bush had strengthened defense and Clinton had weakened it. Defense spending fell 13 percent in inflation-adjusted dollars under former President Bush but that never became part of the public consciousness, partly because it was not part of the journalistic consciousness and partly because Democrats ignored it. 49 Conventional wisdom gains “momentum” and becomes reinforced and very difficult to change. It is reinforced not only by news coverage and opinion columns but also by the questions pollsters ask in surveys. For example, when pollsters choose to ask about the “character” of Bill Clinton but not of George W. Bush, that reinforces specific elements of the conventional wisdom about both individuals. Similarly, late night talk show hosts David Letterman and Jay Leno reinforce conventional wisdom very powerfully, a reason why campaigns monitor such programs. Conventional wisdom also defines what counts as “bias.” During the Clinton presidency almost no negative judgment by journalists about Bill Clinton were portrayed as biased, because “everyone” knew that he suffered from “character” and other flaws. Opponents, of course, reinforced these judgments to their own advantage. Analogous statements about President George W. Bush would appear as very biased, because “everyone” knows that it was Clinton, not Bush who had “character” problems. Conventional wisdom, then, is an extremely powerful tool, and establishing CW elements supportive of one’s policies and orientations is a central goal of officials and candidates. As Ginsberg and Shefter point out, journalists are part of the “politics by other means” that continues after elections are over and that uses non-electoral means. 50 And part of that effort involves establishing a conventional wisdom supportive of “our side.” In order to understand changes in media and presidents need to examine briefly changes in American journalism, presidential media practices, and developments among Democrats and Republicans as opponents. Having focused on effects of these developments on perceptions of “conventional wisdom,” attention now shifts to effects on coverage of Republicans and Democrats in power and in opposition. Asymmetries in Media Treatment of Presidents Clinton and Bush [Obama to be added] Consider some media and politics developments: Republicans during the Iraq War insisted that it was unpatriotic to criticize Commander in Chief George W. Bush, yet news coverage during Balkan War developments carried frequent criticism of Commander in Chief Bill Clinton, often quoting Republican leaders CNN, sometimes called “the Clinton News Network” by conservatives, presented many more live presentations of 48 Elliot King and Michael Schudson, “The Press and the Illusion of Public Opinion: The Strange Case of Ronald Reagan’s ‘Popularity,’” in Theodore Glasser and Charles Salmon, eds., Public Opinion and the Communication of Consent (New York: Guilford, 1995), pp. 132-155. Jerry Yeric, co-author of Public Opinion, 3rd ed. (Itasca, Ill.: Peacock, 1996), reports that even many of his colleagues, with Ph.D. degrees in political science, shared the mistaken view that Ronald Reagan was “exceptionally popular” (personal communication, 1990). 49 See defense spending increase by president, available from http://oregonstate.edu/cla/polisci/faculty-research/sahr/sahr.htm. Questionnaires distributed to university students show that the vast majority “know” that defense spending adjusted for inflation rose under Republican presidents Nixon, Ford, and Bush and fell under Democrats Kennedy, Johnson, and Carter. A national survey on similar questions is planned to examine public “knowledge” of elements of “conventional wisdom.” 50 Benjamin Ginsberg and Martin Shefter, Politics by Other Means: Politicians, Prosecutors, and the Press from Watergate to Whitewater, 3rd edition (New York: Norton, 2002).
  • 16. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 16 President George W. Bush than they had of President Clinton, even of actions and presentations not related to terrorism or other international developments In nearly every presidential election many more newspapers among the “liberal media” endorse the Republican than the Democratic candidate for President; 2004 was one of only three exceptions since the 1930s Journalists presented continuous coverage to Whitewater allegations during the Clinton administration but devoted almost no attention to the financial backgrounds of candidates—George Herbert Walker Bush, Bob Dole, George W. Bush, and even Al Gore—who had larger personal wealth than the Clintons in 1992 Presidential candidate Al Gore in 2000 did not say “I invented the Internet” or a number of other statements that “everyone” knows he did, since journalists frequently reported them as unquestionable facts During the Clinton administration journalists joined Republicans in nearly continuous journalistic and editorial pressure on the Clinton White House to release quickly all records involving Whitewater and for Hillary Rodham Clinton to release the names of those involved in advising on the 1993-94 health care proposals; by contrast, very few journalists challenged efforts by Vice President Cheney to release the names of those with whom he consulted in developing the energy proposals President Ronald Reagan was not, in fact, “exceptionally popular,” and the President who had the highest approval ratings at the end of his presidency was Bill Clinton Defense spending, adjusted for inflation, rose under Democratic Presidents Kennedy, Johnson, and even Carter and fell under Republican Presidents Nixon, Ford, and even George H. W. Bush None of these fit standard stereotypes and assumptions about media or about public life. This analysis uses these and similar counter-intuitive developments as starting points for examining the operation of American media in relation to politics. It examines contemporary American political and media culture and how that culture has been reflected in journalistic coverage of the presidencies of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. While the press may not tell people what to think, it gives them a list of things to think about. In so doing the news culture still shapes the lines of the political playing field and the context in which citizens define meaning for political events. The rules of the political and media culture alter not only how politics is conducted but increasingly who participates, why, and the nature of what can be accomplished. 51 The argument here is analytic rather than partisan. Some readers might be persuaded by the analysis and believe it describes developments that are positive. Others might be persuaded but believe what it describes is negative. Partisan Republicans, for example, might strongly challenge the conclusions because they appear to undercut what they want to use for strategic advantage. Partisan Democrats might argue they have been more effective than described here. The argument here is intended to be persuasive, but evaluation of the conclusions is left to others. Two theses guide this analysis. First, to understand presidents and journalists it is essential to examine the role of the opposition. Journalists seldom act independently. Instead, they largely take cues from sources, which include the president and many others. The president is essentially a constant. The variation is in the role and success of the opposition. That is, the opposition largely sets the range of debate because journalists respond to cues from the spectrum of sources defined on one end by the president and on the other end by leading opponents. If the opposition largely agrees with the president, the range of presented views is narrow; if opposition disagrees with the president, the range of presented views broadens. Second, Republicans have been much more skillful and effective in opposition to presidents than have Democrats. This was evident during the Clinton presidency but it did not arise then. Instead, it is the result of long-term Republican efforts much more systematic and much more successful than those of Democrats. There have been no similar efforts by Democratic and other opponents toward President George W. Bush, even prior to September 11, 2001. Given this argument, it is no surprise that a Republican, former Treasury Secretary and White House Chief of Staff Donald Regan, stated this point: “The first fundamental rule of politics [is] perception is reality.” 52 This analysis includes examination of central changes that have affected the current media-politics context because part of the argument is that Republicans have responded much more successfully than Democrats to the new media- politics culture and have used it much more to their advantage. Republicans have responded much more successfully to the media-politics context emerging since the early 1960s for two reasons: 51 Bill Kovach and Tom Rosenstiel, Warp Speed: America in the Age of Mixed Media (New York: Century Foundation, 1999), p. 3. 52 Donald Regan, as quoted by Norman C. Miller in the Wall Street Journal, June 3, 1982, p. 16.
  • 17. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 17 First, Republicans have devoted resources and effort to the task much more fully and systematically than have Democrats. Second, the contemporary media-politics context itself appears more hospitable to Republican than to Democratic emphases, skills, and concerns, at least partly because Republicans and their allies, much more than Democrats, have influenced the emergence and development of this new media-politics culture. Before beginning the historical analysis it is necessary to consider some core features of the current situation. In early 2001 Washington Post reporter John Harris received numerous comments from Democrats about the “soft” media coverage George W. Bush was receiving. At first he rejected this view but after examining the evidence he decided that, in fact, media coverage of Bill Clinton had been more critical than that of George W. Bush. In a May 2001 analysis, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break,” Harris attempted to suggest reasons for the difference: 53 Above all, however, there is one big reason for [George W.] Bush’s easy ride: There is no well-coordinated corps of aggrieved and methodical people who start each day looking for ways to expose and undermine a new president. There was just such a gang ready for Clinton in 1993. Conservative interest groups, commentators and congressional investigators waged a remorseless campaign that they hoped would make life miserable for Clinton and vault themselves to power. They succeeded in many ways. . . . It is Bush’s good fortune that the liberal equivalent of this conservative coterie does not exist. . . . Conservatives became skilled in using the same news media they reviled. In the early days—well before Clinton’s Whitewater and sexual controversies reached full flower—every misstep was pounded by the opposition and turned into a major event. The storms of that first year whirred by in an indistinguishable blur: Zoe Baird, Waco, the Christophe haircut, the travel office, Somalia. From the vantage point of the right, there were no small stories, only big ones; no complicated explanations, only ones that illustrated Clinton’s incompetence or venality. . . . Reporters and editors do not work like commentators. There are no newsroom deliberations about how “soft” or “mean” to be on a president. . . . But there’s no denying that we give more coverage to stories when someone is shouting. . . . The Clinton Presidency and Journalists The details of media coverage of the Clinton presidency are beyond the scope of this analysis, but in many ways it all began with Whitewater. Why did the New York Times give such resources to Whitewater and why did it not spend similar effort examining the financial backgrounds of George Herbert Walker Bush, Bob Dole, Al Gore, and George W. Bush, all of them much wealthier than the Clintons in 1992? We do not know the answer, but the effects of this decision had huge repercussions. The prestige of the Times gave legitimacy to efforts by journalists to pursue this topic. A “feeding frenzy” emerged, that eventually “produced” additional scandal allegations, in a way that no such “frenzy” developed in 1999 and 2000 about the financial history of George W. Bush in relation to Harken, for example. 54 Most likely, Whitewater emerged in the New York Times because of Arkansas sources working with journalists, in this instance Jeff Gerth, to push an anti-Clinton message. As Conason and Lyons argue in their Hunting of the President, there was a ten-year campaign by opponents to go after Bill Clinton even before he ran for President. 55 More important, Whitewater set in motion and reinforced efforts to define Bill Clinton in particularly negative ways. That is, the early efforts helped establish the “conventional wisdom” about Clinton and so to stimulate journalists to pursue the barest hint of scandal. Republicans had warned the Clintons that they would be targets of actions directed at damaging them politically: [Bill Clinton] In 1990, before I decided to run, I got a call from a guy in the Bush White House who told me not to run. Bush was at like eighty percent in the polls, and I was saying how the President should use his popularity to fix the economy. And, after about five minutes, this guy says, “Now let’s just cut the crap. I’ve looked at this crowd”—all the Democrats considering a run against Bush in 1992—“and we can beat them all. You’re the only one who might 53 John Harris, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break,” Washington Post, Outlook Section, Sunday, May 6, 2001. 54 The term is from Larry Sabato, Feeding Frenzy: Attack Journalism and American Journalism (New York: Free Press, 1993). 55 Joe Conason and Gene Lyons, The Hunting of the President: The Ten-Year Campaign to Destroy Bill and Hillary Clinton (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2000).
