The Irish Broadband experience - Gary Healy

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  • 1. 19/12/2014 The Irish Broadband experience Gary Healy Director – Market Development
  • 2. www.comreg.ie 2 Broadband in Ireland: Agenda  Where are we now?  Availability a major issue - multi-platform approach  Local Loop unbundling  Regional Survey trends  Initiatives for national coverage
  • 3. www.comreg.ie 3 Broadband Penetration in the EU Broadband Penetration, June 2006 (OECD) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 D enm ark N etherlands Iceland Korea Sw itzerland Finland N orw ay Sw eden C anada U nited Kingdom Belgium U nited States Japan Luxem bourg Austria France Australia EU 15 O EC D G erm any Spain Italy Portugal N ew Zealand C zech R epublic Ireland H ungary Poland Turkey Slovak R epublic M exico G reece DSL Cable Other
  • 4. www.comreg.ie 4 Broadband versus Narrowband Narrowband Metered, Narrowband Flat-rate, DSL and Other Broadband Subscriptions 75% 71% 68% 66% 63% 57% 54% 51% 47% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 9% 11% 14% 16% 17% 20% 23% 26% 29% 32% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 8% 9% 10% 12% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Q3'04 Q4'04 Q1'05 Q2'05 Q3 '05 Q4 05 Q1 06 Q2 06 Q3 06 NumberofSubscribers Narrowband Metered Narrowband Flat Rate DSL Other Broadband Source: Quarterly Key Data Questionnaire
  • 5. www.comreg.ie 5 Large growth in number of Broadband Service Providers
  • 6. www.comreg.ie 6 Take up and growth by platform Platform Q3 06 Subs Quarterly Growth Q206- Q306 Year-on-Year Growth Q305- Q306 DSL 319,400 16% 91% Cable 49,500 24% 174% FWA 62,500 19% 154% Other[1] 5,300 16% 139% Total 436,700 17% 106% Wifi Access Points 2496 +35% n/a [1] Other Broadband includes Satellite and Fibre to the Premises broadband subscriptions
  • 7. www.comreg.ie 7 PC users / Internet / Broadband PC, Internet and Broadband Penetration 58.5% 54.9% 46.2% 42.2% 32.5% 18.6% 48.7% 45.1% 38.2% 33.5% 20.5% 5.0% 13% 7% 3% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 PC Internet Broadband Source: Central Statistics Office
  • 8. www.comreg.ie 8 Take Up of Broadband since DSL Launch Broadband Penetration since Month of Launch 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50 52 54 56 58 60 62 Month since Launch PercentagePenetration Denmark Finland Ireland Portugal Spain Sweden This chart includes a projection of penetration at year end 2006 at 500,000 subscribers
  • 9. www.comreg.ie 9 Broadband Pricing in Ireland Over Time 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 Q 202 Q 302 Q 402 Q 103 Q 203 Q 303 Q 403 Q 104 Q 204 Q 304 Q 404 Q 105 Q 205 Q 305 Q 405 Q 106 Q 2 06 Q 3 06 Q 406 NoofSubscribers 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Price€permonth DSL Subscribers eircom price/month Source: ComReg, eircom Price = €54.45 Price = €39.99 Price = €29.99 Price = €24.99
  • 10. www.comreg.ie 10 EU Pricing Comparisons DSL Basket- November 2006 384/3072 320/1024 192/768 192/2048 128/1024 128/256 256/2048 256/1024 128/1024 128/1024 128/160 256/640 128/512 128/375 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 N etherlands Belgium Italy D enm ark Ireland G erm any France U K Sw eden Average PortugalLuxem bourg G reece Spain Austria €/PPP(priceincludesVAT) Non-recurring Recurring UsageSource: Teligen
  • 11. www.comreg.ie 11 Broadband in Ireland: Agenda  Where are we now?  Availability a major issue - multi- platform approach  Local Loop unbundling  Regional Survey trends  Initiatives for national coverage
  • 12. www.comreg.ie 12 Government Initiatives Availability:MANs Under the 1st Call, 34 projects were approved, to provide a broadband service to 38 communities, with a combined population of over 36,000 people. – 20 towns. Under the 2nd call, which was officially launched in January 2005, 119 projects have been approved to date, representing an investment of €12.4 million in 445 communities covering a population of 355,000 people – 90+ towns. Source: DCMNR