  • 18. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 18 cause us trouble so, if you do run, we’re going to have to knock you out early.” 56 [Hillary Rodham Clinton:] When we were getting ready to announce for the 1992 campaign, the Bush people said to us, “Don’t run this time—wait four years and you’ll have a free pass. If you do run, we’ll destroy you.” And I said to Bill, “What are they talking about—how could they do that?” And now we’re finding out. 57 Equally important is that the emergence of Whitewater in 1992 and especially in 1994 began a “feeding frenzy,” which stimulated news organizations to send journalists to Arkansas, where these journalists began to develop their own “conventional wisdom” about Bill Clinton. Not only were many of these journalists part of the continuing coverage of Clinton scandal allegations, their views became widely shared throughout news organizations, thereby affecting what “everyone” among journalists knew to be true: The small band of journalists who began looking into Whitewater in Arkansas during and after the 1992 campaign developed their own view of Clinton—and it was far from complimentary. . . . A number of these [journalists] would play key roles in the coverage of the scandal of 1998. . . . In the evening they would bond at the bar of the Capital Hotel, which they fondly nicknamed “Rick’s Café,” exchanging theories about Whitewater and Clinton. In time, most of these reporters developed a portrait of Clinton as a wild, reckless womanizer accustomed to lying about what Isikoff called his “serial indiscretions” to protect his political career and family. They saw him as unscrupulous and unprincipled, a cunning cad who kept slipping through their investigative net, evading responsibility for his immoral and possibly illegal activities and, whenever possible, laying the blame on others. Of course, this remained an essentially private portrait of the president, discussed among themselves and their editors but not yet reported. 58 That orientation became so widely shared that it was taken as obviously true, in other words, “conventional wisdom.” The frustration among some journalists sometimes resulted in presenting even exonerating findings about the Clinton—as with the final Whitewater report—in the New York Times and elsewhere as not necessarily proving the innocence of the Clintons but instead as showing their success in hiding and avoiding charges. 59 Some journalists did point out that Whitewater and other allegations were being used to attack the Clintons and weaken support for their policies, for example, the 1993-1994 health care proposals. 60 However, for most journalists any allegations reinforced the existing very strongly negative conventional wisdom about the Clintons, even after he left the presidency. The Clintons had become “outlaws in the old-fashioned sense of the word—that is, their enemies may attack them with impunity, with no fear of being called to account even if said attacks turn out to be unfair, misguided, or just plain wrong.” 61 That conventional wisdom about Bill and Hillary Clinton was taken as obviously true, not to be challenged, as David Brock points out in his Blinded by the Right, 62 paraphrasing NBC’s Lisa Myers in a telephone call to him just after Lewinsky developments broke: [Myers] Clinton had been lying about so much for so long, wasn’t it great that he finally got caught? [Brock] Conversations like these left me frustrated, for what exactly had Clinton been lying about for so long, other than adultery? Lisa Myers’s statement illustrates the conventional wisdom among journalists, that Clinton was a frequent liar. That perspective stimulated journalists to look for examples and to portray them as dishonest in a way they would not do for someone about whom different conventional wisdom existed. Opponents, of course, reinforced this negative orientation, which generally was accepted by a national news corps 56 Bill Clinton, quoted in Joe Klein, The Natural (New York: Doubleday, 2002), pp. 85-86. 57 Hillary Rodham Clinton, March 1998, quoted by David Talbot, Salon, April 17, 2002. 58 Kalb, One Scandalous Story, p. 21. 59 Neil A. Lewis, “Whitewater Inquiry Ends; A Lack of Evidence Is Cited in Case Involving Clintons,” New York Times, September 21, 2000; Neely Tucker, “Ray: Prosecutors Had Evidence to Charge Clinton,” Washington Post, March 6, 2002; Jill Abramson, “The Legacies of Whitewater,” and especially editorial, “The Lessons of Whitewater,” both New York Times, March 24, 2002. Joe Conason emphasizes the self-interested journalistic interpretations of the final reports in “Let the butt covering begin,” Salon, September 22, 2000, and in “Where’s the media mea culpa?,” Salon, March 28, 2002. 60 Haynes Johnson and David Broder, The System (Boston: Little, Brown, 1997), esp. ch. 13, “Waves of Whitewater.” 61 Dan Kennedy, “Media: The Clintons: Guilty as charged, even when they’re not,” Boston Phoenix, February 6, 2001. 62 David Brock, Blinded by the Right: The Conscience of an Ex-Conservative (New York: Crown, 2002), pp. 306-307.
  • 19. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 19 that accepted the same conventional wisdom. This was illustrated when MSNBC’s Chris Matthews said to Republican Dan Burton: “I just wish one of these times you would catch them, congressman. You’ve been in pursuit. You’ve been like Smokey the Bear trying to catch this guy, and he keeps hauling the produce past you” 63 There appears also to have been a “class,” aspect of the media and other elite response to the Clintons, “class” here in its double meaning, as in prestige and style (“classy”) and as in social-economic class. Much early reference to the Clintons in Washington and New York media emphasized the Arkansas aspect much more than the Georgetown, Oxford, and Yale components of the Clinton background. Frequent reference to Arkansas in editorials and columns compared the very negative images of that state’s political and cultural orientation with the much more refined and honest Washington, New York, and other Eastern establishment culture. This orientation persisted and sometimes reached extremes, as when the Clintons were referred to as living in “public housing” because they did not own a home and lived in the Arkansas Governor’s mansion, which was, of course, publicly funded. An analysis of coverage of the Clinton post-presidency by a British journalist—possibly more aware of elements of class than American journalists in an officially “class-less” society—highlighted the class aspects of US presentations when she wrote a month after President and Mrs. Clinton left the White House: 64 The unspoken assumption here is that the Clintons, who had no house of their own while in the White House and comparatively little money, needed gifts more than most presidents and took what was not theirs. In its undertone of class prejudice, the criticism recalls the succession of accusations that dogged the Clintons in the White House, starting with the loss-making Whitewater land deal and Mrs. Clinton’s profitable one-time flutter in cattle futures: no wrong- doing was found. The wealthy are permitted to play the stock market (the two George Bushes) and accept gifts and loans from benefactors (the Reagans) in peace; the poor must be investigated. These elements illustrate that journalistic orientations and opponent actions were reinforced and magnified among the “Washington establishment,” many of whom did not support the Clintons, as exemplified by the widely discussed Sally Quinn Washington Post article that appeared immediately before the November 1998 elections. 65 Instead, that establishment appears to have amplified opponent charges. Those views were reflected very strongly after the Clintons left the White House, as illustrated by the closing lines from a Washington Post editorial entitled “Count the Spoons,” which appeared January 24, 2001 and ended with these belittling words: The list [of items the Clintons removed from the White House] demonstrates again the Clintons’ defining characteristic: They have no capacity for embarrassment. Words like shabby and tawdry come to mind. They don’t begin to do it justice. That extremely condescending language is amazing not only in its tone but also in its absolute acceptability: no one appeared appalled, or even surprised, by such language directed at a recently-departed president and his wife, who is now a United States senator. It would require immense journalistic courage to oppose that CW. Most journalists have continued to treat President Clinton as distinctive, almost always in a negative way, as when New York Times reporter Richard Berke wrote in a front page report about efforts by Clinton and allies to repair his reputation in late 2001: “No modern president has ever mounted such an aggressive and organized drive to affect the agenda after leaving the White House [as has former President Clinton].” 66 As this illustrates, the failure of reporters to present historical context and comparison concerning President Clinton usually reinforces a negative conventional wisdom, whether about pardons, gifts accepted by the Clintons when they left the White House, or other developments. Reports about pardons by earlier presidents appeared in the Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, the New York Times, and other newspapers, but very seldom until more than a month after the Clinton pardons began receiving front-page coverage. And these historical analyses of presidential pardons almost always appeared on inside pages or in columns, not as front-page news items. Similarly, there was very little coverage of gifts to previous presidents except in such non-traditional and small circulation news outlets as Salon and the New York Observer, which emphasized gifts to the senior Bushes in 1992—after four years, nearly equal in inflation-adjusted value to the Clintons after eight years—and especially the large loan to the 63 “Hardball,” MSNBC, Jan. 25, 2001, quoted by Vaughan Ververs, “Before You Go...,” National Journal, Jan. 29, 2001. 64 Mary Dejevsky, “Citizen Clinton Is Getting a Very Raw Deal,” Independent (London), February 17, 2001. 65 Sally Quinn, “Why Washington’s Mad at Clinton: America may understand, but the Establishment can’t forgive him,” Washington Post National Weekly Edition, November 9, 1998, pp. 6-7; see also the many responses to this article, especially James Fallows, “Rush from Judgment: How the Media Lost Their Bearings,” American Prospect, March-April 1999. 66 Richard Berke, “Clinton and Aides Lay Plans to Repair a Battered Image,” New York Times, December 21, 2001, p. A1.
  • 20. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 20 Reagans to buy a house for $2.5 million. 67 One of the few reporters to emphasize previous efforts by Republicans is John Harris, quoted earlier. As he wrote in relation to the Clinton Library groundbreaking just weeks before Berke’s report about the Clinton efforts appeared: 68 [P]residential reputations are political battles just as much as scholarly debates. It’s a truth that, in recent years, Republicans have understood better than Democrats. Ronald Reagan’s reputation teetered in the balance after he left office, his achievements dimmed by the Iran-contra scandal and his weakening faculties. But his backers have engaged in a coordinated effort at presidential iconography, painting his history in heroic strokes and naming every edifice they can find in his honor. The use of the constant attack strategy, reinforced by journalist amplification, illustrates the success of opponent efforts to establish conventional wisdom about the Clintons that has prevailed long after the end of the Clinton presidency. To paraphrase again the words of fictional West Wing presidential speechwriter Sam Seaborn, the conventional wisdom about the Clintons had hardened, like concrete, and there was little that could be done about it. The Clinton presidency was marked at the beginning by weak media strategy. 69 However, it is not clear that a stronger media strategy from the beginning—Clinton practitioners did became more skillful as his presidency progressed—would have been more successful in overcoming a very skillful opposition. Republicans as Opposition during the Clinton Presidency, 2000 Campaign, and Clinton Post- presidency During the Clinton presidency, it appears that the triangle “tipped” against the Democratic President and his party, despite some important specific successes. There was from the beginning, as quoted earlier, “a gang ready for Clinton in 1993. Conservative interest groups, commentators and congressional investigators waged a remorseless campaign that they hoped would make life miserable for Clinton and vault themselves to power.” 70 Republicans were very successful in their ability to prime journalists and the public about the standards and criteria to be used in evaluating the Clinton presidency. He was to be judged by questions of character, which themselves were defined narrowly. 71 An illustration of this is that pollsters often asked about Clinton’s character during and after his presidency; they almost never ask such questions about George W. Bush. Journalists gave Clinton no honeymoon. Instead he received, at best, a kind of one-night stand. From day two of his administration, coverage was increasingly negative. Brit Hume of Fox News, who covered the George H.W. Bush and Clinton presidencies for ABC, argues that the lack of honeymoon was Clinton’s fault: 72 [H]e would have. I mean, he was on track to get a honeymoon, but he really made it impossible for him to get a damn honeymoon. And the reasons were pretty clear. There was a series of promises broken and broken conspicuously and unmistakably before the inauguration. . . . Then he had a couple of problems right off the bat that were really with his own party. . . . And they created an atmosphere here where you had this phenomenon, with which you are well familiar, of a running story, and the running story was one of trips and stumbles. Hume blames Clinton for the lack of a honeymoon, but the argument here is that “no honeymoon” resulted largely from the success of opponents, working with journalists, rather than simply, or even primarily, from actions by President Clinton and his administration. Jeffrey Toobin, Gene Lyons, Joe Conason, and others have presented details of Republican efforts strategy and the specific targets during the Clinton presidency. 73 The core point was that, to quote Harris again, 74 67 See, for example, Eric Boehlert, “The Clintons’ gift rap,” Salon, January 20, 2001. 68 John F. Harris, “Groundbreaking for a Library and a Legacy,” Washington Post, December 6, 2001. 69 See, for example, Rosenstiel, The Beat Goes On, and Patterson, Out of Order, “Postscript to the Vintage Book Edition.” 70 Harris, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break.” 71 Concerning the concept of priming as the setting of criteria or standards by which events, individuals, and so on should be judged, see, for example, Shanto Iyengar and Donald R. Kinder, News that Matters: Television and American Opinion (University of Chicago Press, 1987), esp. ch. 7. On closely related concerns, see W. Russell Neuman, Marion Just, and Ann Crigler, Common Knowledge: News and the Construction of Political Meaning (University of Chicago Press, 1992). 72 Hedrick Smith, “Interview With Brit Hume, ABC News White House Correspondent,” The People and the Power Game, PBS, 1996 (date not specified). See also the perceptive series by Los Angeles Times media analyst David Shaw, for example “Not even getting a first chance: Early coverage of the President seemed more like an autopsy; White House missteps and aggressive media never allowed Clinton the customary honeymoon,” Los Angeles Times, September 15, 1993, p. A-1. 73 See especially Jeffrey Toobin, A Vast Conspiracy: The Real Story of the Sex Scandal that Nearly Brought Down a President (New
  • 21. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 21 [from] the early days—well before Clinton’s Whitewater and sexual controversies reached full flower—every misstep was pounded by the opposition and turned into a major event. The storms of that first year whirred by in an indistinguishable blur: Zoe Baird, Waco, the Christophe haircut, the travel office, Somalia. From the vantage point of the right, there were no small stories, only big ones; no complicated explanations, only ones that illustrated Clinton’s incompetence or venality. Republicans used congressional hearings, requests to Clinton Attorney General Janet Reno to name another independent counsel to investigate another allegation, talk shows, and other methods to provide constant pressure. These reinforced the constant “scandal orientation” that they emphasized by stating the Clinton presidency was the most scandalous in American history, not factually correct yet one that appeared true by constant repetition. As John Harris suggests: 75 Bush and his aides miss the point with their constant boasting about how Bush has “changed the tone” in Washington after the coarsening Clinton years. . . . Washington’s snarling public tone was caused more by his opponents. . . . Journalists, expanding from those initially covering Whitewater in Arkansas to journalists everywhere, incorporated views of the Clintons so that “each new accusation, in Arkansas or at the White House, fell on fertile ground. 76 Large asymmetries in journalistic judgments resulted from the conventional wisdom that was being established about the Clintons. Among many illustrations of those asymmetries are: During essentially his entire second term, “everything” that Clinton did was presented as motivated by the desire to assure his legacy but almost no journalists pointed out that “everything” Republicans did was to ensure that his only legacy was impeachment. And as of early 2006 there has been little emphasis that “everything” George W. Bush is doing is motivated by his desire for a positive legacy. The Clintons were blamed throughout for being not fully forthcoming. The problems were due to them, not to their opponents. Kenneth Starr was guilty primarily of inadequate control of his investigation to keep it moving in a timely way and of lack of public relations savvy. 77 Clinton sexual actions were portrayed as immoral but Republican sexual transgressions—for example, Henry Hyde, Bob Barr, Helen Chenowith, Dan Burton, Robert Livingston, and Newt Gingrich—were not held up to tarnish the Republican charges of immorality or to undercut their claim to “family values” (this appears to have been true among journalists and the “Washington establishment” but much less true among the public, judging from opinion support of Clinton during). Independent counsel reports that did not charge the Clintons were portrayed not as exonerating them but as evidence of their ability to prevent full discovery. 78 Clinton was portrayed as “poll-driven,” but journalists during the George W. Bush presidency almost never refer to his extensive use of polls, about which that administration is much more secretive—but no less reliant—than was that of Bill Clinton. 79 Bush administration officials consistently blamed Clinton for problems in 2001 and later but the Clinton administration in 1993 seldom blamed the previous Bush administration for problems, for example, when the World Trade Center was bombed only months after George H.W. Bush had left office. Bill Clinton’s honesty was routinely questioned but most mainstream journalists “bend over backwards” not to raise the same questions explicitly about George W. Bush in relation to the war in Iraq, budget and taxes, and other areas of public policy. 80 York: Random House, 1999), and Conason and Lyons, The Hunting of the President. 74 John Harris, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break.” Italics added. 75 John Harris, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break.” 76 Kalb, One Scandalous Story, p. 15. 77 See the New York Times coverage of the final Whitewater report, cited below. 78 Joe Conason particularly emphasizes this point in his analyses of journalistic treatment of independent counsel reports, cited elsewhere here. 79 See the critical account in Joshua Green, “The Other War Room: President Bush Doesn’t Believe in Polling—Just Ask His Pollsters,” Washington Monthly, April 2002. 80 One of the very few exceptions is economist and New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, bu such openly “opinionated” materials have much less influence on public perceptions than “news,” because they are so much more easily dismissed as being “opinion” and “slanted.”