  • 13. www.comreg.ie 13 DSL availability has improved- but challenges still remain In April 2006, 83% of lines were connected to a broadband-enabled exchange – in line with the OECD average Source: OECD Digital Subscriber Line (DSL) availability in the EU 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Belgium Denmark Netherlands UK Sw eden Italy Austria Poland Ireland OECD Hungary
  • 14. www.comreg.ie 14 Alternative Platform growth Other Platforms 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 May- 04 Jul- 04 Sep- 04 Nov- 04 Jan- 05 Mar- 05 May- 05 Jul- 05 Sep- 05 Nov- 05 Jan- 06 Mar- 06 May- 06 Jul- 06 Sep- 06 FWALA Cable Satellite
  • 15. www.comreg.ie 15 Cable availability: NTL and Chorus NORTHERN IRELAND (U.K.) Irish Sea Saint Georges Channel North Channel North Atlantic Ocean Donegal Bay Lough Allen Lough Ree Lough Sheelin Lough Derg Lough Conn Lough Mask Lough Corrib Lough Neagh Lower Lough Erne Upper Lough Erne Donegal Cavan Monaghan Liouth MeathLongford Leitrim Sligo Roscommon Galway Mayo Westmeath Offaly Kildare Dublin WicklowLaois Clare Tipperary Kilkenny Limerick Kerry Cork Waterford Wexford Carlow Creeslough Naas Letterkenny Lifford Ardara Donegal Sligo Bangor Erris Ballina Castlebar Westport Charlestown Claremorris Carrick on Shannon Cavan Monaghan Dundalk Drogheda Trim Dublin Mullingar Longford Athlone Roscommon Tuam Clifden Tullamore Wicklow ArklowCarlow Port Laoise Durrow Kilkenny Roscrea Nenagh Limerick Ennis Ennistimon Kilkee Tralee Tipperary Caher Clonmel Waterford Wexford Rosslare Dungarvan Youghal FermoyMallow CorkMacroom Bantry Kenmare Kilarney Navan Galway Maps/Eur/ComInd/Ireland cellphones2 Donegal National Capital City International Boundary County Boundary County Name MMDS franchise coverage 0 50Miles Ireland Lifford Galway cable franchise Waterford cable franchise Dublin cable franchise
  • 16. www.comreg.ie 16 Fixed Wireless Access Broadband Fixed Wireless Access • FWA is an alternative access platform for broadband access, particularly in rural areas • Enabling alternatives to DSL and Cable • Promoting innovation and competitiveness within the sector. As of March ‘06 • 120 licences. • 11 operators • 55,000+ subscribers Fixed Wireless Broadband is the fastest growing broadband platform in the market
  • 17. www.comreg.ie 17 Wireless Use Wireless broadband connections, March 2006 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000 Ireland Australia Canada Poland Lithuania Japan Spain South Korea Norway Czech Republic Sweden France UK Portugal Finland G reece Denm ark Estonia Latvia Note: The USA has over 700,000 broadband subscribers. Wireless broadband connections are falling in Japan, Portugal and South Korea. Analysys commented recently: “Broadband wireless technologies offer further potential for closing the gap between services available in urban and rural areas but are not without problems. In France, Neuf Telecom has stopped promoting a fixed wireless service offered in 32 towns and cities, while in the UK wireless operator Mesh Broadband ceased trading in April 2005, despite receiving funding assistance from a local development agency. WiMAX promises increased capabilities in terms of speed and distance but the interdependence between these two variables will affect its ability to address the needs of rural communities. Commercial considerations – which have caused existing wireless technologies to be marketed primarily as mobility solutions and have confined them to niche segments of the fixed access market – will also influence WiMAX roll-out. “ Source: Analysys
  • 18. www.comreg.ie 18 Other Broadband Platforms  Fibre :2 operators are deploying fibre in greenfield sites- Smart Telecom and Magnet Networks. They have ~ 2,000 subscribers and 13,000 homes passed according to IDate  Satellite: Viable alternative particularly in rural areas – BT has used satellite technologies in Northern Ireland where DSL was not available  WLANs: BT, eircom and Bitbuzz have all rolled out hotspots across Ireland. Eircom launched recent initiative with Chambers Ireland -24 towns Wi-Fi enabled so far.  3G mobile: Currently 3G delivers speeds of around 284Kbps. However a number of mobile operators are planning to launch High Speed Downlink Packet Access (HSDPA) services in 2006.