  • 22. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 22 As noted earlier, President Clinton’s post-presidency actions generally were presented in the negative possible way, accepting charges generally without questioning and without placing them in context, for example, President George H.W. Bush’s much more self-interested pardons. Skillful Republican use of media limits continued in the 2000 campaign. They successfully labeled Gore as a “serial exaggerator” (read: liar), with a “beautiful” (for them) double effect: Gore was continually challenged about nearly every statement but since in the media story line Gore was the exaggerator, questionable Bush statements seldom were challenged. During the Florida vote aftermath their efforts were highly skillful, with a clear strategy—get Bush ahead and stop the count—they carried out very successfully. Their pressures to stop the count (including “riots,” using flown-in Republican staffers), for Gore to concede, and so on were carried out in a way that skillfully used media perspectives about elections. Journalistic portrayals—possibly enhanced by dislike of Gore—reinforced and magnified the effects of these efforts, while very seldom pointing to them as Republican strategy. 81 (The same successfulness by Republicans was displayed during the 2004 election campaign, during which they dismissed and undercut John Kerry’s Vietnam service by use of such “independent” groups as the “Swiftvets” and in which they successfully portrayed him as a “flip-flopper,” despite much evidence that George W. Bush “flipped” at least as often, and often in larger ways, than Kerry. 82 ) After the Clinton presidency ended, Republicans continued their efforts so that “there were no small stories” about Clinton’s “graceless” exit from the White House. Republicans emphasized the “gifts,” the “trashing” of the White House by departing Clinton personnel, his high-priced speaking, the costly Manhattan office, and of course the pardons. Journalists almost always presented these in the most negative possible way, with only belated reference to previous presidents who had acted similarly, or even worse. President Clinton left the White House with the highest end-of-presidency approval rating (67 percent) since Gallup began asking presidential approval questions in the late 1930s. After months of relentless effort, his approval rating had been sharply reduced, and his leadership ability in the post-presidency—probably the potentially strongest Democratic opposition to George W. Bush—had been sharply reduced. Part of the post-presidency strategy was to blame the Clinton presidency for anything negative during the Bush presidency. After September 11, 2001, for example, “Conservative activists have already begun a fund-raising campaign blaming ‘Clinton and the liberals’ for the terrorist attack.” 83 And the “weakening” of national defense under Clinton was blamed for many problems. 84 The asymmetry in press coverage continued. The Bush administration and allies could continue to blame the Clinton presidency and yet ignore any positive effects that could be attributed to Clinton. An un-remarked aspect of the war on terrorism beginning in late 2001 was that nearly all the advanced weaponry used during the Afghanistan and Iraq wars, unavailable during the Gulf War, had been developed on “Clinton’s watch.” Republicans had no incentive to state that rather obvious point, nor did journalists appear to want to say something positive about Clinton unless pushed hard by Democrats, who ignored the opportunity. Democrats, though united in support of the war effort in Afghanistan (though opposed regarding Iraq), thereby lost an opportune moment to “boast” about defense policies in a way that benefited them. 85 Regarding terrorism, many of the same Republicans who during the Clinton presidency had suggested that his 81 Christopher Hanson, “The ‘System Works’ Myth: Post-election Coverage Slanted Bush’s Way,” Columbia Journalism Review, January/February 2001. See also Allison Mitchell, “A Sustained G.O.P. Push to Mock Gore’s Image,” New York Times, October 15, 2000; Ceci Connolly and Juliet Eilperin, “GOP Organizes a Campaign to Pressure Gore,” Washington Post, November 30, 2000; Page A01. Concerning journalist dislike of Gore, see, for example, Eric Boehlert, “The Press vs. Al Gore,” Rolling Stone, December 6-13, 2001. These are enlarged in Alterman, What Liberal Media?, ch. 10-11. 82 See, for example, Jonathan Chait, “The Invention of Flip-Flop: Fictional Character,” New Republic, October 18, 2004, and also the list distributed by the American Progress Fund, “President Bush: Flip-Flopper-In-Chief,” September 2, 2004, with a list of thirty “flip- flops” by George W. Bush. 83 Dick Polman, “Sept. 11 may taint Clinton’s legacy,” Philadelphia Inquirer, January 14, 2002. 84 For a careful counter-view, see Michael O’Hanlon, Defense Policy Choices for the Bush Administration, 2nd ed. (Washington: Brookings, 2002). 85 About the broader issue of Democrats and defense issues, see Heather Hurlburt, “War Torn: Why Democrats can’t think straight about national security,” The Washington Monthly, November 2002. See also Todd Purdum, “How the Republicans Got a Chestful of Medals,” New York Times, October 6, 2002. For a humorous anecdote about how a Bush administration official responded when reminded about fighting the Iraq war with “Clinton’s weapons,” see Al Franken, Lies and the Lying Liars Who Tell Them: A Fair and Balanced Look at the Right (New York: Dutton, 2003). The reaction was “f____ you!”
  • 23. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 23 actions against Osama bin Laden had been “wag the dog” to counter impeachment, began after September 11 to suggest that Clinton done too little to counter terrorism. Many of the same Republicans who had strongly criticized Clinton military actions in the Balkans now argued that criticizing President Bush in wartime was unacceptable. In short, Republicans in opposition were very effective in putting constant pressure on the Clinton presidency in a way that Democrats have not done during the George W. Bush presidency. The George W. Bush Presidency and Journalists Unlike the incoming Clinton presidency eight years earlier, the George W. Bush presidency in 2001 had a highly- developed and skillful media operation from the beginning, one it has used effectively to limit media agenda and to establish a conventional wisdom supportive of their side and against their opponents. That strategy has been aided by a very different orientation on the part of journalists and an important set of journalistic allies, something largely lacking in the Clinton presidency. As Brit Hume implies, as quoted above, journalists seen as too close to Clinton were largely put on the defensive—the New Republic maintained a list of what it called the “Clinton Suck-Up Watch.” Despite the fact that there is much evidence that journalists were less critical of Bush than of Gore during the 2000 campaign, there was no “Bush Suck-Up Watch” in 2001. Instead President Bush was portrayed as reaching out to Democrats, many of whom openly “liked” him, in order to change the climate in Washington. The differences between journalist treatment of the early Clinton and George W. Bush presidencies arose not only from greater skillfulness by Bush personnel but also from the fact there was no Democratic “gang” ready to go after George W. Bush. That is, the different journalistic orientation appears to result partly, probably largely, from a much weaker opposition than occurred when Bill Clinton was President. As Harris points out, many Bush actions and developments could have been fanned and “kept burning” for a long time, just as sometimes even minor ones were during the Clinton presidency. 86 Among them: US plane landing in China and Bush offering two “very sorrys” to the Chinese to gain release of its personnel The Bush administration backing off some elements of his promises regarding education vouchers and other Health and Human Services Secretary Tommy Thompson meeting with campaign donors in closed-door sessions And, as mentioned earlier, the continuing refusal of Vice President Cheney to release the names of those with whom he consulted in developing the energy proposals, in sharp contrast to nearly continuous journalistic and editorial pressure on the Clinton White House to release quickly all records involving Whitewater and for Hillary Rodham Clinton to release the names of those involved in advising on the 1993-94 health care proposals In each instance and many others it is easy to envision or remember how analogous developments were portrayed during the Clinton presidency. Change in editorial positions of major newspapers, especially the two dominant national papers, the New York Times and the Washington Post, also are important in relation to the Clinton and George W. Bush presidencies. The editorial page of the New York Times, despite its reputation as a “liberal” newspaper, was extremely critical of President Clinton, giving him the benefit of doubt almost not at all and reinforcing an image of him devious and dishonest. As Michael Tomasky has shown, the Times editorial position toward President Clinton approached the ferocity of the openly-conservative Wall Street Journal editorial page in its negative judgments about the Clintons. 87 The Times editorial position, like that of the Post, was nearly unalterably critical of actions by Bill and Hillary Clinton. Even seemingly positive developments such as no finding of criminal activity, was presented grudgingly, as showing not innocence but failure to find evidence of guilt. (The New York Times, however, unlike the Washington Post, has been quite critical of President George W. Bush, a level of criticism that has increased as the Bush administration has continued in office.) The editorial of the Washington Post, as with the Times, was very critical of the Clinton administration, as noted with examples earlier. However, unlike the Times, the Post editorial page generally has been much less critical of the George W. Bush administration, at least until his second term. For example, whereas the Times editorial page opposed the Iraq war, the Post editorial position was in support of the war. James Pinkerton, who worked in the Reagan White House and is now a columnist at Long Island’s Newsday, analyzed editorial positions of the 86 Harris, “Mr. Bush Catches a Washington Break.” 87 Michael Tomasky, “His Terrible, Swift Sword,” The Nation, January 4, 1999. The “his” refers to then Times editorial page editor Howell Raines. See also Tomasky’s systematic analysis of editorials by “liberal” and “conservative” newspapers: “Whispers and Screams: Partisan Nature of Editorial Pages,” Harvard Shorenstein Center on Press and Politics, Research Paper R-25, July 2003.