  • 19. www.comreg.ie 19 Broadband in Ireland: Agenda  Where are we now?  Availability a major issue - multi-platform approach  Local Loop unbundling  Regional Survey trends  Initiatives for national coverage
  • 20. www.comreg.ie 20 Development of Local Loop Unbundling in Ireland LLU Lines Dec 2004- Sep 2006 0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 D ec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 M ar-05 Apr-05M ay-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05Sep-05 O ct-05 N ov-05D ec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 M ar-06 Apr-06M ay-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06Sep-06 Full LLU Shared LLU Column 3
  • 21. www.comreg.ie 21 LLU Benchmarking % of OAO DSL lines provided through LLU, Q1 2006 31% 27% 27% 23% 23% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13% 10% 7% 5% 4% 4% 4% 1% 1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% France Sw edenN etherlands G erm any FinlandTotal/Average Austria Italy D enm ark Portugal Spain U KLuxem bourg Slovenia G reece Ireland Estonia Belgium Research Note: Latvia, Hungary, Cyprus, zech Rep, Lithuania, Malta, Poland and Slovakia have 0% LLU lines Source: ECTA Scorecard, Q1 2006
  • 22. www.comreg.ie 22 Broadband in Ireland: Agenda  Where are we now?  Availability a major issue - multi-platform approach  Local Loop unbundling  Regional Survey trends  Initiatives for national coverage
  • 23. www.comreg.ie 23 User Trends in Broadband: Business Residential Split Business Subscribers, 29% Residential Subscribers, 71%
  • 24. www.comreg.ie 24 Regional trends in Residential Internet usage Internet users by region, 2006 24% 27% 65% 18% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Dublin RoLeinster Munster Connacht Dial-up Broadband Don't know Internet users by age group, 2006 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 15-24 25-44 45-64 65-74 Dial-up Broadband Don't know Internet users bysocial class, 2006 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% ABC1 C2DE Farmer Dial-up Broadband Don't know Source: Amárach Consulting, CSO Population Density, 1996 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Leinster Munster Connacht Ulster (part of) State ComReg surveys indicate that ABC1s and Dublin-based households are more likely to have broadband.
  • 25. www.comreg.ie 25 Broadband in Ireland: Agenda  Where are we now?  Availability a major issue - multi-platform approach  Local Loop unbundling  Regional Survey trends  Initiatives for national coverage
  • 26. www.comreg.ie 26 National Broadband Scheme (NBS) Overview  Oct ’05 Minister CMNR announced intention to bring forward a scheme to address broadband provision in areas currently unserved  Being led by DCMNR with assistance of ComReg  Steering Committee and Working Group established and actively engaged in scoping and design of scheme  Tenders for technical, economic and legal expertise underway and expected to be completed end Feb (OJEU)  Intention is to run an open competition/tender for provision of broadband services in ‘un-served areas’ where State will part fund.  Seeking to provide product broadly equivalent to entry level product available in market - 1Mbit service with associated QoS guarantees. Upgradeability important.  Expected to commence competition in June
  • 27. www.comreg.ie 27 National Broadband Scheme – current activities  Meetings held with representative operators to signal intentions and to get views  Open to industry to decide most economically way of providing service so will be a technology neutral tender  Engaged in mapping exercise to identify where no broadband service providers. Intended to consult with industry and regional bodies to corroborate indicative maps  Likely to include requirement on winning tenderer(s) to also provide wholesale equivalent – encourages competition  Likely to be a single national contract
  • 28. www.comreg.ie 28  Any Questions?