  • 24. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 24 Washington Post and found “the Washington Post’s creeping hawkishness,” as his title states. 88 The Post editorial page was much less critical, and much more supportive, of George W. Bush than they had been of Bill Clinton. Pinkerton points to the Post’s much more consistent criticism of candidate John Kerry than of George W. Bush (given that coverage, it would not have been surprising if the Post had endorsed Bush rather than Kerry for President in 2004, though in the end the Post joined the plurality of editorial pages that year in endorsing Kerry). Pinkerton concludes by suggesting 89 If the bugle-blowing Post of today had been around in the ‘60s, the war in Vietnam might have taken a different turn. And in the ‘70s the presidency of Richard Nixon might have taken a different turn also. That is, not only the emergence of an openly conservative media has changed the U.S. media environment. In addition, changes in the so-called Mainstream Media also have affected the “triangle,” so that it generally tilts in favor of Republican presidents and more consistently against Democratic presidents. If the triangle remains “tipsy,” it appears to have become somewhat frozen in tilting helpfully toward Republicans. However, it might be that changes during a president’s term can influence and modify this general conclusion. It appears that media coverage of the George W. Bush presidency has followed more distinctive phases than was true during the presidency of former President Clinton, and that during his second term the “tilt” of the triangle toward George W. Bush might be changing. 90 Although the coverage over-all has been significantly less negative than during the Clinton presidency, the phases appear relatively distinct, despite lack of specific defining start and end points. These comments are only to illustrate differences, not to be exhaustive. Early Days, until the Energy Proposals George W. Bush had the honeymoon Bill Clinton never received. Some might suggest his honeymoon was so robust that he received Bill Clinton’s share also. This continued through the spring of 2001, despite occasional questions about whether his honeymoon was ending, until at least early June, when Congress passed his tax cut proposals. An early indication of changes occurred when Jim Jeffords left the Republican Party to become an independent, thereby shifting Senate control to Democrats. And in May a General Accounting Office report suggested that accounts of Clinton departees “trashing” the White House were vastly over-stated. 91 Summer 2001 Doldrums Summer 2001 involved less positive media coverage, with more questions raised not only by the new Senate majority Democrats but also by others. Some have suggested that the Harris article cited above, which appeared May 6 and implicitly criticized journalists, appears to have stimulated some to become more critical, at least in the short run (possibly until September 11). 92 The launching of Bush energy proposals in May was less successful with journalists than earlier efforts, some journalists suggested his lack of grasp of details could be a problem; his long vacation in August raised questions to some commentators. September 11, 2001 and Aftermath Tuesday, September 11, 2001 wiped away all those questions, at least temporarily. President Bush was widely portrayed as having risen in stature in response to the events of that tragic day. Journalists admitted that for months after that they felt very reticent to raise any critical questions about this president in time of war. President Bush emphasized in early 2002 that the year was a year of war, implicitly—at least to many observers—that critics should hold their criticism during this difficult time. 88 James P. Pinkerton, “The Washington Post’s Creeping Hawkishness,” Salon, April 4, 2004. 89 Pinkerton, “The Washington Post’s Creeping Hawkishness.” 90 This discussion was influenced by Michael Krasner, “Presidential Transformation as Political Spectacle: The Media and George W. Bush After September 11th ,” paper presented at the symposium “Restless Searchlight: Terrorism, The Media and Civic Life,” Shorenstein Center at Harvard University, August 28, 2002, and personal communication. The “stages” suggested here draw on Krasner’s discussion but differ in important ways. 91 The Bush White House wrote a sharp rebuttal to that report, leading to a follow-up report a year later that essentially replied to the White House comments. Some critics pointed out that the cost of the White House report and the two GAO reports vastly exceeded any reasonable estimate of costs resulting from actions by departing Clinton personnel. 92 See especially Ryan Lizza, “White House Watch: Fuming,” New Republic, June 4, 2001.
  • 25. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 25 Summer and Fall 2002 During the first half of 2002, after the successes of the war effort in Afghanistan, a shift began toward consideration of the possibility of military action against Iraq. These continued into the fall, with action by the United Nations being the culmination of efforts by the US and its allies to produce a unified effort. Concerns about President Bush’s overly militaristic responses were somewhat reduced by diplomatic actions, especially regarding the UN. 93 Leading to the November 2002 elections, many critics—within and outside the Democratic Party—argued that Party leaders should provide serious opposition to the President, some citing rank and file disappointment with the tepid response of Party leaders. 94 The New York Times in the weeks leading to the elections published editorials very critical of Bush environmental policies and suggested that Democrats should focus on this issue, both for its importance and for the vulnerability of Republicans on this issue. It appears that few or no Democrats did so. After the November 2002 Elections The somewhat surprising results of the 2002 elections, in which the President’s party gained seats in an off-year election for only the third time in the past hundred years (with 1934 and, interestingly, 1998, Clinton impeachment year), were presented as vindication of the President, that the narrow election of 2000 was now behind him, and that the unified Republicans had vanquished demoralized and weak Democrats. These themes were stated not only by Republicans but also by non-partisan commentators and even some Democrats. The discussion of “seven dwarfs” among Democratic leaders and the “stature gap” again emerged. Nancy Pelosi emerged as the Democratic House leader, with some wondering whether she would be able to help Democrats increase their ability to serve in opposition. Republicans worked to label her a “San Francisco Democrat,” to define her very negatively, even as they earlier had worked to develop negative stereotypes of Democratic Senate Leader Tom Daschle. Early 2003 to the Iraq War Journalistic coverage of George W. Bush appears to have changed early in 2003, especially as his standing in the polls—which had reached a Gallup record high of 90 in early October 2001—fell below 60. In addition, in keeping with the argument here, as Democrats became emboldened and more critical, that orientation was reflected in media coverage. His January 28, 2003 State of the Union address was emphasized as being particularly important given his declining poll numbers and increasing criticism. This was especially so since the declining poll numbers reflected also lower evaluation of how well he was handling such specific areas as the economy and foreign policy. A number of news analyses emphasized the similarity of George W. Bush’s early 2003 political context to that of his father during the recession of 1991-1992, before he was defeated for re-election in November 1992. The administration became more defensive in relation to the emergence of large deficits after the surpluses of the late Clinton years, and argued those deficits were because of excessive spending by Congress and partly the result of fighting terrorism, which should take precedence. And even Republican reaction to his State of the Union address included numerous critical elements and unclear support of some of his central tax and other policy proposals. As his approval ratings fell and the economy continued to appear stagnant, Democrats became more aggressive in their challenges to President Bush on domestic issues. 95 This analysis suggests the difficulties maintaining this aggressiveness and cohesion against the obstacles both among the Democrats and in terms of the strengths of their opponents. So, much will depend on specific developments especially in the economy and foreign policy. The Iraq War and Its Immediate Aftermath Just as September 11 changed media coverage of President Bush, so did the Iraq War, which began the week of March 17, 2003. Although President Bush maintained low visibility during the early stages of the three-week war, his approval rose to the low 70s and supporters emphasized the need to support the commander and chief during war time. In contrast, as noted earlier, to President Clinton during Kosovo, criticism of President Bush was portrayed as 93 A very nuanced comparison of these developments in comparison and contrast with those of President Johnson and the Gulf of Tonkin Resolution and President George H.W. Bush and the Gulf War Resolution is Louis Fisher, “The Way We Go to War: The Iraq Resolution,” Presented at the Conference Mid-Term Evaluation of the Presidency of George W. Bush, University of Southern Mississippi, Gulfport, November 22-23, 2002. 94 Among many criticisms of Democratic leadership weaknesses are Jake Tapper, “The Mystery of the Docile Democrats,” Salon, February 22, 2001, and Paul Glastris, “Why Can’t the Democrats Get Tough?,” Washington Monthly, March 2002. 95 See, for example, David Firestone, “Democrats Pulling Together United Front Against G.O.P.,” New York Times, March 3, 2003, and Shailagh Murray and John McKinnon, “Democrats’ Confidence Grows About Shrinking Bush Tax Cut,” Wall Street Journal, March 3, 2003.
  • 26. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 26 unpatriotic and as undercutting US troops. US media portrayed very positively the toppling of the statue of Saddam Hussein in Fardus Square on Wednesday, April 9, with references by Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld and others to the fall of the Berlin Wall. Although US media seldom did so, non-US media pointed out that the toppling of the statue was manufactured for media coverage: 96 The up close action video of the statue being destroyed is broadcast around the world as proof of a massive uprising. Still photos grabbed off of Reuters show a long-shot view of Fardus Square. . . it’s empty save for the U.S. Marines, the International Press, and a small handful of Iraqis. There are no more than 200 people in the square at best. The Marines have the square sealed off and guarded by tanks. A U.S. mechanized vehicle is used to pull the statue of Saddam from its base. The entire event is being hailed as an equivalent of the Berlin Wall falling. . . but even a quick glance of the long-shot photo shows something more akin to a carefully constructed media event tailored for the television cameras. . . . The pro-American Iraqis involved were members of Ahmed Chalabi’s Free Iraqi Forces Militia. The aftermath of the Iraq War victory was tarnished by looting and others problems, and by shooting by US troops of demonstrators in Iraq. And Republicans prepared for the inevitable fall in Bush’s approval ratings, in the words of Washington Post media reporter Howard Kurtz: “Republican spin-control artists are worried about a spate of Bush-in trouble stories down the road. So they hope to defuse the prospect by trumpeting in advance that Bush will appear to be in trouble—but that only political morons will believe that he’s actually in trouble.” 97 Summer and Fall 2003, After the Immediate Aftermath of the Iraq War and Leading to the 2004 Campaign Starting in June 2003 questions began to be raised by a increasingly large number of groups and individuals, not just those who had opposed the war, about the accuracy of Bush administration claims that provided justification for the war with Iraq. On July 5 “the retired United States ambassador whose CIA-directed mission to Niger in early 2002 helped debunk claims that Iraq had tried to obtain uranium there for nuclear weapons, has said for the first time publicly that U.S. and British officials ignored his findings and exaggerated the public case for invading Iraq.” 98 This action stimulated increased questioning of White House evidence and on Monday, July 7 the “White House Backs Off on Iraqi Buy,” admitting that the “Bush Claim on Iraq Had Flawed Origin, White House Says.” 99 During later weeks in the summer various media provided additional reports about those claims. George Tenet, head of the CIA, formally took blame for the error of allowing the claim to be inserted in the President’s 2003 State of the Union address, but leaks and statements from the CIA and other national government agencies emphasized that the White House had not taken full cognizance of the cautions put forward by the CIA and others. Reports showed that some responsible White House officials evidently had not even read the reports that raised questions about the claims. The Washington Post in particular, though its editorial page had been a strong supporter of the Iraq War, developed a series of reports examining the evidence and raising questions about White House competence and possibly even honesty in dealing with evidence. Numerous media reports pointed out the pressure exerted by the Bush White House to produce intelligence that would support Administration policy toward Iraq. President Bush had engaged in a five-day trip to Africa early in July, but much of the attention during that trip was on the evidence claimed to support war with Iraq. In addition, British Prime Minister Tony Blair, a strong supporter of the Iraq War, received very strong criticism from British press and even within his own Labour Party, and his approval fell very sharply. Although Blair’s July 17, 2003 speech before a joint session of Congress was very well received within the United States, he was portrayed very negatively in Britain, as “Bush’s poodle” and other unflattering terms. President Bush’s approval, which had risen to 71percent during the Iraq War, continued the decline that had begun after the War’s end, as US military deaths continued at the rate of at least a handful each week and questions 96 Media Clearing House, at http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article2842.htm. See also “The Toppling Of Saddam Statue: An Eyewitness Report,” SBS TV Australia, at http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article3024.htm, April 17, 2003, both accessed April 21, 2003. 97 Howard Kurtz, “Badmouthing Bush’s Chances,” Washington Post web site, April 28, 2003. 98 Richard Leiby and Walter Pincus, “Ex-Envoy: Nuclear Report Ignored; Iraqi Purchases Were Doubted by CIA,” Washington Post, Sunday, July 6, 2003, p. A13. 99 Headlines from Washington Post and New York Times, respectively, on Tuesday, July 8, 2003. To give a sense of the emphasis given, the Post report was the lead (upper-right front page) item of the day, though the headline was only one column wide. The Times report was in the right column but at the bottom of that column, with only single-column headline.
  • 27. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 27 continued about evidence used to gain support for the War. The most recent polls on or about July 20, 2003 showed his approval at 53 to 59 percent among various polls. The War-related increase had been less than for his father during the Gulf War and the decline had been quicker and sharper than his father had experienced. This decline and the various accompanying elements resulted in commentators beginning to question whether his re- election in November 2004 was the “foregone conclusion” they earlier had assumed. As of late summer 2003 it was unclear whether the more critical media coverage was only a temporary downward blip and so would become more positive as his political fortunes improved or whether the change represented the beginning of a more the more consistently critical media coverage that occurred during the Clinton presidency. During late November 2003, President Bush’s approval rating fell to about 50 percent in most opinion polls. Later that month his approval ratings rebounded somewhat following early signs of improvement in the economy and especially after the capture of Saddam Hussein December 13, 2003. (Gallup poll data are shown on page 31 below. (As noted there, Gallup approval ratings for President Bush often are higher than shown on other polls. In mid- December 2003, for example, after Saddam Hussein’s capture, Gallup approval was 63 percent, Zogby 53 percent, CBS and NBC both 58 percent, and ABC-Washington Post 57 percent.) Developments in Iraq during the fall— November 2003 produced more US casualties than any other month since the end of combat in Iraq—continued to produce relatively negative evaluations of the President regarding Iraq, despite the capture of Saddam Hussein. 100 Although some argued that media treatment of President Bush still was significantly less critical than that of British journalists in relation to Bush ally Tony Blair in Britain, criticism of the President was stimulated somewhat by the pre-primary stage of the selection of the Democratic presidential candidate for 2004. Some of those candidates— particularly Howard Dean—were especially critical of the President’s handling not only of the economy but also of foreign policy generally and Iraq and terrorism specifically. An issue that erupted in late summer 2003 but did not have “legs” in terms of continued journalistic coverage was the leak to conservative political columnist Robert Novak of the identity of a CIA operative, whose husband challenged Bush administration allegations about some of the evidence used to justify the war against Iraq. 101 The leak was judged to have very serious effects not only for the operative, Valerie Plame, but also because it compromised all her contacts. President Bush said the administration would take the leak very seriously and pledged full cooperation with the investigation of the leak. He also suggested, “I don’t know if we’re going to find out the senior administration official” who leaked the information, and within weeks journalistic coverage sharply declined, with very little continuing attention, either on news or editorial pages. 102 (An implication of this discussion is that if opposition leaders, talk radio hosts, or others had continued public pressure on this issue, journalists would have given it more continued coverage. Opposition Democrats seldom raised the issue and, not surprisingly, neither did the overwhelmingly conservative talk radio hosts. In a variety of ways, then, journalistic coverage was not encouraged.) Any analysis is bound by time, and future coverage of the Bush presidency will depend not only on specific occurrences but also on how leading Democrats deal with developments during the period leading to the November 2004 election. In late 2002 and early 2003 Democratic candidate Howard Dean and a few others had criticized the Bush policy of war with Iraq but most Democratic candidates for President had voted to support the Bush administration’s Iraq policy in votes fall 2002, or had engaged in only muted criticism. The 2004 Re-Election Campaign The 2004 re-election campaign brought some of the traditional media emphases, for example, that an incumbent president has a record.” 103 In addition, the Bush campaign was much more skillful and successful than the Kerry campaign in relation to three core elements of the campaign: defining oneself positively, inoculating oneself against and responding to negative charges, and defining the opponent. For example, the Bush campaign so successfully 100 See, for example, Adam Nagourney and Janet Elder, “Bush’s Approval Ratings Climb in Days After Hussein’s Capture,” New York Times, December 17, 2003, and Claudia Deane, “Despite Capture, Poll Indicates Wariness on Iraq,” Washington Post, December 15, 2003. 101 See, for example, Mike Allen and Dana Priest, “Bush Administration Is Focus of Inquiry,” Washington Post, September 28, 2003, page A01. 102 See Michael Tomasky, “The Country’s Leading Editorial Pages Are Ignoring the Plame Scandal,” American Prospect web edition, October 16, 2003. 103 Richard Leiby and Walter Pincus, “Ex-Envoy: Nuclear Report Ignored; Iraqi Purchases Were Doubted by CIA,” Washington Post, Sunday, July 6, 2003, p. A13.
  • 28. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 28 defined John Kerry as a “flip-flopper” that journalists reinforced that image and even supporters were bothered by Kerry’s frequent flip flops. This occurred despite the fact that George W. Bush—who had the image of steadfast in his views—“flip-flopped” at least as often as John Kerry. These points are developed in much more detail below, in the section entitled “Image Creation in the 2000 and 2004 Presidential Election Campaigns.” The title emphasizes that Bush skillfulness if defining opponents occurred not only in 2004—with Kerry the “flip-flopper”—but also in 2000, with Al Gore the “serial exaggerator.” The Barack Obama Presidency and Journalists: Republicans In Opposition—to come What have Barack Obama and his administration learned from the previous two presidents, presumably in studying especially carefully the lessons of the Clinton presidency, that will affect media strategy and success. Possible countervailing tendencies—to come What countervailing developments might lead to the emergence of a different political-media regime? • Blogs, where liberals appear to have an edge.104 • Emergence of such groups as Media Matters for America, which carefully monitor news organizations and attempt to influence what they see as news media practices that do not uphold journalistic standards but instead reinforce and support conservative orientations. • Not yet, it appears, has there begun to emerge a powerful set of “truly liberal media,” despite conservative claims. Air America [add] • Obama administration [add] 104 See, for example,
  • 29. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 29 Appendix A: Selected Data about Media and the Clinton and George W. Bush Presidencies This section very briefly summarizes data about several phases of the campaigns and presidencies of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. The data are not original but come from other sources; so the focus here is less on the data— for which readers should consult the sources indicated—than on using the data as a starting point for examining reasons. 105 A number of sources have systematically examined media coverage of the Clinton presidency, the Bush presidency, or both. Among the most important are these (other sources are identified in footnotes): The Center for Media and Public Affairs has systematically monitored television coverage of Presidents beginning with George H.W. Bush. Although those associated with the Center tend to emphasize conservative themes, the data appear carefully done. Those materials are available at its web site: http://www.cmpa.com/. A careful comparison of media coverage of the first hundred days of Bill Clinton and George W. Bush was published by the Project for Excellence in Journalism. This report is somewhat weakened by the inclusion of a limited range of print media—the New York Times, the Washington Post, and Newsweek—along with the television networks. Although important, these print media, especially the newspapers, often are seen as liberal in their editorial position and therefore almost certainly are not representative of daily news media in the US. Combining news and editorials in content analyses and not providing separate data for news and editorials further compound this limit. Nevertheless, the report is useful, and is available at the Project web site: http://www.journalism.org/resources/research/reports/default.asp. Polling data about President Bush is available at various web locations, including Polling Report (a collection of current polling data about various topics), http://www.pollingreport.com/, at Gallup (though some parts of this site are available only to subscribers), http://www.gallup.com/, the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press, with detailed analyses of opinion, http://people-press.org/, and the Washington Post site with links to numerous other opinion sites, http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/politics/polls/datadir.htm. This overview is intended only to suggest some relevant data and sources of further information. Election Campaigns Bill Clinton 1992: Clinton slightly more positive than GHW Bush, though both negative, as was coverage of Ross Perot. 106 George W. Bush, 2000: Percent negative: Primaries: Bush 47%, Gore 60%; general election: Bush 63%, Gore 60%; Bush not too smart (9 claims for every 1 counter-claim); Gore not truthful (17 to 1 counter-claim). 107 Transition and Honeymoon Bill Clinton 1993: Very high level of coverage; Very negative coverage; no honeymoon (critical from day 2); Opposition from beginning nearly the first day of the administration (see especially data from the Center for Media and Public Affairs). George W. Bush, 2001: Much less coverage than comparable period under Clinton: During Clinton’s first 50 days, 902 minutes of airtime on network news; Bush first 50 days only 462 minutes, and 28 percent less during first 100 days; 108 more positive or mixed coverage; very little opposition; Democrats seemed to “like” GW Bush 105 Judgments of media coverage appear to reflect ideological orientation even among such seemingly “detached” observers as scholars and journalists. In a national sample of about 300 journalists and an equal number of academics, statistically significant differences occurred between self-identified strong Democrats and strong Republicans evaluating media coverage of recent presidents, Hillary Rodham Clinton, Kenneth Starr, and 1996 candidate Bob Dole. See Robert Sahr and Ryan McCambridge, “Journalist and Academic Views of Media and President Clinton,” paper presented at the meetings of the Western Political Science Association, Seattle, Washington, March 1999. 106 Patterson, Out of Order. 107 Cited in Patterson, The Vanishing Voter, pp. 63-64, and sources cited. See especially Project for Excellence in Journalism, Election Coverage 2000: A Question of Character, and Center for Media and Public Affairs, “TV Has Bad News for Gore,” October 18, 2000. 108 “The Disappearing Honeymoon,” Media Monitor (Center for Media and Public Affairs), May/June 2001. The focus of the title is the amount of coverage, not the tone.
  • 30. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 30 Post-presidency of Predecessor Bill Clinton 1993: Almost no mention of former President George H. W. Bush; only one mention of his very controversial Christmas eve pardons; evidently no mention of the gifts he took when he left the WH nor of other aspects of his post-presidency, e.g., well paid advisor to various groups 109 George W. Bush, 2001-2002: Very frequent mention of former President Bill Clinton; 70+ mentions of his pardons; Almost constant mention, nearly always negatively, about his “opulent” New York office, about the gifts the Clintons took when they left the White House, to Clinton departees “trashing” the White House, and his highly paid speeches. Only much later, if at all, did coverage emphasis analogous actions by earlier presidents. Post-honeymoon Presidency Bill Clinton 1992-2001: Continued negative coverage, with heavy emphasis on scandal allegations, generally portrayed as at least probably true, and blaming Clintons for not being fully forthcoming in responding; treated as dishonest in journalistic accounts; the problems were presented as his fault, not due to overly-zealous prosecutors or similar (see, for example, NYT coverage after final Whitewater report); very negative coverage on editorial pages of NYT, Washington Post, with scornful language about WH gifts and similar George W. Bush, 2000-2002: Early relatively positive, slightly more mixed summer, then September 11, with much more coverage of travels and speeches (e.g., CNN), even if not specifically related to issues of terrorism and defense. From his inauguration until March 2002, CNN interrupted regular programming to carry Bush live 150 times (65 before Sept. 11), as contrasted with only 18 for Clinton during his final 15 months; 110 some variation by stage of his presidency; very negative coverage of former candidate Al Gore, with journalists openly admitting a “deep seeded dislike for Al Gore in the Press Corps,” even “disdain and contempt,” some openly expressing hope he would not be a candidate in 2004. 111 Slightly more positive coverage when he withdrew from the race in late 2002, but he quickly disappeared from the media screen. Data about approval trends of George W. Bush January 2001 to April 2006 (see last page, below) and comparison with former presidents Reagan, George H.W. Bush, and Clinton at comparable points of their presidencies are shown on the following page. The Gallup poll last data point shown for George W. Bush in early April 2006 ties for the lowest recorded by Gallup for this President: 36% approve and 59% disapprove. That approval level also is much lower than earlier two-term presidents Reagan and Clinton at comparable points in their second terms. Appendix B: Some Cultural and Political Changes that Influenced and Reflected these Developments Cultural changes both reinforce and supplement the economic changes. Among the most important cultural changes that affect the current political-media context are those that relate to an increased cynicism about public life. Skepticism—a stance that suggests all statements should be challenged and verified regarding veracity—largely has been superseded by cynicism, “a reflexive suspicion of face-value explanation, an inclination to ascribe ignoble motives.” 112 This has resulted not only in greater emphasis on the negative, but also increased emphasis on the “game” of politics, where the stakes are not different policy outcomes but the personal winning and losing of the political participants. In the game framework, policy statements are not serious, good faith proposals but are instead props in the strategic game of winning. Coverage of politics increasingly has been framed in terms of personal conflict, with increased focus on the personal characteristics—rather than policy orientations—of candidates, and increased emphasis on the negative, for example, promises not kept more than promises kept. 113 109 Center for Media and Public Affairs, “Clinton Coverage Doesn’t Eclipse Dubya,” March 2, 2001. 110 Eric Boehlert, “All Bush, all the time,” Salon, April 18, 2002. 111 See CNN, Reliable Sources, Saturday, August 10, 2002, and Howard Kurtz, “Media Backtalk,” Washington Post, August 12, 2002. 112 Paul Starobin, “A Generation of Vipers: Journalists and the New Cynicism,” Columbia Journalism Review, March/April 1995. 113 The original statement of this view is Paul Weaver, “Is Television News Biased?,” The Public Interest, 27, 1972. See also the detailed discussion in Patterson, Out of Order, esp. ch. 2, and also his Vanishing Voter (New York: Knopf, 2002), esp. ch. 3, “The News Media: The Politics of Anti-Politics.” An excellent brief review of the effect of journalistic changes on reporting of the early Clinton presidency is Rosenstiel, The Beat Goes On.
  • 31. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 31 As James Fallows suggests, in the public perception—as “political news tells us day after day”—“politicians may not all be crooks in an indictable sense, but they scheme endlessly for advantage and talk about abortion, foreign policy, and tax reform only as it serves their ends for gaining power.” 114 Patterson points out that cynicism is closely associated with an emphasis on scandals, unconstrained by facts: 115 The press’s cynicism remains unchecked because its inferences are not substantially constrained by the facts. Today the tone of a president’s news coverage depends less on his actual performance than on the media’s cynical bias. [F]acts are not what drives the news. [A] feeding frenzy has the capacity to generate a connection between the new scandal and previous ones. . . . [T]he coupling of the Clinton cover-up with the Watergate cover-up was a fact-defying leap. . . . It would have been helpful if the press had tried to place Whitewater in its own context rather than in the light of the Watergate, Irangate, Iraqgate, or S&L scandals. Cappella and Jamieson point out that 116 Because we cannot know what motivates an individual and because any action can be recast to serve some selfish end, the cynic’s position is ultimately not contestable. Sealed within her own self-reinforcing assumptions, the cynic can interpret even selfless actions as calculated attempts to create an image of selflessness. They argue, as do such other scholars as Patterson and Fishel, that candidates do make promises in good faith, that promises are a good predictor of what a candidate will do if elected to office. In other words, to a large degree the journalistic cynicism is not justified. 117 However, as they also suggest, judgments by cynics are essentially immune to counter-evidence since all actions can be interpreted as self-serving, and those judgments are “not contestable.” It is important to recognize that this cynical orientation probably hurts Republicans less than Democrats, because Republicans in many ways want people not to like government, especially “big government,” and to have an unfavorable impression toward politics and even politicians. Some political leaders, primarily Republicans, have encouraged this orientation. For example, Newt Gingrich was elected to the US House in the late 1970s. From the beginning, he encouraged journalists to emphasize negative features about Congress in order to increase public opposition to a body then controlled by the opposition Democrats and thereby increase the probability of Republican success. 118 That was one of many elements that helped Republicans gain control of Congress in the 1994 election, and in the process elevate Newt Gingrich to the House Speaker ship. Other cultural changes reinforce the economic and other changes. Among the most important might be the increased emphasis on the visual, the greater reliance—especially, but not only, among younger media users—on broadcast as contrasted with the more “linear” print media, and greater emphasis on quick, ever-changing, exciting elements that can be conveyed quickly and visually and with little need for background information. Some “political” changes are “political” in the usual sense of parties, elections, electoral divisions, and so on. One very important change during this period is that after the Johnson Great Society changes of the 1960s, southern white voters moved sharply toward the Democrats, essentially reversing the “one-party south” from Democrat to Republican. Many other changes are obvious in relation to policy, government spending, and so on. Here, though, the focus is on political change often not seen as “political.” Political analysts frequently point to the rise of individual-centered as against party-centered campaigns and politics in the United States. This change fits well with the increased emphasis on visual media, which portray individuals much more easily than the complexity of groups, policies, and other less visual aspects of American politics. The individual-focus of politics might also encourage candidates and office holders to emphasize personal qualities and to de-emphasize party or policy orientations. In addition, as Walter Mondale pointed out after his failed 1984 presidential election campaign, television skills— 114 Fallows, Breaking the News, p. 141. 115 Patterson, Out of Order, “Postscript to the Vintage Book Edition,” pp. 245-250. 116 Joseph N. Cappella and Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Spiral of Cynicism: The Press and the Public Good (New York: Oxford University Press, 1997), p. 19. 117 Cappella and Jamieson, Spiral of Cynicism, esp. ch. 2, “Cynicism or Realism?;” Patterson, Out of Order; and Jeff Fishel, Presidents and Promises (Washington: CQ Press, 1985). 118 Ronald Elving, “Brighter Lights, Wider Windows: Presenting Congress in the 1990s,” ch. 8 in Thomas Mann and Norman Ornstein, eds., Congress, the Press, and the Public (Washington: American Enterprise and Brookings, 1994.
  • 32. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 32 which he suggested he did not have—are vital ingredients of the skills necessary for successful candidates and office holders. As noted earlier, “The rules of the political and media culture alter not only how politics is conducted, but increasingly who participates, why, and the nature of what can be accomplished.” 119 Those rules certainly affect the qualifications of candidates and office holders. Those rules make Ronald Reagan’s acting experience much more of a benefit than his relative lack of knowledge of national government and policy was a detriment. Possibly even more important in its importance for the new media-journalism context is change in the tone of politics, one in which defeating opponents has to a large degree been superseded by the destruction of enemies. As a result, journalists have in many instances become “conduits of politics as cultural civil war,” 120 and what some have called a “coarsening of politics.” 121 Scott McClellan, George W. Bush Press Secretary from 2003 to 2006 examines the coarsening of political discussion, the demonizing and personalizing of politics. 122 He suggests that these features of the “permanent campaign” is “a nonstop process of seeking to manipulate sources of public approval to engage in the act of governing itself.” Although he suggests that Democrats have played a very large role, he argues that Republicans have done so also. Among other examples he points to Under these circumstances, logical and persuasive speech and argument tend to be replaced by efforts to define negatively and even “demonize” opponents. 123 On political talk shows, for example, sustained argument generally has been replaced by sound bites and by constant interruptions of opponent statements, both of them more “interesting” and “exciting” than serious examination of contrasting policy proposals by serious but visually uninteresting “talking heads.” In addition, some argue that conservatives influenced and used the emerging media and political changes more effectively than liberals not only because of their systematic and sustained effort but also because the “simpler” messages of conservatives “work better” in a culture where television is central. That is, 124 The values and messages of the right—small government, laissez-faire, rugged individualism, its views on defense, crime, the family—are essentially simple and visceral; those of the left are implicitly more intricate and cerebral. And television, in all its forms and aspects, is an essentially simplifying and sensationalizing medium, perfectly suited to visceral, uncomplicated messages . . . . Far from being the left’s handmaiden, TV is actually a bonanza for the right, and a powerful brake on liberalism. Whether or not one accepts that underlying argument, 125 it is clear that conservatives dominate most talk and other political programs in which arguing quickly rather than deeply has replaced more polite and “cerebral” discussion of politics. And some of those in the “talk” business evidently share that view, as when Bill O’Reilly stated: 126 Conservative people tend to see the world in black and white terms, good and evil. Liberals see grays. In any talk format, you have to pound home a strong point of view. If you’re not providing controversy and excitement, people won’t listen or watch. In early 2003 some liberals began working to establish liberal talk radio, probably using Al Franken, among others, 119 Kovach and Rosenstiel, Warp Speed, p. 3. 120 Kovach and Rosenstiel, Warp Speed, p. 8. 121 See especially two books by E.J. Dionne: Why Americans Hate Politics (New York: Touchstone, 1992), and They Only Look Dead (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1997). See also Stephen C. Craig, The Malevolent Leaders: Popular Discontent in America (Boulder, Colo.: Westview, 1993). 122 Scott McClellan, What Happened: Inside the Bush White House and Washington’s Culture of Deception (Public Affairs, 2008), esp. chapter 5, “The Permanent Campaign,” which draws on Thomas E. Mann and Norman J. Ornstein, editors, The Permanent Campaign and Its Future (AEI Press, 2001), especially the chapter by Hugh Heclo. 123 It is important not to idealize the “rational” nature of political discussion earlier in United States political history. The point instead is change in media portrayals and public and elite expectations. 124 Jeffrey Scheuer, “The Television Thing,” Dissent, Summer 1995. He developed these points in much more detail in The Sound Bite Society: Television and the American Mind (New York: Four Walls Eight Windows, 1999). 125 See, for example, the review of The Sound Bite Society by James Fallows, “Free Love vs. Just Say No: Are Liberals Really Bitten by Sound Bites,” The Washington Monthly, November 1999. 126 As quoted in Alterman, What Liberal Media?, pp. 43-44.
  • 33. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 33 to partly counter the overwhelming conservative presence in that medium. 127 The possible success of that effort might depend partly on being able to counter the “Limbaugh syndrome” that reinforces radio stations using conservative talk show hosts. That success also is certain to be affected by whether the claims are correct that “conservative is simpler” and “fits” broadcast media better than liberalism. The political and cultural changes reinforce each other. If journalists see politics as about personal advancement, so policy claims are strategic means rather than serious proposals, then journalists are given further license to treat claims only as strategic elements, not to be described, explained, or analyzed in terms of content. This cynical approach also fits with the emphasis of journalistic training on process rather than substance and with a greater interest among political journalists in politics instead of policy or government. As politics increasingly is emphasized as strategy, that emphasis reinforces public cynicism in a kind of downward spiral. 127 Jim Rutenberg, “Liberal Radio Is Planned by Rich Group of Democrats,” New York Times, February 17, 2003. Franken wrote, among other books, Rush Limbaugh Is a Big Fat Idiot (New York: Delacorte, 1999). He became a U.S. Senator from Minnesota in 2009. Figure A. Percentage of population subscribing to a daily newspaper (Source: West, The Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment [Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2001], Figure A.1, page 131)
  • 34. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 34 Figure B. Percentage of households having various media (Source: West, The Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment [Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2001], Figure A.2, page 131) Figure C. Percentage watching “Big Three” television networks: ABC, CBS, and NBC (Source: West, The Rise and Fall of the Media Establishment [Bedford/St. Martin’s, 2001], Figure A.3, page 132)
  • 35. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 35
  • 36. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 36 Doonesbury illustrative materials 
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  • 37. Sahr, Republican Development and Use of a Conservative-Leaning Political-media Regime, page 37 
 
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